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May 24, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 24 May 2018 10:36:42
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London open: Stocks edge tentatively higher ahead of retail sales
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London stocks opened tentatively higher on Thursday morning as investors eyed the release of the latest retail sales figures and sifted through a deluge of corporate news.

The FTSE 100 crawled 0.1% higher to 7,795.36, resuming the positive momentum that lifted the index to all-time highs at the start of the week after a day's pause.

Sterling was providing none of its recent assistance to the predominantly overseas-focused group of blue chips, rallying 0.2% to 1.3371 against the dollar after hitting a near-five-month low a day earlier, following the release of Fed meeting minutes overnight.

Also potentially helping to put a floor under the pound were reports that Theresa May will ask the European Union for a second Brexit transition period to run until 2023 to avoid a hard border in Ireland. The Times newspaper said the Prime Minister will propose another transition covering customs and trade that will follow the period already agreed, scheduled to last until the end of 2020.

Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at Interactive Investor, said: "A mid-week session took a little froth off overheated markets, but such is the appetite for equites currently that the blood-letting has been brief. The possibility of a hugely damaging trade war is still very real, but at least the odds of things getting out of hand are longer now than they were, which is positive.

"Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting published last night also appear to reduce the risk of a policy mistake in the US. Inflation is no reason for sleepless nights and there seems little chance that rate-setters will hike more than three times this year."

The big focus on Thursday will be the retail sales data for April due at 0930 BST., with yearly figures expected to show a drop but monthly data forecast to show a jump in sales.

In corporate news, Intertek was the standout gainer after the testing company posted 4.4% growth in revenue for the first four months of the year and said it was on track to deliver its 2018 targets.

Paddy Power Betfair was also a high riser after confirming late on Wednesday that it has agreed to merge its US business with US fantasy sports betting site Fan Duel.

Electrocomponents was in the black after it reported a 35% jump in full-year adjusted pre-tax profit.

TalkTalk was on the up after announcing the sale of its B2B business for £175m, while Tate & Lyle gained after saying its full-year profits rose by nearly a quarter, although sales slipped.

Budget airline Wizz flew higher after it said annual profit rose 22% and passenger numbers grew 25%.

On the downside, Mediclinic was the worst performer as sizeable Swiss write-downs led to paper losses but a 3% increase in full-year core earnings, while United Utilities was also on the back foot after its full-year numbers.

B&Q and Screwfix owner Kingfisher retreated as it said sales were hammered by bad weather in February and March, with like-for-like sales down 4% but management still confident about the underlying turnaround of the business.

In broker note action, Bakkavor was cut to 'hold' at HSBC, while AB Foods and Bunzl were both downgraded to 'neutral' at Goldman Sachs.

Drinks maker Britvic was lifted to 'buy' at Societe Generale a day after well-received results.

Elsewhere, ex-dividends took 3.25 points off the FTSE 100 and 15.5 points off the 250. Bellway, Bunzl, Carnival, Countryside Properties, Diploma, Euromoney, Brewin Dolphin, Marston's, Soco, Tritax Big Box, Whitbread and Morrisons were among them.


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Market Status
 
 
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cur price
21,056.67
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Intertek Group+4.06%+210.005,384.00
2Paddy Power Betfair+2.26%+195.008,825.00
3St. James's Place+2.17%+26.001,226.00
4Smurfit Kappa Group+1.32%+40.003,064.00
5Rio Tinto+1.24%+53.004,328.00
6Antofagasta Plc+1.08%+11.501,079.00
7London Stock Exchange+1.05%+47.004,516.00
8Ashtead Group+1.04%+24.002,334.00
9CRH Plc+1.01%+28.002,787.00
10Experian+0.95%+17.501,868.50

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1United Utilities-4.36%-35.00768.00
2Mediclinic International plc-4.15%-28.20651.40
3Severn Trent-3.51%-73.002,005.00
4Morrison-2.91%-7.40247.00
5Marks & Spencer-2.51%-7.70299.20
6Bunzl Plc-1.90%-44.002,274.00
7Associated British Foods-1.82%-50.002,700.00
8BT Group-1.53%-3.15203.15
9Imperial Brands-1.47%-41.502,775.50
10Merlin Entertainments Plc-1.34%-5.10375.90

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US close: Wall Street reverses losses after Fed minutes

Wall Street reversed early losses after central bank officials signalled that - for now at least - the pace of policy tightening was not set to quicken.

By the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial was 0.21% or 52.40 points higher to 24,886.81, alongside a 0.32% or 8.85 point advance for the S&P 500 to 2,733.29, while the Nasdaq Composite was 0.64% or 47.50 points up at 7,425.96.

Pacing gains, by industrial groups, were: Non-ferrous metals (2.88%), Home Improvement Retailers (2.46%) and Specialty Retailers (2.33%).

Shares in tobacco companies also did well, rising by 1.80%.

Alongside stocks, the yield on the benchmark two-year US Treasury note was four basis points lower to 2.53%, while that on the 10-year note slipped back below the 3.0% mark, after a seven basis point retreat for the session.

According to the minutes of the 2 May meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, rate-setters expected to raise rates again in June.

However, they also emphasised the "symmetric" nature of their inflation target, such that gains in prices modestly above it are not a worry - after years of consistently weak readings - so long as policy is consistent with the medium-term 2% target.

"Participants are watching the wage numbers closely but evidence of a broad acceleration remains scant. In short, then, the FOMC still thinks it has the luxury of time to see the full impact of the fiscal easing and the uncertainty over foreign trade, so a shift to a more aggressive stance - dropping "roughly balanced” risks, for example - is still some way off," explained Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Also helping sentiment perhaps, President Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made cautious, yet more positive sounding, remarks on China and North Korea than during the previous session.

