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May 21, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 21 May 2018 10:40:26
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London open: Stocks rise as US-China tensions ease, pound drops
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London stocks rose in early trade on Monday, helped along by a weaker pound as the dollar rallied on the back of an easing of tensions between the US and China, which also helped to boost broader market sentiment.

At 0835 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 0.5% to 7,815.61, breaking through the 7,800 mark to a fresh all-time high, as the pound fell 0.4% versus the dollar to 1.3415 and was flat against the euro at 1.1442. A weaker pound tends to lift the top-flight index as around 70% of its constituents derive most of their earnings from overseas.

Investors breathed a sigh of relief after US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said over the weekend that the US would hold off from imposing tariffs on China, which had originally sparked fears of a trade war between the two.

Mnuchin said that a trade war was "on hold" as both countries agree to work on a wider trade agreement.

Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at Markets.com, said: "The FTSE 100 notched up a fresh record high, rising clear of 7800 for the first time as the feel-good factor from the trade war truce bolstered risk sentiment and a weaker pound delivered the usual shot of adrenalin for the blue chips. It looks like progress on talks between China and the US means we are not about to descend into a punitive trade war. Whilst there is still long way to go and nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, there has undoubtedly been solid progress and the sense of relief in equity markets is palpable."

Wilson added that the FTSE's recent gains are probably more attributable to a weaker pound as the dollar rallies across the board.

"Cable sank as low as 1.341, its weakest level since December as the dollar index jumped towards the 94 level. If support at 1.34 goes, 1.33 comes into view pretty quickly. It's this slide in sterling which seems to be buoying the FTSE as much as the broader risk-on sentiment."

Elsewhere, the latest house price update from Rightmove showed that asking prices for newly marketed properties climbed 0.8% on the month in May to a new record high of £308,075, up from £305,732.

However, asking prices in London subsided 0.2% on last year and across the South East as a whole dropped 0.1% - the first fall since 2011.

In corporate news, pharmaceuticals giant AstraZeneca rallied after saying it has received US regulatory approval for its Lokelma treatment for hyperkalaemia, an increased level of potassium levels in the blood suffered by many people with chronic kidney disease and heart disease. It also announced that it had submitted a new drug application in Japan for a diabetes treatment, following recent approval in Europe.

Budget airline Ryanair flew a little lower as it posted a 10% jump in full-year pre-tax profit but said its outlook for FY19 was on the "pessimistic side of cautious" due to rising costs and flat fare growth as it cut its full-year guidance.

NewRiver gained ground after confirming that it has entered a period of exclusivity with Hawthorn Leisure Holdings and its major shareholder regarding a potential acquisition of the business on Monday, following press comment.

Bank of Georgia was in focus after posting an 18.8% increase in first-quarter profit.

In broker note action, G4S was lifted by an initiation at 'buy’ at Kepler Cheuvreux, while Tesco was up as Citi resumed its coverage at 'buy’ and Ocado advanced after an upgrade to 'add’ at AlphaValue.

Rotork was knocked lower by a downgrade to 'underperform’ at Credit Suisse, while IWG was managing to hold its head above water despite a downgrade to 'hold’ at Stifel.


Market Analysis 18/05/2018

Trade MarketsYour capital is at risk'Trade war' turns to 'trade talks'The long standing power struggle between the USA and China has gradually turned a softer note, as both...

Read More..


Market Status
 
 
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cur price
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+53.00
 
 
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cur price
21,079.88
 
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+90.11
 
 
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cur price
3,527.51
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 3i Group +2.43% +24.00 1,013.00
2 G4S +2.06% +5.50 273.00
3 Anglo American +1.96% +36.40 1,896.40
4 AstraZeneca +1.83% +96.00 5,337.00
5 Marks & Spencer +1.65% +4.80 296.50
6 WPP Plc +1.58% +21.00 1,346.00
7 Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust +1.58% +8.00 515.00
8 Johnson Matthey +1.55% +54.00 3,534.00
9 Smurfit Kappa Group +1.55% +46.00 3,014.00
10 Sainsbury +1.54% +4.70 310.20

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Micro Focus International -1.83% -25.00 1,338.00
2 Randgold Resources -1.10% -64.00 5,750.00
3 Babcock International Group -1.04% -8.00 764.40
4 Mediclinic International plc -0.54% -3.60 660.80
5 Rolls-Royce Holdings -0.37% -3.20 854.00
6 Reckitt Benckiser -0.27% -16.00 5,934.00
7 British Land Company -0.14% -1.00 692.00
8 Fresnillo plc -0.08% -1.00 1,273.50
9 BT Group -0.00% -0.00 203.25
10 GKN Plc -0.00% -0.00 482.40

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US close: Stocks end on a mixed note as Treasuries pare losses, banks slip

Wall Street finished on a mixed note, weighed down by losses for energy and financials, as traders scanned the headlines swirling about the second round of trade talks between China and the US.

Significantly, overnight officials in Beijing questioned reports that its government had offered to slash the Asian giant's bilateral annual trade deficit with the States by $200bn.

However, in what was seen by some as an 'olive branch' to Washington, China did row back on its initial response to the US administration's threats of trade tariffs, announcing the end of its anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations into US exports of sorghum.

