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Apr 3, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 03 April 2018 18:55:30
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London close: FTSE begins second quarter on back foot
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London stocks started the second quarter by adding to the losses of the first, with solid manufacturing data and an upbeat start on Wall Street not proving strong enough catalysts.

The FTSE 100 closed down 26.15 points or 0.4% to 7,030.46, while the pound was up 0.2% against the dollar at 1.4071 and mounted a late surge against the euro, up 0.5% to 1.1474 as traders looked a day ahead to the eurozone inflation reading.

April is set to be a strong month for cable, according to data dug up by BoA Merrill Lynch covering the past 14 years. The pound has gained on the dollar every single year since 2005 in what analysts said last week was the strongest seasonal trend among the currencies of the G10 countries. "This remarkable outperformance covers major events such as the financial crisis, general elections and the Brexit referendum, and suggests to us a consistently strong underlying flow which has trumped these idiosyncratic factors," Merrill said.

Equities had kicked the London session off with heavier losses, taking their cue from weakness on Wall Street, after China hit back at President Trump's levvies by imposing its own tariffs of up to 25% on 128 US imports, including pork and wine. China said the tariffs, which affect around $3bn of imports, were introduced to "safeguard the interests of the country and its industry" and balance the losses caused by the US tariffs.

Still, equities in London managed to pare losses to trade almost flat by early afternoon, as IHS Markit's manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 55.1 in March from a revised 55.0 the month before, beating expectations for a dip to 54.7.

Compared to official data, Markit said this suggested the first quarter as a whole delivered a 0.4-0.5% gain in production volumes, considerably slower than the fourth quarter’s 1.3% growth.

Input cost inflation and output charges eased slightly in March though remained high. Business optimism held steady at an elevated level, with over 54% of companies expecting output to expand over the coming 12 months.

"The latest PMI survey provided further evidence that UK manufacturing has entered a softer growth phase so far this year," said IHS director Rob Dobson.

"Although the pace of output expansion ticked higher in March, which is especially encouraging given the heavy snowfall during the month, this was offset by slower increases in new orders and employment. Average rates of increase over the opening quarter as a whole are also down noticeably from the growth spurt seen at the end of 2017."

Traders were seeing the mood as 'neutral', suggested Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG. "Investors have run through a selection of ‘reasons to be fearful’ over the past eight weeks, with the narrative changing as fast as the price," he said.

"Inflation scare, tariff wars, Facebook hacking, tariff wars again, and now concerns over Amazon, have all been cited as the culprits. In truth the market was merely overexposed and primed for a drop. Sentiment has moved back towards neutral, if not yet completely fearful, providing attractive risk-reward for those prepared to buy on weakness. Valuations are back to early 2016 levels for a number of indices, which should encourage more buying, while the upcoming earnings season should remind us all of the overall health of corporate USA."

In UK corporate news, Sky was trading higher as Twenty-First Century Fox offered up more concessions in its bid for the broadcaster, proposing either to ringfence Sky News or sell it to Walt Disney.

Shares in Fidessa surged on the FTSE 250 after the financial technology group said it has received approaches from two separate third parties who are considering making an offer for the company that trumps the one made by Switzerland's Temenos in February.

 

Randgold Resources gained as it said that intermittent industrial action by the workforce of its mining subcontractor was having "some" impact on operations at its Tongon gold mine, but confirmed the company's 2018 outlook remained within guidance.

Petrofac was up after being awarded a lump-sum engineering, procurement and construction contract by Vedanta Limited valued at around $233m.

AstraZeneca recovered from earlier losses, helped by news that US and European regulators have accepted applications for its cancer treatments, moxetumomab pasudotox and lynparza. A report in The Times that it and Shire have made millions of pounds in "secret" payments to healthcare professionals and organisations initially weighed on the shares but was later shrugged off.

On the downside, Anglo American ticked lower after suspending its Minas-Rio iron ore operation in Brazil following two pipeline leaks were found last month.

Engineer GKN was under the cosh after some weekend headlines about potential governmental intervention in the Melrose takeover. Newspapers have alluded to divisions in the cabinet, with Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson under pressure to intervene in the deal as GKN is a supplier to the Ministry of Defence, with implications suggested about potential national security issues.

Analysts at Olivetree Financial, however, said these tales are more to do with political ambition than a genuine threat to the deal. They pointed out that the whole defence arm of the aerospace division only employs around 750 people out of the 52,000 currently employed by GKN, with low volumes and "basically insignificant" revenues "and yet is the only part that it is really possible to argue there is any national security element surrounding".

Outsourcer Capita was the worst performer in the FTSE 350, in the red again after it emerged last week that British Airways had opted to keep its call centres in Newcastle and Manchester in-house, dashing expectations that the operations would be outsourced to Capita. In addition, investors were waiting for further details on the company's rights issue, which are due to be laid out with its full-year results on 26 April.

Spectris retreated after announcing the acquisition of US-based automotive test system and service provider Revolutionary Engineering for $19m.

