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Nov 9, 2017

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 09 November 2017 18:44:06
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London Market Report
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London close: Stocks close lower as Burberry, housebuilders weigh

London stocks closed lower on Thursday as investors waded through a torrent of mixed corporate news, with the pound giving back earlier gains after the European Commission cut its economic growth forecasts for the UK on the back of Brexit uncertainty.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.56% to 7,487.59, while the pound was up 0.06% against the dollar at 1.3123 and 0.33% lower versus the euro at 1.1273.

UK growth is likely to slump from 1.5%, down from 1.8% previously, to 1.3% in 2018 and 1.1% in 2019, the EC said.

European stocks were also all on the backfoot with the DAX down 1.34% to 13,203.50, the CAC 40 1.01% lower at 5,416.44 and the IBEX 35 0.74% weaker to 10,153.20.

Since being hit by the Bank of England's dovish hike last week, Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell said sterling "has struggled to regain its pre-hike momentum, with the recent political chaos - and now these dismal forecasts - repeatedly undermining any potential comeback."

Market participants were mulling over inflation figures from China, where the consumer price index and producer price index came in at 1.9% and 6.9% respectively in October, versus consensus estimates of 1.8% and 6.6%.

Also in focus was the latest housing data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, which showed house prices were down in four areas of the country in October, with London, the South East, East Anglia and north-east England all showing declines. This news plus caution from a smaller rival about recent sales sent FTSE 100 housebuilders Persimmon, Barratt Developments and Taylor Wimpey lower.

Investors were also eyeing the resumption of Brexit talks.

Oanda analyst Craig Erlam said: "I doubt many are optimistic on progress given how previous meetings have gone. Time is fast running out for both sides to agree to move onto transition and trade talks before businesses begin planning for no deal worst case scenario.

"This would be particularly problematic for the UK so any sign that we're headed in this direction could be bad for the pound. It will be interesting to see how vulnerable sterling is to these talks over the next couple of days."

Meanwhile, there was no shortage of corporate news for investors to sink their teeth into.

Shares in luxury fashion house Burberry tanked as new CEO Marco Gobbetti said he wants to enhance the brand's luxury credentials by taking its products out of US stores where they sit alongside less desirable goods - a move that will hit revenues for two years.

Supermarket group Sainsbury's declined as half-year profits dropped 9% and are not expected to turn positive in the full year.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals was under the cosh after it cut forecasts for its generics business for the third time this year as it blamed challenging market conditions in the US. Hikma also gave an update on its generic version of GlaxoSmithKline's Advair for asthma, saying approval in the US faces more hurdles. The news hit shares of Vectura, which formulated the drug and provided the puffer device.

Housebuilder Redrow was on the back foot after it said trading in the first 18 weeks of the new financial year was in line with expectations but noted a slight slowdown in sales in recent weeks.

Builders merchants Grafton was down despite reporting a rise in revenue in the 10 months to the end of October, while retailer Supergroup retreated despite posting a gain in revenue for the 26 weeks to 28 October.

Satellite group Inmarsat reversed earlier gains to trade lower despite posting a jump in third-quarter revenues, while Auto Trader was weaker even as it reported an increase in revenue and profit for the first half.

AstraZeneca lost its early gains by the close, having said it expects full-year earnings to be towards the "favourable end" of its previous guidance.

On the upside, Informa, the events and publishing company, was top of the leaderboard as it said underlying revenue was up 3.2% for the first 10 months of the year.

Vodafone was higher as it agreed a long-term strategic partnership with CityFibre, the UK's largest alternative provider of wholesale fibre network infrastructure.

Retail property developer Hammerson rose after saying third-quarter total leasing volumes were up 17% on the same quarter last year.

Dixons Carphone was boosted by an upgrade to 'buy' from 'hold' at Investec, while Wizz Air flew higher after JPMorgan lifted its price target.


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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,484.10 -0.61%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 20,071.87 -1.12%
techMARK (TASX) 3,482.08 -0.75%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Informa (INF) 731.50p 4.13%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 221.80p 2.73%
Hammerson (HMSO) 528.50p 1.34%
Coca-Cola HBC AG (CDI) (CCH) 2,593.00p 1.25%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,323.00p 0.84%
Paddy Power Betfair (PPB) 8,570.00p 0.82%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 612.50p 0.82%
Mediclinic International (MDC) 611.00p 0.74%
Experian (EXPN) 1,629.00p 0.68%
Merlin Entertainments (MERL) 378.60p 0.64%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,787.00p -9.97%
Persimmon (PSN) 2,662.00p -3.97%
Barratt Developments (BDEV) 612.00p -3.62%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,433.00p -3.18%
ITV (ITV) 156.40p -3.10%
Standard Life Aberdeen (SLA) 413.00p -3.01%
Smurfit Kappa Group (SKG) 2,285.00p -2.97%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 191.70p -2.89%
NMC Health (NMC) 2,973.00p -2.81%
National Grid (NG.) 904.20p -2.60%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Playtech (PTEC) 840.00p 3.58%
Acacia Mining (ACA) 176.80p 3.03%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 239.60p 2.92%
Wizz Air Holdings (WIZZ) 3,103.00p 2.61%
Greene King (GNK) 546.50p 1.86%
Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 1,151.00p 1.77%
Greencore Group (GNC) 192.80p 1.58%
3i Infrastructure (3IN) 199.20p 1.53%
Dixons Carphone (DC.) 154.80p 1.51%
Just Group (JUST) 152.00p 1.47%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Inmarsat (ISAT) 518.00p -7.68%
Card Factory (CARD) 285.70p -7.03%
Redrow (RDW) 597.50p -6.86%
Halfords Group (HFD) 312.00p -6.58%
Grafton Group Units (GFTU) 763.50p -6.44%
Vectura Group (VEC) 90.70p -5.96%
Bellway (BWY) 3,415.00p -5.90%
Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) 514.50p -5.60%
Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,699.00p -5.25%


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US Market Report

US Pre-Open: Stocks Seen Lower Ahead Of Tax Bill Details

 

US futures pointed to a mildly weaker open on Wall Street on Thursday as investors braced for more earnings news and details on the Senate’s tax bill.

