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Mar 19, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 19 March 2018 20:19:06
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London close: Shares hammered by rising pound, trade and political frinctions
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London stocks fell sharply at the start of the week as the pound rallied on the back of a draft Brexit deal, with traders also looking ahead to a week ahead that includes monetary policy meetings for the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.

Adding to the negative sentiment was heavy selling pressure in iron ore futures against a backdrop of simmering tensions on the international trade and US political fronts.

Against that backdrop, the top tier index finished down 1.69% to 7,042.93, as pound climbed 0.71% versus the dollar to 1.4045 and 0.28% against the euro to 1.1379 after Britain and the European Union agreed a 21-month Brexit transition deal, though the Irish border was among several issues not yet resolved.

The two sides have agreed a draft legal text for a transition deal once Britain splits from the bloc in March 2019, with Britain continuing to operate under all single market rules and judgments from the European Court of Justice until the end of 2020, while having no further say in future EU decisions. Brexit Secretary David Davis and chief EU negotiator Michel Barnier announced the agreement in Brussels on Monday morning.

Significantly, the UK would be able to ink trade deals during that time and EU nationals arriving in Britain during the transition will get same rights as before.

As the pound rallied, the top-flight index extended losses as around 70% of its constituents are highly sensitive to currency swings because they deriving most of their earnings from overseas.

The FTSE 250 on the other hand only gave back 0.56% to close at 19,694.77.

In the background, a meeting of G-20 finance ministers was kicking off down in Argentina, with trade tariffs expected to be the main topic of conversation after the European Union released details of counter-measures to US President Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs.

Meanwhile the Fed rate announcement is due on Wednesday. A rate announcement is also due from the Bank of England on Thursday, along with retail sales data and the latest BoE minutes.

Adding to the negative tone in markets, Chinese iron ore futures retreated after official figures revealed that new home prices in the Asian giant rose in only 44 cities during the month of February, down from 52 in January.

Investors were also digesting house price data back home, with the latest figures from Rightmove showing that average asking prices paid by first- and second-time buyers in Britain hit records levels this month, although prices in the capital fell.

Prices paid by first- and second-time buyers rose to £189,840 and £272,031, respectively, while overall, house prices were up 1.5% on the month in March and 2.1% on the year.

It was a different picture in London, however, where prices were up 0.6% on the month but down 0.6% on the year, with the annual rate in negative territory for the seventh consecutive month.

On the corporate front, bookmakers were in focus as the Gambling Commission recommended that the maximum stake for fixed odds betting terminals be cut to £30 or less. It said the maximum stake on slot games such a fruit machines should be £2. As it stands, people can bet up to £100 every 20 seconds on electronic casino games.

William Hill, Ladbrokes Coral and Paddy Power Betfair all rallied on the news, as many had feared a bigger cut to as little as £2.

Neil Wilson, senior market analyst at ETX Capital, said: "This should be a relief for the sector as the worst-case scenario looks to have been avoided. Ministers will now have to justify a cut below £30 on grounds of significant risk of harm.

"With the non-slots versions of the B2 machines (roulette etc) far more popular and producing the bulk of revenues for bookies from these machines, this is undoubtedly a positive outcome for bookmakers overall. Although the market had decided a £2 flat cap was looking less likely, the fact the Gambling Commission has left ministers with an easy out for a £30 is perhaps even better than hoped for."

Shares in Micro Focus erased nearly half their value as the company cut its guidance for profits less than six months after completing the huge acquisition of HP's software arm. Chief executive Chris Hsu also resigned "to spend more time with his family".

On the upside, Hammerson surged as it confirmed that it had recently rejected a £5bn bid from French shopping centre operator Klepierre. British Land and Land Securities also gained ground on the news.

Barclays was on the front foot as it emerged that activist investor Sherborne Investors has acquired 5.2% of the voting rights in the bank.

Elsewhere, the GKN/Melrose saga continued as Dana Inc, which has agreed to merge with GKN's Driveline business, said the new combined business will hold a standard listing on the London Stock Exchange, in addition to being listed on the New York Stock Exchange. It also said the combined group would create a US and UK-led global leader in vehicle drive systems and electric propulsion, that was well-suited to address the long-term demands of global customers, expecting to deliver $235m (£170m) in synergies.

