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Apr 23, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 23 April 2018 17:50:43
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London close: Stocks rise as geopolitical and trade tensions wane
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London stocks finished higher as the pound fell to its worst level in five weeks against the dollar, as an easing in geopolitical and trade tensions and optimism around the outlook for corporate earnings in the States and in euroland buoyed financial markets.

All of the above also helped to offset the impact of rising bond yields on shares' valuations.

By the closing bell, the FTSE 100 was up by 0.42% or 30.70 points to 7,398.87, while the pound was ahead by 0.25% versus the euro at 1.1422 but 0.35% weaker versus the greenback at 1.3953, weighed down by reports of a potential cabinet revolt.

That followed a bruising week where sterling was hammered by disappointing wage growth, inflation and retail sales data and dovish comments from Bank of England governor Mark Carney.

Earlier Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell had said: "One could argue the FTSE had to work hard not to post any growth this Monday, given that it has so many factors in its favour.

"Not only was there the easing of macro-political tensions on two fronts - North Korea's nuclear retreat, and the reduced chances of a US-China trade war - but a soft showing from sterling. The pound, like the euro, dropped half a percent against the dollar as rising US bond yields got rate hike hawks all hot under the collar."

Also helping to boost investor sentiment, equity strategists at JP Morgan sounded a positive note on the outlook for stocks on Monday.

Mislav Matejka and his team told clients that US and euro area corporate results were set to deliver a positive surprise in the mid single digits versus the 9% increase that analysts were forecasting for the first quarter.

In the case of the US, that excluded the administration's recently-enacted tax cuts.

"We expect stocks to keep rebounding, bond yields to move back higher and Cyclicals to lead over Defensives, helped by the likely stabilisation in activity momentum. The Q1 reporting season has started and we believe that it will provide another fundamental support for the market," Matejka said.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank on the other hand were more cautious, although they did bump up their view on UK stocks from 'benchmark' to 'overweight' as they moved towards a more defensive asset allocation by countries overall.

Linked to the above, overnight the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note had grazed the psychological 3% mark.

In corporate news, outsourcer Capita surged as investors liked the sound of its new strategy that comes on the back of a "significant deterioration" in new business wins and a £513m annual loss before tax.

Shares in Whitbread edged lower after a Sunday Times report suggesting that chief executive Alison Brittain is open to the idea of spinning off Costa Coffee from Premier Inn hotels.

BHP Billiton was up after saying that Brazil's federal court has allowed it to have more time to complete negotiations regarding the public civil claims related to the Samarco dam failure.

Industrial pump manufacturer Rotork rallied after posting a 10.2% jump in first-quarter revenue, with order intake up 21% thanks to more favourable market trends and the receipt of several significant orders.

Morgan Advanced Materials gained after reporting a 6.5% rise in sales for the first three months to March on an organic constant currency compared to the first quarter of last year.

Elsewhere, Shire was in the black after saying late on Friday that it was considering a sweetened offer from Japan's Takeda Pharmaceutical, while Workspace advanced after announcing the acquisition of two further Centro buildings in Camden for £76.5m in cash.

On the downside, FTSE 250 shipping services provider Clarkson sank after warning that both first-half and full-year profits are now expected to be "materially below" the previous year following a number of headwinds in the first quarter.

Private healthcare operator NMC Health retreated after saying it has launched an offering of senior, unsecured, guaranteed convertible bonds due 2025.

Great Portland Estates fell after it sold the freehold of 78/92 Great Portland Street and 15/19 Riding House Street to M&G Real Estate and secured a "substantial" pre-let of its Hannover Square development.

On the broker note front, Marks & Spencer was boosted by an upgrade to 'neutral' from 'underperform' by Credit Suisse, but consumer goods giant Reckitt Benckiser was hit by a downgrade to 'market perform' at Raymond James and a target price cut at JPMorgan.

RSA Insurance was initiated at 'hold' by Jefferies, while Weir was on the front foot as RBC Capital Markets upped its price target and reiterated its 'outperform' rating.


