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Mar 15, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 15 March 2018 21:06:18
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London close: Financials help FTSE perk up after three-day decline
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Having hummed and hawed all day amid a buzz of UK corporate and global geopolitical news on Thursday, London's blue chip share index showed signs of life after being laid up for the first three days of the week.

Financial stocks put in a solid performance in line with the global financials sector, boosted by rising yields and a strong reading in the key US Philly Fed manufacturing gauge, which analysts said pointed to robust factory sector activity in the States going forward.

There was no major UK data releases due but in the US, the data was robust, with jobless claims, the import price index and the NY Empire State manufacturing also helping bolster sentiment.

The FTSE 100 closed the session up just 7.07 points or 0.099% higher at 7,139.76, still down more than 1% since the end of last week and 8.3% lower than the peaks of mid January.

Looking across the Atlantic, analyst Chris Beauchamp at IG in London said bulls were taking their turn in the spotlight as the concerns about the Trumpian tariff narrative were "becoming less of a worry" amid healthy numbers on the US economy.

Confirmation came through that former Reagan administration adviser turned TV pundit Larry Kudlow, who had been an informal economic adviser to President Trump's 2016 campaign, will replace Gary Cohn as the president's top economic adviser. Speaking to CNBC after his appointment, Kudlow ramped up trade war rhetoric as he called for the US to lead a coalition of nations to stand up to China.

But robust economic data helped lift Wall Street stock indices and although they perked up the dollar too, the pound ended the London session down 0.2% on the greenback at 1.3929. Sterling was up 0.25% against the euro 1.1317 however as investors weighed up rising tensions between the UK and Russia against some encouraging Brexit news.

Brexit Secretary David Davis, ahead of a meeting with EU counterpart Michel Barnier in Brussels on Monday, said deal on a transition period will be finalised before the end of the week. Meanwhile The Times has seen documents that indicate the UK will be free to sign trade deals during the transition period without permission from the European Union after a climbdown by Brussels.

The mood in the City of London had not been helped after Unilever announced it will move its corporate headquarters to Rotterdam from London as it combines its two classes of shares into a single entity.

Fellow consumer good group PZ Cussons, the maker of Imperial Leather soaps and shower gels, took a 17% tumble as it warned on profits. The company had reported in January that performance in the first half of the year was constrained by conditions in the UK and Nigeria, and that delivery of the full year result would be dependent on conditions in those markets for the balance of year. Today it said it was now apparent that profit for the full year would fall short of expectations.

Hammerson was under pressure as Credit Suisse cut the retail property developer to 'neutral' a day after Goldman Sachs added the group to its 'conviction buy' list.

Hammerson was also among those stocks going ex-dividend this Thursday, with other companies weighing on the index for the same reason included Anglo American, Crest Nicholson, Domino's Pizza, Essentra, Galliford Try, LondonMetric, Millennium & Copthorne, SSP, Spirent Communications and Tritax Big Box.

Gold miners were also losing a little of their lustre as the stronger dollar chipped away at prices of precious metals. Randgold, Fresnillo and Hochschild were among the fallers.

GKN retreated as its largest customer, Airbus, suggested it would withdraw custom from the engineer if it gets taken over by turnaround specialist Melrose International.

Housebuilder Persimmon slipped as it appointed Roger Devlin, currently chairman of pub group Marston's, as chairman with effect from 1 June. The company announced back in December that chairman Nicholas Wrigley and Jonathan Davie, chairman of the remuneration committee, has resigned amid anger over their failure to cap directors' earnings under a long-term incentive plan agreed in 2012.

OneSavings Bank was in the red despite posting a 21% jump in full-year profit as the loan book grew and saying it kicked off 2018 with a strong pipeline of new business, as guidance on margins disappointed.

Estate agency Savills declined as it said statutory pre-tax profit for 2017 rose 13% but warned that it expects "some tempering of the strong transaction volumes of recent times in some markets".

On the upside, consumer credit reporting agency Experian rallied as it agreed to buy credit-checking firm ClearScore for £275m. Experian said the acquisition will combine two well-know, high-growth UK consumer brands, both of which will be retained. It will also bring together two businesses with complementary assets and skills to improve outcomes for consumers.

