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Mar 16, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 16 March 2018 17:53:48
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London close: Financials lead the way as Berkeley rant misfires
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London stocks finished the week with a second step higher, as financials and miners rose again to offset caution hitting the housebuilding and retail sectors.

By midday on Friday, the FTSE 100 was up by 12 points or almost 0.2% at 7,151.69. Asian markets were mixed and so was the overnight Wall Street session.

Sterling was fairly flat, at 1.1331 against the euro and up 0.1% on the dollar at 1.3952.

While there was tension in London over the fallout from the poisoning of a Russian defector and Brexit negotiations, the always eventful Trump White House was not weighing on market sentiment.

"Concern over the diplomatic spat with Russia does not seem to be ruffling too many feathers in markets," said Jasper Lawler at London Capital Group. "Russia announced on Friday that it would expel British diplomats and respond in kind to new US sanctions. Vladimir Putin looks destined to win this weekend's election. Another six years of Putin should help maintain the status quo for energy markets via Russia's joint supply cuts with OPEC."

With little macro data around, the main nugget of note was the final eurozone inflation reading for February, which unexpectedly came in at a 14 month low of 1.1%.

"Eurozone inflation trickling along at nearly half of the ECB's target implies a very gradual removal of the punchbowl," said Lawler. "That's a clear positive for risky assets."

He said the easing of trade war tensions and further evidence of low inflation generated some optimism for European shares, with the euro sinking for a third day to a two-week low and the perceived reduced risk of a trade war helped industrial companies outperform.

Bank shares led the gains after the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee said lenders would not need to boost capital reserves, which mostly seemed to relieve Royal Bank of Scotland and Barclays. The BoE said it will set the same stress tests in 2018 as in 2017, partly to ensure lenders had sufficient spare resources to respond to Brexit and to restructure and ring-fence their UK banks to comply with new rules.

"Lower reserves means more funds for more lending or for putting directly in the pocket of shareholders via dividends or buybacks," said Lawler.

Corporate news from NEX Group, the company formerly known as Icap, was also helping the financial sector as it soared 30% and raised the potential for other financial sector deals as it received a preliminary approach from US exchange CME Group regarding a potential acquisition. "Discussions are at an early stage and there can be no certainty that an offer for NEX will be made, nor as to the terms of any offer, if made," it said.

Analysts at Liberum expect a "substantial" premium for NEX that, as a strategically important asset which is an integral part of the global financial infrastructure, might fetch a price of over 1,000p. Numis on the other hand has revised its target price for the shares to 800p.

Miners were also on the rise, helped by copper prices coming off their lows, with Glencore leading the FTSE 100 risers followed by Antofagasta, with others not holding onto their early gains as the session progressed.

Royal Dutch Shell and BP were higher as oil prices gain, with Brent crude up 1.4% above $66. Shell also agreed a deal overnight to sell its shares in Shell entities in New Zealand for US$578m.

National Grid was higher after getting approval for new three-year rate plan and $2.5bn capex for its Niagara Mohawk utility.

Besting them all was EasyJet, with the budget airline taking off as investors filed into their seats to receive next week's final dividend, while traders grabbed on for a technical rie. Analyst Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets said traders had been jumping on a "bullish flag pattern towards February highs".

Housebuilder Berkeley Group led the fallers and dragged down much of the sector with it. The London and South East-focused builder reported a resilient level of home sales over the past four months but gave a rather aggressive defence of why it cannot raise its build rate. The FTSE 100 housebuilder, seemingly reacting to a government investigation into builders 'sitting on land', blamed "market constraints" on it being "unable" to increase production, which sent ripples of uncertainty though to peers including Taylor Wimpey, Barratt and Persimmon.

Tesco was lower, with van Dulken citing profit-taking after a rise the day before on the back of a JPMorgan upgrade, and mentioning chat also about Citi being a "big seller".

Facilities management company Mitie fell 7% after it said it expected full operating profits to be slightly below 2016 after modest growth in sales, as expected. The company said revenue growth should be in the range of 2%-2.5% at around £2.2bn and that it expects to make higher savings by 2020.

