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Apr 9, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 09 April 2018 11:00:28
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London open: Stocks edge up in quiet trade; deals for Rathbone and eOne
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London stocks edged up in early trade on Monday, taking their cue from an upbeat session in Asia on what looked set to be a very quiet day.

At 0830 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 0.2% to 7,195.97, while the pound was up 0.1% against the euro at 1.1487 and flat versus the dollar at 1.4095.

An early glitch with the London Stock Exchange's Regulatory News Service meant that very few corporate releases were out early on Monday. Just 11 updates had been issued by 0810 BST but a quarter of an hour later, the RNS floodgates finally opened.

Analyst Jasper Lawler at London Capital Group looked back to last week's steep declines on Wall Street that were shrugged off in Asian markets overnight, to set the scene for a positive open for European shares. "US shares had initially held up relatively after President Donald Trump threatened another $100bn in tariffs against China. Few were willing to hold on over the weekend after US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin acknowledged the possibility of a trade war. Trump tweeted over the weekend with respect to China that ‘taxes will become reciprocal & a deal will be made on intellectual property’. Trump’s softened stance offers some hope for calm in his trade dispute with China.

"Compounding the issue, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell showed no signs of support for markets by indicating the Fed would push ahead with more rate hikes this year. The new Fed chair seems determined not to be swayed by argument of tighter ‘financial conditions’ generated by lower stock prices and higher bond yields. It may take another 10% decline in US indices to truly test Powell’s nerve."

The main focus this week will be the release of US inflation figures and the latest FOMC minutes on Wednesday. With little else to look to, "the markets may be left at the mercy of Trump’s itchy Twitter trigger finger, especially any further thoughts on his touching relationship with Xi," said Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell.

In what little corporate news was available initially, Rolls-Royce gained ground after agreeing to sell its wholly-owned subsidiary L’Orange, a parts maker, to US-based Woodward for an enterprise value of €700m (£610m).

Wealth manager Rathbone Brothers was on the front foot after confirming market rumours that it was in takeover talks with Scottish stockbroker Speirs & Jeffrey Limited. Rathbone said no binding offer had been made and there can be “no certainty that any binding offer will be made nor that agreement will be reached with the Board and shareholders of Speirs & Jeffrey”.

Once the RNS floodgates opened, Peppa Pig rights owner Entertainment One was trotting higher after announcing the acquisition of a 70% controlling stake in Whizz Kid Entertainment, a UK-based non-scripted television production company.

Centamin Gold lost its shine after its preliminary production results for the first quarter, which showed gold output was down 19% on the quarter but up 14% on the year.

Royal Mail ticked a touch lower following reports that chief executive officer Moya Greene was set to step down, but Barclays edged up after Sky News suggested the bank’s chairman will make an exit next year.

In broker note action, BHP Billiton was upgraded to ‘buy’ at Societe Generale but Anglo American was cut to ‘hold’.

Elsewhere, Renishaw was lifted to ‘hold’ at Peel Hunt, while IMI was upgraded to ‘add’. GVC Holdings was initiated at ‘hold’ by HSBC.


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Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.18%
 
cur price
7,196.23
 
change
+12.59
 
 
change pct
+0.38%
 
cur price
19,605.00
 
change
+74.83
 
 
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+0.43%
 
cur price
3,329.62
 
change
+14.34

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1ITV Plc+1.49%+2.20150.30
2International Consolidated Airlines Group +1.36%+8.40624.00
3Pearson Plc+1.32%+9.80750.80
4Burberry Group+1.25%+21.001,697.50
5Rolls-Royce Holdings+1.24%+10.80878.80
6WPP Plc+1.12%+13.001,175.50
7Bunzl Plc+1.10%+23.002,113.00
8CRH Plc+1.00%+24.002,428.00
9Sage Group+0.98%+6.40662.00
10Royal Bank Of Scotland+0.92%+2.40263.40

