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Mar 22, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 22 March 2018 11:16:12
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London open: Stocks edge lower ahead of BoE as deals fall by the wayside
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London stocks edged lower in early trade on Thursday as investors shifted their attention to the Bank of England, after the US Federal Reserve hiked rates as expected a day earlier.

At 0830 GMT, the FTSE 100 was down 0.3% to 7,019.28, while the pound was flat against the euro at 1.1459 and 0.2% firmer versus the dollar at 1.4168.

The Fed lifted rates by 25 basis points overnight, as widely expected, to a target range of 1.5% to 1.75% and signalled that rates would rise twice more this year and three times in 2019.

Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell said: "The fact that the central bank raised rates was arguably the least interesting thing to happen. No, focus instead lay both on the fact the Fed signalled two, not three, more hikes in 2018, and that Powell suggested American business chiefs were concerned about the current trade tensions."

With the Fed announcement out of the way, market participants were focused on the policy decision from the Bank of England due at midday, along with the latest BoE minutes. Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, said that while no change is expected, Wednesday's wages and unemployment data have shifted the calculus on a possible move on UK rates to the May meeting, when we get the next inflation report.

"By then the gap between wages and headline inflation could well have narrowed further and would be an ideal window for the central bank to edge rates up by another 25 basis points," Hewson said.

Also in focus will be UK retail sales figures at 0930 GMT.

On the corporate front, it was 'no deal' Thursday, as consumer goods giant Reckitt Benckiser said it had ended discussions with Pfizer about buying part of the US company's consumer healthcare business. The consumer goods company said it did not want to buy the whole business and that it was not possible to buy part of the division. Shares rallied on the decision.

Meanwhile, infrastructure and support services business Stobart said it no longer plans to make a bid for regional airline Flybe after the companies failed to agree on "satisfactory" terms. Shares in Flybe tanked on the news.

No surprises from health and safety technology group Halma, though shares fell as the FTSE 100 newcomer said profits for the year to 31 March would be in line with current market forecasts as growth continued in the second half.

Ted Baker was in the red after it reported a 12% jump in full-year pre-tax profit as revenue grew but the retailer warned that "external" trading conditions will remain challenging. Meanwhile, Sanne retreated despite posting a 49% jump in full-year pre-tax profit.

IG Group rallied as it reported record third-quarter revenue, while Crest Nicholson traded higher as the housebuilder said trading conditions continue to be generally robust with good sales across its areas of operation and strong demand for homes.

The GKN/Melrose drama rumbled on as the engineer told its shareholders in a letter that it continues to view the turnaround specialist's offer as "entirely opportunistic". Chairman Mike Turner said in the letter that Melrose's offer is "wholly inadequate in comparison to the value creation potential inherent" in the group's planned strategy.

Ultra Electronics gained ground as the defence technology company appointed Simon Pryce, formerly group CEO at BBA Aviation, as its new chief executive.

Interserve shares were surging higher after announcing late the previous day that it had agreed almost £300m of further financing from its lenders.

Elsewhere, Workspace Group edged up after it was granted planning permission for a significant mixed-use redevelopment at its Chocolate Factory and Parma House properties in Wood Green, north London.

In broker note action, Esure was lifted to 'neutral' from 'underweight' by JPMorgan, while GlaxoSmithKline was upgraded to 'equalweight' from 'underweight' at Morgan Stanley.

Hastings got a boost to 'overweight' from 'neutral' at JPM, while Reckitt Benckiser was upgraded to 'buy' from 'hold' at SocGen.

Meanwhile, ex-dividend stocks were taking six points off the FTSE 100 and 21.5 points off the 250. Sky, British American Tobacco, Randgold Resources, Segro, Schroders, Meggitt, Centamin, GVC Holdings, Close Bros, Kier Group, OneSavings Bank, Stobart and Dunelm went ex-dividend.


