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May 31, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 31 May 2018 21:29:54
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London close: Stocks little changed even as Italy tensions ease
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Shares were little changed on Thursday as consumer confidence edged higher and Italian political risk seemed to recede.

The FTSE 100 was down by 11.37 points or 0.15% at 7,678.20 by the closing bell, while the pound was little changed, trading up by 0.03% against the dollar to 1.32912 and by 0.06% on the euro to 1.1398.

London's second-tier index on the other hand managed to eke out a 0.11% or 23.59 point advance to 20,846.26.

In the background, traders were waiting on the release of the next monthly US jobs report, on Friday.

Concerns around Italy's political situation eased a touch, or at least were put on hold as Lega and the Five Star Movement were given another chance to form a government, said market analyst Neil Wilson at Markets.com, though any such government faces a clash with the European Union and bond markets if they push ahead with plans to increase debt.

Investors were also keeping tabs on the reaction to the White House's US decision not to extend a waiver on tariffs for steel and aluminium imports from Canada, the EU and Mexico, together with the continuing negotiations with respect to Nafta and China trade.

London's benchmark index would be higher were it not for the stronger sterling and oil prices withdrawing from recent highs, said analyst Artjom Hatsaturjants at Accendo Markets. "Markets were no longer in panic mode, having digested the fallout from Italy's cabinet crisis. With European and German inflation accelerating closer to ECB's 2% target rate, markets were in forward-looking mode, trying to assess impact of potential future policy changes."

On UK policy, and possibly helping the pound, Theresa May was being urged by several former ministers in her own party for a 'sensible' Brexit deal, with intra-party talks to try to create a consensus for a 'pragmatic approach' to the issue. A group of European business leaders also met the Prime Minister to warn her that time is running out to secure a "frictionless" trade deal and that they were considering to withdraw investment given current uncertainty.

Elsewhere, consumer confidence in the UK edged higher, consultancy GfK reported, with an increase of two points to -7 for May that bested the consensus forecast of -8. Nevertheless, Joe Staton, client strategy director at GfK, said: "With UK retail sales falling at their sharpest rate since the mid-90s, tough trading conditions for Britain's hard-pressed retail sector continue to take their toll. Shoppers are still not showing signs of a willingness to splash-the-cash. Will this self-imposed austerity remain the hallmark of pre-Brexit Britain in the run-up to March 2019 and beyond?"

Meanwhile, mortgage lender Nationwide's latest house price data revealed a slowdown in the rate of home price gains from a 2.6% clip for the year to April to 2.4% in May. That was well beneath the 3.0% rise that economists had penciled in.

Bank shares were mostly in the red as the Financial Conduct Authority fired a warning shot over the way overdrafts are charged, announcing measures intended to save consumers up to £140m a year and calling for fundamental reform of the sector. Following an 18-month review of high-cost consumer credit, the FCA is proposing introducing mobile alerts to warn of potential overdraft charges, stopping the inclusion of overdrafts in the term “available funds” and making it clearer that overdrafts are credit, among other measures.

Chemicals producer Johnson Matthey rose after it reported flat underlying profits and raised the dividend 7%.

Building materials group CRH climbed as it began a shake-up of its business, as it looks to merge European and US divisions and boost profits.

Changes to the FTSE 350 index were confirmed after the latest quarterly review, with Ocado and GVC Holdings promoted to the FTSE 100 and Mediclinic and G4S dropping down into the FTSE 250, where they are to be joined by Integrafin, Laird, Energean Oil & Gas and Premier Oil. Demoted from the 250 will be Pets at Home, Marstons, Woodford Patient Capital Trust and Purecircle.

FirstGroup skidded lower after boss Tim O'Toole stepped down with immediate effect after the transport operator swung deep into the red after writing down the value of various assets on its balance sheet, especially its Greyhound unit. The company also booked a £106.3m onerous contract provision for the Trans Pennine Express, as a result of management's excessively optimistic assumptions when it bid for the contract.

Greeting cards, dressings and gifts retailer Card Factory reported quarterly like-for-like sales down 0.4% against strong comparatives and a tough retail environment. The group said it was continuing its store roll out, with 10 net new stores opened, keeping it on track for its target of 50 openings for the full year.

Shares in Indivior were hit after the drug developer was subpoenaed by the California Department of Insurance over its Suboxone treatment for opioid addiction.

Legal & General was little moved after announcing that Mark Zinkula, chief executive officer of its investment management arm, had advised the board of his intention to retire from the company in August next year.

Going ex-dividend on the day were Britvic, Computacenter, Ferrexpo, Marks & Spencer, National Grid, On The Beach, Spire Healthcare (hitting major shareholders Mediclinic), SSP and Taylor Wimpey.


Market Analysis 31/05/2018

TradeYour capital is at riskWall Street bounces backAfter registering significant losses on Tuesday, US markets recovered yesterday, as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both closed...