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Glencore-2.16%-7.60343.55
2Smurfit Kappa Group-0.78%-24.003,034.00
3Fresnillo plc-0.76%-9.501,232.50
4Anglo American-0.72%-11.601,606.80
5Imperial Brands-0.55%-14.002,540.50
6British Petroleum-0.46%-2.30496.10
7Micro Focus International-0.44%-5.001,123.50
8Randgold Resources-0.42%-24.005,634.00
9BHP Billiton-0.42%-5.801,383.00
10Coca Cola HBC AG-0.41%-11.002,696.00

Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 9.4.18: Cryptos start the week with a recovery

Following significant losses seen to end last week, cryptocurrency markets recovered over the weekend, as all top 10 cryptocurrencies were in the green at the time of writing....

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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
+2.20%
mktcap
121.34B
volume
62270.82T
price
7,155.10
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
+8.15%
mktcap
41.68B
volume
14013.54T
price
425.54
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
+3.16%
mktcap
19.89B
volume
7197.97T
price
0.51
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
+3.45%
mktcap
11.54B
volume
3843.01T
price
674.46
#5 Litecoin (LTC)
change
+3.16%
mktcap
6.84B
volume
8048.86T
price
120.74

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US close: Investors play it safe as trade tensions resurface

Trade jitters weighed on US stockmarkets again heading into the weekend, with weaker-than-expected readings on the state of the US jobs market for March doing little to buoy sentiment, leading some investors to opt for playing it safe.

Triggering Friday's falls, overnight the US president instructed the country's Trade Representative, Robert Lighthizer, to consider whether it would be appropriate to slap $100bn-worth of more tariffs on China.

As US Treasury Secretary, Steve Mnuchin explained later in the day, Beijing's decision to retaliate against US tariffs levied on $50bn-worth of Chinese goods, with an identical amount, had been "unfair" and disproportionate, because Beijing's exports to America were more than triple those from the States.

In an interview with broadcaster CNBC, Mnuchin also indicated there was a "level of risk" that the two countries might slide into a trade War.

Against that backdrop, by the closing bell the Dow Jones Industrial Average had fallen 2.34% or 572.46 points to end the session at 23,932.76, while the S&P 500 had erased all of its gains for the week, finishing 2.19% or 58.37 points lower on the day at 2,604.47, alongside a drop for the Nasdaq Composite of 2.28% or 161.44 points to $6,915.11.

To take note of, both Mnuchin and White House economic adviser Robert Kudlow said on Friday that talks were in fact being held with China, contradicting remarks from a spokesman for China's Commerce Ministry earlier in the day.

Rabobank said quick maths suggested that China can't simply call Trump's new bluff.

"Total US goods exports to China were only $130bn last year: they would have to put a tariff on everything and then a little more […] It still has its Treasury holdings [...] let go of the soft basket peg and allow the CNY to depreciate.

"This would slap the US in the face [...] China will ultimately shoot itself in the foot with such a move, but that's virtually always the case with nuclear options. The US-China spat is indeed very reminiscent of the US-NK spat: my red button is bigger than yours!"

Perhaps, but for economists at Barclays Research: "At this juncture, we think it is wise for market participants to take a break from risk and wait to see if this is just a pause that refreshes."

Over the latest four-day stretch, the S&P 500 lost 34 points or 1.37%.

Ten-year US Treasury notes however benefited, with their yield getting pushed down by six basis points on Friday to 2.77%, possibly helped by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell.

Speaking in Chicago, the new central bank chairman said the US jobs market was not "excessively tight".

US job growth slows far more sharply than anticipated

Indeed, earlier in the session the Labor Department had reported that US non-farm payrolls rose by 103,000 in March - the lowest reading in six months - falling far short of economists' forecasts for an increase of 193,000.

Nevertheless, economists at Barclays and Capital Economics largely shrugged off the weak print, with the former reminding clients of the multiple snowstorms that hit the Northeastern US during the first quarter.