Tesco was another gainer after JPMorgan Cazenove upgraded its stance on the stock 'overweight' from a previous rating of 'underweight' before the Booker offer.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals was lifted by an upgrade to 'buy' at Citi and to 'hold' at Jefferies, while TalkTalk rose on the back of an upgrade from Macquarie.

Old Mutual edged higher as it reported a 22% increase in underlying operating profits to £2bn as the Anglo-South African financial services group continued the process of splitting itself up.

Cineworld gained ground as it posted a 23% jump in full-year pre-tax profit while construction and services group Kier was up after reporting a rise in first-half profit and saying it expects double-digit profit growth in 2018.

Retirement products specialist Just Group rallied on the back of a 35% increase in 2017 operating profit Spirax-Sarco pushed higher on better-than-expected full-year results.


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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

#   Name Change Pct Change Cur Price
1 Std Life Aber (LSE:SLA) +1.83% +6.70 372.60
2 Tesco (LSE:TSCO) +1.76% +3.70 214.00
3 Smiths Group (LSE:SMIN) +1.75% +27.50 1,597.50
4 Hargreaves Lansdown (LSE:HL.) +1.71% +29.00 1,729.00
5 Experian (LSE:EXPN) +1.67% +26.50 1,610.50
6 St. James's Place (LSE:STJ) +1.65% +18.50 1,140.50
7 Direct Line (LSE:DLG) +1.54% +5.90 390.20
8 Legal & General Group (LSE:LGEN) +1.51% +3.90 262.10
9 Aviva Plc (LSE:AV.) +1.48% +7.60 521.00
10 Rentokil Initial (LSE:RTO) +1.47% +4.00 276.20

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

#   Name Change Pct Change Cur Price
1 Hammerson Plc (LSE:HMSO) -4.86% -22.20 434.40
2 Micro Focus International (LSE:MCRO) -2.63% -52.00 1,921.50
3 Randgold Resources (LSE:RRS) -2.14% -130.00 5,958.00
4 Fresnillo plc (LSE:FRES) -1.93% -23.50 1,192.50
5 Morrison (LSE:MRW) -1.81% -3.90 211.40
6 GKN Plc (LSE:GKN) -1.71% -7.50 430.20
7 Unilever Plc (LSE:ULVR) -1.69% -64.50 3,756.00
8 Imperial Brands (LSE:IMB) -1.69% -42.50 2,479.00
9 G4S (LSE:GFS) -1.57% -4.00 251.00
10 Severn Trent (LSE:SVT) -1.29% -23.00 1,766.50

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Europe close: Shares boosted by strong US factory sector surveys
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Stocks rose as two important US regional manufacturing gauges pointed to robust activity ahead, with traders apparently giving short shrift to the heavy news-flow regarding continuing trade tensions and geopolitical tensions.

"European stocks are set to finish higher today as the swing in US markets influences the rally. US stocks have been leading the way recently, and that remains the case. At the moment the uncertainly surrounding a possible trade war is falling, and that is helping to trigger the positive move in stocks," said David Madden at CMC Markets UK.

Against that backdrop, at the closing bell the benchmark Stoxx 600 was up by 0.52% or 1.94 points to 376.88, alongside a rise of 0.88% or 107.82 points to 12,345.56 for Germany's Dax and a gain of 1.16% or 261.13 points to 22,713.47 for Milan's FTSE Mibtel 30.

March readings on the Empire State and Philly Fed factory sector indices validated the 14-year high reached on the key nation-wide ISM gauge, Pantheon Macroeconomics's Ian Shepherdson said.

"It was not a fluke. In short, the surveys signal that a robust manufacturing upswing continues unabated," he said.

Markets also held up despite somewhat hawkish rhetoric from rate-setters in Norway and Switzerland, although the Norwegian Krona was up by half a percentage point against the US dollar after the country's central bank flagged the possibility of quicker rate hikes this year.

Similarly, following its own policy meeting on Thursday, the Swiss National Bank warned of the risk of a correction in house prices, saying it would continue to regularly assess the need for an increase in lenders' so-called counter-cyclical buffers.

Acting as a backdrop, overnight the White House clarified that it was asking China to cut its yearly bilateral trade shortfall with the States by $100bn.

Responding to the message from the White House, state-run Chinese tabloid Global Times said: "If the U.S. wants to reduce its trade deficit, it has to make Americans more hard-working and conduct reforms in accordance with international market demand, instead of asking the rest of the world to change."

