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Mar 26, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 26 March 2018 11:29:39
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London open: Deals and precious metals lift FTSE
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London stocks opened slightly higher on Monday morning as dealmaking again dominated the corporate headlines and investors attempted to erase last week's losses.

The FTSE 100 was up 17.55 points or 0.25% at 6,939.49, having fallen 3.3% the previous week. Blue chips were higher in spite of stronger sterling, which weighs against the index's predominance of overseas earnings, up 0.3% on the dollar to 1.4179 and 0.12% versus the euro to 1.1452.

Aside from central bank speakers, there is not much major macroeconomic data to move markets and a sparse corporate diary this week, meaning volumes are likely to be thin ahead of the Easter break. On Monday, UK property investors may be watching out for mortgage approvals data at 0930 BST, while markets are also likely to be watching to see how the nascent 'trade war' unfolds.

Market analyst Rebecca O'Keeffe at Interactive Investor said: "A turnaround in Asian markets has seen US futures rise and eased the pressure on European equity markets.

"The last two months have seen global sentiment become more fragile, but the one thing that has kept markets going is the reliance on investors to buy on the dips. The last week had undermined that position in what was a worrying sign for the wider markets, but investors appear to be feeling slightly more resilient this morning."

On the trade tensions, O'Keefe noted that White House Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin had taken on the task of attempting to resolve the trade dispute between the US and China via negotiation.

"The idea that, as one of the largest holders of US treasuries, China will be expected to help finance the growing US fiscal deficit but is also expected to reduce its trade surplus with the US by as much as $100bn to satisfy Trump's demands appears to be a major contradiction. The question for investors is whether this adds up," she said.

Michael Hewson at CMC Markets said China's initially measured response to the President Donald Trump's announcement of tariffs appeared to offer "some hope" in terms of a possible stabilisation this week, but sentiment is likely to remain volatile, particularly if Chinese authorities follow up with further large scale measures which target, larger US corporations like Boeing or Apple.

"The speed of the declines seen in the past two weeks are certainly a far cry from all the recent optimism about global growth that we saw from bodies like the OECD and the IMF at the beginning of the year, and it appears to be a change in sentiment which is likely to be very difficult to turn around, particularity where equity investors are concerned," Hewson said.

In company news, Smurfit Kappa's shares were down after the Irish packaging group rejected an increased offer from US-based International Paper Company (IPC) that valued it at €37.54, saying it "fundamentally undervalues the group".

IPC offered €25.25 in cash and 0.3028 new shares of IPC common stock for each Smurfit Kappa ordinary share. Smurfit said the revised offer did not offer Smurfit Kappa shareholders "much more than compensation for the fall in International Paper's share price since since IPC's first offer".

GKN was slightly higher as the Thursday's deadline loomed for shareholders' decision over its potential hostile takeover by Melrose. Monday morning was mixed, with GKN receiving an increased cash offer for its Driveline business from US-based Dana, while also being forced to retract directors' statements on shareholder support, which had been quoted in Sunday newspapers. Melrose shares were down slightly.

JD Sports Fashion was higher as it agreed a "transformational" $558m acquisition of Nasdaq-listed retailer The Finish Line in a deal that would add a 556-store estate across 44 US states.

Precious metals miners Fresnillo and Randgold Resources were near the top of the leaderboard as gold prices remained elevated.

"Geopolitical uncertainty is gathering further momentum as president Trump is preparing a meaningful number of Russian diplomats from the US," said Naeem Aslam at Think Markets.

"Gold traders are watching the developments around this carefully and despite a massive move in the gold price last week, the odds are still skewed in favour of another similar move this week. Having said that, the gold price is taking some rest before it firmly breaks the resistance of $1350."

Shire climbed on the announcement that it and biotechnology company NanoMedSyn have entered into a preclinical research collaboration to evaluate a potential enzyme replacement therapy using NanoMedSyn's proprietary synthetic derivatives named AMFA.

Car seller Inchcape was revving on news it had bought Suzuki-focused Central American dealer Grupo Rudelman for $284m (£201m), on a cash-free and debt-free basis.

In small cap news, publication of a 95% success rate for a blood test for ovarian cancer made by UK medical technology company Angle sent its shares up 17%.


