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Mar 29, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 29 March 2018 20:39:21
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London close: FTSE rallies into month-end as GKN submits to Melrose bid
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Far from a quiet stroll ahead of the long Easter weekend, Thursday’s session saw the tense conclusion of the soap opera-style GKN/Melrose will-they-won't-they drama, while a deluge of economic data and regulatory decisions to kept investors gripped down to the wire.

 

The FTSE 100 index closed just 11.87 points higher or 0.17% at 7,056.61, after a late dose of volatility. The pound was down 0.3% against the dollar at 1.4031 and down 0.2% on the euro 1.1409.

After almost three months of tit-for-tat exchanges, GKN shareholders accepted the £8.1bn hostile bid from turnaround specialist Melrose Industries. Just half an hour before the close, FTSE 250-listed Melrose said that it received valid acceptances representing around 52.4% of the voting rights of FTSE 100-listed GKN. Melrose had recently lowered its acceptance condition for the takeover to 50% plus one share.

Not long after, the GKN board, grudgingly and still insisting to the very last that the offer "fundamentally undervalues" the business, said it "now recommends that, in the event that the offer is declared wholly unconditional by Melrose, shareholders accept the offer".

Earlier in more M&A news, Michael Spencer's NEX agreed to be taken over by Chicago's CME Group for £3.9bn in cash and shares. CME will pay 500p in cash and 0.0444 new shares for each NEX share, which values NEX 1000p per share, a high-ball bid that analysts suggested could be big enough to deter rivals such as LSE or ICE from gatecrashing.

There was also late drama for Barclays, as the bank settled its long-running case with America's Department of Justice over its conduct involving residential mortgage-backed securities in the run-up to the financial crisis. The lender has agreed to pay the DoJ $2.0bn (£1.42bn) in civil penalties in exchange for the dismissal of the US government's complaint, which was slightly less than the £1.5bn expected.

The morning had seen a barrage of UK data confirming economic growth slowed at the end of last year but accompanied by more timely figures on the services sector, consumer spending and borrowing suggested there could be a first quarter pick-up.

UK gross domestic product grew 0.4% in the fourth quarter of 2017 compared to the third, the Office for National Statistics said in its final reading on the measure, in line with its second estimate a month ago. GDP growth slowed to 1.4% compared to the same quarter a year before from 1.8% in the third quarter, also as expected.

Figures from the Bank of England showed that consumers and businesses borrowed at a faster rate in February, suggesting a firming of confidence in the economy after a shaky few months.

Consumer credit rose by £1.6bn, up from £1.3bn in January and more than the £1.5bn six-month average. Net lending to non-financial companies showed a sharp jump, rising by £1.7bn after virtually flatlining in January. February’s figure was more than three times the six-month average of £500m. The annual rate of growth picked up to 3.2% from 3%.

Ian Stewart, chief economist at Deloitte, said: "Household spending power has been flatlining for the last two years. That has forced consumers to run down savings and borrow more just to sustain sluggish growth in spending.

"2018 should offer some relief, with falling inflation and stronger wage growth helping boost consumer spending power."

Earlier, the latest survey from Gfk revealed that the UK consumer is feeling slightly more confident about personal finances and the general economic situation as recent improvements in wage growth and inflation boost spirits.

The long-running consumer confidence index from GfK climbed three points over the month of March but still remained negative at -7, worse than at this stage last year. However, all five of the constituent measures improved in March compared to February and January.

Meanwhile, mortgage lender Nationwide’s survey for March showed that house price growth unexpectedly slowed.

Prices were up 2.1% on the year, slowing down from a 2.2% increase in February and below the 2.6% gain expected by economists. On the month, house prices fell 0.2% and although this was better than the 0.4% decline seen the month before, analysts had been expecting a 0.2% increase.

London was the worst-performing region again, with average house prices down 1% compared with a year ago.

Going back to the company news, Sky announced late in the day that its Italian arm has agreed a long-term deal with Open Fiber to launch a fibre broadband service from summer 2019, to drive long-term growth in fibre and Pay-TV services.

Shire was in the red despite saying it has gained regulatory acceptances from the EU and Canada for its lanadelumab treatment for hereditary angioedema. Earlier in the week, its shares rallied as it emerged that Japan’s Takeda was considering making an offer for the group.

Credit Suisse said there were several obstacles to a Takeda bid but suggested other bidders could include Pfizer, which has the required scale as well an interest in haemophilia and rare diseases.

