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Mar 29, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 29 March 2018 10:21:51
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London open: Stocks edge higher ahead of Easter break; Nex accepts takeover
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London stocks edged higher in early trade in what was shaping up to be a fairly busy day in terms of news flow as we head into the long Easter weekend.

At 0820 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 0.2% to 7,059.23, while the pound was down 0.1% versus the euro and the dollar at 1.1422 and 1.4057, respectively.

Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at Interactive Investor, said: "The FTSE 100 has recouped some if its recent losses this week, but the index really has just scratched the surface and remains more than 10% down from January’s record high, and still firmly in correction territory."

Wild also pointed out that Thursday is the deadline for acceptances for turnaround specialist Melrose Industries’ hostile bid for engineer GKN - a saga that has been rumbling on since January.

"GKN has used everything in its arsenal to fight off turnaround specialist Melrose, but it’s still far from clear whether it will be enough. What is certain is that this will go to the wire. It may even be that the result is not publicly announced until after the market close, forcing investors to wait over the Easter holiday before being able to act on the outcome. A GKN victory is widely tipped to trigger selling of its shares, as Melrose backers bet that benefits take far longer to feed through than they would have done had the bidder won."

On the data front, net lending to individuals, fourth-quarter GDP, consumer credit, mortgage approvals and total business investment are all due at 0830 BST.

The final iteration of Q4 GDP is expected to show that the UK economy grew at 0.4% on a quarterly basis, rising to 1.4% on an annualised basis, with services once again contributing most to the headline number. Meanwhile, business investment is expected to remain unchanged at 2.1% year on year.

Before that, investors were digesting the latest surveys from GfK and mortgage lender Nationwide.

According to Gfk, the UK consumer is feeling slightly more confident about personal finances and the general economic situation as recent improvements in wage growth and inflation boost spirits.

The long-running consumer confidence index from GfK climbed three points over the month of March but still remained negative at -7, worse than at this stage last year. However, all five of the constituent measures improved in March compared to February and January.

"Spring is in the air," said GfK's Joe Staton, pointing to improvements in consumers' views on personal finances, the general economy over the last year and next year, and on current major purchase intentions.

Meanwhile, the latest Nationwide survey showed that house price growth unexpectedly slowed in March.

Prices were up 2.1% on the year, slowing down from a 2.2% increase in February and below the 2.6% gain expected by economists. On the month, house prices fell 0.2% and although this was better than the 0.4% decline seen the month before, analysts had been expecting a 0.2% increase.

London was the worst-performing region again, with average house prices down 1% compared with a year ago.

Nationwide’s chief economist, Robert Gardner, said: “On the surface, the relatively subdued pace of house price growth appears at odds with recent healthy rates of employment growth, a modest pick-up in wage growth and historically low borrowing costs. However, consumer confidence has remained subdued, due to the ongoing squeeze on household finances as wage growth continues to lag behind increases in the cost of living.”

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said higher mortgage rates are starting to take their toll. “The recent jump in banks’ funding costs, triggered partly because the Term Funding Scheme no longer is subsidising new lending, points to five-year fixed mortgage rates rising by about 50 basis points over the next six months, greatly exceeding the 8bp increase seen since September.”

In corporate news, NEX Group was a touch lower after agreeing to be taken over by CME Group for 1,000p per share in cash and shares of the Chicago exchange giant. CME will pay 500p in cash and 0.0444 new shares for each NEX share, which values NEX at £3.9bn, based on the closing price of CME stock overnight of $158.84.

Nex shares had surged late on Wednesday amid reports of a deal.

Shire was in the red after saying it has gained regulatory acceptances from the EU and Canada for its lanadelumab treatment for hereditary angioedema. Shares in the company rallied sharply earlier in the week as it emerged that Japan’s Takeda was considering making an offer for the group.

Elsewhere, Compass Group was on the back foot as French peer Sodexo cut its full-year sales guidance.

