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Nov 6, 2017

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 06 November 2017 19:10:13
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London Market Report
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London close: Miners and analyst upgrades lift blue chip stocks

London blue chips stocks finished Monday's session microscopically higher, with a little upward momentum as investors paused for breath after a record close on Friday.

Having earlier been below the waterline, FTSE 100 closed 1.9 points higher at 7,562.28, while the pound was up 0.5% against the dollar at 1.3144 and 0.6% on the euro at 1.1331.

While the large cap benchmark was boosted by a strong showing in the mining sector and some individual broker upgrades, the mid-caps of the FTSE 250 was down 0.2% to 20,432.6.

It just so happened that analysts at Liberum issued a note where they expressed a preference for the more internationally-exposed top-flight index. As the 250 has rallied despite challenging domestic earnings expectations, analysts felt 2018 growth forecasts of 9% were looking rather optimistic on the 5% seen for 2017, especially against a backdrop of lower GDP growth, political risk and potential margin peaks.

But looking just at Monday's session specifically, IG analyst Joshua Mahony said: "Markets are on a comedown, following what as was incredibly busy week from a political, economic and corporate standpoint. With the ECB, BoJ, Fed and BoE having completed their monetary policy meetings in the past fortnight, we are now seeing a more stable and settled environment for traders as we digest all that has gone before. The focus will likely shift onto the US from here on in, with negotiations over a wide-reaching tax reform programme expected to grab the headlines."

On the corporate front, medical technology company Convatec was the standout gainer after UBS upgraded the stock to 'buy' from 'neutral'.

Similarly Severn Trent was second on the leaderboard as HSBC upgraded its rating to 'buy' from 'hold' and upped its target
price to 2,300p from 2,160p, citing confidence in the dividend and the water company's regulatory position.

Online gaming specialist Playtech was also boosted by a 'buy' rating from UBS, while GKN and Tate & Lyle were boosted by upgrades at Investec, while Mitie was up on the back of upgrades from Jefferies.

The FTSE 100 was given a good lift from its heavy weighting of mining stocks, which racked up healthy gains from iron ore prices rallying, led by BHP Billiton and Anglo American.

Rio Tinto was slightly higher as it appointed Simon Trott to the newly-created role of chief commercial officer as the group reinforces its focus on driving value across the business from mine to market.

Specialist bank Aldermore rose after it recommended a bid from South Africa's First Rand bank and reported solid results for the third quarter.

Burberry was higher ahead of interim results that are due on Thursday, with new chief executive Marco Gobbetti addressing the market for the first time.

G4S was down a day ahead of its third quarter update. The security outsourcing group flagged at its interim results in August that organic growth would slow-down in the second half on the back of tough comparatives in North America. Chief executive Ashley Almanza expects full year revenue growth to be broadly in line with the medium term target of 4-6%, though some analysts predict growth may be weak for many months yet.

EasyJet was flat as it reported a 9.9% jump in passenger numbers for October as the load factor ticked higher, but Wizz Air fared much better after its October traffic stats.

Plastics group Synthomer fell slightly after it said volumes in the third quarter remained flat on last year and that it continued to hunt for acquisition opportunities.

Healthcare company BTG dropped almost 6% after it said it had been ordered to pay a £55.3m provision after the final ruling in its patent dispute with WellStat Therapeutics went against the company. It is mulling an appeal.

Redefine was in the red after announcing the successful exchange of contracts with Patrizia Immobilien AG for the sale of the Leopard (German supermarket) portfolio.

Morgan Advanced Materials retreated despite saying trading is in line with its expectations as it reaffirmed its outlook for the full year.

IWG was hit by a downgrade to 'sector perform' by analysts at RBC Capital Markets.


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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,562.28 0.03%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 20,432.60 -0.19%
techMARK (TASX) 3,562.52 -0.40%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Convatec Group (CTEC) 188.90p 3.79%
Severn Trent (SVT) 2,187.00p 2.63%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,464.50p 2.59%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,964.00p 2.56%
NMC Health (NMC) 3,168.00p 2.56%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 3,096.00p 1.91%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,511.50p 1.78%
Centrica (CNA) 170.40p 1.61%
GKN (GKN) 322.80p 1.41%
Persimmon (PSN) 2,871.00p 1.41%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

G4S (GFS) 280.20p -2.20%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 607.50p -1.62%
ITV (ITV) 157.40p -1.50%
Standard Life Aberdeen (SLA) 429.20p -1.42%
Tesco (TSCO) 176.65p -1.37%
Next (NXT) 4,417.00p -1.25%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 216.40p -1.19%
Smiths Group (SMIN) 1,572.00p -1.07%
CRH (CRH) 2,764.00p -1.04%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 3,469.00p -0.97%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Playtech (PTEC) 825.00p 7.14%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 271.30p 4.91%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 136.20p 3.34%
Sophos Group (SOPH) 625.50p 3.30%
Aldermore Group (ALD) 311.70p 3.08%
Genus (GNS) 2,484.00p 2.99%
BGEO Group (BGEO) 3,691.00p 2.78%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 195.40p 2.46%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 235.40p 2.44%
Entertainment One Limited (ETO) 292.60p 2.31%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

BTG (BTG) 739.00p -5.13%
IWG (IWG) 211.80p -4.55%
Sports Direct International (SPD) 388.40p -3.12%
CLS Holdings (CLI) 228.00p -2.98%
Inchcape (INCH) 766.00p -2.36%
Coats Group (COA) 87.65p -2.07%
Dairy Crest Group (DCG) 594.00p -2.06%
Weir Group (WEIR) 2,006.00p -1.91%
TP ICAP (TCAP) 490.60p -1.88%


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Europe Market Report
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Europe close: Stocks mostly higher, except on the euro area periphery

European stocks finished on a higher note following the release of the US jobs report for October, at least outside of the periphery.