Daily cryptocurrency Tracker 23.4.18: Cryptos continue to climb

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.07%
 
cur price
7,373.30
 
change
+5.13
 
 
change pct
+0.27%
 
cur price
20,275.34
 
change
+54.57
 
 
change pct
+0.24%
 
cur price
3,429.13
 
change
+8.20

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Whitbread Plc+1.30%+55.004,290.00
2Marks & Spencer+1.18%+3.30283.90
3Old Mutual+1.11%+2.70245.30
4Shire Plc+0.99%+38.003,859.50
5Direct Line+0.99%+3.70376.40
6Antofagasta Plc+0.99%+9.40962.20
7St. James's Place+0.90%+10.001,119.50
8Imperial Brands+0.89%+21.502,424.00
9Berkeley Group Holdings+0.73%+29.003,995.00
10Hargreaves Lansdown+0.72%+12.501,748.50

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Reckitt Benckiser-2.44%-137.005,488.00
2WPP Plc-1.83%-21.001,125.50
3Rolls-Royce Holdings-1.20%-10.40855.80
4Hammerson Plc-1.15%-6.20533.80
5Bunzl Plc-1.08%-23.002,107.00
6Diageo-0.97%-24.002,441.00
7GKN Plc-0.90%-4.20463.70
8Compass Group-0.80%-12.001,491.00
9National Grid-0.74%-6.00806.90
10CRH Plc-0.71%-18.002,507.00

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Crypto Currencies
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
change
+1.69%
mktcap
151.21B
volume
47627.24T
price
8,949.00
#2 Ethereum (ETH)
change
+3.02%
mktcap
63.13B
volume
13566.26T
price
640.64
#3 Ripple (XRP)
change
+1.22%
mktcap
34.24B
volume
12541.42T
price
0.87
#4 Bitcoin Cash / BCC (BCH)
change
+17.79%
mktcap
23.71B
volume
11165.94T
price
1,404.90
#5 EOS (EOS)
change
+2.30%
mktcap
9.43B
volume
17710.03T
price
11.55

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US open: Mixed open on the Street as yields continue to rise

Wall Street trading opened on a slightly mixed note on Monday as Treasury yields continue to rise, with earnings on tap from the likes of Halliburton and Hasbro.

Significantly, and helping to buoy sentiment, at the weekend US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said he was considering a trip to China, adding that he was "cautiously optimistic" that a deal on trade could be reached.

At 1535 BST, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 were down 0.24% and 0.04%, respectively, while the Nasdaq had picked up 0.13%.

SpreadEx financial analyst Connor Campbell, said, "An indecisive Dow Jones found itself switching between green and red this Monday, the index's investors unsure what to do with the dollar's new found energy. Rising US bond yields and their hawkish implications have given the greenback a boot up the backside; the dollar jumped half a percent against both the pound and the euro, while against the Japanese yen it surged 0.8% to hit a near 10-week peak."

US bond yields resumed their push higher amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates, with the yield on the 10-year note trading just under 3% after hitting its highest level since January 2014 on Friday. Markets are now pricing in four interest rate hikes this year versus the three signalled by policymakers.

Konstantinos Anthis, head of research at ADS Securities, said strong earnings results should underpin stocks in the short-term but as yields continue their rally higher traders "should not drop their guard".

"Even a small deterioration in sentiment could trigger a sell-off for global equities as yields threaten the upside potential," he said.

JP Morgan strategist Mislav Matejka was more optimistic, telling clients US and euro area corporate results were set to deliver a surprise in the mid single digits, versus the 9% increase that analysts were forecasting excluding the US administration's tax cuts.

"We expect stocks to keep rebounding, bond yields to move back higher and Cyclicals to lead over Defensives, helped by the likely stabilisation in activity momentum. The Q1 reporting season has started and we believe that it will provide another fundamental support for the market," Matejka said.