Meanwhile, Melrose said that its final offer of 466p in value today and 60% of future value creation, was "clearly superior" to the "hasty break-up" being pursued by the GKN board. GKN was in the black while Melrose retreated.

In broker note action, AstraZeneca was upgraded to 'buy' at Jefferies, while Rotork was lifted to 'buy' at Peel Hunt. Greene King was upgraded by Morgan Stanley but Close Brothers was cut to 'hold' by Berenberg.


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Market Status
 
 
change pct
-1.69%
 
cur price
7,042.93
 
change
-121.21
 
 
change pct
-0.56%
 
cur price
19,694.77
 
change
-110.13
 
 
change pct
-2.81%
 
cur price
3,242.42
 
change
-93.88

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Hammerson Plc (LSE:HMSO) +24.09% +105.30 542.40
2 Barclays (LSE:BARC) +3.58% +7.50 217.00
3 Land Securities Group (LSE:LAND) +3.31% +30.00 936.80
4 British Land Company (LSE:BLND) +2.53% +16.00 648.00
5 Segro Plc (LSE:SGRO) +1.71% +10.40 618.80
6 Berkeley Group Holdings (LSE:BKG) +1.56% +58.00 3,771.00
7 Carnival (LSE:CCL) +0.79% +37.00 4,735.00
8 Easyjet Plc (LSE:EZJ) +0.69% +11.50 1,670.00
9 Croda International (LSE:CRDA) +0.62% +28.00 4,576.00
10 Taylor Wimpey (LSE:TW.) +0.49% +0.90 185.05

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Micro Focus International (LSE:MCRO) -46.35% -873.50 1,011.00
2 Glencore (LSE:GLEN) -4.22% -16.25 369.25
3 Anglo American (LSE:AAL) -4.20% -74.40 1,695.00
4 Rentokil Initial (LSE:RTO) -4.20% -11.60 264.90
5 Shire Plc (LSE:SHP) -3.87% -124.00 3,081.50
6 Mediclinic International plc (LSE:MDC) -3.79% -22.80 579.00
7 BHP Billiton (LSE:BLT) -3.78% -54.60 1,388.60
8 British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS) -3.67% -153.50 4,030.00
9 Rio Tinto (LSE:RIO) -3.31% -123.50 3,611.50
10 British Petroleum (LSE:BP.) -2.96% -14.00 459.75

US open: Tech stocks falter as investors 'unfriend' Facebook on data worries

Trading opened weaker on Wall Street on Monday as investors look ahead to the latest policy announcement and expected rate hike from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday with technology shares facing steep selling pressure amid fresh worries tied to Facebook's policies over user data management emerged.

Facebook shares dropped 6.75%, its worst daily decline in almost two years, cutting its market capitalisation to $537.67bn following news that Cambridge Analytica managed to acquire data on more than 50m users of the social media platform and used it to conduct micro-targeted political campaigns thought to have contributed to the election of Donald Trump and the UK's Brexit vote.

On top of that, on Monday morning news broker that Senators Amy Klobuchar and John Kennedy had issued a joint call to Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Chuck Grassley asking for a hearing with the chief executives of Facebook, Google and Twitter on their use of client data.

Against that backdrop, as at 1500 GMT the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 were both down 0.92% - with the drop in Facebook accounting for half the fall on the latter - while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped a full 1.41%.

From a sector standpoint, the worst performing sectors were: Internet (-4.65%), Durable Household Products (-2.78%), Semiconductors (-2.78%), Software& Computers (-2.52%) and Technology (-2.46%).

Commenting on the pressure that was bearing down on tech stocks at the start of the week, Jasper Lawler at LCG said: "The latest data scandal might well be the straw that breaks the camel's back for tighter industry regulation. Tighter regulation of how data is collected and used will inevitably curb growth for tech and social media companies that use the data to attract advertisers. Reports that Apple is secretly developing its own micro LED screens for the iPhone has hurt the share prices of existing parts suppliers, notably in Asia."

Traders were also keeping a close eye on the two-day G-20 finance ministers meeting that kicked-off on Monday.

On that note, Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, pitched-in: "Tariffs are likely to be the main topic of conversation at the G20 meeting at the start of the week after the European Union released details of counter-measures against Donald Trump's steel and aluminium tariffs. The list totalled around €6.4bn and will be intended to dissuade Trump from implementing tariffs on the EU, although given what's been said previously by the US President, further counter-tariffs could be more likely. The question is whether the measures announced by the EU are sufficiently targeted so as to hurt the Republicans in the mid-term elections later this year.