In broker note action, Intertek and CMC Markets were both upgraded by Shore Capital, while Barclays was lifted to 'buy' at Investec and given a strong write-up by Morgan Stanley, while TP Icap was upped to 'outperform' at Macquarie.

 

Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,030.46 -0.37%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 19,398.01 -0.32%
techMARK (TASX) 3,250.57 -0.40%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Micro Focus International (MCRO) 1,011.00p 2.45%
Sky (SKY) 1,325.00p 2.12%
Smurfit Kappa Group (SKG) 2,928.00p 1.60%
Sage Group (SGE) 644.40p 0.88%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 65.13p 0.73%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 2,443.50p 0.72%
Glencore (GLEN) 356.25p 0.69%
AstraZeneca (AZN) 4,926.00p 0.62%
Coca-Cola HBC AG (CDI) (CCH) 2,649.00p 0.61%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,630.50p 0.54%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Mediclinic International (MDC) 573.40p -4.59%
GKN (GKN) 446.20p -3.63%
Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust (SMT) 428.00p -3.21%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,240.50p -2.21%
Centrica (CNA) 139.25p -2.07%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 856.40p -1.95%
Whitbread (WTB) 3,630.00p -1.89%
G4S (GFS) 243.50p -1.85%
Prudential (PRU) 1,748.50p -1.77%
Shire Plc (SHP) 3,507.50p -1.76%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Fidessa Group (FDSA) 4,170.00p 13.78%
Sirius Minerals (SXX) 32.20p 6.06%
IP Group (IPO) 121.00p 5.58%
Purecircle Limited (DI) (PURE) 388.00p 5.43%
FirstGroup (FGP) 85.60p 4.26%
CLS Holdings (CLI) 243.50p 3.40%
Safestore Holdings (SAFE) 507.50p 3.36%
Big Yellow Group (BYG) 879.00p 3.05%
Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH) 2,708.00p 3.04%
Renewi (RWI) 77.00p 2.67%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Capita (CPI) 133.40p -7.39%
RHI Magnesita N.V. (DI) (RHIM) 4,175.00p -5.11%
Inmarsat (ISAT) 346.30p -4.36%
IWG (IWG) 220.50p -3.59%
Contour Global (GLO) 232.00p -3.33%
BTG (BTG) 655.00p -3.11%
Vesuvius (VSVS) 566.50p -2.91%
IMI (IMI) 1,049.00p -2.87%
Electrocomponents (ECM) 584.00p -2.70%
Wizz Air Holdings (WIZZ) 3,167.00p -2.67%


Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 27.3.18: Bitcoin dips below $8,000

The bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market continued over the past 24 hours, as 47 of the top 50 cryptos registered losses. Of the top 10 cryptos, NEO suffered the heaviest losses, declining more than 14%. Other cryptos, such as Ethereum, Litecoin and Stellar also registered double-digit losses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was seen more than 6.5% lower, trading below the $8,000 mark.

Read More...


Europe close: Gains for Oil&Gas, Basic Resources stem slide
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Stocks on the Continent were mostly lower, after having started the day sharply lower, tracking Monday's drop in US stocks that saw the country's benchmark S&P 500 register its weakest start to the month of April since 1929.

By the closing bell, the benchmark Stoxx 600 was down by 0.49% or 1.80 points to 369.07, alongside a drop of 0.78% or 94.28 points to 12,002.45 for the German Dax and a retreat of 0.29% or 15.18 points to 5,152.12 on the Cac-40.

Overnight, the S&P 500 erased 2.2%, marking the worst rout at the start of the second quarter since 1929, when it lost 2.5%.

Weighing on stockmarkets around the world the day before had been China's move to retaliate with its own tariffs against the levies on aluminum and steel imposed by the US, together with continued selling in the technology space as the US president weighed in again on social media against internet giant Amazon.com.

From a sector stand-point, gains for Basic Resources (0.50%) and Oil&Gas (0.82%) helped to buoy the main equity indices.

As did weakness in the single currency, ahead of Friday's monthly US jobs report and as US Treasury note yields bounced back.

Meanwhile, technical analysts were keeping a close eye on so-called trend-line support for the German Dax dating back to 2009, which was to be found at around 11,400 points.

"European stock markets have been moving higher in the afternoon and some of the earlier losses have been reversed. Traders are taking on more risk and are content to snap up relatively cheap stocks. Traders' attitudes may have changed, but the wider atmosphere of economic and political tensions haven't.

"As of yesterday China has started imposing tariffs on a number of US goods, and the feeling that we are now in a trade war is still on the back of investors' minds," said David Madden at CMC Markets UK.

Nonetheless, some strategists continued to have a constructive view on equity markets, with those at JP Morgan arguing that equity valuations were still undemanding.

"Earnings to stay a support, with Q1 reporting season to be taken well. Even post some stalling, Q1 activity levels are still stronger than they were in Q4, while in contrast Q1 consensus EPS expectations (ex tax) are much more muted than they were in Q4. 4) Despite persistent concerns, bond yields are still within past ranges, central bank tightening is still in its early stages, and equity valuations are not demanding.

