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Mar 23, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 23 March 2018 17:37:36
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London close: Stocks end down amid trade war woes; Smiths slumps but Next rallies
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London stocks ended down but off lows on Friday amid trade war fears, with engineer Smiths slumping on the back of disappointing results but retailer Next in the black.

The FTSE 100 closed down 0.4% at 6,921.94 , having tumbled to its lowest finish in over 15 months the day before at 6,952.59. Meanwhile, the pound was down 0.1% against the euro at 1.1448 and up 0.4% versus the greenback at 1.4151.

On Thursday night, Trump signed off on 25% tariffs on $50bn worth of Chinese imports in a bid to punish the People's Republic for intellectual property infringements.

China was quick to retaliate, saying it was planning to impose tariffs on $3bn worth of US products. The list included pork, wine, fruit, nuts and stainless steel pipes, among other things. In a statement earlier on Friday, the Chinese commerce ministry said: "China doesn't hope to be in a trade war, but is not afraid of engaging in one."

Beijing was also said to have intervened in stock markets in response to the massive sell-off. According to Bloomberg, state-backed funds bought large-cap stocks including China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. and China Life Insurance Co. with its purchases intensifying in the afternoon.

Adding to the downbeat tone were worries about Trump's decision, also overnight, to replace national security adviser HR McMaster with war-hungry former UN ambassador John Bolton, despite repeated denials earlier in the week from the White House that such a move was in the offing.

While stocks sold off heavily in the US and Asia, losses in the UK were much less pronounced, with some analysts suggesting that US tariffs were much smaller than initially thought.

UBS said the wording of the presidential order suggests a total of $12.5bn, which is about 20% of what was implied in earlier reports. "The same back-of-the-envelope calculations we used before suggest the effect on inflation and output would be just a few basis points," it said.

"The US actions provoked a Chinese response, but that response is small," UBS said, adding that its base-case of no full-scale trade war appears to hold.

Although trade war concerns were clearly the main theme of the day, there was also some Brexit-related news for investors to mull over as EU leaders approved guidelines for the negotiation of future relations with the UK after it leaves. The text on trade, security and other issues was adopted in Brussels, paving the way for the next phase of Brexit talks.

In UK corporate news, Next bucked the trend as it kept the dividend flat despite reporting a 5.6% fall in earnings per share after store sales fell in the year to 31 January. Analysts said the fact it has maintained its full-year guidance will be taken well following recent weakness and negative news flow from the UK retail sector.

"Next's 54-page-long results release is a whopper but it is what is missing from the statement that matters more than what is in it - there is no profit warning, there is no dividend cut and there is no sense of panic," said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

GlaxoSmithKline was in the black after saying it's no longer interested in Pfizer and announcing European and Japanese approval for its Shingrix shingles vaccine.

Micro Focus also rose, clawing back some of the losses it suffered earlier in the week after a profit warning on Monday.

Engineer Smiths Group slumped after it posted a 12% drop in interim profit as revenue fell, although it did reiterate its guidance for the year.

Shares in Indivior took a beating after the company said it was likely to appeal a ruling from the US District Court of Delaware, which found that Alvogen does not infringe the asserted claims of three of its US patents protecting its key Suboxone Film treatment for opioid addiction. If Alvogen is successfully launched in the US, Indivior said it believes "it could potentially result in a rapid and material loss of market share for Suboxone Film in the US" within months.

There wasn't much going on on the broker note front, although Mitie did get a big boost from an upgrade to 'overweight' from 'underweight' at Barclays.


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Market Status
 
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Next Plc (LSE:NXT) +4.67% +216.00 4,845.00
2 Micro Focus International (LSE:MCRO) +3.01% +27.40 939.20
3 GlaxoSmithKline (LSE:GSK) +3.00% +38.20 1,312.00
4 Fresnillo plc (LSE:FRES) +1.72% +20.00 1,179.50
5 Centrica (LSE:CNA) +1.40% +1.85 133.75
6 Randgold Resources (LSE:RRS) +0.90% +52.00 5,814.00
7 British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS) +0.73% +28.50 3,913.50
8 Shire Plc (LSE:SHP) +0.62% +18.50 3,014.50
9 Imperial Brands (LSE:IMB) +0.25% +6.00 2,366.00
10 BT Group (LSE:BT.A) +0.18% +0.40 219.25

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Smiths Group (LSE:SMIN) -11.10% -170.50 1,365.50
2 Intertek Group (LSE:ITRK) -3.98% -192.00 4,633.00
3 Rentokil Initial (LSE:RTO) -3.45% -9.40 263.30
4 Anglo American (LSE:AAL) -2.97% -50.40 1,645.80
5 Babcock International Group (LSE:BAB) -2.68% -17.80 647.40
6 International Consolidated Airlines Group (LSE:IAG) -2.65% -16.20 594.40
7 Glencore (LSE:GLEN) -2.58% -9.25 349.95
8 Burberry Group (LSE:BRBY) -2.45% -40.50 1,615.50
9 Old Mutual (LSE:OML) -2.27% -5.60 241.30
10 Johnson Matthey (LSE:JMAT) -2.26% -70.00 3,031.00

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US open: Stocks little changed despite upbeat economic reports

Wall Street was trading on a mixed note roughly two hours on from the open, despite two better-than-expected readings on the economy, with traders heading into the weekend mulling the implications of the latest round of global trade tensions.