For his part, Paul Ashworth, chief economist at Capital Economics pointed out how March's reading followed an upwardly revised gain of 326,000 for February, the strongest reading in two-and-a-half years.

Average hourly earnings meanwhile were 0.3% higher on the month, pushing the year-on-year rate of increase up by one tenth of a percentage point to 2.7% (consensus: 2.8%).

Metals get bashed

On the corporate front, and from a sector stabndpoint, the worst performing segments of the market were: Iron&Steel (-4.01%), Business Training (-3.91%), Marine Transportation (-3.76%), Industrial Metals (-3.62%) and Tires (-3.40%).

At the individual company level meanwhile, Supervalu defied the drag from falls in the wider market on reports that it was studying putting up the 'for sale' sign.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber shares meanwhile dropped 3.35% following a report that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration is looking into allegations that the company covered up the use of potentially faulty tyres that were linked to fatal accidents.

Elsewhere, discount retailer Target dipped 0.37% after agreeing to pay more than $3.7m to settle a racial bias lawsuit.


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Monday newspaper round-up: Growth fears, trade war, IPOs, WPP

Brexit has fallen into second place as the most significant risk facing company bosses for the first time since the EU referendum, as weak domestic growth saps demand for their goods and services. According to a Deloitte survey of chief financial officers (CFOs) at some of the UK’s biggest businesses, companies are now less pessimistic about Brexit after ministers agreed the terms of a transition period with Brussels to smooth Britain’s exit from the EU. - Guardian

Donald Trump has sought to allay fears of a trade war with China by predicting that “a deal will be done” that defuses the tit-for-tat tariff battle that sent markets reeling last week. The world’s two largest economies have threatened each other with tens of billions of dollars of tariffs as relations between the countries appeared to plumb a new low. - The Times

Britain's listed companies are being targeted by ­foreign firms in a global deal-making boom as US companies splash out in the wake of Donald Trump’s huge ­corporate tax cuts. A surge of takeovers in the first quarter saw the number of UK companies targeted from abroad reach its ­highest level since 2015. - Telegraph

European flotations have made a strong start to the year despite the current market uncertainty brought on by a possible trade war between the US and China, rising interest rates and the prospect of tougher regulation on tech firms. Across Europe, the first quarter of the year recorded 67 initial public offerings (IPOs) raising a total of €12.5bn (£10.8bn), up from 54 and €4.6bn in the same period in 2017, according to PWC’s latest survey of flotations. - Guardian

London remains an attractive global hub for initial public offerings, despite concerns about Brexit and trade wars, with a number of large flotations already in the pipeline. Achintya Mangla, at JP Morgan, said 2018 looks likely to be “the year of the IPO”. The head of equity capital markets for Europe, the Middle East and Africa said: “There is activity across all sectors and all geographies. There is a good pipeline with sponsor exits, corporate carve-outs and family-owned businesses lining up to come to market. - The Times

Investors are exploiting turmoil at WPP to push for a break-up of the firm’s sprawling global empire, it is claimed. They are said to be calling for bosses to offload Kantar, its £3.5bn market research arm, and use the cash to pay down debt, launch share buybacks and focus on its core businesses. - Mail

Potential successors to Sir Martin Sorrell, the besieged chief executive of WPP, have been identified in preparations for life after the long-serving boss. Internal candidates have attended board meetings as part of the succession planning and are in contention along with a “constantly refined list of external candidates”. - The Times

A German has been lined up to be the new chief executive of Royal Mail. It is understood that Moya Greene, who has led the privatised national postal company since 2010 and took it through its flotation in 2013, is to step down sooner rather than later. - The Times

A senior private equity executive was approached about taking the job of US budget director a year before his company agreed to loan Jared Kushner’s private family business tens of millions of dollars, according to two sources who spoke to the Guardian. Joshua Harris, the billionaire co-founder of Apollo Global Management, was considered to be a candidate for the job of director of Office of Management and Budget (OMB) shortly after Donald Trump won the 2016 election, according to the sources, who had knowledge of the situation and spoke on the condition of anonymity. - Guardian