Indivior got a shot in the arm from new of a license agreement agreed with UK-based drug discovery outfit C4X Discovery Holdings, whereby Indivior UK obtained exclusive global rights to develop and commercialise C4X's oral orexin-1 receptor antagonist programme.

Elsewhere, Compass Group was on the back foot as French peer Sodexo cut its full-year sales guidance.

Moneysupermarket gained ground as it agreed to buy home communications and mobile phone comparison business Decision Tech for £40m.

Qinetiq was up as its pre-close trading statement met expectations, while IP Group rallied on the back of its full-year numbers.

JD Wetherspoon was down after alcohol supplier Conviviality, a major wholesaler to pubs and off licences, said it plans to call in the administrators.

In broker note action, Morrisons was upgraded to ‘outperform’ at Bernstein, while WH Smith was lifted to ‘buy’ at Stifel. Citi upgraded Cineworld to ‘buy’ and Peel Hunt bumped Electrocomponents up to ‘add’. SIG was raised to ‘equalweight’ at Barclays.

However, Ted Baker was downgraded to ‘hold’ by Jefferies and Provident Financial was hit by a downgrade to ‘sell’ at Berenberg.

InterContinental Hotels, 888 Holdings, Bovis Homes, British Land, CLS Holdings, Prudential, Sanne, Ferrexpo and Softcat were among the companies whose stock went ex-dividend on Thursday.


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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Morrison+2.21%+4.60213.10
2Anglo American+2.16%+35.001,651.80
3Marks & Spencer+2.10%+5.60272.80
4International Consolidated Airlines Group +1.78%+10.60607.60
5Easyjet Plc+1.72%+27.001,593.00
6BHP Billiton+1.64%+22.601,399.60
7Imperial Brands+1.58%+38.002,445.00
8Rio Tinto+1.56%+55.003,578.00
9Sainsbury+1.45%+3.40237.90
10Legal & General Group+1.44%+3.70261.10

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Compass Group-2.32%-34.501,450.50
2Paddy Power Betfair-1.58%-115.007,170.00
3Shire Plc-1.51%-53.003,447.00
4Prudential-1.36%-25.001,814.00
5WPP Plc-1.32%-15.001,123.50
6Intercontinental Hotels Group-1.06%-46.004,298.00
7AstraZeneca -0.83%-41.004,903.00
8Smith & Nephew-0.80%-10.751,338.75
9Merlin Entertainments Plc-0.77%-2.70347.90
10Johnson Matthey-0.68%-21.003,071.00

Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 27.3.18: Bitcoin dips below $8,000

The bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market continued over the past 24 hours, as 47 of the top 50 cryptos registered losses. Of the top 10 cryptos, NEO suffered the heaviest losses, declining more than 14%. Other cryptos, such as Ethereum, Litecoin and Stellar also registered double-digit losses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was seen more than 6.5% lower, trading below the $8,000 mark.

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Europe close: Stocks finish bruising quarter with a whimper
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Stocks across the Continent got a slight reprieve at quarter-end, following a bruising first three months of the year that saw German stocks drop into a correction after suffering a double-digit fall from their most recent highs.

Somewhat ironically, that came amid a spate of news regarding billion of dollars-worth of cross-broder corporate deals that were in the final stages or in the offing, putting the pace of mergers and acquisitions globally in the first quarter on track to reach a record level of over a trillion dollars.

Also worth noting, in remarks to Bloomberg TV, US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross appeared to hold out the possibility of restarting the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership talks.

Nevertheless, some analysts were cautious regarding the technical backdrop for markets, given how some of the key US stockmarket indices were still hovering quite close to important levels of 'support' which it was feared that, if lost, might see losses quickly ensue.

As of the closing bell, the benchmark Stoxx 600 was ahead by 0.44% or 1.61 points to 370.87, alongside a 1.31% or 156.02 point rise for the German Dax to 12,096.73 and a 0.36% or 79.79 point gain on the FTSE Mibtel to 22,411.15.

However, for the first quarter as a whole the Pan-European Stoxx 600 was left nursing losses of 4.6% and of 8.0% from its late January highs, while the Dax was down by 6.4% and by 10.8% from the all-time high of 12,917.64 reached on 23 January.

Over that same time frame, the yield on the benchmark 10-year bund rose seven basis points to 0.50%, while that on similarly-dated French bonds fell back by the same amount to 0.79%.

Despite those sharp losses for stocks, and as the FT pointed out earlier in the day, at over $1.2trn dealmaking activity ran at a record pitch over the first three months of the year and was roughly a third higher than in the first quarter of 2007, when it hit its previous record.