Against that backdrop, by the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial was flat at 24,715.09, alongside a 7.16 point or 0.26% dip for the S&P 500 to 2,712.97.

For the week, the S&P 500 ended 14.75 points lower.

The Nasdaq Composite also closed lower, slipping 0.38% or 28.13 points to finish at 7,354.34.

By sectors, the weakest segments of the market were: Semiconductors (-1.61%), Banks (-1.43%) and Multiutilities (-1.42%).

Over in fixed income markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury was off by five basis point at 3.06%, as the US dollar index advanced towards back towards its October highs, but was still 10 basis points higher for the week.

In the background, there was a fair bit of 'chatter' out of strategists at some of Wall Street's largest investment banks around what they said were the fast-rising risks for the stockmarket.

Those at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch pointed out the reversal in fund flows out of financials seen over the preceding three weeks. That, they said, could be significant because in 2013 and 2017 such a reversal was seen before peaks in US Treasury yields.

"Rise in 10-year UST yields from 2% to 3% over the past 18 months a "good" rise in yields; if >3% a "bad" rise in yields this should be revealed in coming weeks by further outflows from financials, EM, credit as well as rising private client cash levels," they said in a research note sent to clients.

According to BofA-ML, their private clients's cash allocation fell to just 9.8% of assets under management over the latest week - a record low.

The investment bank's Bull & Bear timing indicator meanwhile was at 4.7 or 'neutral' territory.

To take note of, on Thursday the Russell 2000 index had notched up a record high.

Yet the S&P 500 was still on track for a slightly lower close for the week, albeit after clocking-in with significant gains over the prior five-day stretch.

No major economic releases were slated for Friday, although speeches from regional Fed presidents Loretta Mester and Robert Kaplan were scheduled.

On the company front, chip equipment maker Applied Materials was sharply lower after the company issued lower-than-expected guidance for earnings per share and sales in the next quarter.

Overnight, Applied Materials told analysts they could expect fiscal third quarter revenues to come in at between $4.33bn to $4.53bn, versus a consensus estimate of $4.53bn.

Shares in Deere&Co. on the other hand advanced after the manufacturer of agricultural equipment, despite posting lower than forecast EPS and sales for its second fiscal quarter.

Stock in Campbell Soup was another big faller - and saw their largest single day retreat sinec 1999 - after slashing its full-year guidance and announcing the exit of its chief executive officer.

AmTrust shares were in the green after activist Carl Icahn disclosed he had amassed 9.4% of the company's equity.


Monday newspaper round-up: Business registrations, M&S, Sky, RBS

Britain’s decision to leave the European Union has sparked a dramatic fall in the number of French, Dutch and Belgian businesses registering in the UK, in a further illustration of Brexit’s impact on the UK economy. Figures from Companies House show that French companies registered 48% fewer businesses in the UK in 2016-17 than the previous financial year while companies in Belgium registered 38% fewer. Companies in the Netherlands, which is probably the worst affected by Brexit of Britain’s trading partners, registered 52% fewer companies last year than in 2015-16. – Guardian

Hundreds of Marks & Spencer staff will find out as soon as Monday whether their store is closing, as the retailer accelerates its retrenchment from struggling UK high streets. The M&S chief executive, Steve Rowe, is shutting 100 of its large clothing and food shops amid falling sales and profits. It has already closed 20, affecting about 900 jobs, but staff are braced for the axe to fall on another tranche of stores before the announcement of its annual results on Wednesday. - Guardian

Sky is narrowing its focus on virtual reality with the launch of a new technology hub on its west London campus. The media giant will today unveil plans to create a 70,000 square foot site on its UK headquarters, its third tech centre in Europe. The space will house engineers and software developers focusing on new products in areas such as virtual reality. - Telegraph

Britain’s largest shareholder advisory groups have called on investors in Royal Dutch Shell to reject growing demands for the oil giant to take full responsibility for its impact on the environment. Shell faces a binding shareholder vote tomorrow to decide whether to adopt rigorous accountability standards to bring its operations into line with the Paris climate agreement. Glass Lewis and ISS have urged shareholders to reject the “unduly burdensome” and “problematic” proposal. - Telegraph

Two leading business lobby groups have urged the government to reform immigration rules amid growing fears that Britain will lose its competitive edge after Brexit. The demands increase calls from industry bodies for clarification about how immigration policy should be shaped. The City UK, which lobbies for financial and professional services firms, and EEF, an organisation representing manufacturers, have warned Theresa May that Britain’s key industries face a “recruitment crunch” after Britain leaves the European Union. - The Times

Royal Bank of Scotland is considering restarting dividends on a scale that would make it one of Britain’s most generous payers to shareholders and would be likely to accelerate the government’s sale of its holding. Ten years after RBS was banned from paying dividends as part of its £45.5 billion bailout, the state-controlled bank is set to return to payouts with a policy that could be as ambitious as that of Lloyds, its rival. Lloyds, also banned from paying dividends during the financial crisis, restarted distributions in 2014 and has pledged to return at least half of its earnings to shareholders. - The Times

 

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