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May 18, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 18 May 2018 20:31:51
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London close: Footsie undermined by reports of SFO investigation into Glencore
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London stocks edged a little lower on Friday as investors paused for breath following a record closing high a day earlier and with reports of a possible fraud investigation into Glencore dampening investor sentiment heading into the weekend.

AstraZeneca was the other main drag after posting slightly disappointing quarterly numbers.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.12% to 7,778.79, after setting a record close the day before, as energy shares benefited from a jump in oil prices.

Commenting on the Friday session, David Madden at CMC Markets UK said: "the SFO's investigation into Glencore has come on a day when weaker commodity prices have made themselves felt across the mining and oil sectors but outside of this there thankfully appears little read-across to the rest of the sector from Glencore’s woes.

"This at least means that the overall bounce in mining stocks has further to go thanks to the still-robust global growth environment. Sadly the FTSE 100 has not been able to clock up a patriotic new record high ahead of the royal wedding, but the trend is still intact and renewed weakness in sterling augurs well for further gains."

In parallel, the pound was down 0.25% against the dollar at 1.34830, and 0.15% lower versus the euro at 1.1442.

Brexit developments were coming into sharper focus in the background.

Prime Minister Theresa May is pushing a new plan for the UK to remain in a customs union with the EU after 2021 until an alternative solution is found to having a hard border in Ireland, which she plans to present to a European Council meeting next month. However Irish counterpart Leo Varadkar warned a new customs plan is likely to be insufficient to avoid a hard border.

In corporate news, losses in shares of Glencore undermined the top flight index as reports emerged that the Serious Fraud Office was making preparations to open a formal investigation into the company, over its work with the leader of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Israeli billionaire Dan Gertler.

AstraZeneca was under the cosh too as the pharmaceutical giant's first-quarter sales and earnings came in lower than expected due to investment in new drug launches and erosion of its Crestor statin drug.

Analysts at Jefferies said: "This quarter's relatively low core EPS number reflected a low externalisation and [other operating income] contribution which is volatile on a quarterly basis." They highlighted strong starts for newly launched Tagrisso and Lynparza, both beating expectations by 4% and 7%, respectively, while respiratory drugs missed due to continued pricing pressure and timing of government buying.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals slipped despite hailing an "encouraging start" to the year and reiterating its full-year guidance.

Rio Tinto fell after saying it had been given the green light to run driverless trains at its iron ore business in Western Australia, while homeware retailer Dunelm was in the red as it appointed Laura Carr - currently group financial controller of Compass Group - as its new chief financial officer.

John Laing Infrastructure ended the day flat even as it posted 1.8% growth in its underlying portfolio value for the three months to the end of March.

Just Group fell as private equity investor Permira ditched its entire holding in the retirement services company a day after it surged on the back of solid first-quarter sales figures.

Lloyds gave up slight early gains after announcing the sale of its Irish residential mortgage portfolio to Barclays for £4bn.

In small caps, Carpetright rallied after announcing plans for a £60m placing and open offer to fund additional costs associated with implementing its CVA, repay its £12.5m interim loan and fund the group's capex plans.

In broker note action, DS Smith was the standout gainer after it was lifted to 'outperform' at Davy, while Ocado was upgraded to 'hold' at HSBC a day after signing a deal with US grocery chain Kroger.

Smith & Nephew was hit by a downgrade to 'hold' at Commerzbank, but outsourcer Capita was higher after an upgrade to 'overweight' at JPMorgan.

888 was cut to 'neutral' by JPMorgan and Grainger was downgraded to 'equal-weight' at Barclays, while BTG was knocked down to 'hold' at Investec.


Market Analysis 18/05/2018

Trade MarketsYour capital is at risk'Trade war' turns to 'trade talks'The long standing power struggle between the USA and China has gradually turned a softer note, as both...

Read More..


Market Status
 
 
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cur price
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cur price
20,972.53
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

#   Name Change Pct Change Cur Price
1 Smurfit Kappa Group +1.62% +48.00 3,014.00
2 Paddy Power Betfair +1.43% +120.00 8,525.00
3 Std Life Aber +0.93% +3.40 370.70
4 NMC Health +0.93% +34.00 3,708.00
5 Relx Group +0.85% +13.50 1,610.50
6 Unilever Plc +0.76% +31.00 4,131.50
7 Burberry Group +0.70% +13.50 1,941.50
8 Hargreaves Lansdown +0.64% +12.50 1,953.50
9 London Stock Exchange +0.62% +28.00 4,526.00
10 Imperial Brands +0.56% +15.50 2,773.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

#   Name Change Pct Change Cur Price
1 Johnson Matthey -3.10% -110.00 3,433.00
2 AstraZeneca -2.19% -117.00 5,228.00
3 Vodafone Group -1.63% -3.20 192.84
4 Smith & Nephew -1.28% -17.00 1,310.50
5 Merlin Entertainments Plc -1.08% -4.00 367.40
6 Admiral Group -0.82% -16.00 1,929.00
7 BHP Billiton -0.78% -13.60 1,736.00
8 Rio Tinto -0.75% -32.50 4,325.00
9 Antofagasta Plc -0.74% -8.00 1,073.50
10 United Utilities -0.71% -5.60 780.80

Europe close: Italian and Spanish stocks heavily sold
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Italian stocks and government bonds slumped with shares of the country's banks bearing the brunt of selling after Italy's main anti-establishment parties, the Five Star and League, threw down the gauntlet to Brussels on austerity and against the bloc's fiscal rules.