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Market Status
 
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Reckitt Benckiser (LSE:RB.) +5.49% +309.00 5,935.00
2 Merlin Entertainments Plc (LSE:MERL) +3.17% +11.00 358.50
3 Coca Cola HBC AG (LSE:CCH) +3.02% +74.00 2,523.00
4 Old Mutual (LSE:OML) +1.84% +4.50 249.10
5 Next Plc (LSE:NXT) +0.99% +46.00 4,675.00
6 Associated British Foods (LSE:ABF) +0.87% +21.00 2,438.00
7 London Stock Exchange (LSE:LSE) +0.77% +32.00 4,182.00
8 Rentokil Initial (LSE:RTO) +0.69% +1.90 275.80
9 Smurfit Kappa Group (LSE:SKG) +0.60% +18.00 3,012.00
10 Marks & Spencer (LSE:MKS) +0.52% +1.40 271.30

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Micro Focus International (LSE:MCRO) -6.64% -64.60 908.00
2 Hammerson Plc (LSE:HMSO) -3.89% -22.20 547.80
3 Schroders (LSE:SDR) -2.42% -82.00 3,304.00
4 Randgold Resources (LSE:RRS) -2.34% -138.00 5,766.00
5 Kingfisher Plc (LSE:KGF) -2.32% -7.00 294.60
6 Segro Plc (LSE:SGRO) -2.16% -13.20 596.80
7 Standard Chartered (LSE:STAN) -2.15% -16.10 731.00
8 Vodafone Group (LSE:VOD) -1.95% -3.84 192.98
9 NMC Health (LSE:NMC) -1.80% -62.00 3,374.00
10 CRH Plc (LSE:CRH) -1.77% -43.00 2,381.00

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US close: Markets slip after FOMC decision, Apple weighs on indices

Stocks slipped after the US central bank's decision to raise rates for a seventh time, dragged lower by a drop in Apple shares even as Treasury note yields fell back.

By the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrials Average and S&P 500 were both down 0.18%, trading at 24,682.31 and 2,711.93, respectively, while the Nasdaq Composite had come off by 0.26% to 7,345.29.

In parallel, after an initial run higher, roughly an hour after the end of trading on Wall Street, the yield on the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury note was trading four basis points lower at 2.31% and that on the 10-year note by one point to 2.88%.

From a sector standpoint, Non-ferrous metals (3.73%) and Oil equipment and services (3.72%) topped the leaderboard, with Tobacco (-2.49%) and Airlines (-2.30%) faring worst.

As expected, the US Federal Reserve hiked the target range for the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points to between 1.50% and 1.75%, and guided towards a somewhat steeper path of rate hikes for over the next roughly three years.

Nevertheless, and as the new Fed chair Jerome Powell said in his post-meeting press conference, "[we are] trying to take a middle ground on rates".

Powell also appeared to emphasise that "we're always going to be seeking 2% inflation".

"Our view is that the FOMC wanted to sound hawkish and tried to do so in the least disruptive manner possible. The 2018 dots did not change, although they gave themselves optionality in that it would take only one voter moving from three hikes to four in order to push the median higher," said Marvin Loh at BNY Mellon.

Elsewhere, the US dollar spot index was sharply lower, alongside a 3.04% jump in WTI futures after the Department of Energy reported a surprise 2.6m barrel drop in the US oil inventories for the week ended 16 March.

Also on the economic front, sales of US existing homes rose more than expected in February, according to data from the National Association of Realtors.

Sales were up 3% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.54m from 5.38m in January, rebounding from a 3.2% drop the month before, beating expectations of a 0.5% increase.

To take note of as well, after the close of trading reports surfaced that China was readying retaliatory measures in response to the US administration's stated aim of levying $60bn-worth of tariffs on Chinese goods due to its past failings in respecting intellectual property rights, among other issues.

In the equity space, analysts at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch penned a note to clients pointing out how the S&P 500 was trading on a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 17 times - its lowest since 2016, but was still 11% above its long-term average.