Underscoring the above, as the current first quarter drew to a close, investors were greeted first thing on Thursday morning by a Bloomberg report that Renault and Nissan were busy in talks aimed at going beyond their current cross shareholdings in each other and thrashing out a full merger.

That followed the previous session's announcement of a possible bid from Takeda Pharmaceuticals for London-listed Shire, the purchase overnight of RSP Permian by US rival Concho Resources in a $9.5bn deal and CME Group's acquisition of Nex Group for roughly £3.9bn.

On the economic front, German unemployment declined by 19,000 people in March (consensus: -15,000), pushing the jobless rate down to 5.3%.

Also in Germany, the Ministry of Finance reported that harmonised consumer prices only rose at a 1.5% year-on-year pace in March, short of economists' projections for an acceleration to 1.6%.


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US open: Stocks bounce back at quarter-end

Stocks are registering modest gains at quarter-end, helped by record-breaking levels of deal-making.

At 1530 BST, the Dow Jones Industrials Average was adding 0.46% or 108.31 points to trade at 23,957.94, alongside a rise of 0.46% or 11.42 points on the S&P 500 to 2,636.34 and a 0.35% or 27.46 point gain for the Nasdaq Composite to 6,976.53.

Pacing gains in New York were: Marine Transportation (3.57%), Drug retailers (2.85%), Iron&Steel (2.43%), Internet (2.01%) and Heavy Construction (1.90%).

Alongside those advancers, the CBoE's volatility index was coming down by 6.12% to 21.47.

Despite the slight gains on offer, CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson said: "Looking back over recent events, as we come to the end of what will be a negative month, and a negative quarter for stocks, it’s probably an opportune time to analyse recent events to determine how we got here. The quarter started in such a promising fashion with new records as well as multi year highs being set, as January came and went.

"The passing of tax reform proposals in the US should have been the catalyst for further gains, along with an improving jobs market and rising wages, while economic activity indicators across Europe were at much higher levels than they are now. Since then the wheels have come off to a certain extent, and as we head into Q2 investors will have to decide over the Easter break whether the worst is over or whether there is more to come."

Dealmaking surpasses Q1 2017 record

Corporate dealmaking volumes rose past $1.2trn over the first quarter of 2018, marking the fastest start ever in M&A for a year, the FT reported, citing Thomson Reuters data.

Activity ws 67% higher versus 2017 and roughly a third more than in 2007, when the previous record was set.

Underscoring the intensity of recent M&A, overnight CME Group clinched a deal to buy NEX Group for £3.9bn. It came alongside the acquisition of RSP Permian by Concho Resources for $8.0bn.

In other corporate news, Constellation Brands was higher after the release of its fourth-quarter results, which saw the company lift its dividend by 42%.

GameStop's shares on the other hand were down by nearly 12% after the video game retailer issued full-year earnings per share guidance the midpoint of which, at $3.18, was well below the $3.32 analysts polled by FactSet had penciled-in.

Meanwhile, Amazon.com was down by a further 1.49% after the US president again took aim at the internet retailer on Twitter.

Stock in Facebook was trading 3.71% higher at $158.71.

In economic news, the Department of Labor reported a 12,000 person drop in the number of initial weekly unemployment claims to reach 215,000 (consensus: 230,000), sparking talk of a drop in the rate of unemployment below 4%.

Separately, the Department of Commerce said real personal spending was flat in February after dipping by 0.2% in the month before, as Americans rebuilt their depleted personal savings after a surge in spending at the end of 2017. Nevertheless, personal income and spending printed in-line with forecasts last month, at up by 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively.

The latest readings on MNI's Chicago purchasing managers' index and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index came in shy of forecasts.


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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
-5.17%
mktcap
128.04B
volume
72446.87T
price
7,533.00
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
-6.78%
mktcap
40.8B
volume
16832.69T
price
414.81
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
-5.32%
mktcap
21.36B
volume
13893.19T
price
0.54
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
-9.43%
mktcap
13.24B
volume
5533.94T
price
778.00
#5 Litecoin (LTC)
change
-7.43%
mktcap
6.73B
volume
8411.52T
price
121.75

Thursday broker round-up

Provident financial: Berenberg downgrades to sell with a target price of 550p.

Boohoo: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

BT Group plc: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Shire plc: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Moneysupermarket: Shore Capital Markets reiterates buy.

GVS Holdings: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 1,070p.

Midwich group: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 660p.