Moneysupermarket gained ground as it agreed to buy home communications and mobile phone comparison business Decision Tech for £40m.

Qinetiq was up as its pre-close trading statement met expectations, while Renewi edged higher as it announced the sale of its non-core Westcott Park anaerobic digestion facility and IP Group gained on the back of its full-year numbers.

Indivior was in the black after as it said its subsidiary Indivior UK and C4X Discovery Holdings have entered into a license agreement whereby Indivior UK obtained exclusive global rights to develop and commercialize C4X's oral orexin-1 receptor antagonist programme.

In broker note action, Morrisons was upgraded to ‘outperform’ at Bernstein, while WH Smith was lifted to ‘buy’ at Stifel. Citi upgraded Cineworld to ‘buy’ and Peel Hunt bumped Electrocomponents up to ‘add’. SIG was raised to ‘equalweight’ at Barclays.

However, Ted Baker was downgraded to ‘hold’ by Jefferies and Provident Financial was hit by a downgrade to ‘sell’ at Berenberg.

InterContinental Hotels, 888 Holdings, Bovis Homes, British Land, CLS Holdings, Prudential, Sanne, Ferrexpo and Softcat were among the companies whose stock went ex-dividend on Thursday.


Market Status
 
 
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cur price
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cur price
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Morrison+2.21%+4.60213.10
2Anglo American+2.16%+35.001,651.80
3Marks & Spencer+2.10%+5.60272.80
4International Consolidated Airlines Group +1.78%+10.60607.60
5Easyjet Plc+1.72%+27.001,593.00
6BHP Billiton+1.64%+22.601,399.60
7Imperial Brands+1.58%+38.002,445.00
8Rio Tinto+1.56%+55.003,578.00
9Sainsbury+1.45%+3.40237.90
10Legal & General Group+1.44%+3.70261.10

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Compass Group-2.32%-34.501,450.50
2Paddy Power Betfair-1.58%-115.007,170.00
3Shire Plc-1.51%-53.003,447.00
4Prudential-1.36%-25.001,814.00
5WPP Plc-1.32%-15.001,123.50
6Intercontinental Hotels Group-1.06%-46.004,298.00
7AstraZeneca -0.83%-41.004,903.00
8Smith & Nephew-0.80%-10.751,338.75
9Merlin Entertainments Plc-0.77%-2.70347.90
10Johnson Matthey-0.68%-21.003,071.00

Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 27.3.18: Bitcoin dips below $8,000

The bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market continued over the past 24 hours, as 47 of the top 50 cryptos registered losses. Of the top 10 cryptos, NEO suffered the heaviest losses, declining more than 14%. Other cryptos, such as Ethereum, Litecoin and Stellar also registered double-digit losses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was seen more than 6.5% lower, trading below the $8,000 mark.

Read More...


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US close: Tech plays lead Wall Street lower once again

US stocks finished in the red again on Wednesday, although losses outside of the technology arena were less stark than those seen on Tuesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 0.04% lower at 23,848.42, the S&P 500 was down 0.29% at 2,605.00, and the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.06% to 6,460.81.

Weighing on the tech-heavy Nasdaq were shares in Amazon.com, following a report from Axios stating that US president Donald Trump is "obsessed" about Amazon, whose chief Jeff Bezos is also the owner of The Washington Post.

Yet analysts at Stifel reportedly stuck by their previous recommendation to 'buy' Amazon, telling clients "we already know president Trump doesn't like Amazon."

Amazon shares finished the day down 4.38%.

Earlier, analysts at UniCredit had pointed to the recent stream of negative news as the trigger for the sell-off in the US tech sector, but said that in reality the underlying cause was "extremely stretched valuation metrics that have generated a sizeable misalignment with fundamentals, mostly for the big technology stocks.

“With sector price to earnings and price to book ratios trading significantly above their long-term averages, it should not come as a surprise that some negative news would precipitate a sell-off,” the analysts said.

“We see this continuing, either with US tech stocks underperforming a rising equity market or weakening materially if risk aversion remains high.”

