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Nov 21, 2017

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 21 November 2017 22:14:34
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London Market Report
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London close: FTSE higher on the day as UK deficit widens unexpectedly

Shares closed higher on Tuesday as data revealed an unexpected widening of the UK deficit ahead of the Autumn Budget.

The FTSE 100 was up 0.30% to 7,411.34, while the pound was down 0.09% against the euro at 1.1270 and 0.02% weaker versus the dollar at 1.3228.

European markets were somewhat mixed with the DAX up 0.83% to 13,167.62, the CAC 40 0.48% firmer at 5,366.15 and the IBEX 35 slipping 0.35% to 9,990.80.

Data released by the Office for National Statistics earlier in the day showed UK public sector net borrowing increased more than expected last month, primarily driven by a surge in interest payments on index-linked gilts due to the rise in inflation.

Public sector net borrowing excluding stakes in public sector banks rose to £8.0bn in October, above the £7.5bn in the same month last year and the consensus forecast of £7.1bn.

Total borrowing, the public deficit, stood at £7.46bn in October, more than the £6.5bn expected and above last year's figure of £4.43bn.

But low borrowing earlier in the fiscal year means the government has borrowed only £38.5bn since April, £4.1bn lower than in the same months of 2016/17.

Still, the UK's total public debt stood at £1.79trn at the end of October, an increase of £147.8bn over the past 12 months and equating to 87.2% of the value of annual gross domestic product.

Howard Archer, chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club, said: "Wednesday's Budget is not going to be easy for the Chancellor. The Chancellor is under pressure to increase levels of Government spending, but also faces larger deficits over the medium-term due to the Office for Budget Responsibility downgrading its productivity growth forecasts for the UK."

Investors were also mulling the latest survey from the CBI, which showed UK manufacturing output growth leapt to a 29-year high in November as the weak pound drives export demand, though Brexit uncertainty is holding back investment.

The CBI's industrial trends survey found a balance of 17% more manufacturers reporting total orders above normal, which was the highest average since August 1988.

The pick-up was driven by the export orders balance, which leapt to +20, equal to the record high from June 1995 and soaring from +5 in October.

In corporate news, EasyJet flew higher despite reporting a drop in annual profit as chief executive Carolyn McCall prepared to leave the budget airline after seven years in charge, after saying it sees a winter price boost following the collapse of Monarch Airlines.

Specialists building products supplier SIG was on the front foot after it said group revenue from continuing operations rose 6.7% in the period from 1 July to 31 October, while Telecom Plus advanced as it said profits for the full year are expected to be "slightly ahead" of current market expectations and reported a rise in profit and revenue for the first half.

On the downside, catering group Compass fell despite posting a rise in full-year profit as revenue grew thanks in part to a solid performance in North America, while Johnson Matthey retreated as it reported a 2% drop in first-half operating profit.

Home improvement retailer Kingfisher climbed after showing improved like-for-like sales in the third quarter as management kept a lid on disruption from turnaround plans.

Aggreko tanked as investors focused on disappointing order intake and weakness in Argentina in the temporary power provider's third quarter results.

Building materials group CRH was also on the back foot even as it said it continues to expect another year of progress as it reported an increase in sales for the first nine months.

Intertek was in the red despite reporting a jump in revenue for the year to date, while Babcock International fell even as its underlying revenue rose 6% in the first half.

Melrose Industries was under the cosh after a trading update, as it said Nortek faces currency headwinds in 2018 and that the market for Brush has been "very difficult".

Premier Oil gushed lower after a Barclays downgrade to 'underweight', while Mediclinic fell after it was cut to 'underperform' by Macquarie and United Utilities was lower after a downgrade to 'sell' at Investec.


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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,411.34 0.30%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 19,943.98 0.37%
techMARK (TASX) 3,469.31 0.48%

FTSE 100 - Risers

easyJet (EZJ) 1,343.00p 5.09%
NMC Health (NMC) 2,847.00p 4.29%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 3,130.00p 3.40%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,385.00p 1.80%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 5,091.00p 1.78%
Prudential (PRU) 1,915.00p 1.75%
Standard Life Aberdeen (SLA) 429.60p 1.66%
AstraZeneca (AZN) 5,036.00p 1.52%
Shire Plc (SHP) 3,628.50p 1.48%
Kingfisher (KGF) 308.50p 1.35%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Babcock International Group (BAB) 703.50p -6.76%
Mediclinic International (MDC) 507.50p -5.76%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 5,175.00p -4.26%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 3,158.00p -3.43%
Compass Group (CPG) 1,538.00p -3.33%
Merlin Entertainments (MERL) 361.60p -2.90%
CRH (CRH) 2,673.00p -2.45%
Bunzl (BNZL) 2,158.00p -1.46%
Convatec Group (CTEC) 198.10p -1.44%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 778.50p -1.27%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Entertainment One Limited (ETO) 310.10p 6.38%
Hunting (HTG) 543.50p 6.05%
SIG (SHI) 169.10p 5.95%
Telecom Plus (TEP) 1,207.00p 4.57%
Thomas Cook Group (TCG) 121.70p 4.02%
BTG (BTG) 771.00p 3.91%
Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) 355.50p 3.75%
Cairn Energy (CNE) 214.20p 3.58%
Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 1,155.00p 3.40%
Intermediate Capital Group (ICP) 1,045.00p 3.36%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Aggreko (AGK) 862.00p -11.13%
Mitie Group (MTO) 208.70p -7.41%
TalkTalk Telecom Group (TALK) 153.10p -5.38%
Spire Healthcare Group (SPI) 233.90p -5.30%
Melrose Industries (MRO) 204.50p -5.02%
Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK) 1,052.00p -4.54%
Inmarsat (ISAT) 473.40p -4.36%
Ultra Electronics Holdings (ULE) 1,143.00p -3.71%
Capita (CPI) 469.90p -2.81%


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US Market Report

US open: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite at fresh record highs

The S&P 500 and tech-laden Nasdaq Composite are pushing to fresh record highs amid a 'bullish' call on stocks out of Goldman and against a backdrop of supportive economic data.