Mortgage Advice Bureau: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 645p.

Savannah Resources: Northland Capital Markets reiterates corporate.

Keras Resources: Northland Capital Markets reiterates corporate.

DFS Furniture: Numis reiterates hold with a target price of 195p.

Hastings: Numis reiterates add with a target price of 295p.

RPC Group: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 1,130p.

Ted Baker: Jefferies downgrades to hold with a target price of 2,700p.

Ten Entertainment Group plc: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 300p.

TBC Bank Group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 2,025p.

Spire Healthcare Group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 290p.

Next plc: Berenberg reiterates sell with a target price of 3,800p.

 

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Tech Stocks Likely To Be In Focus On Wall Street

 
ADVFN  World Daily Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 29 March 2018 09:13:32   
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US Market
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The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a higher opening on Thursday following the substantial volatility seen in the previous session.

The markets may benefit from bargain hunting after the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended Wednesday?s trading at its lowest closing level in well over a month.

Trading activity is likely to be somewhat subdued, however, as some traders look to get a head start on the long weekend.

Technology stocks have been key drivers of the markets in recent session and are likely to remain in focus on the day.

Stocks saw considerable volatility over the course of the trading session on Wednesday following the sell-off seen Tuesday afternoon. The major averages spent the day showing wild swings back and forth across the unchanged line.

The major averages eventually all closed in negative territory, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq once again underperforming its counterparts.

While the Nasdaq slid 59.58 points or 0.9 percent to 6,949.23, the S&P 500 fell 7.62 points or 0.3 percent to 2,605.00 and the Dow edged down 9.29 points or less than a tenth of a percent to 23,848.42.

The volatility on Wall Street extends a recent trend, as the pullback seen in the previous session came on the heels of the substantial rebound seen on Monday.

A notable decline by Amazon (AMZN) weighed on the tech-heavy Nasdaq after a report from Axios said President Donald Trump wants to "go after" the online retailer.

Sources who've discussed the issue with Trump told Axios the president has talked about changing Amazon's tax treatment because he's worried about mom-and-pop retailers being put out of business.

Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a Commerce Department report showing stronger than previously estimated economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2017.

The report said gross domestic product climbed by 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter, reflecting an upward revision from the previously estimated 2.5 percent increase. Economists had expected the pace of GDP growth to be upwardly revised to 2.7 percent.

With the upward revision, the GDP growth in the fourth quarter reflects only a modest slowdown from the 3.2 percent jump in the third quarter.

The report paints a positive picture of the economy in the final three months of last year, although the data was likely viewed as old news.

A separate report from the National Association of Realtors showed a bigger than expected rebound in pending home sales in the month of February.

NAR said its pending home sales index jumped by 3.1 percent to 107.5 in February after plunging by 5 percent to a downwardly revised 104.3 in January. Economists had expected pending sales to climb by 2.1 percent.

A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.

Oil service stocks showed a significant move to the downside on the day, dragging the Philadelphia Oil Service Index down by 2.1 percent. The index ended the session at its lowest closing level in well over three months.

The weakness among oil service stocks comes amid a decrease by the price of crude oil following the release of a report showing an unexpected weekly increase in oil inventories.

Considerable weakness was also visible among semiconductor stocks, which extended the sell-off seen in the previous session. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index slumped by 2.1 percent to a one-month closing low.

Gold stocks also moved sharply lower amid another steep drop by the price of the precious metal, with the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index falling by 2 percent.

Chemical and retail stocks also saw notable weakness on the day, while tobacco, real estate, and pharmaceutical stocks showed strong moves to the upside.


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U.S. Economic Reports
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First-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly edged lower in the week ended March 24th, according to a report released by the Labor Department.

The report said initial jobless claims dipped to 215,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week?s revised level of 227,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 230,000 from the 229,000 originally reported for the previous week.

With the unexpected decrease, initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level since hitting 214,000 in January of 1973.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed personal income and spending both increased in line with economist estimates in the month of February.

The report said personal income climbed by 0.4 percent in February, matching the increases seen in the two previous months as well as expectations.

The Commerce Department also said personal spending rose by 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month. The uptick in spending also matched estimates.

At 9:45 am ET, MNI Indicators is scheduled to release its report on Chicago-area business activity in the month of March.

The Chicago business barometer is expected to inch up to 62.0 in March from 61.9 in February, with a reading above 50 indicating growth.

The University of Michigan is scheduled to release its revised report on consumer sentiment in the month of March at 10 am ET.