Economic data released on Wednesday generally came in on the strong side of things, with the Commerce Department revising its previous estimate for fourth quarter gross domestic product higher by four tenths of a percentage point to 2.9%.

Commerce also announced that America's trade shortfall in goods with the rest of the world undershot forecasts in February, printing at $75.4bn, compared to consensus forecasts for $78.3bn.

Pending home sales also surprised positively, with NAR reporting that its index tracking activity in the sector jumped by 3.1% month-on-month in February, well above the consensus estimate for 2.0%.

Back on the corporate patch, Tesla was under selling pressure, falling 7.67% after some market commentary pointed out question marks in the market around a recent fatal car crash involving one of its Model X vehicles.

Walgreens Boots Alliance shares on the other hand were up 2.47% after posting a 12% jump in quarterly sales and lifting its guidance, while Blackberry reversed earlier gains to fall 1.61% even after the company's fourth-quarter profit and sales beat analysts' expectations.

In deal news, Plantronics said it will buy video conferencing gear maker Polycom for $2bn, while US-listed shares of Shire rallied after Japanese rival Takeda Pharmaceutical said it was considering a buyout of the company.

Plantronics stock was ahead 4.63%, while Shire’s American depositary receipts surged 12.15%.


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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
-5.17%
mktcap
128.04B
volume
72446.87T
price
7,533.00
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
-6.78%
mktcap
40.8B
volume
16832.69T
price
414.81
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
-5.32%
mktcap
21.36B
volume
13893.19T
price
0.54
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
-9.43%
mktcap
13.24B
volume
5533.94T
price
778.00
#5 Litecoin (LTC)
change
-7.43%
mktcap
6.73B
volume
8411.52T
price
121.75

Thursday newspaper round-up: Brexit workforce crisis, Nex, Shell, City passport

British businesses have been warned to brace for a severe workforce crisis triggered by Brexit, with the number of workers entering employment expected to fall behind the rate of population growth for the first time in half a century. According to employment consultant Mercer, the size of the British workforce is expected to rise by just 820,000 by 2025, marking a dramatic slowdown from the previous decade, when almost 2 million people entered employment. – Guardian

The number of cars built in the UK has fallen again following the seventh consecutive month of decline in the domestic market, new figures show. Just under 145,500 cars rolled off production lines last month, 4.4% fewer than in February last year, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) reported. There was another double-digit decline in production of cars for the UK, down by 17%, following falls of 24% in December, 28% in November and 14% in September. – Guardian

Michael Spencer's Nex Group has agreed to a £3.9bn takeover by the CME, in a deal that will cement London's position as the leading hub for exchanges in Europe. CME, the world's largest futures exchange and owner of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, will pay the equivalent of £10 a share for Nex under the terms of the deal, at the top of analyst expectations and well above Nex's share price prior to CME's initial approach. The offer consists of 500p in cash and 0.0444 CME shares. – Telegraph

City firms have launched a review into dispute resolution for companies wronged by banks, in the wake of the scandal over RBS’s mistreatment of small businesses. UK Finance, the lobby group for 300 British finance companies, has commissioned an independent study to analyse how complaints and disputes can be resolved in a more time and cost effective manner. – Telegraph

Royal Dutch Shell has filed a criminal complaint against a former senior executive over suspicions he may have received bribes in Nigeria. Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, told staff he was “stunned and outraged” after the Anglo-Dutch energy group discovered evidence suggesting that Peter Robinson had received “kickbacks” from the $585 million sale of an oil licence in the Niger Delta. – The Times

Britain’s financial regulators have extended the City passport for European banks until the Brexit transition period ends in 2021, challenging European supervisors to follow suit and let the sector put contingency plans on hold. The Bank of England and the Financial Conduct Authority said EU institutions will have access to UK markets on the same terms as now once the two-year Article 50 process ends in exactly a year’s time. Access will continue for the whole “implementation period”. – The Times

 

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