As a group however, technology - the biggest outperformer last year and year-to-date - has seen its multiple increase as price momentum has outpaced earnings revisions, the investment bank says. It was now trading at an 11% premium to the wider market, its loftiest level since 2009, but remains 4% below its historical average (if you strip out the 16% premium reached during the Tech Bubble).

Energy on the other hand no longer looked "very expensive" versus history in terms of its relative forward P/E multiple, BoA-Merrill said.

Against that backdrop, Facebook found a bid following two days of heavy selling, after its founder Mark Zuckerberg issued a public apology relating to recent allegation that the mishandled data on 50m users.

General Mills was down 8.85% after it posted third-quarter earnings per share of $1.62 versus 61 cents a year ago, as the company's chief executive said he was "disappointed" with revenue.

Motorhomes manufacturer Winnebago dropped 5% after releasing its second-quarter numbers, and Salesforce fell 1.93% after confirming the acquisition of San Francisco-based software company Mulesoft in a $6.5bn deal.

Boston Scientific dipped 0.04% after agreeing to buy Minnesota-based NxThera for up to $406m.

Southwest Airlines dropped 4.79% higher after cutting its outlook for first-quarter revenue per available seat mile.

Biotech company Proteostasis Therapeutics gained 6.01% after announcing late on Tuesday that it was cancelling its proposed equity offering due to market conditions.


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Thursday newspaper round-up: Tariffs, Pfizer, Facebook, Cambridge Analytica

America and the European Union have pledged to reach an agreement on President Trump’s steep steel and aluminium tariffs “as rapidly as possible”. Donald Tusk, the European Council president, expressed “cautious optimism” that the EU would persuade the US to offer an exemption from the duties. “Everything will be clear tomorrow,” he said. - The Times

Reckitt Benckiser has ended talks with Pfizer over a multibillion-pound acquisition of its consumer healthcare business leaving the way clear for Glaxosmithkline to complete the deal. In a surprise statement last night, the consumer goods company behind Cillit Bang and Clearasil said its proposal had been for "part of the business only". - The Times

Britain's post-Brexit blue passport is set to be made by a Franco-Dutch firm, according to reports. Changing the colour from the burgundy favoured across the EU is regarded by some Brexiters as a powerful symbol of Britain's restored sovereignty. - Guardian

Interserve late on Wednesday agreed a refinancing deal worth almost £300m with its lenders after tense months struggling to convince investors after the collapse of outsourcing peer Carillion. Management made an agreement in principle with lenders and other financial stakeholders which will give it £196.6m of cash as well as bonding facilities of up to £95m which expire in 2021. Bonding facilities are a type of guarantee for construction projects. - Telegraph

Conservative party donors are among the investors in the company that spawned the election consultancy at the centre of a storm about use of data from Facebook. Filings for SCL Group, which is at the top of a web of companies linked to Cambridge Analytica, show that since its conception in 2005 its shareholders and officers have included a wine millionaire who has given more than £700,000 to the party, a former Conservative MP, and a peer who was a business minister under David Cameron. - Guardian

Advertisers threatened to abandon Facebook last night as Mark Zuckerberg apologised for the Cambridge Analytica scandal and admitted that the company made mistakes. Mr Zuckerberg, co-founder and chief executive of the US technology giant, broke his silence to head off a revolt among users and financial backers. He described the incident as a "major breach of trust" and said he was open to further regulation of the website. - The Times

Conviviality is meeting with investors over the coming days as it scrambles to raise funds to pay off its debts, though warned that if it failed to secure the cash, it could go bust. The Bargain Booze owner, which earlier this month said it was considering tapping shareholders for funds, said it had arranged meetings with institutional investor this week to persuade them to take part in its share placing to raise £125m. - Telegraph

Troubled retailer New Look secured approval from 98pc of its creditors for a deal to stem losses by closing 60 stores through a company voluntary arrangement that puts 980 jobs at risk. The retailer on Wednesday initiated the CVA, a form of insolvency aimed at protecting a business from going bust entirely, earlier this month. - Telegraph

 

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