JD Wetherspoon fell after announcing like-for-like sales up 6.1%, pre-tax profits up 20.6% and a flat interim dividend. The pub group anticipates higher second half costs and slower like-for like sales growth, but stronger sales in the year so far means the full outlook is unchanged.

William Hill and Ladbrokes Coral, it was reported in the Financial Times, are being investigated by the FCA for creating a false market in their shares by making public findings of review about possible curbs to fixed odds betting terminals. The pair were said to have promoted a doomsday scenario for betting shops if the government presses ahead with curbs on FOBT machines.

Old Mutual was lower as its break-up continued with an agreement to sell its Latin American businesses for an undisclosed sum. Proceeds from the sale will be retained for general corporate purposes by Old Mutual Emerging Markets, which is now focused on sub-Saharan Africa.

Cobham was down less than a penny after completing the divestment of AvComm and Wireless Test & Measurement businesses for $455m, while Dominos Pizza was down despite getting started on a discretionary £32m buyback, the balance of an existing £50m programme.


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Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.34%
 
cur price
7,164.14
 
change
+24.38
 
 
change pct
-0.12%
 
cur price
19,804.90
 
change
-23.51
 
 
change pct
+0.11%
 
cur price
3,336.30
 
change
+3.71

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Easyjet Plc (LSE:EZJ)+2.06%+33.501,658.50
2British Petroleum (LSE:BP.)+1.98%+9.20473.75
3Glencore (LSE:GLEN)+1.67%+6.35385.50
4Pearson Plc (LSE:PSON)+1.52%+11.60775.80
5Shire Plc (LSE:SHP)+1.47%+46.503,205.50
6AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN)+1.42%+68.004,867.00
7NMC Health (LSE:NMC)+1.41%+48.003,448.00
8National Grid (LSE:NG.)+1.39%+10.70780.70
9Informa (LSE:INF)+1.39%+10.00729.60
10BT Group (LSE:BT.A)+1.29%+2.90227.85

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Berkeley Group Holdings (LSE:BKG)-5.35%-210.003,713.00
2Kingfisher Plc (LSE:KGF)-1.97%-6.90343.40
3Tesco (LSE:TSCO)-1.96%-4.20209.80
4Micro Focus International (LSE:MCRO)-1.93%-37.001,884.50
5Barratt Developments (LSE:BDEV)-1.72%-9.20527.20
6Old Mutual (LSE:OML)-1.58%-4.00249.00
7Marks & Spencer (LSE:MKS)-1.57%-4.40275.90
8Prudential (LSE:PRU)-1.54%-30.001,913.50
9Johnson Matthey (LSE:JMAT)-1.48%-47.003,138.00
10Next Plc (LSE:NXT)-1.45%-70.004,759.00

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US open: Wall Street unmoved by McMaster rumours

Trading on Wall Street kicked off on a positive note, with the main indices shaking off some of yesterday's weakness despite sentiment suffering earlier in the day from talk of yet another White House departure and after the Trump organisation was hit with a subpoenae by Special Counsel Mueller as part of his investigation into alleged Russian links.

As of 1530 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial was up 0.53%, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq moving ahead by 0.42% and 0.14%, respectively.

Overnight, strategists at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch advised their clients that it had seen a record $43.3bn of inflows into equities over the week ending 14 March.

Their take on the latest weekly flow data was that clients were increasingly positioned for higher earnings per share, short rates and bond yields, albeit alongside a lower US dollar.

However, "treasuries and bunds hinting at 'growth scare' makes stocks vulnerable; LIBOR leading to tighter financial conditions, higher US dollar required to ding tech and Emerging Markets," the bank said.

Even so, their Bull&Bear indicator slipped from a reading of 6.8 to 6.5, which meant it was no longer in 'sell' territory.

In the background, markets were also expectant ahead of the US Federal Reserve's next policy meeting on 20-21 March.

In economic news, homebuilding fell more than expected across America last month as a dive in the number of multi-family housing units being started offset a second consecutive monthly increase in single-family projects, according to a reading on US housing starts and permits from the Commerce Department.