"Eurozone to keep bottoming out vs the US as US tailwinds fade (Tech, earnings, USD)," JP Morgan said.

Worth noting too, JP Morgan also sounded a positive note on Italian stocks specifically.

On the subject of trade on the other hand, some economists' concern was palpable, with Adam Slater at Oxford Economicstelling clients: "Protectionist moves to date will have a small near-term impact on the global economy.

"But the seeds of a more serious conflict are there. Possible warning signs would be US tariffs extending to Chinese industries such as consumer electronics and negative developments in the NAFTA negotiations and the US-EU trade relationship."

Also on the economic front, earlier survey compiler IHS Markitconfirmed a 'final' reading of 56.6 on its euro area manufacturing sector purchasing managers' index for March, which was down from 58.6 in the month before.

German retail sales on the other hand undershot forecasts, with the country's Ministry of Finance reporting that sales slumped by 0.7% over the month in February (consensus: 0.7%).

Year-on-year, retail sales growth slowed from 2.5% in January to 1.3% for February.

In corporate news, according to Der SpiegelDeutsche Bank chair Paul Achleitner was pondering replacing the lender's then current boss Paul Cryan with ex-UBS wealth management head Juerg Zeltner.


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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
+7.32%
mktcap
125.92B
volume
74053.77T
price
7,391.20
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
+5.54%
mktcap
39.6B
volume
10330.4T
price
401.95
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
+7.43%
mktcap
20.29B
volume
7207.84T
price
0.51
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
+5.17%
mktcap
11.81B
volume
4018.46T
price
690.33
#5 Litecoin (LTC)
change
+5.80%
mktcap
6.94B
volume
9244T
price
124.20

US open: Stocks open higher after Monday's selloff

US stocks openned higher on Tuesday following a selloff the day before on the back of weakness in the technology sector and worries about a trade war.

At 1500 BST, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.66%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.66% and 0.90%, respectively.

All three indices ended in the red on Monday as China hit back at President Trump's tariffs by imposing its own levies of up to 25% on 128 US imports including pork and wine. China said the tariffs, which affect around $3bn of imports, were introduced to "safeguard the interests of the country and its industry" and balance the losses caused by the US tariffs.

The Dow closed down 1.9%, while the S&P fell 2.2%, but the Nasdaq suffered the heaviest losses as Amazon slumped after Trump accused the company of not paying its fair share of taxes and exploiting the US postal service.

"Only fools, or worse, are saying that our money losing Post Office makes money with Amazon," he tweeted, adding that "this will be changed".

Other 'FANG' stocks also declined, with Facebook down nearly 3%, Netflix off 5% and Google parent Alphabet 2.4% lower.

The S&P 500 index ended the day more than 10% from the record high set in January. entering 'correction' territory for the second time this year.

"For the first time since June 2016 the S&P 500 index also closed below its 200-day moving average. While it is a bearish technical signal, it is also worth pointing out that the trendline support from the 2016 low was penetrated as well," said Rabobank.

There are no major data points scheduled for release on Tuesday but Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari was due to take part in a moderated discussion at the Regional Economic Indicators Forum in Minnesota later in the day.

Elsewhere, Fed Governor Lael Brainard was set to make a speech at New York University at 2130 BST.

In corporate news, 21st Century Fox was down 0.55% after offering up more concessions in its bid for Sky, proposing either to ringfence Sky News or sell it to rival Walt Disney.

Shares in retailer Walmart were up 1.26% following a CNBC report that it's in discussions about buying online pharmacy start-up PillPack.

Amazon reclaimed 2.16% after the comments made by Donald Trump.

Elsewhere, Spotify was expected to debut at between $160 to $165 per share on the New York Stock Exchange, well above the indicative price of $131.

Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index, said: "The company chose a direct listing rather than a traditional initial public offering which means rather than trying to raise money by going public it will make it possible for existing shareholders to sell their shares on the market.

"This could make for a highly volatile first day of trading because there is no bank to support the stock if it starts falling. Nevertheless a number of analysts have already initiated coverage of the stock with a buy rating expecting that the listing, the first major tech stock listing after Snap Inc.’s nearly a year ago, will attract a lot of investors."


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Tuesday broker round-up

CMC Markets: Shore Capital Markets upgrades to buy from hold.

Reckitt Benckiser Group: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Astrazeneca: Shore Capital Markets reiterates hold.

Rotork: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 325p.

Rolls Royce Group: Citigroup reiterates buy.

International Personal Finance: Citigroup reiterates buy.

Barclays: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 250p.

RPC Group: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 1,110p.

GVC Holdings: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 1,210p.

GB Group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 460p.

Flybe: Numis reiterates hold with a target price of 33p.

Hostelworld: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 422p.

Beximco Pharmaceuticals: Northland Capital Markets initiates at buy with a target price of 75p.

 

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