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Apr 25, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Wednesday, 25 April 2018 09:51:33
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London open: Stocks drop after Wall St selloff; Shire and Whitbread buck trend
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London stocks fell in early trade on Wednesday, taking their cue from a tech-led selloff on Wall Street, although Shire and Whitbread bucked the trend.

At 0830 BST, the FTSE 100 was down 0.6% to 7,380.64, despite the pound falling 0.3% versus the dollar to 1.3937 but staying flat against the euro at 1.1430.

CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson said the declines on Wall Street appeared to have been prompted by some concern about the growth in capital spending at Google parent Alphabet, with $7.3bn shelled out in the first quarter alone, which is well in excess of the same period a year ago.

"However it is an age-old adage that if you don’t invest in your infrastructure in the short term you pay the penalty eventually in the long term," said Hewson. "Sensible investors will generally tolerate higher capex if it helps keep the business sustainable in the face of higher traffic while increasing resilience. The problem comes with a valuation that could be conceivably fully valued already, which seems to be the case here."

Hewson added: "We have seen some decent gains in European markets over the last four weeks, however with bond yields in the US suddenly spiking higher in the last few days investors appear to be taking the opportunity to take some profits on some of these gains."

In corporate news, specialty chemicals group Croda International was the worst performer despite saying it was on track to meet expectations for the year and posting a 4% rise in core sales for the first quarter.

CRH was a little weaker after the building materials group reported a drop in first-quarter sales and announced plans for a €1bn share buyback.

Lloyds Banking Group slipped despite posting a 23% increase in first-quarter profit, with analyst pointing to a worrying rise in impairment provisions.

British American Tobacco slipped as it warned of forex headwinds of 7% if rates stay at current levels.

Metro Bank was under the cosh even as it posted a 41% jump in first-quarter deposit growth as lending and customer numbers grew.

Fresnillo and Antofagasta were both in the red as they released first-quarter production reports.

On the upside, Shire rose after its directors said they would be willing to recommend the latest takeover proposal from Takeda Pharmaceutical that was pitched at roughly £49 per share, subject to further conditions. The UK Takeover Panel has given the two companies a new deadline of 1700 BST on 8 May to conclude talks.

Whitbread gained only slightly after announcing plans to spin off its Costa coffee chain into a separate listed business within the next two years following activist pressure. The company, which also released its preliminary results, said the demerger would be pursued "as fast as practical and appropriate to optimise value for shareholders".

Persimmon edged up after saying it was trading well this year after customer enquiries and sales of its houses increased. The housebuilder said enquiries were up 13% from a year earlier and that forward sales revenue had risen 8% to £2.76bn.

Fenner ticked up as it reported a jump in interim pre-tax profit and revenue and said its acquisition by Michelin should take effect on 31 May.

On the broker note front, Prudential was cut to 'neutral' at Citi and Intertek was downgraded to 'underperform' at Credit Suisse.


Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 25.4.18: EOS rising despite negative momentum

Following several days of gains, the crypto market experienced a trend reversal yesterday, as 8 of the top 10 cryptos finished with overall losses over the past 24 hours. After...

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
-0.31%
 
cur price
7,402.04
 
change
-23.36
 
 
change pct
-0.46%
 
cur price
20,101.54
 
change
-93.77
 
 
change pct
-0.11%
 
cur price
3,430.15
 
change
-3.72

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Imperial Brands+1.70%+40.502,429.00
2Persimmon+1.30%+35.002,725.00
3Reckitt Benckiser+0.97%+53.005,496.00
4AstraZeneca +0.95%+47.505,037.00
5British American Tobacco+0.79%+29.503,773.50
6GlaxoSmithKline+0.72%+10.601,472.80
7Shire Plc+0.65%+25.503,955.50
8Unilever Plc+0.56%+22.003,942.00
9WPP Plc+0.54%+6.001,122.50
10Intercontinental Hotels Group+0.50%+22.004,412.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Croda International-3.59%-166.004,453.00
2Antofagasta Plc-3.34%-32.60944.80
3Ashtead Group-2.88%-61.002,054.00
4Intertek Group-2.27%-111.004,787.00
5Anglo American-1.98%-34.601,713.00
6British Petroleum-1.72%-9.20524.40
7Rio Tinto-1.48%-59.003,915.50
8Smurfit Kappa Group-1.29%-40.003,058.00
9BHP Billiton-1.26%-19.601,538.40
10Smiths Group-1.25%-20.001,585.50

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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
+0.59%
mktcap
160.31B
volume
113493.35T
price
9,416.06
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
-6.09%
mktcap
65.8B
volume
22685.33T
price
659.37
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
-6.49%
mktcap
34.26B
volume
12723.81T
price
0.87
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
-10.77%
mktcap
23.53B
volume
10959.47T
price
1,350.00
#5 EOS (EOS)
change
+9.12%
mktcap
12.02B
volume
16684.12T
price
14.86

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US close: Markets lower on broad losses as Treasury yields surge

Tuesday finished well into the red on Wall Street, after an early rise in government bond yields, and a sell-off of shares of Google parent Alphabet following its latest quarterly update.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down 1.74% at 24,024.13, the S&P 500 was off 1.42% at 2,632.48, and the Nasdaq 100 lost 2.1% to settle at 6,509.05.