Housing starts declined 7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.23m, Commerce said, and data for January was revised up to a groundbreaking increase of 1.329m instead of the previously reported 1.326m.

US industrial production rose the most it had in the last four months in February thanks to strong output gains in the manufacturing and oil and gas sectors, with total industrial production, which includes that from factories, mines and utilities across the nation, expanding by 1.1% during the month, topping analysts expectations for a more reserved 0.4% gain, the Federal Reserve said on Friday.

Also released on Friday, the JOLTS labour market survey for January revealed that the number of American's counted as not in the labour force dropped by 653,000 in February, while the labour force itself increased by 806,000.

The unemployment rate has been at 4.1% since October, its lowest reading since December 2000.

Lastly, US consumers confidence hit a 14-year high in March, as lower-income households were said to feeling more optimistic about the nation's economy, according to the University of Michigan, which said the preliminary result of its consumer-sentiment index came in at 102.0 for March, up from the 99.7 posted in February.

Meanwhile, in corporate news, Johnson & Johnson was down a mere 0.01% after it announced that Platinum Equity had offered to purchase its Life Scan unit for $2.1bn.

Jewellery retailer Tiffany & Co was up 4.43% after posting a fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.67 (consensus: $1.63) on the back of a stronger-than-expected 1% rise in like-for-like sales.


Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.36%
 
cur price
24,964.04
 
change
+90.38
 
 
change pct
+0.37%
 
cur price
12,791.13
 
change
+47.52
 
 
change pct
+0.03%
 
cur price
7,484.32
 
change
+2.58

Nasdaq 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)+7.44%+15.34221.48
2Ctrip.Com International, Ltd. ADS (MM) (NASDAQ:CTRP)+3.58%+1.7149.49
3Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:WDC)+3.55%+3.63105.86
4Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:REGN)+3.25%+10.89345.82
5Adobe Systems Incorporated (NASDAQ:ADBE)+3.16%+6.92225.79
6Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)+2.48%+1.5664.54
7Dish Network Corp. (NASDAQ:DISH)+2.12%+0.8540.93
8Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU)+1.80%+1.0659.90
9Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM)+1.59%+0.9660.85
10Shire Plc ADS, Each Representing Three Ordinary Shares (NASDAQ:SHPG)+1.57%+2.07133.85

Nasdaq 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Broadcom Limited (NASDAQ:AVGO)-4.05%-10.84256.92
2Mercadolibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)-3.17%-12.29374.82
3Activision Blizzard, (NASDAQ:ATVI)-2.09%-1.5371.85
4Viacom Inc. - Class B (NASDAQ:VIAB)-1.86%-0.6132.22
5Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA)-1.71%-0.3721.22
6Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG)-1.60%-7.07434.88
7Cerner Corp. (NASDAQ:CERN)-1.55%-0.9660.82
8Align Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALGN)-1.31%-3.58269.29
9Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL)-1.26%-14.511,136.10
10Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT)-1.19%-0.7259.56

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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
+3.49%
mktcap
144.58B
volume
108502.65T
price
8,542.40
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
+2.00%
mktcap
60.91B
volume
18101.81T
price
622.10
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
+2.85%
mktcap
27.46B
volume
5472.97T
price
0.70
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
+12.45%
mktcap
17.7B
volume
13756.7T
price
1,055.99
#5 Litecoin (LTC)
change
+2.99%
mktcap
9.36B
volume
10103.37T
price
169.04

Friday broker round-up

Greencore Group plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 225p.

Restore plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 585p.

Dignity plc: Berenberg reiterates hold with a target price of 1,050p.

Berkeley group: Shore Capital Markets reiterates hold.

Experian: Shore Capital Markets reiterates buy.

Autotrader: Shore Capital Markets reiterates hold.

NEX Group: Shore Capital Markets reiterates sell.

Inmarsat: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy with a target price of 575p.

Auto Trader Group plc: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Mitie Group plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 300p.

Wetherspoon: Canaccord reiterates hold with a target price of 1,275p.

Synthomer plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 575p.

Kier Group: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 1,400p.

OneSavings Bank plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 500p.

Smart Metering Systems plc: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 1,000p

 

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