At 1210 GMT, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were down 0.3%, while Nasdaq futures were 0.4% lower.

Oanda analyst Craig Erlam said: “The declines in US futures track similar moves in European equity markets which are suffering a lack of direction in what has been a very slow news week, from a markets perspective. While indices have still managed to eke out new highs despite a complete absence of catalysts, the moves have been very small, even by the current stock market standard, and it would appear this has encouraged some profit taking from investors.

“That’s not to say these declines will be sustained - the evidence suggests the buy the dip mentality is alive and well in the markets - but any corrections, however small, will likely be welcomed by investors who crave some more volatility in the markets. Perhaps the reports of delayed implementation period for corporate tax cuts has taken some of the shine off the rally but I don’t think it will make much difference, as long as it ultimately passes.”

Senate Republicans are due to unveil their version of the tax bill on Thursday which differs from the one in the House.

Deutsche Bank said: “It’s unclear just how much detail we’ll get though with some conflicting reports out there. Axios reported that the release of the bill will be delayed however Politico reported separately that GOP leaders are ready to walk through the bill with the GOP conference at 11.30 EST. Thereafter it will be released to the public but the timing is a bit up in the air so we might have to wait and see.”

In corporate news, Sage Therapeutics rocketed in pre-market trade after the company said its drug to treat postpartum depression met the main goal in two late-stage studies.

Office Depot was likely to be in focus after saying third-quarter profit fell 17%, while Kohl’s shares slid in pre-market trade after the release of its third-quarter earnings.

Shares in housebuilder D.R. Horton were likely to be active as it posted a 10% jump in quarterly profit amid higher home sales.

After the close, earnings are due from Walt DisneyNordstromNews Corp and Invidia Corp.

On the data front, initial jobless claims are at 1330 GMT, while wholesale inventories are at 1500 GMT.


Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 3.66
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.97
3 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.70
4 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.65
5 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 1.50
6 BT.A BT Group plc 1.50
7 IQE IQE plc 1.48
8 XBT Provider AB 1.16
9 PTEC Playtech plc 1.12
10 AST Ascent Resources plc 1.02

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 BP. BP Plc 1.88
2 FEVR Fevertree Drinks plc 1.75
3 IQE IQE plc 1.73
4 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.69
5 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.56
6 RDSB Royal Dutch Shell Plc B Shares 1.28
7 BT.A BT Group plc 1.27
8 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.26
9 GLEN Glencore plc 0.95
10 BOO Boohoo.com 0.93

Newspaper Round Up

Broker Tips: Dixons Carphone, Wizz Air, Tullow Oil

 

Investec has upgraded its stance on Dixons Carphone to ‘buy’ from ‘hold’, keeping the price target at 185p.

The brokerage noted the stock has been down on the back of worries about downgrades, but said that any further material downgrades are unlikely, even though the group’s first half results are likely to be weak given mobile headwinds and the timing of non-cash P&L adjustments.

“Valuation in our view is looking increasingly attractive with recent share price weakness overdone and risk/reward on the upside,” it said.

In addition, while uncertainty surrounding mobile is likely to persist, Investec reckons Carphone retains a high degree of flexibility to deal with the challenges it faces.

The brokerage expects first-half pre-tax profit of £61m, down 58% on the year, with the drop driven in part by last year’s one-off profit items. On the other side of the ledger, it expects around £14m profit progression across UK Electricals, Nordics & Greece.

 

Analysts at JP Morgan boosted their target price on shares of Wizz Air following the budget carrier's second quarter figures.

According to the investment bank, the airline's 9% beat on the bottom line translated into a roughly 3% rise in the firm's guidance for fiscal year 2018.

Implicitly, that meant management was being cautious on the outlook for the second half of the year.

Yet, "we believe it reflects a sensible degree of caution given the high-end pace of capacity growth and some inflationary pressures," they said.

The analysts also saw upside risk to the firm's implied guidance for traffic growth of approximately 24%, offset by possible headwinds for market capacity growth from higher fuel costs.

All in all, JP Morgan revised its estimates for the firm's financial year 2018 earnings per share from €2.16 to €2.21 and for 2019 from €2.52 to €2.66.

 

Tullow Oil raised its production guidance on Wednesday thanks to higher than expected output from its TEN and Jubilee fields in Ghana, leading research analysts at Credit Suisse to up their target price on the group's shares from 205p to 240p.

The London based oil and gas exploration firm raised its full-year guidance for oil production from its West African operations from 78,000-85,000 barrels of oil per day (bopd) to 85,000-89,000 bopd.

Tullow forecast roughly $400m of free cash flow for itself in the current financial year, driven by higher oil prices and increased production, helping the group better maintain its debt position.

Nonetheless, Credit Suisse analysts noted that Tullow's Ugandan operation was the big question mark on the company's horizon, as continued delays in securing pre-emption agreements and government approval had already pushed projects slated to be in the financial investment decisions stage in 2017 into the next financial year.

 

 

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