The consumer sentiment index for March is expected to be unrevised from the preliminary reading of 102.0, which was up from 99.7 in February.

At 1 pm ET, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker is due to discuss the economic outlook at a New York Association of Business Economics luncheon in New York City.


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Stocks in Focus


Shares of Verint Systems (VRNT) are moving significantly higher in pre-market trading after the customer engagement and security software company reported better than expected fiscal fourth quarter results and raised its full-year guidance.

Apparel maker PVH Corp. (PVH) is also likely to see early strength after reporting fiscal fourth quarter results that exceeded estimates and providing upbeat guidance for the current year.

On the other hand, shares of GameStop (GME) may move to the downside after the video game retailer reported fiscal fourth quarter results that beat estimates but provided a disappointing revenue forecast.

Coffee chain Starbucks (SBUX) could also see early weakness after Wedbush downgraded its rating on the company?s stock to Neutral from Outperform.

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Europe


European stocks are mostly higher on Thursday as the easing of geopolitical and trade tensions prompted investors to cherry-pick shares ahead of the Easter break.

While the U.K.?s FTSE 100 Index has risen by 0.3 percent, the French CAC 40 Index is up by 0.7 percent and the German DAX Index is up by 0.9 percent.

French automaker Renault has jumped on a Bloomberg report that it is in talks to merge with Japan's Nissan Motor. Rivals Peugeot, BMW, Daimler and Volkswagen have also moved higher.

Swiss Re has rallied on a Bloomberg report that Japan's Softbank Corp. is nearing an agreement to acquire a stake in the reinsurance company.

Meanwhile, Shire has fallen a day after Japan's Takeda Pharma said it is considering a possible offer for the Irish drug maker. French outsourcing group Sodexo has also slumped after cutting its guidance for fiscal 2018.

On the data front, German unemployment decreased notably in March, while U.K. consumer sentiment strengthened to the highest level in ten months in the month, separate reports showed.

ONS' third estimate of growth showed U.K. GDP grew by 0.4 percent in the final quarter of 2017, unchanged from the second reading in February. The annual growth has been revised up to 1.8 percent from a previous reading of 1.7 percent.


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Asia
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Asian stocks turned in a mixed performance on Thursday as lower commodity prices and a continued sell-off in technology shares kept investors nervous ahead of Easter holidays.

Chinese stocks ended higher as property developers surged after a recent correction. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rallied 38.64 points or 1.2 percent to close at 3,160.93, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged up 70.85 points or 0.2 percent to 30,093.38.

Japanese shares rose as the yen weakened amid easing tensions over North Korea's nuclear program and a report showed Japanese retail shares ticked higher in February, suggesting growing consumer confidence.

The Nikkei 225 Index rose 127.77 points or 0.6 percent to 21,159.08, while the broader Topix Index closed 0.3 percent higher at 1,704.

Fast Retailing, Yaskawa Electric, Trend Micro, Asahi Glass and Nichirei Corp jumped 3-4 percent. Meanwhile, Panasonic tumbled 4 percent and Sony declined 1.2 percent despite a weaker yen. Tech stocks such as Advantest and Tokyo Electron lost 1-2 percent.

Softbank fell 1.5 percent on a Bloomberg report that it is nearing an agreement to acquire a stake in Swiss Re. Takeda Pharmaceutical slumped 7.5 percent after the company said that it is at a preliminary and exploratory stage regarding a possible bid for U.K.-based biopharmaceutical company Shire plc.

Australian shares closed lower despite banks seeing a rebound from recent losses. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 30.10 points or 0.5 percent to 5,759.40 on the final session before the Easter break, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended down 30.30 points or 0.5 percent at 5,868.90.

Telco Telstra fell 1.3 percent to extend recent losses, and miners BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group dropped between 0.9 percent and 1.6 percent.

Santos, Oil Search and Origin Energy lost 1-2 percent after crude oil prices declined more than 1 percent overnight.

On the other hand, banks Commonwealth, NAB and Westpac ended up between 0.1 percent and 0.6 percent ahead of the RBA's monetary policy meeting due next week.


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Commodities


Crude oil futures are slipping $0.08 to $64.30 a barrel after sliding $0.87 to $64.38 a barrel on Wednesday. Meanwhile, an ounce of gold is trading at $1,327.30, down $2.70 compared to the previous session?s close of $1,333. On Wednesday, gold plunged $17.90.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 106.54 yen compared to the 106.85 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Wednesday. Against the euro, the dollar is unchanged at $1.2308.


 
 

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