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Market Status
 
 
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cur price
6,940.26
 
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+18.32
 
 
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cur price
19,304.87
 
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cur price
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Fresnillo plc (LSE:FRES) +4.80% +58.00 1,266.00
2 Royal Bank Of Scotland (LSE:RBS) +1.96% +5.00 259.60
3 Randgold Resources (LSE:RRS) +1.96% +116.00 6,048.00
4 British Petroleum (LSE:BP.) +1.62% +7.50 469.95
5 3i Group (LSE:III) +1.44% +12.40 873.80
6 Sage Group (LSE:SGE) +1.24% +8.00 654.00
7 TUI AG (LSE:TUI) +1.22% +18.50 1,530.00
8 Babcock International Group (LSE:BAB) +1.17% +7.60 657.00
9 Berkeley Group Holdings (LSE:BKG) +1.15% +43.00 3,798.00
10 Whitbread Plc (LSE:WTB) +1.04% +38.00 3,701.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Smurfit Kappa Group (LSE:SKG) -3.73% -114.00 2,944.00
2 Paddy Power Betfair (LSE:PPB) -1.97% -145.00 7,230.00
3 Kingfisher Plc (LSE:KGF) -1.52% -4.50 292.20
4 Land Securities Group (LSE:LAND) -1.19% -11.00 913.70
5 Carnival (LSE:CCL) -1.03% -47.00 4,537.00
6 Std Life Aber (LSE:SLA) -0.98% -3.60 363.60
7 Sainsbury (LSE:SBRY) -0.84% -1.90 225.60
8 Segro Plc (LSE:SGRO) -0.78% -4.60 584.80
9 United Utilities (LSE:UU.) -0.78% -5.20 659.60
10 Merlin Entertainments Plc (LSE:MERL) -0.77% -2.70 346.80

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US close: Stocks cap worst week in over two years with further selling

Wall Street capped a bruising five-day stretch on Friday that saw it retreat almost 6%, its worst weekly performance in over two years, with further losses, despite better-than-expected readings on business investment and new home sales in the US.

Position-squaring going into the Easter-shortened week may have added to the selling pressure, even as traders mulled the potential implications and risks sparked by the latest round of global trade tensions and the outlook for central bank policy.

By the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrials Average was down by 1.77% or 424.69 points to 23,533.20, alongside a drop of 2.10% or 55.43 points for the S&P 500 to 2,588.26 while the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.43% or 174.01 points to 6,992.67.

Selling pressure only built-up in the final two hours of trading, after the president signed a $1.3bn spending bill into law.

For the week, the Dow Industrials erased 5.7%, the S&P 500 lost 5.9% and the Nasdaq Composite just over 6.5%.

From a sector standpoint, and figuring prominently at the bottom of the leaderboard on Friday were Life Insurance (3.43%) and Banks (-3.39%).

Going the other way, a weaker dollar boosted Gold Mining (2.65%) and Mining (2.41%), with a solid read on durable goods orders in February lifting Defence (1.77%) and Aerospace&Defence (0.69%).

The US dollar spot index lost 0.47% to 89.44 - to trade just above its 52-week lows - alongside a one basis point dip in the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note.

Meanwhile, the KBW index of lenders' shares was down by 3.36% to close at 103.94, amid negative comments out of strategists at BoA-Merrill Lynch who in a research note sent to clients cautioned that "[the] pain trade still lower stocks, higher CNY, lower bond yields on peaking PMI/EPS […] financials, tech, EAFE most vulnerable."

On a related note perhaps, on Thursday Janus Henderson Group's Bill Gross said that the American and world economies were too leveraged to be able to withstand a Fed funds target rate of more than 2% in a world where inflation was running at 2%.

Trade tariffs, Geopolitics, and Technicals all in the spotlight

A day earlier, the Dow Jones index closed 2.9% lower, the S&P 500 dropped 2.5% and the Nasdaq 2.4% as equities experienced their biggest sell off since 8 February.

On Thursday, President Donald Trump signed off on 25% tariffs on $50bn-worth of Chinese imports in a bid to punish the People's Republic for intellectual property infringements, among other measures. It was met by a promise of retaliatory tariffs from Beijing.

Adding to the downbeat tone was the White House's latest personnel change, with national security adviser HR McMaster substituted by a controversial former US ambassador to the UN, well-known foreign policy hawk John Bolton.

To take note off in the background, the S&P 500's 200-day moving average stood at 2,597.8 as of Friday's close, although some market watchers were more interested in the 10,136.61 point level on the Dow Jones Transport index, the loss of which some technical analysts said would trigger a 'sell' signal.

Investors look past upbeat economic data

Unable to offset all of the above concerns, the Commerce Department reported that US durable goods orders jumped by 3.1% month-on-month in February (consensus: 1.6%), driven by demand for civilian and military aircraft and cars.

In other news, US new home sales dipped by 0.6% last month to reach an annualised pace of 618,000 (consensus: 620,000), albeit alongside upwards revisions to the data for January.

Speaking just after the market open in New York, Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic said he would likely support more interest rate hikes in 2018.

On the corporate side of things, Pfizer was significantly weaker after GlaxoSmithKline said it's no longer interested in the company's consumer healthcare business. This came a day after Reckitt Benckiser said the same.

Elsewhere, Nike rallied after better-than-expected third-quarter numbers, managing to swim against the current to eke out a small gain.

Shares of grocery chain Kroger finished lower, following an early spike on the back of a report that it had entered into merger talks with Target.

Facebook shares failed to gain traction.


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