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Jan 19, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 19 January 2018 19:40:35
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Share Tips for 2018

The Share Centre’s investment research analyst Ian Forrest, comments on five equities, an investment trust as well as an ETF that our expert research team think could flourish in 2018.  Read more. Capital at risk.


London Market Report
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London close: Dip in pound offsets weakness in retailers

London stocks were boosted on Friday by weakness in the pound, which slipped following the release of disappointing retail data that added to the sector's woes alongside a profit warning from Carpetright.

The FTSE 100 was up 0.39% to 7,730.79 as the pound fell 0.22% against the dollar to 1.3860 and 0.19% versus the euro to 1.1331. The top-flight index tends to benefit from a weaker sterling as around 70% of its constituents derive most of their earnings from overseas.

Retail shares were under pressure from woeful official data from the Office for National Statistics and after small-cap flooring specialist Carpetright issued its second profit warning in as many months, with trading in its important post-Christmas period reported to be "significantly behind expectations".

Shares in the company fell more than 40%, while more bad news came out of the sector as budget womenswear retailer Bonmarche posted a drop in sales over the Christmas period amid a "challenging" clothing market.

B&Q owner Kingfisher, Next, Marks & Spencer, Card Factory and Dixons Carphone were therefore already in the red when ONS data showed industry sales sank sharply last month in the worst December performance for seven years as households continued to feel the real income squeeze.

A 1.6% fall in retail sales volumes in December compared to the preceding month was worse than the 1.1% dip the market expected and came after the previous month's Black Friday-boosted growth was revised to 1.1%. It was the biggest monthly drop since June 2016 as well as being the worst festive result since 2010.

Year on year, retail sales were up 1.3%, which was down from the previous month's 1.5% and well short of the 2.6% consensus forecast.

The fall in sales was led by a 1.3% month-to-month decline in non-food sales, a 1.1% drop in food stores sales and a 4.8% decline in quantities not bought in-store.

IG analyst Joshua Mahony said: "Today's figures should be taken with a pinch of salt, with the deterioration coming amid a shift in shopping trends, towards the black Friday/cyber Monday fuelled November rather than last minute pre-Christmas spending in December."

Also on the high street, funeral provider Dignity saw its shares tank as it issued a profit warning and announced a 25% price cut in its simple funerals and a freeze on the cost of traditional ceremonies, blaming stiff competition.

Elsewhere, HSBC was edging higher as it agreed a financial settlement with the US Department of Justice to wipe the slate clean after an investigation into the bank's foreign exchange division discovered confidential client information was misused for the bank's own profit in 2010 and 2011.

AstraZeneca was unchanged after the drugmaker announced Japanese regulatory approval for Fasenra as an add-on treatment for bronchial asthma in patients, as well as for its Merck partnership's Lynparza tablets as a maintenance therapy for patients with platinum-sensitive relapsed ovarian cancer

Motor and home insurer Esure edged up after it said chief executive Stuart Vann has left the company with immediate effect as it "evolves" its strategy, with founder and chairman Peter Wood taking a more active role. Trading was also reported to be in line with expectations.

British Land slipped as it appointed Simon Carter - currently chief financial officer at Logicor - as its new CFO, succeeding Lucinda Bell.

Fevertree Drinks fizzed higher amid takeover talk and as Jefferies initiated coverage of the stock at 'buy'.

EasyJet flew higher after an upgrade to 'overweight' at Morgan Stanley, while InterContinental Hotels was lifted by an upgrade to 'buy' at Goldman Sachs.


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What does the year hold for these 10 blue chips?

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Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 RMG Royal Mail PLC 6.54
2 BP. BP Plc 5.31
3 NG. National Grid 5.19
4 RDSB Royal Dutch Shell Plc B Shares 4.49
5 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 1.45
6 ULVR Unilever plc 1.40
7 CLLN Carillion plc 1.23
8 WTAN Witan Investment Trust 1.20
9 BOO Boohoo.com 1.18
10 SOPH Sophos Group plc 1.08

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 2.81
2 CLLN Carillion plc 2.80
3 BOO Boohoo.com 1.54
4 GKN GKN plc 1.49
5 XBT Provider AB 1.45
6 PMO Premier Oil Plc 1.17
7 IQE IQE plc 1.09
8 XBT Provider AB 1.05
9 GLEN Glencore plc 0.82
10 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 0.80

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Cryptocurrencies Report

Top Cryptocurrencies

# Name Market Cap($) Price(%) Change Price Graph(3m)
1 Bitcoin (BTC) 191,756,275,715 11,285.78 +2.67%
2 Ethereum (ETH) 100,113,405,839 1,029.86 +6.41%
3 Ripple (XRP) 59,396,403,324 1.51 +12.59%
4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH) 29,957,914,455 1,740.98 -1.31%

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US Market Report

US open: Stocks higher even as government shutdown looms

Wall Street's main market gauges are trading mostly higher despite a downbeat close the day before, as investors put aside their concerns about a possible government shutdown ahead of a key Senate vote.

By 1639 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was off by 0.21% or 54.52 points to 25,963.40, alongside a gain of 0.12% or 3.05 points in the S&P 500 to 2,800.94 and an advance of 0.26% or 18.57 points for the Nasdaq Composite to 7,311.38.

Overnight, the House of Representatives voted 230-197 to pass a one-month spending bill, but it could be derailed if there was enough opposition in the Senate.

The Senate had taken an initial vote but needs an additional procedural step that requires 60 votes, meaning the Republicans needed the help of at least nine Democrats to pass the bill.

IG analyst Joshua Mahony said: "Tensions are rising amid a potential government shutdown in the US, with the senate failing to even schedule a vote, let alone pass a vote to stave off another shutdown. Despite a proposition from the House to provide a stopgap solution, there is clear opposition from the Democrats in the Senate, with the immigration policy DACA at the centre of the fight. With an agreement needed by midnight, there is a real possibility that we will see a shutdown, helping drive the US dollar lower once more."

Dr.Harm Bandholz at UniCredit Research concurred, pointing out how recent poll results showing broad support for young immigrants under the aegis of the DACA programme enjoyed wide support from Americans, meaning Democrats were likely more than happy to play 'hardball' over the issue.

Polls conducted by CBS and Quinnipiac over the last few days had shown 87% and 73% of Americans, respectovely, in support of DACA.

Nevertheless, the impact on the economy would be "very limited" and while embarassing for the US, financial markets would likely not be perturbed by another display of Washington's dysfunctionality, said Dr.Bandholz.

In corporate news, IBM was under the cosh after reporting a fourth-quarter loss late on Thursday on the back of a one-off $5bn charge from the new US tax system.

American Express was also in focus after posting its first quarterly loss in more than a quarter-century and saying it would suspend its share buybacks.

Schlumberger was also seeing an active day after the oilfield services company's fourth-quarter adjusted profit and revenue beat analysts' expectations.


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Broker Tips

Broker tips: Halfords, Fevertree Drinks, Easyjet

Canaccord Genuity upped its stance on Halfords to 'buy' from 'hold' on Friday, lifting the price target to 436p from 370p following the company's third-quarter update a day earlier.

The brokerage said that after six years of not really going anywhere, FY19 should see a return to positive momentum, with earnings per share growth of 14%, followed by 10% in FY20 and risks to the upside.

"We take heart from Halfords' ability to drive Q3 like-for-like volume growth in bikes even as its prices go up 6-7% (versus the market up 10-15% and down on volumes). We think that this dynamic should lead to margin expansion in FY19E and beyond, even taking account of product mix."

 

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