On the geopolitical front, North Korea vowed over the weekend to put an end to its nuclear and missile tests. Kim Jong-Un said no further tests were needed as the North had demonstrated that it had nuclear weapons.

Kim, who was due to meet next week with South Korean president Moon Jae-In for the first inter-Korean summit in more than 10 years, said on Saturday: "From 21 April, North Korea will stop nuclear tests and launches of intercontinental ballistic missiles."

On the data front, the Chicago Federal Reserve's national activity index slowed in March from an upwardly revised, multiyear-high reading in February as weaker levels of hiring across a strong job market forced down the broader index.

The Chicago Fed's index came in at a positive 0.10 in March, down from the upwardly revised positive 0.98 in February, the highest mark the volatile index had recorded since the 1.19 it posted all the way back in October 1999.

Elsewhere, factory and service sector activity in the States picked-up noticeably in April, according to the results of two widely-followed surveys, which some economists said pointed towards scope for positive surprises on the growth front in the near-term.

IHS Markit's composite US purchasing managers' index, which combines survey findings for both those sectors, jumped from a reading of 54.2 for March to 54.8 last month.

Within that, the survey compiler's factory sector PMI jumped from 55.6 to 56.5 (consensus: 55.0), reaching a 43-month high and the services sector PMI also strengthened, rising from 54.0 to 54.4 - a two-month high.

According to IHS Markit's Chris Williamson, there was room for "substantial upside surprises" on the US growth front in coming months.

Lastly, US home sales advanced in March thanks to an improved level of activity in the Northeast and Midwest states.

However, a distinct lack of houses on the market and increased prices caused many concerns ahead of the spring selling season, the National Association of Realtors said on Monday.

Existing home sales rose 1.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.6m units in March (consensus: 5.55m), marking the second straight monthly increase in existing home sales, which account for around 90% of all US home sales.

On the corporate front, the technology sector will be in focus this week as earnings are due from Google parent Alphabet, Twitter and Facebook, which was recently hit by the Cambridge Analytica scandal.

Facebook is expected to report first-quarter earnings of $1.36 a share on Wednesday and revenue of $11.41bn.

London Capital Group analyst Jasper Lawler said: "Even if it produces blow out numbers, it will be hard for Facebook to escape the cloud of uncertainty in the short-term."

Consumer products company Kimberly Clark was down 0.23% after lifting its full-year sales forecast ahead of the open.

Hasbro picked up 2.14% after it revealed a $112.5m net loss as a result of Toys R Us' liquidation, while oilfield services giant Halliburton lost 1.35% despite posting a 34% jump in revenue on increased demand across North America.

Alphabet and home appliance manufacturer Whirlpool will report after the close.


Monday broker round-up

Experian: Deutsche Bank upgrades to buy with a target price of 1,750p.

Just Eat: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 840p.

AA plc: Berenberg reiterates sell with a target price of 65p.

Ashtead: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Polypipe: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

WPP: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Petrofac: Goldman Sachs reiterates buy with a target price of 674p.

Sage Group: Goldman Sachs reiterates buy with a target price of 780p.

Britvic: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 870p.

Anglo American: Credit Suisse reiterates neutral with a target price of 1,720p.

Ferrexpo: Credit Suisse reiterates neutral with a target price of 230p.

Marks & Spencer: Credit Suisse upgrades to neutral with a target price of 285p.

RSA: Jefferies initiates at hold with a target price of 600p.

DMGT: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 905p.

Polymetal: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 1,100p.

Rotork: Numis reiterates hold with a target price of 300p.

River & Mercantile group: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 365p.

Strix Group: Canaccord initiates at buy with a target price of 210p.

Beximco Pharmaceuticals: Northland Capital Markets reiterates buy with a target price of 75p.

Savannah Resources: Northland Capital Markets reiterates corporate.

Applegreen: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 600p.

The Weir Group: RBC Capital Markets reiterates outperform with a target price of 2,600p.

 

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