"Despite what he says, I'm not sure that a trade war is what Trump actually wants from these tariffs or that he'll find much support for one within his party."

As far as the Fed's latest interest rate decision due on Wednesday, Fed funds futures were implying an 80% chance of a 25 basis points increase. With a rate hike expected, the main focus was likely to be on what the dot plot suggests the Fed might do going forward, according to analysts.

Rabobank said much will be read into Fed chair Jerome Powell's interpretation of the economic outlook and how he chooses to address the fact that the Fed still remains some way from reaching its inflation goals.

"The fact that the Fed has already admitted it remains somewhat bewildered as regards the slow development of wage pressures in spite of a low headline unemployment may temper a more hawkish tone from the new Fed Chair. That said, the minutes for the January meeting showed increased confidence in the economy while Powell's testimony confirmed this optimism."

In other corporate news, Bloomberg reported that Apple was secretly developing its own micro-LED technology to equip displays on its electronic devices.

shares of Newell Brands dropped 5.56% after saying it will appoint four directors to its board picked by billionaire investor Carl Icahn. Icahn revealed on Friday that he had taken a 6.9% stake in the Sharpie pen maker.

Elsewhere, Dana was down 1.06% after upping its 2018 sales outlook to between $7.75bn and $8.05bn and its adjusted earnings per share guidance to between $2.75 and $3.05.

On a more positive note. chip equipment manufacturer KLA Tencor forked out $3.4bn for Israeli outfit Orbotech in a cash and shares deal that implied a 15% premium.

There were no major US economic data releases due.


Market Status
 
 
change pct
-1.61%
 
cur price
24,544.20
 
change
-402.31
 
 
change pct
-1.20%
 
cur price
12,630.78
 
change
-153.61
 
 
change pct
-2.02%
 
cur price
7,330.79
 
change
-151.19

Nasdaq 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Seagate Technology Plc - Ordinary Shares (NASDAQ:STX) +0.38% +0.23 60.32
2 Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) +0.34% +0.26 77.01
3 Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. - Ordinary Shares (NASDAQ:NCLH) +0.00% +0.00 54.98
4 J.B. Hunt Transport Services (NASDAQ:JBHT) -0.12% -0.14 120.16
5 Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. - Ordinary Shares (NASDAQ:CHKP) -0.33% -0.34 103.25
6 Henry Schein (NASDAQ:HSIC) -0.44% -0.30 67.75
7 Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) -0.46% -0.44 94.69
8 Liberty Global plc (NASDAQ:LILAK) -0.47% -0.10 21.15
9 Monster Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ:MNST) -0.48% -0.28 58.36
10 Cintas (NASDAQ:CTAS) -0.50% -0.86 172.42

Nasdaq 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) -6.95% -12.87 172.22
2 Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) -4.47% -0.62 13.24
3 Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) -4.43% -3.99 86.04
4 Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) -4.39% -10.99 239.49
5 Kla-Tencor Corp. (NASDAQ:KLAC) -4.34% -5.23 115.39
6 Liberty Interactive Corp. - Series A Qvc Grp. (MM) (NASDAQ:QRTEA) -4.25% -1.17 26.35
7 Broadcom Limited (NASDAQ:AVGO) -4.06% -10.35 244.52
8 Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN) -3.98% -5.05 121.70
9 Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) -3.89% -2.36 58.26
10 Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) -3.81% -9.99 252.40

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Monday broker round-up

Close Brothers Group plc: Berenberg downgrades to hold with a target price of 1,530p.

Fevertree Drinks plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 3,350p.

Burford Capital ltd: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 1,690p.

Imperial Brands: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

TalkTalk: JPMorgan reiterates underweight with a target price of 100p.

Cineworld: JPMorgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 310p.

Spirax-Sarco: JPMorgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 5,700p.

PZ Cussons: JPMorgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 260p.

Shire plc: Morgan Stanley reiterates overweight with a target price of 4,700p.

Forterra: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 342p.

Astrazeneca plc: Jefferies upgrades to buy with a target price of 5,600p.

AA plc: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 130p.

Wetherspoon: Canaccord reiterates hold with a target price of 1,300p.

Learning Technologies Group: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 100p.

SafeCharge International Group Ltd: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 350p.

 

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