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.08%
 
cur price
7,695.47
 
change
+5.90
 
 
change pct
+0.32%
 
cur price
20,890.09
 
change
+67.42
 
 
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+0.23%
 
cur price
3,545.18
 
change
+8.20

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 CRH Plc +3.81% +102.00 2,782.00
2 Mediclinic International plc +1.91% +12.00 639.80
3 Informa +1.85% +14.20 782.40
4 Mondi +1.50% +31.00 2,101.00
5 Burberry Group +1.43% +29.00 2,058.00
6 Babcock International Group +1.31% +10.80 834.80
7 British American Tobacco +1.30% +49.50 3,858.50
8 Tesco +1.23% +3.00 247.60
9 St. James's Place +1.15% +13.50 1,191.50
10 Glencore +1.06% +3.95 376.15

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Taylor Wimpey -5.14% -10.35 190.85
2 National Grid -4.15% -36.30 838.20
3 Marks & Spencer -3.60% -10.70 286.80
4 Severn Trent -1.52% -30.50 1,970.50
5 United Utilities -1.43% -11.20 772.80
6 NMC Health -1.15% -42.00 3,622.00
7 Centrica -0.76% -1.10 143.60
8 Lloyds Banking Group -0.73% -0.47 63.73
9 Smurfit Kappa Group -0.71% -22.00 3,084.00
10 Vodafone Group -0.65% -1.26 193.62

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US open: Stocks start lower following Trump's newest round of tariffs

US stocks opened lower on Thursday as better than expected spending data were offset by fears of an oncoming trade war following the White House's newest round of tariffs.

As of 1600 BST, the Dow was down 0.97% to 24,428.35, while the S&P 500 lost 0.45% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.11%.

The US will impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union from Friday, the White House said on Thursday.

Those levies of 25% on steel imports and 10% on aluminium were originally announced by the President back in March, but Canada and Mexico had been granted an exemption while US officials renegotiated the North American Free Trade Agreement.

They were expected to be met with retaliatory measures against US products, including motorcycles, jeans and bourbon.

Connor Campbell, a financial analysts at SpreadEx, said, "With the petulant President still flip-flopping on his attitudes towards China, the US/North Korea relationship on rocky ground, and Italy and Spain in the midst of political crises, investors really weren't in the mood for another set of trade tensions to emerge."

"Yet Trump marches to the beat of his own drum, with his administration announcing that tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the EU, Canada and Mexico will come into effect at midnight.

"While the markets avoided the kind of bloody losses that have greeted previous tariff updates, it's not like they took the news in their stride either," he concluded.

In currency news, the US dollar wrapped up a second straight day of losses after the euro was boosted by better-than-expected inflation numbers that balanced out trade-war worries and Italian political concerns.

The ICE US Dollar Index was off 0.1% at 94.063, after dropping 0.8% a day earlier.

Earlier, data from the Department of Commerce showed nominal spending rose 0.6% in April, above the consensus of 0.4%, with March spending data revised up to 0.5%, representing a meaningful acceleration over January and February.

With the deflator up 0.2%, as expected, real spending rose a hefty 0.4%, double the consensus of 0.2%. The core personal consumption expenditure deflator rose 0.2%, above the consensus of 0.1%.

On the income side of the report, April personal income was shown to have risen 0.3% month-on-month, in line with consensus, as disposable income rose by 0.4% and compensation rose by 0.3%.

Although the core PCE deflator is on track to hit the 2% target in July and then to nudge above it in August, Federal Reserve officials have made it clear that this alone will not prompt a policy response as the inflation target is 'symmetric'.

"At this point, we don't see much to worry about, especially with hospital services prices calming down after a run of big increases. The Fed will continue to tighten on the basis of heading off future inflation risk, not because the near-term data are about to become alarming," analysts at Pantheon Economics said.

Elsewhere, new applications for US unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 221,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Claims data for the prior week was unrevised.

Lastly, the National Association of Realtors' pending home sales index decreased to 106.4, down 1.3% from March, which was also revised to 107.8 from 107.6, and falling significantly short of the 0.4% rise forecast by economists.

Pending home contracts, a forward-looking indicator of the health of the housing market fell 2.1% year-on-year.

In corporate news, Micron fell 5.32% after the semiconductor manufacturer was downgraded to 'equal weight' at Morgan Stanley and technology firm Siena lost 3.41% after revealing an earnings miss.

Kirkland shot up 15% after the home decor retailer reported first-quarter that came in ahead of expectations and transportation company Brink claimed 13.09% after it provided an upbeat outlook as part of its announcement that it bought cash-management business Dunbar Armored for $520m.


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Thursday broker round-up

Britvic: Berenberg upgrades to buy with a target price of 900p.

Photo-Me International: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 160p.

Telford Homes: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 500p.

First Group: Canaccord reiterates hold with a target price of 89p.

Bodycote: Numis reiterates hold with a target price of 975p.

Clinigen: Numis upgrades to buy with a target price of 1,208p.

Provident Financial: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 904p.

Urban & Civic: Numis reiterates buy with a target price of 400p.

Beazley: Jefferies reiterates buy with a target price of 680p.

Ophir Energy: Credit Suisse downgrades to neutral with a target price of 60p.

B&M European Retail: Credit Suisse reiterates outperform with a target price of 465p.

Electrocomponents: Credit Suisse reiterates underperform with a target price of 650p.

Mediclinic: Credit Suisse reiterates neutral with a target price of 660p.

Go-Ahead Group: Jefferies reiterates buy with a target price of 2,200p.

McBride: Berenberg reiterates hold with a target price of 140p.

 

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