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Jan 26, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 26 January 2018 20:00:08
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The Top 10 Stocks for 2018

What does the year hold for these 10 blue chips?

A look at some of the key themes in the coming 12-months, the key numbers from 2017, FTSE 100 companies that reached record highs… and those that fell to all-time lows, and our Top Stock Picks for 2018. Losses can exceed deposits.

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London Market Report
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London close: Stocks end up despite pound rally as GDP data pleases

London stocks ended the week in style despite a rally in the pound, as investors digested solid UK growth figures.

The FTSE 100 closed up 0.7% to 7,665.54, while the pound was up 0.1% against the euro to 1.1418 and 0.3% versus the dollar at 1.4187 as data from the Office for National Statistics showed the British economy grew more strongly than expected in the final three months of 2017, increasing the chances that the Bank of England could raise interest rates again this year.

Gross domestic product grew 0.5% in the fourth quarter from October to December, compared to the preceding quarter. This was an improvement from 0.4% in the third quarter and on the 0.4% the market expected.

Compared to the fourth quarter of 2016, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%, from the 1.7% annual growth in the previous quarter, but again this was better than the 1.4% consensus forecast. This meant growth for 2017 as a whole was 1.8%, only slightly lower than the 1.9% in 2016.

Overall industrial production growth slowed from 1.3% to 0.6%, while the construction sector's recession intensified, with growth falling from -0.5% to -1.0%. This was offset, however, by a pick-up in growth in the more dominant services sector, from 0.4% to 0.6%, which was the strongest quarterly increase in the year.

It was a different picture in the US, however, where preliminary fourth-quarter GDP figures missed expectations.

CMC Markets analyst David Madden said: "The downward trend in the US dollar is showing no signs of letting up, and the pound is being propped up by it.

"Sterling has slipped since the morning, but the upward trend is still in place so we could see new buyers enter the market."

The dollar managed to pare some of its earlier losses later in the day as it found some support from Trump's remarks at Davos, as he said that ultimately he wants the currency to be strong.

In UK corporate news, AstraZeneca rose after saying it found a statistically significant improvement in eight out of nine lung patients as it tested its 'PT010' combination drug delivered with a pressurised metered-dose inhaler in late-stage clinical trials.

Rival GlaxoSmithKline was on the up after saying that its asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease drug Relvar Ellipta has received a "positive opinion" from EU regulators.

Just Eat rose as RBC Capital Markets said in a note in which it considered the most likely potential internet M&A scenarios that the company's cash reserves and more sophisticated data analytics could benefit Takeaway.com and provide greater firepower to compete with Delivery Hero in Germany.

Spectris ended up after announcing the acquisition of Concept Life Sciences from Equistone Partners Europe and company management for £163m, on a debt and cash-free basis and met from existing cash and bank facilities.

On the downside, sports betting and gaming group GVC Holdings slumped as it said it has made a provision of around €200m in its 2017 financial accounts after its Greek subsidiary received a €186.77m tax bill for 2010 and 2011. The company, which pointed out that it was one of a number of online gaming operators that had been hit with a Greek tax bill, said it plans to appeal the assessment.

HICL Infrastructure slipped as it updated the market on its operations following the collapse of Carillion earlier in the month, reporting that its priority is the continuation of services to public sector clients and the users of the facilities at the affected PPP projects.

Precious metals miners Fresnillo and Randgold Resources lost their shine as gold and silver prices retreated.

On the broker note front, Goldman made some changes to its stance on utility and water stocks, upgrading National Grid to 'neutral' and initiated covered of Severn Trent, United Utilities and Pennon at 'sell' and 'neutral', respectively.

Meanwhile, building materials group CRH was lifted to 'neutral' by Exane BNP Paribas while WPP was initiated at 'underperform' by Bank of America Merrill Lynch.


Share Tips for 2018

The Share Centre’s investment research analyst Ian Forrest, comments on five equities, an investment trust as well as an ETF that our expert research team think could flourish in 2018.  Read more. Capital at risk.


Europe Market Report
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Europe open: Stocks open higher ahead of Trump Davos speech

European shares opened slightly higher as investors awaited US President Donald Trump's speech to the Davos summit and the pound rose against the euro after comments from UK central bank chief Mark Carney.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 was up 0.76 points to 399.3 at 0838 GMT.

The pound shot up on Friday morning as Carney said he could see a "conscious re-coupling" between the UK and the booming world economy and defended his gloomy Brexit predictions.

Sterling spiked on Friday morning, and by 0745 GMT was up 0.7% against the dollar at 1.4261, notching up highs not seen since before the Brexit referendum. The pound was up 0.1% versus the euro at 1.1420.

Trump, due to address the Davos talkfest of the business elite on Friday, was expected to promote the booming post tax cut US economy as a place to trade with in his address to delegates.

In corporate news, Financial technology firm Temenos Group led the Stoxx 600 risers. The company has been the suject of takeover rumours in recent days.

Luxury goods maker LVMH was also in the black after delivering better-than-expected sales growth in the fourth quarter as it sales in China provided a lift.