On the economic front in Europe, according to Ireland's Central Statistics Office in 2017 the country's gross domestic product expanded at a year-on-year clip of 7.8%.

In the corporate patch, Nikkei cited BASF's regional director for Asia saying the chemicals giant will invest €2.7bn to the region until 2022.

Meanwhile, French pharmaceuticals giant Sanofi gained issuing €8bn-worth of bonds with the aim of lowering its average cost of debt and in order to extend the average maturity of the same.

Societe Generale shares on the other hand traded slightly lower after deputy chief executive officer Didier Valet resigned in the wake of differences on how to approach a specific legal case, which market commentary linked to outstanding claims that it participated in the alleged rigging of LIBOR rates.


US open: Stocks edge higher amid tensions with China, Russia

Wall Street is registering slight gains on the back of upbeat data on US manufacturing, apparently brushing off simmering tensions on the trade front with China and on the geopolitical side of things with the Russian Federation.

At 1512 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was climbing 1.09% or 271.52 points to 25,028.58, alongside a rise of 0.37% or 10.04 points to 2,759.52 for the S&P 500 and a gain of 0.31% or 22.92 points to 7,519.45 on the Nasdaq Composite.

Acting as a backdrop, stocks had ended the previous session lower amid renewed worries about a trade war as President Trump looked to impose fresh tariffs on China.

According to reports, Trump was looking to levy tariffs on up to $60bn of Chinese imports, with a focus on technology, telecoms and apparel.

That was followed on Thursday by the US Treasury Department's decision to impose sanctions on several Russian citizens and two of its security services for meddling in the 2016 president elections.

"Markets are digesting the implications of a US-led trade war and further sanctions against Russia. The US has announced new sanctions as part of its ongoing effort to pressure the Russian government. Investors have been awaiting an official Russian response to a multilateral condemnation of Russia's alleged role in the UK chemical attack. Geopolitical tension was always short-lived and a dip-buying opportunity last year. In this new higher volatility environment, it is not clear if that remains the case," commented Jasper Lawler, head of research at LCG.

On a more positive note, North Korea's top diplomat was in Sweden to prepare the ground for a possible summit between his country's leader and the US president.

In economic news, economists hailed strong readings for the Empire State and Philly Fed regional manufacturing indices, with a gauge of new orders linked to the latter jumping from a reading of 24.5 points for February to 35.7 in March.

"Weighting the subindexes to match the structure of the national ISM index shows that the Philly numbers are consistent, at least, with the 14-year high in the ISM, reached in February; it was not a fluke. In short, the surveys signal that a robust manufacturing upswing continues unabated," commented Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Following the release of those reports, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note was moving higher by two basis points to 2.82%.

On the corporate front, stock in Solid Biosciences was cratering on the heels of a Food and Drug Administration decision to halt a clinical trial following an adverse reaction in one of the patients.

Elsewhere, Dollar General's shares rallied as its fourth-quarter same-store sales beat expectations and the discount retailer provided an upbeat outlook.

Alexion Pharmaceuticals was among the op gainers after saying its experimental drug to treat patients with a rare blood disorder met its main goal in a late-stage study.

Home Security company ADT was also in the spotlight with shares crashing despite the release of its fourth-quarter results, which showed it swung to a profit as revenue rose.


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Thursday broker round-up

Antofagasta plc: Canaccord upgrades to buy with a target price of 1,090p.

Senior plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 336p.

GVC Holdings: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 1,200p.

Jackpotjoy plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 1,150p.

IMI: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy

Hikma pharmaceuticals: Citigroup upgrades to buy with a new target price of 1,250p.

Prudential plc: Citigroup reiterates buy

Inmarsat plc: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 430p.

Lloyds Banking Group: Barclays initiates at overweight with a target price of 90p.

Royal Bank of Scotland: Barclays initiates at overweight with a target price of 310p.

Standard Chartered: Barclays starts at underweight with a target price of 685p.

HSBC Holdings: Barclays initiates at equal weight with a target price of 700p.

Schroders plc: Barclays reiterates underweight with a target price of 3,340p.

Greencore: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 180p.

Tesco: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 210p.

Abcam: JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 1,001p.

Just Group: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 187p.

Domino's Pizza: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 415p.

WM Morrison plc: Berenberg reiterates sell with a target price of 200p.

 

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