At 1651 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was advancing 0.76% or 178.94 points to 23,609.60, alongside a gain of 0.67% or 17.33 points for the S&P 500 to 2,599.70 while the Nasdaq was tacking on 1.01% or 68.49 points to 6,858.93.

In a research note entitled "Rational exuberance", strategists at Goldman Sachs projected the S&P 500 would rise to 2,850 points by year-end 2018, it tax reforms were approved.

Should they fail, then the benchmark index would see a 5% drop near-term to 2,450.

Concentrating on the positives, Goldman added: "extended profit cycle will support a rising US equity market through 2020. Higher profits will support higher index levels. Our S&P 500 year-end forecasts are 2850 (2018), 3000 (2019), and 3100 (2020) for gains of 11%, 5%, and 3%."

Also on the economic calendar was a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who said on Monday that she will leave the central bank altogether when she steps down next year, choosing not to remain on the board until her term as governor expires in 2024.

Against that backdrop, and amid pre-holiday thinned volumes of trading, pacing gains on Wall Street were: Heavy construction (2.49%), Home construction (2.10%) and Computer hardware (1.99%).

Yellen was due to make a speech at 2300 GMT as she takes part in an event at New York University's business school.

Nevertheless, Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, said: "Janet Yellen's decision to step down next February is not really a surprise given her failure to be reappointed; I'm not sure many of us would do any differently were we in her shoes. Her speech today will therefore have something of a valedictory quality, but she is now firmly in the 'lame duck' category of Fed presidents and thus her comments may not move the market as they once did. Sic transit gloria, as they say."

On the economic front, existing US home sales jumped 2% in October to reach an annualised clip of 5.48m (consensus: 5.40m).

Meanwhile, the three-month moving average for the Federal Reserve bank of Chicago's national activity index picked up from a reading of 0.01 for September to 0.28 in October.

In corporate news, Intuit was a touch lower following better-than-expected earnings late on Monday, but disappointing guidance.

Drug distributor AmerisourceBergen was also in focus after agreeing on Monday to buy independent wholesaler H.D. Smith for $815m.

Elsewhere, investors were pushing back on their Campbell Soup, sending shares 8% lower after management issued a warning on full-year profits.

Dollar Tree after the company sprinted past analysts' forecasts, posting third quarter earnings per share of $1.01 on sales of $5.32bn.

Analysts had penciled in EPS of just 90 cents on $5.28bn-worth of revenues for the discount retailer.

Medtronic was also moving to the upside after announcing fiscal second quarter EPS of $1.07 (consensus: $1.08).

Stone Energy on the other hand was under the cosh after announcing its intention to tie the knot with privately-held Talos Energy.


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Broker Tips

Broker tips: Centrica, Dignity

Kepler Cheuvreux has upgraded Centrica to 'buy' after shares of the energy provider fell past the broker's valuation of the business.

In a note to investors, Ingo Becker, Kepler Cheuvreux's head of utilities, said Centrica's low share price had created an opportunity for investors to "jump in".

Kepler Cheuvreux cut Centrica to 'reduce' in early 2016 when the shares were at 211p. Since then the shares have fallen 22% to well below Becker's price target of 190p. At 11:52 GMT the shares were trading at 166p.

Centrica's shares have dropped due partly to regulatory pressures and the government's decision to impose a cap on prices paid by households on variable tariffs. Centrica owns British Gas, the UK's biggest energy provider for consumers.

Nevertheless, Becker stuck by his original valuation and advised clients to take advantage of the buying opportunity.

Becker wrote: "Political and regulatory scrutiny of the industry […] might be pulling some of the pressure forward, but the overall intensity of pressures already modelled by us back then are now well covered by the share price. We currently see a market opportunity and recommend that investors jump in here."


Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 7.39
2 HL. Hargreaves Lansdown plc 4.21
3 SLA Standard Life Aberdeen Plc 3.68
4 RCP RIT Capital Partners plc 2.78
5 FGT Finsbury Growth & Income Trust plc 2.66
6 TW. Taylor Wimpey plc 2.26
7 FRCL Foreign & Colonial Investment Trust plc 1.72
8 PFC Petrofac 1.42
9 BLND British Land Co plc 1.14
10 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.10

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 2.20
2 IQE IQE plc 1.76
3 VOD Vodafone Group plc 1.53
4 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.42
5 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.30
6 CLLN Carillion plc 1.29
7 ZIOC Zanaga Iron Ore Company Ltd (DI) 1.09
8 BOO Boohoo.com 1.01
9 BP. BP Plc 0.90
10 RDSB Royal Dutch Shell Plc B Shares 0.88
 

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