Stocks opened mixed earlier in the day, having closed flat to slightly lower on Monday as the 10-year Treasury note traded at four-year highs, just shy of its end-2013 highs of 3.0%.

On Tuesday, yields finally reached that psychological level, with upbeat readings on US house prices and new home sales apparently reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates a total of four times this year rather than three.

According to Treasury, the closing constant maturity yield on the benchmark 10-year note was 3.00% precisely.

Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at FXTM, said US 10-year yields would be monitored closely this week as they were less than 0.3 basis points from breaking the 3% benchmark on Monday.

"The 3% by itself is just a psychological level and not a significant threat, but if a break above leads to further selling in Treasury bonds, that’s going to be a serious warning signal for equity bulls,” he said.

“With a current world running on AI and algorithms, a selloff may look ugly.”

On the corporate front, Alphabet shares tumbled 4.77% after it reported an 84% jump in first-quarter profit after the close on Monday, to $9.4bn, compared to estimates of $6.54bn.

The Google owner put that down to strong advertising sales.

“Growth remains robust and extraordinarily consistent,” noted analysts at RBC Capital Markets.

However, CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson said there appeared to be some concern about the growth in capital spending, with $7.3bn in the first quarter alone - well in excess of the same period a year ago.

“However, it is an age-old adage that if you don’t invest in your infrastructure in the short term you pay the penalty eventually in the long term.

“Investors will tolerate higher capex if it helps keep the business sustainable in the face of higher traffic and increased resilience which seems the case here.”

Construction equipment maker Caterpillar reversed earlier gains to end up plunging 6.2% by the end of the day.

Earlier in the session, reported first quarter profits and sales that dwarfed analysts' estimates, and proceeded to boost its full-year outlook for earnings per share to between $10.25 and $11.25.

Previously, the company had guided towards earnings in the range of between $8.25 and $9.25 per share.

Pharmaceutical group Eli Lilly lost 0.19% after it posted a net income of $1.22bn or $1.16 a share for the first quarter, compared with a loss of $110.8m or 10 cents per share the year before.

United Technologies was also reversed early gains, finishing down 1.1% after it reported stronger than expected first-quarter results allowing the industrial conglomerate to up its full-year forecasts on sales and earnings.

The Coca-Cola Company lost 2.07% despite beating analyst forecasts on earnings per share.

Verizon Communications managed to keep its head above water, finished up 2.08% thanks to strong momentum seen in its first trading quarter.

3M dropped 6.83%, clawing back a fraction of its early losses, after the company tempered its sales growth outlook for the year despite a solid start to the first quarter.

On the data front, US house price growth unexpectedly accelerated in February, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.

The 20-city index was 6.8% higher year-over-year, up from 6.4% in January and beating expectations for a slowdown to 6.3% growth.

Meanwhile, the FHFA's national Home Price index covering all nine US census divisions was 72% higher on the year in February, and on the month it rose by 0.6%, beating consensus forecasts for 0.5% growth.

In a separate report, new-home sales ran at a 694,000, beating expectations for 625,000, on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis in March, according to the Commerce Department, as sales of newly constructed homes surged, and earlier estimates were revised up,

The March rate was 4% above upwardly revised February figures and the highest pace since November.

Lastly, the Richmond Fed manufacturing index for April came in much weaker than expected at -3 versus an expected 16, as the index was weighed down by a contraction in shipments and new orders, mimicking the results of the Philly Fed's own factory survey earlier in the month.


Wednesday newspaper round-up: Brexit, banks, food, Capita, fracking

The City will maintain access to European markets after Brexit if British regulations are similar enough to its own, the vice-president of the European Commission has said. Valdis Dombrovskis said that UK banks probably could use a system of equivalence to secure EU access after Britain leaves the bloc. However, he warned that Brussels had a “unilateral and discretionary” say over whether regulation would be strong enough. - The Times

The UK will have to pay its Brexit “divorce bill” of up to £39bn even if no agreement is reached on a future trade deal with the EU, the head of Whitehall’s spending watchdog has said. The head of the National Audit Office (NAO), Sir Amyas Morse, said on Tuesday that if parliament approves the withdrawal agreement in a vote in the autumn, it will become a legally binding treaty regardless of the success of separate trade talks, contrary to Theresa May's statement that she will not pay Brussels the money if it denies Britain a post-Brexit trade deal. - Guardian

Buy-one-get-one-free deals on junk food are set to be banned after opposition parties gave Theresa May their backing to tackle the obesity crisis. Stringent action to combat unhealthy lifestyles is due to be announced within weeks, sources said, reflecting a shift in public opinion in favour of measures such as banning junk food advertising before 9pm and preventing celebrities from endorsing fatty or sugary products. - The Times