Deutsche Bank has ousted its British boss John Cryan and promoted Christian Sewing, the head of its retail arm, to chief executive following boardroom clashes over the lender’s struggling turnaround effort. Mr Cryan will leave at the end of this month, Deutsche Bank announced last night after a meeting of its supervisory board in Frankfurt. Mr Sewing has become chief executive with immediate effect. - Telegraph

High street retailers and restaurants are being targeted by short sellers, with almost a third of the total positions on the stock market in the consumer sector, research has found. The businesses have also been on the end of a 66 per cent rise in the number of short positions over the past three years, while 38 per cent of the top 50 shorted companies last year were consumer companies. - The Times

Facebook and YouTube have been given the cold shoulder by the industry body that measures television audiences, a blow to their attempts to lure advertisers away from traditional broadcasters. The Broadcasters Audience Research Board (BARB), which measures viewing across channels and online video services, said the internet giants were unable to guarantee reliable viewing figures or that adverts would not appear next to offensive videos. - Telegraph

Nationwide and Virgin Money dipped deep into cheap Bank of England ­funding in the final months before the taps turned off on a £127bn scheme. The final figures for the Term Funding Scheme (TFS), which Bank governor Mark Carney launched after the Brexit vote in an effort to help keep interest rates low in the real economy, show how some banks relied on it. - Telegraph

The Government’s effort to bring down the cost of energy by upgrading Britain’s draughtiest homes is under attack after it emerged that cuts to the scheme mean it would take 400 years to complete. Under new plans ministers intend to slash the pace at which the least efficient households will receive insulation upgrades. Better heat conservation can knock hundreds of pounds off a year of electricity and gas bills. - Telegraph

More than half of the world’s reserves of cobalt — a key mineral used in the manufacture of electric vehicles and smartphones — lies beneath the Democratic Republic of Congo. The contest is pitting some of the world’s biggest companies — from Apple of the United States to Volkswagen of Germany, Glencore of Switzerland and Samsung of South Korea — against Chinese groups eager to tie up supplies as they attempt to become world leaders in clean technology. - The Times

North Sea oil bosses will later today face disgruntled rig workers following an unofficial strike at the weekend over working conditions on a multi-billion pound Statoil project. The management of services ­company Aker Solutions will travel ­almost 100 miles off the coast of ­Shetland to the Mariner platform. - Telegraph

The AA chairman sacked for hitting a colleague had earlier faced a police investigation for allegedly punching a woman in the street. Bob Mackenzie struck Catherine Dodkin in the face, splitting her lip, and pushed her against a wall splitting her head open, it is claimed. During the fracas, Mackenzie also allegedly broke his leg after being knocked over by the woman’s boyfriend who tried to protect her. - Mail

Former BHS owner Dominic ­Chappell plans to sue Sir Philip Green and contest a proposed boardroom ban in a bid to repair his “tarnished ­reputation” and resurrect his career. The thrice-bankrupt businessman has lashed out at Insolvency Service plans to stop him from serving as a company director while taking no action against Sir Philip, saying the authority has “not got the guts to go after Green”. - Telegraph

Manor Racing, the failed Formula One team bankrolled by the multimillionaire boss of Ovo Energy, is launching a new venture offering driver experience days. Stephen Fitzpatrick pulled the plug on Manor Racing early last year after the team finished too low in the 2016 championship to secure adequate funding for the 2017 season. - The Times

Marvel films have had an heroic ­impact in Britain, according to ­accounts that show Disney has spent more than £1.3bn to produce elements of the series here over the years. Avengers: Infinity War, the latest blockbuster in the series, is due out this month and filming included ­locations in Glasgow and Durham. - Telegraph

 

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