The French company said sales rose 11% between October and December on a like-for-like basis.

Sector peer Christian Dior rose in Sympathy, with the shares up 2.7% in early trade.

Shares in sports betting and gaming group GVC Holdings fell sharply after the company said it had made a provision of around €200m in its 2017 financial accounts after its Greek subsidiary received a €186.77m tax bill for 2010 and 2011.


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Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 2.35
2 BOO Boohoo.com 1.90
3 XBT Provider AB 1.86
4 LGEN Legal & General Group plc 1.49
5 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 1.18
6 LION Lionsgold Limited 1.15
7 VRS Versarien plc 1.14
8 XBT Provider AB 1.12
9 DTY Dignity plc 1.11
10 PFG Provident Financial plc 1.08

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 2.33
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 2.26
3 XBT Provider AB 1.73
4 XBT Provider AB 1.27
5 GKN GKN plc 1.24
6 IQE IQE plc 1.20
7 Verizon Communications Inc 1.17
8 BOO Boohoo.com 1.02
9 PMO Premier Oil Plc 0.96
10 LION Lionsgold Limited 0.96

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Cryptocurrencies Report

Top Cryptocurrencies

# Name Market Cap($) Price(%) Change Price Graph(3m)
1 Bitcoin (BTC) 186,734,712,765 10,920 -2.07%
2 Ethereum (ETH) 101,769,003,298 1,036 -0.97%
3 Ripple (XRP) 46,862,353,667 1.19 -8.4%
4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH) 27,120,173,080 1,569 -3.65%

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US Market Report

US open: Stocks rise as investors shrug off GDP; Intel surges

US stocks rose on Friday, with strong results from Intel helping to underpin the mood following the release of disappointing fourth-quarter growth figures, as the dollar came off lows.

At 1610 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.2% to 26,071.72, the S&P 500 was 0.5% higher at 2,853.62 and the Nasdaq was up 0.6% to 7,458.84.

Preliminary data out earlier from the Commerce Department showed the US economy grew more slowly than expected in the final quarter of last year. Gross domestic product rose at an annualised rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2017 following 3.2% growth in the previous quarter and 3.1% in the second quarter, missing expectations of 3% growth.

Compared with a year earlier, GDP grew 2.5% in the final three months of last year, marking the strongest calendar year for economic growth since 2014.

Personal consumption expenditures rose at an annual rate of 3.8% in the fourth quarter compared to 2.2% growth in the third, with spending on goods the highest in more than a decade.

But investors were happy to shrug off the news, focusing instead on a stellar performance from Intel, which surged nearly 10% after better-than-expected quarterly earnings on Thursday

Elsewhere, Rockwell Collins nudged up after its first-quarter earnings and sales exceeded estimates.

Honeywell rose after lifting its 2018 earnings outlook, while Nike edged up following a report that William Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management has taken a stake in the group.

Colgate-Palmolive weakened, however, as its fourth-quarter organic sales fell short of expectations and Starbucks fell after its same-store sales released late on Thursday missed expectations.

Market participants were also digesting President Trump's speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, during which he said the US will no longer turn a blind eye to unfair trade practices.

Trump pledged to always put the US first but said this does not mean America alone.

"I'm here to deliver a simple message - there has never been a better time to hire, to build, to invest and to grow in the United States. America is open for business and we are competitive once again."

In currency markets, the dollar was still under the cosh but paring some of its earlier losses against the pound and the euro as it found some support from Trump's remarks, after he said that ultimately he wants the currency to be strong.

IG analyst Chris Beauchamp said: "Mr Trump seems almost neutral on the currency, but at least he didn't talk it down even more. With non-farm payrolls and a Fed meeting next week, the time could be ripe for a dollar rebound in the near-term, but don't write off the bear market in the greenback just yet ."


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Broker Tips

Broker tips: Gem Diamonds, Asos, Ocado

Canaccord Genuity lifted its price target on Gem Diamonds to 120p from 95p on Friday, keeping the stock at ‘speculative buy’, saying the frequency of the recovery of large stones has been greater than it expected.

This means that revenue should be above the brokerage's initial forecasts. Canaccord said it has reworked its forecasts, building in additional revenue of $55m in FY18 to reflect three +100ct stones and the 910ct recovered this year.

"While near-term strength in the ZAR (below 12:1 to the USD for the first time since mid-2015 due mainly to a weaker USD, but also helped by political changes in South Africa) is a headwind given it boosts USD costs, our valuation rises and pushes our price target to 120p (from 95p).

"We have reduced the weighting of the PE and EV/EBITDA measures in our price target setting to reflect our view that the 910ct may not be repeated and thus FY18 EPS may be 'artificially' boosted, but we continue to assume that the incidence of +100ct Type IIa diamonds will continue to increase."

Gem Diamonds made two announcements of diamond discoveries this month. The first was "an exceptional quality" 910 carat, D colour Type IIa diamond while the second was an "exceptional quality" 149 carat, D colour Type IIa diamond, both form the Letseng mine.

 

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