Banks have been accused of giving savers a raw deal after analysis found that nine out of ten did not pass on last year’s interest rate rise in full. The failure to raise returns in line with the quarter point increase in the Bank of England base rate is costing Britons an estimated £600 million a year in lost interest — the equivalent of almost £15 for every person with a savings account. - The Times

The government has repeatedly refused to give MPs assurances on what contingency plans it has in place in the event that Capita, the outsourcing group, gets into similar financial trouble to that which resulted in the collapse of Carillion, another major Whitehall contractor, at the start of the year. Exchanges in the Commons that left both Conservative and opposition MPs frustrated, followed comments earlier to a parliamentary committee by Sir Amyas Morse, the auditor-general, that ministers and civil servants need to act “earlier and more intrusively” in monitoring contractors and improve their game in outsourcing procurement. - The Times

More than 400,000 households were vulnerable to hackers eavesdropping on their web browsing habits and credit card details thanks to a flaw in equipment from a British broadband provider. Hyperoptic, Britain's largest residential gigabit broadband provider, provided customers with routers made by ZTE, the Chinese company that last week prompted a security warning from GCHQ. - Telegraph

More than 6,000 shale gas wells would be needed to replace half the UK’s gas imports over a 15-year period, according to a new report. The nascent UK fracking industry has argued that growing reliance on gas from Norway and Qatar necessitates developing home-produced supplies in addition to North Sea output. - Guardian

Emmanuel Macron has proposed negotiations on a “new deal” aimed at curbing Iran’s military power and regional activities, to exist alongside a three year-old agreement that restricts the country’s nuclear programme. The offer seemed calculated to appease the US president’s discontent with the current agreement, the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Programme of Action (JCPOA) by proposing a broader initiative to tackle other elements of Iran’s challenge in the region, particularly its ballistic missile programme, and its military role in Syria. - Guardian

Britain has agreed to a £4.4bn acquisition of armoured vehicles for the army without a formal competition between suppliers, MPs have been told. The Defence Select Committee heard that a German-led consortium has almost certainly won the contract to build about 500 “mechanised infantry vehicles” (MIVs). - Guardian

The Chinese owner of Hamleys is in talks to buy a 51 per cent stake in House of Fraser. C. Banner International said that it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Nanjing Cenbest, the present owner, also of China, to purchase a “possibly very substantial” equity interest in the chain. - The Times

A key council of employees at the John Lewis Partnership has held its first secret ballot in more than a decade to gauge support for the leadership of Sir Charlie Mayfield. In a vote that the partnership described as a landmark occasion, just under two thirds of the council backed a proposal to support the chairman’s “leadership and the continuing progress of the partnership”. - The Times

BP’s chief executive has cast doubt on the US-led sanctions against Russia by questioning whether the financial blocks against President Vladimir Putin’s regime are constructive. Bob Dudley said the oil major would abide by the crackdown launched by the US earlier this month, but would not apologise for doing business in the country where it owns almost a fifth of Russia’s state-owned oil company. - Telegraph

The founder of Metro Bank who has handed £21million to his wife’s business was hounded out of US finance for doing the same thing a decade ago. Billionaire Vernon Hill was thrown off the board of Commerce Bancorp, which he founded in the US in the 1990s, after he gave his wife Shirley £36m in payments to design branches. - Mail

TSB chief Paul Pester said he was "deeply sorry" for its banking problems, which continued into Tuesday night, but stood by the decision to migrate customers to a new platform at the weekend. Mr Pester said that the platform was "absolutely ready to go" and had been "tested nine times over". - Telegraph

…the botched IT “upgrade” saw up to 1.9 million customers locked out of their accounts for a sixth day, MPs demanding action and the bank facing a potential multimillion-pound compensation bill and regulatory fines. Owners of small businesses said they were unable to pay salaries or manage transactions, while some account holders found all their direct debits had disappeared. - Guardian

The French owner of Luton airport has agreed to sell its minority stake in Britain’s fifth largest airport to an Australian investment company. Ardian, which purchased its 49 per cent stake in 2013 for £445 million, is understood to have agreed the deal last week with AMP Capital, an Australian group that recently acquired Leeds/Bradford airport. - The Times

The Daily Express editor has said some of his newspaper’s past front pages have been “downright offensive”, made him feel “very uncomfortable” and contributed to an “Islamophobic sentiment” in the media. Gary Jones, who took over at the newspaper last month after Richard Desmond sold his Northern and Shell newspapers to Trinity Mirror in a £200m deal, told MPs he was unhappy with some of its previous coverage and would be looking to change the tone of the Express. - Guardian

Record numbers of nurses and midwives from EU27 countries quit Britain last year, fuelling fears that a Brexit brain drain will deepen the NHS’s already chronic staffing crisis. A total of 3,962 such staff from the European Economic Area (EEA) left the Nursing and Midwifery Council register between 2017 and 2018. - Guardian

 

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