Including revisions to prior months' data, US non-farm jobs rose past forecasts, the October employment report revealed, but the latest readings for wage growth were quite weak, showing flat growth month-on-month.

Weighing on sentiment towards Spanish issues, media coverage was focusing on some protests in the region of Catalonia after judges in Madrid ordered provisional jail for eight of the region's former ministers, including its vice-president, Oriol Junqueras.

The detentions raised a howl of criticism from several nationalist Catalan politicians ahead of the 21 December regional elections, including from the mayor of Barcelona, followed by some disruptions to traffic on a few highways in the region on Friday morning organised by anarchist outfit Arran.

Nonetheless, speaking to Spanish broadcaster SER, Spain's state attorney general, Jose Manuel Maza, reportedly insinuated he would not have ordered such measures if the eight detained ministers had said they would abide by the constitution. Instead, they had refused to answer when questioned.

Later in the day, focus shifted to the political movements in the region, with the centrist nationalist PDeCAT calling for a repeat grand coalition of pro-independence parties for the next elections.

By the closing bell, the benchmark Stoxx 600 was ahead by 0.28% or 1.12 points at 396.06, alongside a 0.28% or 37.93 point advance for the Dax to 13,478.86 and a 0.14% or 31.92 point drop on the FTSE Mibtel to 23,014.13.

Spain's Ibex 35 on the other hand was sharply lower, surrendering 0.96% or 100.0 points to trade at 10,357.80, amid falls in some of those lenders most exposed to events in the region of Catalonia such as Banco Sabadell.

Euro-dollar was again notably lower losing 0.49% to trade at 1.1602.

Spain was also in focus on the economic front, with fresh data showing unemployment in the country increased by 56,844 people in October, following the typical seasonal pattern in the Meditteranean country after tourism-related hiring abates after the summer. Nonetheless, last month's rise was only a bit over half what is usually seen.

In Catalonia on the other hand, joblessness jumped by 14,698, roughly twice the average rise for this time of year.

Reacting to those data for the troubled region, Spanish employment minister Fatima Banez linked the increase in unemployment to the recent crisis in Catalonia.


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Broker Tips

Broker tips: Shell, Randgold Resources, G4S

Analysts at Barclays reaffirmed their positive stance on shares of Royal Dutch Shell, pointing to management's ability to 're-set' the outfit's cash break-even level lower, the likelihood that it would soon be able to scrap its scrip dividend and the 6% dividend yield on offer.

The key, they explained, was management's decision to avail themselves of lower capital expenditures, reduced operating expenditures, divestments and new project start-ups to cut the company's cashflow break-even level of oil to $50 a barrel.

That was so even after paying out a full cash dividend.

Over the past four years, Shell had cut the oil price needed to cover both capex and payouts by nearly $80 a barrel, Barclays explained.

Yes, at 25% gearing remained above the firm's targeted level of 20%.

However, Barclays judged that: "continued strong organic cashflow and further divestment proceeds should give management the required line of sight to lower gearing that it needs to turn off the optional scrip dividend sooner rather than later."

Analysts at Numis reiterated their 'buy' recommendation and 900p target on Randgold Resources's shares despite its third quarter earnings 'miss' on the back of higher costs and lower gold sold as a proportion of output.

Indeed, cash costs printed at $667/oz., versus Numis's forecast for $606/oz, due to a combination of factors, including as a result of a higher strip ratio at its Loulo-Gounkoto and Tongon mines.

Instead, the analysts highlighted the 8.5% quarterly increase in cash from $572m at the end of the previous quarter to $621m and management's decision to reiterate their full-year guidance.

In particular, the directors had reaffirmed their intention to return to shareholders cash in excess of its targeted $500m.


Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 3.66
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.97
3 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.70
4 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.65
5 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 1.50
6 BT.A BT Group plc 1.50
7 IQE IQE plc 1.48
8 XBT Provider AB 1.16
9 PTEC Playtech plc 1.12
10 AST Ascent Resources plc 1.02

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 BP. BP Plc 1.88
2 FEVR Fevertree Drinks plc 1.75
3 IQE IQE plc 1.73
4 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.69
5 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.56
6 RDSB Royal Dutch Shell Plc B Shares 1.28
7 BT.A BT Group plc 1.27
8 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 1.26
9 GLEN Glencore plc 0.95
10 BOO Boohoo.com 0.93
 

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