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May 16, 2018

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Wednesday, 16 May 2018 18:05:05
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London close: Stocks take geopolitical risks in stride
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Stocks edged higher in London on Wednesday as investors weighed up solid updates from the likes of Burberry and Micro Focus and deal news for Paddy Power against geopolitical concerns.

The FTSE 100 finished 0.15% or 11.22 points higher at 7,734.20, despite news that North Korea has suspended talks with South Korea over the continuation of military drills with the US, calling them a "provocative military racket", and threatened to pull out of a planned summit with the US if it continues to pressure it to unilaterally abandon its nuclear weapons programme.

Nevertheless, Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets pondered whether this was merely game-playing for Kim, "taken straight from Trump's negotiation playbook".

Meanwhile, sterling was up 0.24% against the euro at 1.1435 but 0.2% lower versus the dollar at 1.34758.

Traders in London also adopted an insouciant attitude towards reports, citing an allegedly old draft coalition agreement, that Italy's two main anti-establishment parties had at one point broached deep reforms of the European Union, including a push for an 'opt-out' clause from the EU to be included in the founding treaties.

According to the draft copy the Huffington Post had gotten access to, the two parties were also aiming to weaken the bloc's Stability and Growth Pact.

"Italy should give investors pause for breath, although at present it is not quite having any real impact, since the likely coalition government seems set on upending the existing Eurozone order. How far they plan to go remains a question that is yet to be solved, but it brings back uncomfortable memories of the Eurozone crises of years past," said IG's Chris Beauchamp.

"Then, it was always said that the single currency union could survive the departure of Greece or Portugal, but that Italy would be the proverbial straw that broke the camel's back."

In UK corporate news, luxury fashion brand Burberry rallied as it presented a smart but not swanky first set of full-year results under new chief executive Marco Gobbetti, beating City forecasts despite a 1% fall in revenues. The group also announced a new £150m share buyback.

Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said: "Whilst these are not results which shoot the lights out, Burberry will be pleased with its progress given the fact that it is in the early stages of its planned transformation.

"Less positively, the numbers are shy of some of Burberry's high end fashion peers, and revenues are in line with expectations although for the most part flat. Its home market in the UK is still finding it difficult to make a strong contribution, whilst the overall transformation strategy comes with implementation risks attached as the rest of the sector continues to focus on established and well-worn successes. Even so, given the disruptive backdrop, these numbers show meaningful progress."

Paddy Power Betfair was in the black after it confirmed it is in talks over a potential merger of its US business and US-based FanDuel to target the market that will open up following the Supreme Court's overturning of a federal ban on sports betting.

"Just when investors began fearing the future for bookmakers in the UK, we are seeing great excitement over the prospect of a US revival in sports betting," said Joshua Mahony, market analyst at IG, with the UK government's decision looming on gambling machine betting limits.

"The impact of government restrictions on fixed odds betting terminals is no doubt going to be hugely significant, with warnings of a potential 20,000 jobs being lost as the maximum stake is slashed from £100 to £2. However, today's rise for Paddy Power comes as investors hope that the firm can realign its interests towards the US and away from a shrinking UK market."

Software group Micro Focus International surged after it said that a new $40m licensing deal will help to boost its first-half revenue, which is now expected to be better than the guidance of -9% to -12% at constant currency.

Paper products maker Mondi edged higher after saying it expects first-quarter underlying operating profit to be 15% higher year-on-year at €295m and 6% up on the fourth quarter of 2017.

Food and beverage outlets operator SSP was on the rise after it posted a jump in first-half profit and revenue as it reaped the benefits of growing air passenger numbers, new contract openings across the world and its ongoing programme of operational improvements.

Brewin Dolphin ticked up as the wealth manager posted a rise in first-half funds under management and profit.

On the downside, Crest Nicholson was sharply lower as the housebuilder cut its margin forecast on the back of pricing pressure, while Cineworld lost ground despite saying it was on track to deliver a full-year performance in line with its current expectations.

Shares in transport operator National Express were also higher after the company reported 6.2% growth in first-quarter revenue thanks to a solid performance from its North American business.

Stock in pub operator Mitchells & Butlers on the other hand tumbled after posting a drop in half-year profit, while peer Marston's was also in the red after its interim numbers.

Smurfit-Kappa also closed lower, on news that US rival International Paper is not intending to go 'hostile' with its bid for the company.

JD Sports dropped on news that Odey Asset Management has declared an 8.2% stake in Finish Line, prompting fears that it's trying to block JD's proposed acquisition of the US sportswear company.

Playtech declined as it said in an AGM trading statement that revenues at its B2B gaming division in Asia were lower than in the same period a year ago.

Thomas Cook was lifted by an upgrade to 'buy' at Panmure Gordon, while Tullow Oil gushed higher after an upgrade to 'overweight' at Morgan Stanley. Homeserve was higher after an upgrade to 'buy' at UBS.

