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Apr 26, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 26 April 2018 17:48:36
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London close: Defensive stocks lead rise as bond yields relent
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London stocks shook off a sluggish start on Thursday to recover most of the previous day's losses as utilities rose as bond yields retreated and Wall Street rallied.

The FTSE 100 gained 42.11 or 0.57% by the close to 7,421.43, while the pound was up 0.4% the euro at 1.1496 and fell, then rose, then fall to end flat against the greenback at 1.3927. Oil prices recovered the previous day's dip, with Brent crude up 0.5% at $74.41.

Sterling gained against the euro as European Central Bank made no changes to policy and bank president Mario Draghi said policymakers "did not discuss monetary policy per se" and insisted the bank could remain accommodative well past September.

Several market analysts put the easing of bond yields as a key factor supporting equities on the day, including Joshua Mahony at IG, with the US 10-year treasury yield "a driving force behind the choppy price action this week, with the rise through 3% raising fears there would be an exodus from the equity space, shrinking business investment, and rising costs for leveraged firms".

"Today's drop in the 10Y yield has helped banish some of the market fears over the negative economic impact of increasing rates, with the fall towards 2.9% raising hopes we will break the recent trend after almost two weeks of daily gains," he said.

Jasper Lawler at London Capital Group noted that utilities firms were top risers on the FTSE 100 as bond yields came down.

This saw cigarette makers Imperial Brands and BAT and water companies United Utilities and Severn Trent atop the leaderboard, the latter in spite of a highly critical report that blamed the industry for a lack of investment that is likely to see any drought in coming summers resulting in large parts of the country having their water cut off. The National Infrastructure Commission blamed a lack of investment by the water industry, piling further pressure on a sector already under fire from regulator Ofwat.

Centrica racked up healthy gains as it emerged that the merger of rivals SSE and Npower could be up for further scrutiny after the Competition and Markets Authority's initial Phase 1 investigation found that the rivalry between the large energy companies was an "important factor" in how they set tariffs.

Oil giant BP pushed up as it appointed former BG Group and Statoil boss Helge Lund as its new chairman, succeeding Carl-Henric Svanberg, with effect from 1 January 2019.

Evraz led the FTSE 100, with the Russian steelmaker's mixed first-quarter trading update doing enough to help the shares continue a rally that began a day earlier after they had fallen around 19% since economic sanctions were imposed on several oligarchs earlier in the month.

Asset manager Schroders was in the black despite saying that asset under management and administration slipped in the first quarter, while Domino's Pizza advanced after serving up an 18% rise in first-quarter sales.

Drax was the top gainer on the FTSE 250 on the back of an upgrade to 'buy' from 'neutral' at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

On the downside, Royal Dutch Shell slipped as it reported a strong rise in first-quarter income thanks to higher oil and gas prices, and growth from its gas and upstream businesses but said less favourable refining market conditions and lower contributions from trading impacted the earnings of the downstream business.

Barclays could not hold onto mid-session gains after it reported revenue down 8% to £5.36bn and a loss due to litigation and conduct items, but said it intended to return more capital to shareholders. Underlying profit crept up 1% in the first quarter, if excluding litigation and conduct items, to £1.73bn.

Taylor Wimpey was in the red after saying demand for new housing has continued to be good through early 2018 and that it remains on track to meet its expectations for the year, but reporting a drop in the sales rate and order book.

Insurer Hastings slumped even as it reported a jump in written premiums as its live customer policies and market share grew, with analysts pointing out that the first-quarter performance shows a slowdown in the growth trajectory for the year.

Antofagasta, Legal & General, Fresnillo, Glencore, Relx, Rolls-Royce, William Hill, Man Group, Weir, Petrofac, IWG, National Express, Spirax-Sarco Engineering and International Public Partnerships were among the companies whose stock went ex-dividend.

Macro data on Thursday was focused on lenders and retailers. Data released in the morning from the financial sector trade body, UK Finance, showed that UK households spent less on credit cards and mortgages for property purchases slumped in March, suggesting increased consumer caution as well as a hit from the Beast from the East. RBS and LLoyds were lower on the day.

Credit card spending fell 1.2% in March from a year earlier to £9.7bn and repayments outstripped new lending in the first quarter. Spending may have been affected by the Siberian weather system - labelled the 'Beast from the East' - that froze Britain and caused a slump in retail sales that month.

Gross mortgage lending fell 2.3% to £20.5bn as the number of approvals for house purchases dropped 21% to 38,710. Remortgage approvals fell 6.4% to 27,057.

Households increased their deposits at banks and building societies by 1.8% to £846.9bn. At high street banks, deposits rose 4.8% to £639.4bn. Overdraft repayments also increased.

The figures suggest households may be exercising caution as the economy slows and amid speculation about when the Bank of England will approve a further increase to interest rates. Transactions in the housing market have fallen sharply, especially in London, as buyers grow wary of paying high prices.

Elsewhere, the latest quarterly distributive trades survey from the CBI showed retail sales growth in the UK missed expectations in April. The retail sales volume balance increased to -2 from the five-month low of -8 in May, falling short of expectations for a balance of +5. The survey found that most retailers expect volumes to increase next Month, with 33% seeing and 8% forecasting a decline, giving a balance of +25.

Anna Leach, CBI head of Economic Intelligence, said: "It's no secret that UK high streets have endured tough trading conditions in recent months, with some big names closing or cutting back. Much of this reflects ongoing structural changes in the sector as well as the continued squeeze on households' real incomes. While conditions have improved for households recently - with real wage growth inching into positive territory - we expect further gains in living standards to remain modest. So the pressure looks set to stay on retailers for the time being."

Next, Marks & Spencer and Sainsbury's were among the risers, but Tesco shares were lower.


Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 26.4.18: Crypto markets experience slowdown

The negative momentum in the crypto market continued over the past 24 hours, and this time Bitcoin caught up. 8 of the top 10 cryptos, including BTC registered losses. At the time...

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
-0.01%
 
cur price
7,378.32
 
change
-1.00
 
 
change pct
+0.39%
 
cur price
20,097.57
 
change
+78.49
 
 
change pct
+0.38%
 
cur price
3,397.72
 
change
+12.72

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Convatec+2.25%+4.80217.80
2Old Mutual+2.18%+5.40253.60
3Centrica+2.00%+2.95150.15
4United Utilities+1.87%+13.40728.20
5Hammerson Plc+1.78%+9.60548.80
6Imperial Brands+1.78%+44.002,516.00
7WPP Plc+1.70%+19.001,135.50
8Severn Trent+1.60%+30.001,899.50
9Associated British Foods+1.59%+42.002,676.00
10Babcock International Group+1.58%+11.40732.60

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Legal & General Group-3.92%-10.90267.50
2Taylor Wimpey-3.89%-7.50185.35
3Antofagasta Plc-2.73%-26.20933.80
4Royal Dutch Shell A-2.35%-59.502,469.00
5Royal Dutch Shell B-2.20%-57.002,531.00
6Glencore-1.76%-6.65370.55
7Fresnillo plc-1.76%-22.501,254.50
8Persimmon-1.48%-40.002,654.00
9Easyjet Plc-1.04%-16.501,563.50
10Berkeley Group Holdings-0.85%-34.003,965.00

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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
-8.81%
mktcap
150.92B
volume
76400.69T
price
8,749.00
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
-8.25%
mktcap
62.81B
volume
26618.62T
price
623.98
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
-10.59%
mktcap
31.8B
volume
8750.81T
price
0.79
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
-2.78%
mktcap
23B
volume
6825.77T
price
1,316.00
#5 EOS (EOS)
change
-0.27%
mktcap
12.29B
volume
18804.25T
price
14.79

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US open: Strong start on Wall Street after jobless claims and durable goods reports impress

Wall Street trading started on a positive note on Thursday, as Facebook jumped at the open following solid quarterly earnings and another strong set of jobless claims and better-than-expected durable goods order numbers.

At 1530 BST, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 were up 0.68% and 0.73%, respectively, while the Nasdaq shot up 1.40%.

Connor Campbell, a financial analyst at SpreadEx, said, "The Dow Jones continued to try and claw back Tuesday night's sizeable losses. The Dow jumped 125 points after the bell, re-crossing 24200, in part boosted by another very strong jobless claims reading and a better than forecast durable goods orders number."

Better-than-expected results from Facebook late in the previous session set the tone after the social media giant said earnings and revenue grew in the first quarter despite the Cambridge Analytica scandal. Revenue in first three months of the year was up 49% compared to the same period a year ago to $11.97bn, surpassing expectations of $11.41bn, while monthly user growth also exceeded forecasts.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, said: "Hurrah for Facebook. The social network's earnings have given risk sentiment a much-needed shot in the arm, with concerns about a drop in advertising revenue allayed for the time being."

Meanwhile, London Capital Group analyst Jasper Lawler said the figures showed that the recent controversy has not led users to leave the network, with Facebook actually proving to be more resilient than most had given it credit for.

Elsewhere, chip maker Advanced Micro Devices jumped 13.65% after reporting better-than-expected quarterly profit late on Tuesday and sounding an upbeat note on its outlook.

Qualcomm was up 1.02% after better-than-expected earnings, as was Ford at 4.29% higher, but eBay retreated 5.70% following a downcast outlook late on Wednesday.

General Motors lost 2.38% despite topping earnings and Hershey lost 0.42% despite sales being boosted by Amplify acquisition.

ConocoPhillips, PepsiCo and UPS were all up in early trading following the release of their quarterly numbers before the opening bell.

Despite the positive tone, market participants continued to keep an eye on government bond yields after the yield on the 10-year Treasury note pushed past 3% earlier this week.

TD Securities said: "The sharp selloff in rates has hijacked market sentiment. The 3% level on the US 10-year does not have any magical properties, but market participants are trying to navigate a global markets regime shift with a toolkit of mostly unstable correlations."

On the data front, in a sign of strength for the US jobs market, initial unemployment claims fell sharply again last week, hitting their lowest level since December 1969.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, initial jobless claims for the week ending on 26 April declined by 24,000 to reach 209,000. Economists had forecast a print of 225,000.

Meanwhile, a key indicator of investment trends in the US rose past forecasts last month, preliminary data from the government showed, although some of the details of the report were a tad weaker-than-expected.

Durable goods orders jumped by 2.6% month-on-month in March to reach $254.9bn, according to the Department of Commerce. That was well above the 1.7% increase that economists had pencilled-in.


Thursday broker round-up

Playtech: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy with a target price of 1,300p.

Hammerson: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy with a target price of 600p.

Intu Properties: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold with a target price of 210p.

Lloyds Banking Group: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy with a target price of 76p.

Boohoo: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Glaxosmithkline: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Shire: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Vodafone Group: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Royal Dutch Shell: RBC Capital Markets reiterates outperform with a target price of 2,800p.

CRH: Numis reiterates add with a target price of 2,870p.

Domino's Pizza: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 458p.

Elementis: Numis reiterates add with a target price of 340p.

Schroders: Numis reiterates hold with a target price of 3,538p.

Ashmore: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 465p.

Lloyds Banking Group: Berenberg reiterates sell with a target price of 60p.

Whitbread: Kepler Cheuvreux reiterates hold with a target price of 4,200p.

 

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