At 1536 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrials Average was up by 0.16% or 40.17 points to 23,996.92, alongside a dip of 0.01% or 0.19 points for the S&P 500 to 2,643.78, while the Nasdaq Composite was to be seen drifting lower by 0.28% or 20.05 points to 7,142.95.

From a sector stand-point, the strongest areas of the market were: Defence (2.96%), Gold Mining (2.85%) and Mining (2.65%).

Going the other way, the main laggards were: Non-ferrous metals (-5.89%), Basic Resources (-5.37%) and Biotechnology (-4.54%).

Meanwhile, the KBW index of lenders' shares was down by 1.67% at 105.75, amid negative comments out of strategists at BoA-Merrill who in a research note sent to clients cautioned that "[the] pain trade still lower stocks, higher CNY, lower bond yields on peaking PMI/EPS… financials, tech, EAFE most vulnerable."

A day earlier, the Dow Jones index closed 2.9% lower, the S&P 500 dropped 2.5% and the Nasdaq 2.4% as equities experienced their biggest sell off since 8 February.

On Thursday, President Donald Trump signed off on 25% tariffs on $50bn worth of Chinese imports in a bid to punish the People's Republic for intellectual property infringements, among other measures.

China, meanwhile, said it was planning to impose tariffs on $3bn worth of US products in retaliation. The list included pork, wine, fruit, nuts and stainless steel pipes. In a statement earlier on Friday the Chinese commerce ministry said: "China doesn't hope to be in a trade war, but is not afraid of engaging in one."

Nonetheless, and commenting on the running trade tiff between the two countries, analysts at Nomura said: "Taken altogether, trade risks remain a point of concern for our economic outlook.

"However, the weakening steel and aluminium tariffs, softer-than-expected Section 301 announcement against China, and a slightly brighter outlook for NAFTA indicate that perhaps trade tensions are not quite as high as previously assumed."

Adding to the downbeat tone were worries about Trump's decision to replace national security adviser HR McMaster with war-hungry former UN ambassador John Bolton.

Helping to offset those concerns, the Commerce Department reported that US durable goods orders jumped by 3.1% month-on-month in February (consensus: 1.6%), driven by demand for civilian and military aircraft and cars.

In other news, US new home sales dipped by 0.6% last month to reach an annualised pace of 618,000 (consensus: 620,000), albeit alongside upwards revisions to the data for January.

Still ahead for later in the session was a speech from Boston Federal Reserve chief Eric Rosengren at midnight.

Speaking just after the market open in New York, his peer at the Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic said he would likely support more interest rate hikes in 2018.

On the corporate side of things, Pfizer was weaker after GlaxoSmithKline said it's no longer interested in the company's consumer healthcare business. This came a day after Reckitt Benckiser said the same.

Elsewhere, Nike rallied after better-than-expected third-quarter numbers.

Shares of grocery chain Kroger were also on the up, following an early spike on the back of a report that it had entered into merger talks with Target.


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Friday broker round-up

Mitie Group: Barclays upgrades to overweight with a target price of 180p.

NMC Health plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 4,600p.

Accesso technology group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 3,000p.

Glaxosmithkline: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Kingfisher: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold with a target price of 315p.

Prudential: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy with a target price of 2,250p.

IQE plc: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 195p.

Ferguson plc: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 6,300p.

Allied Minds plc: Credit Suisse reiterates neutral with a target price of 110p.

Centrica plc: Credit Suisse reiterates outperform with a target price of 175p.

Travis Perkins: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 1,525p.

Real Estate Investors: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 75p.

Sanne Group: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 745p.

ITV: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 265p.

Immupharma: Northland Capital Markets reiterates buy with a target price of 181p.

Just Eat: Canaccord downgrades to hold with a target price of 700p.

Lamprell. Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 115p.

Wood plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 800p.

IGas Energy plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 200p.

Indivior: RBC Capital Markets reiterate outperform with a target price of 540p.

Interserve: Berenberg reiterates hold with a target price of 95p.

 

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