Evraz was cut by both Goldman and Citi, while Centrica was downgraded to 'underweight' by Morgan Stanley and Zoopla and PrimeLocation owner ZPG was curt to 'hold' at Shore Capital. Computacenter was hit by a downgrade to 'sell' at UBS.


Market Analysis 16/05/2018

Trade Markets Your capital is at risk Global geopolitical tensions could weight on markets today North Korea has issued a statement saying President Kim Jong Un might not...

Read More..


Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.20%
 
cur price
7,738.49
 
change
+15.51
 
 
change pct
+0.10%
 
cur price
20,805.77
 
change
+20.85
 
 
change pct
+0.26%
 
cur price
3,487.78
 
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+9.21

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Micro Focus International+7.37%+93.501,362.50
2Paddy Power Betfair+3.03%+235.007,995.00
3Anglo American+2.88%+52.001,854.60
4Glencore+2.20%+8.35387.65
5Burberry Group+2.13%+38.501,842.00
6Mondi+1.85%+37.002,035.00
7Rio Tinto+1.66%+70.004,299.50
8Babcock International Group+1.42%+10.60755.20
9Antofagasta Plc+1.38%+14.501,066.00
10CRH Plc+1.31%+35.002,711.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Centrica-3.74%-5.55142.85
2Mediclinic International plc-1.81%-12.40672.40
3Compass Group-1.80%-28.001,531.00
4BT Group-1.31%-2.70204.10
5Barratt Developments-1.13%-6.40561.80
6Merlin Entertainments Plc-1.09%-4.10371.20
7London Stock Exchange-1.07%-48.004,427.00
8Berkeley Group Holdings-0.86%-36.004,164.00
9Persimmon-0.82%-23.002,794.00
10Vodafone Group-0.81%-1.60196.78

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US open: Positive open on the Street as bond yields remain in focus

Wall Street trading started on a positive note on Wednesday even as investors keep an eye on bond yields and geopolitical concerns weigh on sentiment.

At 1525 BST, the Dow Jones Industrial had gained 0.11%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were ahead by 0.23% and 0.41%, respectively.

Stocks ended lower on Tuesday as the yield on the 10-year Treasury note crept back above 3% - to its highest point since 2011.

Rabobank said: "Though the Fed's Williams reiterated his stance as regards the need for three to four rate hikes from the Fed this year, the move looks to have been prompted by a firm retail sales print for April (+0.3%) while March figures were revised to show growth of 0.8%."

It added that the joint probability of a September and a December hike is now around 50%, higher than it has ever been this year.

Also weighing sentiment was news that North Korea has suspended talks with South Korea over the continuation of military drills with the US, and threatened to pull out of a planned summit with the US if it continues to pressure it to unilaterally abandon its nuclear weapons programme.

In economic news, the rate of US new home construction fell for the second time in four months, dragged down by starts on apartment buildings, adding to concerns for a housing market already weighed down by tight supply and rising prices.

New housing starts fell 3.7% in April to an annualised pace of 1.287m, according to the Census Bureau, a steeper decline than the 0.7% drop to 1.31m predicted by analysts.

Elsewhere, a report released by the Federal Reserve revealed that industrial production in the US increased a touch more than anticipated last month.

The Fed said industrial production climbed by 0.7% in April, just above the 0.6% rise predicted by economists.

In corporate news, department store chain Macy's picked up 6.52% after reporting earnings before the opening bell and Helios and Matheson gained 2.96% after the MoviePass owner recorded an earnings beat on a revenue miss.

Cisco Systems is slated to report after the close of markets.

Market participants will also eye the release of the latest crude inventories figures from the EIA at 1530 BST, after OPEC published data showing that inventories in OECD countries had dropped to 9m barrels above the five-year average from 340m at the start of last year.


Wednesday broker round-up

Centrica: Morgan Stanley downgrades to underweight with a target price of 115p.

Arrow Global Group: Berenberg initiates at sell with a target price of 280p.

Evraz: Goldman Sachs downgrades to neutral with a target price of 550p.

BT Group: Bernstein downgrades to market perform with a target price of 215p.

Esure Group: Deutsche Bank upgrades to buy with a target price of 290p.

Pennon Group: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Severn Trent: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold.

United Utilities: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Next: Citigroup reiterates sell with a target price of 4,500p.

Lonmin: Citigroup reiterates sell.

Hargreaves Lansdown: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 2,100p.

EasyJet: Barclays reiterates equal weight with a target price of 1,610p.

BBA Aviation: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 382p.

Vodafone: Barclays reiterates overweight with a target price of 260p.

BHP Billiton: JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 1.650p.

BTG: JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 650p.

Brewin Dolphin: Canaccord reiterates hold with a target price of 365p.

Playtech: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 1,050p.

French Connection Group: Numis downgrades to add with a target price of 70p.

Ceres Power Holdings: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 20p.

Dalata Hotel Group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 660p.

 

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