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Jan 12, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 12 January 2018 20:07:31
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Share Tips for 2018

The Share Centre’s investment research analyst Ian Forrest, comments on five equities, an investment trust as well as an ETF that our expert research team think could flourish in 2018.  Read more. Capital at risk.


London Market Report
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London close: Stocks, pound climb in tandem on Brexit optimism

London stocks managed to carve out small gains, with the top-flight index hitting a record intraday high, even as pound jumped to its best level since the referendum after it was reported that Spain and Holland would back a soft Brexit deal.

The FTSE 100 was up by 0.20% or 15.70 points at 7,778.64 by the close of trading, having hit a record intraday high of 7,782.89 earlier, above Thursday's closing record of 7,762.94.

In parallel, the pound jumped 1.16% versus the greenback to 1.36924 and was 0.32% higher against the euro at 1.1289.

Meanwhile, the second-tier index added 0.59% or 121.43 points to 20,859.35.

Triggering the move in Sterling, Bloomberg reported that Spanish economy minister Luis de Guindos and his Dutch equivalent Wopke Hoekstra met throughout the week to discuss their Brexit positions as both nations became concerned about the potential impact from higher tariffs and the implications of any agreement for the EU budget.

"Though the Commission proclaims the indissoluble unity of the 27, it has become increasingly clear this week that there are cracks in the edifice. Various member states have made noises about seeking a sensible post-Brexit partnership with the UK, and it looks like Madrid and Amsterdam have broken cover to back a deal to minimise any disruption from the UK's departure," said Chris Beauchamp at IG.

"Even with renewed sterling strength the FTSE 100 has been able to clamber to a new high. Bullishness is rampant among investors, who appear to be tripping over themselves in a race to buy US and UK equities."

Helping to boost sentiment as well, earlier in the session it was announced that German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservative Christian Democratic Union bloc and the Social Democrats had agreed to a blueprint for formal coalition negotiations.

Stateside, the government reported that 'core' consumer prices riose by 0.3% month-on-month in December (consensus: 0.2%), helping to push two-year US government bond yields past the 2.0% mark for the first time since 2008.

Despite that, the US dollar index was weaker and just off its 52-week lows, as markets continued to fully price-in just two more interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2018, albeit with a decent chance of a third.

Acting as a backdrop, overnight the People's Bank of China reported a drop in new yuan loans in the country from 1.12trn in November to 584.4bn for December (consensus: 1.0trn).

On the UK corporate front, the share up-swell was led by GKN, which surged nearly 27% after the company said it has rejected a bid proposal from Melrose Industries and appointed Anne Stevens as chief executive, as it announced plans to separate its aerospace and automotive businesses. Melrose shares were up 5%.

Inhaler maker Vectura was in the black following press reports that GlaxoSmithKline is looking to make a bid for the company.

Smiths Group was on the front foot as it said the net impact of the new US tax legislation on the group would be "favourable over the medium term".

Bovis Homes edged up after saying it built a lower number of homes in 2017 but reporting much improvement in its balance sheet and in customer satisfaction after the controversy that saw its previous chief executive depart under a cloud last summer.

Discount retailer B&M European Value racked up healthy gains as it reported a strong quarter of growth in the pre-Christmas period, helped by 22 new store openings and keeping prices low in the UK and Germany.

Restaurant and pub chain owner Mitchells & Butlers was in the black after saying that trading through the core three week festive season was "strong", with LFL sales growth of 3.9%.

In broker note action, Mondi and Superdry were boosted by upgrades from Investec and Stifel, respectively, while SSP was higher after an upgrade at JPMorgan.

Rotork benefited from an upgrade at HSBC, but TUI was hit by a downgrade to 'neutral' at JPMorgan.


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Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 SOPH Sophos Group plc 3.28
2 LGEN Legal & General Group plc 2.11
3 BOO Boohoo.com 1.90
4 OXB Oxford Biomedica plc 1.16
5 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 1.10
6 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 1.08
7 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.05
8 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 0.96
9 XBT Provider AB 0.96
10 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 0.87

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 2.14
2 BOO Boohoo.com 1.63
3 BP. BP Plc 1.14
4 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.09
5 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 0.87
6 PLUS Plus500 Ltd 0.87
7 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 0.84
8 BT.A BT Group plc 0.84
9 IQE IQE plc 0.82
10 XBT Provider AB 0.81

Cryptocurrencies Report

Top Cryptocurrencies

# Name Market Cap($) Price(%) Change Price Graph(3m)
1 Bitcoin (BTC) 229,498,486,080 13,765.24 -5.06%
2 Ethereum (ETH) 120,550,849,943 1,255.87 -3.15%
3 Ripple (XRP) 76,173,551,292 1.97 +4.51%
4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH) 42,881,403,849 2,569.6 -9.94%

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US Market Report

US open: Stocks continue to push higher as dollar slips back

Wall Street's main market gauges are continuing to push higher, helped by another drop in the US dollar and as investors sift through earnings from the likes of JPMorgan and Wells Fargo.

As of 1558 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrials Average was up by 0.72% or 183.66 to 25,758.35, alongside an advance of 0.42% or 11.63 points to 2,779.17 on the S&P 500 and a gain of 0.46% or 33.25 points in the Nasdaq Composite to 7,244.33.

In parallel, the US dollar spot index was falling 0.62% to 91.28 and trading just off its 52-week low of 91.01, even as yields on 2-year Treasury notes topped the 2.0% mark for the first time since 2008 after the government reported a larger-than-expected 0.3% rise in 'core' consumer prices.