On Tuesday night, Trump had also said that there was a "very substantial chance" a historic summit with North Korea's Kim Jong-Un next month may not happen.

Elsewhere, while giving a speech to an anti-abortion group in Washington, Trump hinted that his administration had further tax cuts in store by the end of the year.

Following the Republican Party's $1.5trn tax cut enacted back in December, Trump said on Tuesday that his administration would be "submitting additional tax cuts sometime prior to November".

"It's going to be something very special," the President said.

In corporate news, shares of Tiffany's surged 23.29% in early trade as the jeweller's first-quarter results beat analysts' expectations thanks to strong demand in the US. The company also announced a new $1bn share buyback programme.

Discount store retailer Target lost 5.70% after its first-quarter revenue beat expectations but the company missed on profits.

Home improvement and appliances retailer Lowe's gained 10.43% after the release of its first-quarter results and Tesla gained 0.31% after analysts recommended investors "lean into the fever pitch" of negative sentiment.

On the data front, IHS Markit's manufacturing PMI inched up to 56.6 in May from 56.5 in April, while its services PMI climbed to 55.7 from the 54.6 shown a month earlier.

Economists had predicted manufacturing PMI would be unchanged at its highest level since October 2014 and above the threshold of 50 separating growth from contraction.

Elsewhere, new home sales for April fell, as setbacks seen across the coast and rising borrowing costs and property prices seemed to limit the market's progress, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Single-family home sales declined 1.5% to 662,000 while median sales price increased 0.4% year-on-year to $312,400.

Sales fell 7.9% in the West, while purchases in the Midwest were unchanged and up marginally in the South.

Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting earlier this month were set to be released at 1900 BST.

CMC Markets analyst David Madden said, "Last month the US central bank confirmed they were confident the inflation target would be achieved but were less optimistic about growth. Traders are pencilling in an interest rate hike next month, but they remain divided about how many more rate hikes we could see beyond June."


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Thursday newspaper round-up: Brexit transition, max-fac, autos, Barclays

Theresa May will ask the European Union for a second Brexit transition period to run until 2023 to avoid a hard border in Ireland. Britain will propose another transition covering customs and trade that will follow the period already agreed, scheduled to last until the end of 2020. - The Times

The post-Brexit customs model favoured by Boris Johnson, Liam Fox and Michael Gove could cost business as much as £20bn a year, the head of HMRC has said, a verdict that delivers a huge blow to the Brexiters’ hopes of a complete departure from the customs union. Jon Thompson told the Treasury select committee that their preferred “max-fac” model, which relies on technology and trusted trader schemes to minimise border checks, would be substantially more expensive than the alternative. - Guardian

The Trump administration has launched a national security investigation into car and truck imports that could lead to new US tariffs similar to those imposed on imported steel and aluminium in March. The commerce department said the investigation under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 would investigate whether vehicle and parts imports were threatening the industry’s health and ability to research and develop new, advanced technologies. - Guardian

A rift has emerged at the top of Barclays between its chief executive and chairman after speculation that the bank is considering a bid for Standard Chartered to create a global financial giant worth more than £60 billion. John McFarlane, Barclays’ chairman, is understood to have explored a bid for the emerging markets-focused bank and held informal conversations about it. - The Times

Income tax will have to go up by 10p in the pound within 15 years to pay for long-term improvement in the NHS, a study says today. Health spending must increase from £154 billion today to £249 billion in 2034, or 3.3 per cent a year, just to maintain the level of service at present, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). - The Times

Bovis Homes has suffered a sizeable shareholder revolt over the pay package it awarded its interim chief executive for fighting off two hostile takeover bids and steadying the business after a scandal over badly built homes. At the housebuilder’s annual meeting at the Spa Hotel in Tunbridge Wells, 37.6% of shareholders voted against the Bovis remuneration report but it was passed with the backing of 62.4% of investors. - Guardian

Britain is poised to demand the EU repays up to a £1 billion if the bloc continues to force British companies out of the Galileo satellite navigation system. Whitehall sources said that the The Department for Exiting the Union will on Thursday publish an uncompromising paper on the Galileo project that will now raise the prospect of Britain recovering its investment in the project. - Telegraph

Uber is to shut down its self-driving car programme in Arizona after one of its cars killed a pedestrian there in March. The company will focus its research efforts on Pittsburgh, where a number of AI car projects, including Ford’s Argo AI program and Google’s Waymo, are centred. Uber will also continue to test in San Francisco, where the company has its headquarters. - Guardian

Takeaway website Just Eat has enlisted former Dragons’ Den star Sarah Willingham to offer help and advice to the 29,000 restaurants signed up to its service. The takeaway website reckons that more than half of these businesses could increase their sales by 5pc - or £1.1bn in aggregate - by 2023, boosting the country’s economy and creating 55,000 jobs, with a bit of help. - Telegraph

An intensive pig farm that supplies Tesco and other leading retailers is being investigated over allegations of cruelty after workers were secretly filmed kicking and beating terrified animals. The video shows shocking scenes of animal abuse at Fir Tree pig farm in Lincolnshire, where about 10,000 pigs spend their entire lives indoors. - The Times

The Saudi-led blockade of Qatar risks setting a precedent that could spread to other parts of the world including Europe, the boss of Qatar Airways warned. Akbar Al Baker said the “illegal” sanctions, which the Saudis claim are a reaction to Qatar’s alleged support for terror groups, could be aped by other countries seeking to enact political retribution. - Telegraph

 

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