The policy proposals of the two aspiring parties to lead a coalition government included a €780 (£678) monthly 'citizens' income' for the unemployed, lower personal tax rates, a review of the EU's fiscal rules and rolling back the recent pensions reform.

News of the agreement, which must still be approved by the country's president, Sergio Mattarella, likely on Monday, sent longer-term Italian government bond yields down again and weighed further on the country's benchmark equity index.

"What will be certain on Monday is that, in the event of a failure to form a government (the two had yet to nominate a candidate for Prime Minister), the window of opportunity to hold an election at the end of July will probably be virtually closed," said analysts at UniCredit

Against that backdrop, by the closing bell, Milan's FTSE Mibtel had slid 1.48% or 352.34 points to trade at 23,449.65, alongside a 0.28% or 36.89 point dip on the German Dax to 13,077.72, while the Cac-40 was 0.13% or 7.41 points lower to 5,614.51.

The pan-European benchmkark Stoxx 600 meanwhile was off by 0.28% or 394.67 points to 394.67, alongside a fall of 1.02% or 104.0 points to 10,112.40 for the Spanish Ibex 35.

Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Italian government bond was 11 basis points higher at 2.23%, their session high and their loftiest level since October.

That pushed the risk premium versus similarly-dated German bunds to 165 basis points, with some analysts, albeit not all, seeing scope for even further gains.

The news out of Rome also weighed on Spanish bonds, with the 10-year government note yield up by four basis points to 1.44, with bunds the main beneficiary as investors sought out safe havens, pushing their yield down by six basis points to 0.58%.

In the background, traders were scanning the headlines coming out of the ongoing trade talks between China and the US, in Washington.

The most important of those was a denial by Chinese officials that the Asian giant had offered to slash its country's trade deficit by $200bn via increased imports of American goods.

Both Accendo Markets's Mike van Dulken and IG's Joshua Mahony pointed to doubts about the success of those talks as another key factor that was dampening on investor sentiment on Friday.

Elsewhere on the economic front, Eurostat reported a rise in the euro area's seasonally adjusted trade surplus from €20.9bn for February to €21.2bn in March.

That came alongside a Eurozone current account surplus of €32.0bn for March.

Shares of Swedish retailer Hennes & Mauritz were in the spotlight on Thursday, but trade lower, despite continued reports of share purchases by its chairman Stefan Persson, which at the last count were running at roughly £543m for the year-to-date.

Fiat was also in the headlines after Bloomberg reported on company chief Sergio Marchionne's plans to unveil a strategic shift by the carmaker towards upscale models. Shares of the company fell however.

To the north, in France, Airbus was little changed despite a Reuters reports of a potential massive order by Dubai Aerospace for Airbus and Boeing jets.


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US open: Mixed open on the Street as China trade talks continue

Wall Street trading opened somewhat mixed on Friday as investors continued to scan the headlines coming from the second round of trade talks between China and the US.

As of 1500 BST, the Dow Jones Industrial had picked up 0.08%, however, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had lost 0.15% and 0.27%, respectively.

Just one of many pieces of news coming out of the US' trade talks with China came in the form of China rowing back on its initial response to the US administration's threats of trade tariffs, announcing the end of its anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations into US exports of sorghum.

Over in fixed income markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury was off by one basis point at 3.10% but remained 13 basis points higher for the week.

No major economic releases were slated for Friday, although speeches from regional Fed presidents Loretta Mester and Robert Kaplan were scheduled.

On the corporate front, chip equipment maker Applied Materials dropped 8.45% after the company issued lower-than-expected guidance for earnings per share and sales in the next quarter.

Overnight, Applied Materials told analysts they could expect fiscal third quarter revenues to come in at between $4.33bn to $4.53bn, versus a consensus estimate of $4.53bn.

Shares in Deere & Co. on the other hand, were 2.55% higher after the manufacturer of agricultural equipment, despite posting lower than forecast EPS and sales for its second fiscal quarter.

Stock in Campbell Soup fell 11.66% after slashing its full-year guidance and announcing the exit of its chief executive officer.

AmTrust shares picked up 3.43% after activist Carl Icahn disclosed he had amassed 9.4% of the company's equity.


Friday broker round-up

Thomas Cook: Numis downgrades to add with a target price of 159p.

Patisserie Holdings: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 460p.

BT: Morgan Stanley reiterates equal-weight with a target price of 240p.

Grainger: Barclays downgrades to equal-weight with a target price of 320p.

Marstons: Barclays reiterates underweight with a target price of 90p.

Mitchells & Butlers: Barclays reiterates underweight with a target price of 225p.

National Grid: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

Sophos: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

William Hill: Citigroup reiterates buy with a target price of 380p.

Burberry: Citigroup reiterates neutral with a target price of 1,970p.

Dixons Carphone: RBC Capital Markets reiterates outperform with a target price of 250p.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals: Peel Hunt reiterates hold with a target price of 1,160p.

S&U: Peel Hunt downgrades to hold with a target price of 2,800p.

Experian: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 1,950p.

Motif Bio: Northland Capital Markets reiterates buy with a target price of 115p.

SSP Group: Canaccord reiterates sell with a target price of 590p.

Wincanton: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 340p.

Astrazeneca: Jefferies reiterates buy with a target price of 5,950p.

 

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