That reading on the cost of living in the US came alongside a stronger-than-expected 0.4% month-on-month reading on December retail sales, which was also boosting sentiment.

From a sector standpoint, the best performing areas of the market were: Coal (3.88%), Forestry&Paper (2.27%) and Oil Equipment services (2.09%).

Dragging the dollar to a three-year low against the euro was news of a breakthrough in German coalition talks after Angela Merkel's conservative Christian Democratic Union bloc and the Social Democrats agreed to a blueprint for formal coalition negotiations.

GKFX analyst David Morrison said investors were hopeful the US earnings season will provide yet more ammunition for another push higher.

"The major indices continue to record fresh record closes on an almost daily basis now. The latest leg of the rally coming in the wake of Trump's tax reforms which passed through Congress last month.

"[...] Traders continue to disregard warnings that the market is seriously overvalued while low volatility is disguising dangers inherent in the current frothy environment. Investors are still prepared to extend their exposure to stocks even as developed world central banks withdraw the monetary stimulus which boosted risk assets in the first place."

On the corporate front, earnings season kicked off in style, with money manager BlackRock posting better-than-expected fourth-quarter profit.

Shares of JPMorgan Chase were also active after its fourth-quarter earnings surpassed analysts' expectations, with earnings per share of $1.76 versus forecasts of $1.69.

Wells Fargo also posted better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings per share of $1.16, but that was not enough to push the shares to a fresh 52-week high.

Banking giants Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were scheduled to release their latest earnings next week.

Elsewhere, stock in Facebook was down after the company announced plans to prioritise meaningful social interaction over branded content. In a post on the site, chief executive Mark Zuckerberg said branded content was "crowding out the personal moments that lead us to connect more with each other".

Dow Jones - Risers

Boeing Co. (BA) $334.99 2.11%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $197.80 1.60%
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) $58.50 1.56%
3M Co. (MMM) $245.60 1.36%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $89.26 1.34%
Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $227.74 1.04%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $133.71 1.04%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $100.91 0.89%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $145.92 0.78%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $111.56 0.65%

Dow Jones - Fallers

General Electric Co. (GE) $18.90 -0.63%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $89.72 -0.48%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $43.31 -0.23%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $52.05 -0.12%
American Express Co. (AXP) $100.65 -0.08%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $164.14 -0.04%
Dowdupont Inc. (DWDP) $75.21 -0.01%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $173.39 0.00%
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $46.05 0.02%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $132.72 0.11%

S&P 500 - Risers

Target Corp. (TGT) $76.52 3.41%
Kohls Corp. (KSS) $63.14 3.30%
Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) $96.54 3.20%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $50.49 3.03%
Nordstrom Inc. (JWN) $51.51 2.84%
Blackrock Inc. (BLK) $552.57 2.72%
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) $113.98 2.36%
Gen Dynamics Corp. (GD) $210.25 2.31%
Gap Inc. (GPS) $33.94 2.27%
Frontier Communications Co. (FTR) $7.89 2.18%

S&P 500 - Fallers

GameStop Corp. (GME) $17.91 -10.28%
AFLAC Inc. (AFL) $85.70 -6.53%
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) $72.59 -4.82%
Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) $12.81 -4.15%
Facebook Inc. (FB) $180.43 -3.91%
Spectra Energy Corp. (SE) $13.78 -3.16%
Varian Medical Systems Inc. (VAR) $108.29 -2.91%
Amer Water Works (AWK) $82.29 -2.89%
Ventas Inc. (VTR) $54.89 -2.38%
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN) $5.41 -2.08%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers

Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $50.73 3.52%
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) $114.09 2.46%
American Airlines Group (AAL) $57.78 2.42%
Amazon.Com Inc. (AMZN) $1,298.52 1.71%
Illumina Inc. (ILMN) $244.10 1.69%
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) $254.45 1.69%
Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) $192.10 1.68%
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) $83.74 1.43%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $220.25 1.39%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $89.29 1.37%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers

Facebook Inc. (FB) $180.07 -4.10%
Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) $42.20 -0.94%
Shire Plc Ads (SHPG) $147.25 -0.78%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) $157.21 -0.75%
Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) $418.45 -0.69%
Tesla Inc (TSLA) $335.82 -0.63%
Cintas Corp. (CTAS) $161.18 -0.53%
QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM) $65.16 -0.41%
Mylan Inc. (MYL) $46.52 -0.41%


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Broker Tips

Broker tips: G4S, BP, Shell, Ashtead

Security services and solutions outsourcer G4S is approaching a trough in its growth profile thanks to its leadership position in the cash handling market, supported by quicker growth in emerging markets, analysts at UBS said.

On the back of all of the above, the Swiss broker lifted its target for the shares from 300p to 310p and raised its recommendation for the stock from 'neutral' to 'buy'.

In fact, excluding one-off installation work, growth had been relatively stable at between 2% and 4%, and as it began delivering on its pipeline of new cash solutions that would accelerate to between 5% and 6% over the second half of 2018, with an inflection point being reached during the second quarter, UBS said.

"Our detailed review indicates G4S's solution is more developed than those of its peers (bank agnostic). The growth should be a net positive for margins, given the high-margin service component: we forecast 15bps/10bps of margin expansion in 2018/19," Bilal Aziz, Rory McKenzie and Denis Moreau said in a research note sent to clients.

There was also upside to be had from consolidation in its industry given the structural trend towards lower rates of cash usage.

 

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