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Oct 25, 2017

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Wednesday, 25 October 2017 10:22:05
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London Market Report
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London Open: Stocks Steady Ahead Of Third-Quarter GDP Data

London stocks were little changed in early trade on Wednesday as investors eyed the release of third-quarter UK GDP data.

At 0830 BST, the FTSE 100 was flat at 7,524.23, with the pound steady against the euro and the dollar at 1.1166 and 1.3129, respectively.

An hour ahead of the release of UK growth data, Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell said: “With Bank of England deputy governor Jon Cunliffe muddying the rate hike waters on Tuesday, will the MPC hawks get any support from Wednesday’s UK Q3 GDP reading?

“Towards the end of summer it seemed highly likely that the UK would see a rise in interest rates before 2017 was over. Now, however, there’s no such certainty, even with last week’s five-year high inflation data. The continued drop in real wages, lagging retail sales and a sharp jump in the number of UK companies reporting profit warnings in the third quarter have all undermined the case for a hike, something that has begun to weigh on sterling."

The GDP figures are one of the final pieces of economic data ahead of the next meeting of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee on 2 November.

After inflation reached 3% last month, there is a feeling among many economists that the UK gross domestic product update could seal the deal for a rate hike in November, despite the mixed signals from MPC members and other economic gauges.

Analysts are expecting GDP growth to come in at 0.3% for the quarter, the same as in Q2, while at the annual rate growth could slip to 1.5%.

While a weak performance, a 0.3% outturn is unlikely to derail the rate hike, said Investec economist Victoria Clarke.

Indeed it "should seal the deal", said Capital Economics' chief economist Jonathan Loynes.

Over a decade since the BoE last increased rates, markets are implying an 80% chance of a move from 0.25% to 0.50% at next month's MPC meeting.

In corporate news, British American Tobacco was in the black after saying it expects revenue from next generation products to double to over £1bn next year.

Lloyds Banking Group was on the back foot as investors seemed to worry more about loan impairments and rising consumer credit risk than solid income and profits growth up 8% to £4.62bn and 9% to £2.08bn respectively.

Power station operator Drax nudged up after agreeing the sale of Billington Bioenergy, a distributor of wood pellets in the UK heating market.

Virgin Money nudged higher as it said it is in talks to make former HSBC banker Irene Dorner its next chairman in a move that would assemble the first all-female leadership team at a major British bank.

Fellow challenger bank Metro Bank retreated after it reported a 77% jump in underlying pre-tax profit for the third quarter and announced that chief financial officer, Mike Brierley, plans to retire next year.

Fresnillo was weaker despite posting a rise in the production of silver and gold for the third quarter and saying it remains on course to achieve its output targets for 2017, while Antofagasta was in the red despite cutting cost forecast and reporting a rise in third-quarter copper production.

In broker note action, Whitbread was cut to ‘equalweight’ at Morgan Stanley, while Wizz Air was downgraded to ‘hold’ at Investec, but Lancashire was bumped up to ‘equalweight’ at Barclays.

Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,524.23 -0.03%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 20,116.49 0.02%
techMARK (TASX) 3,532.16 0.10%

FTSE 100 - Risers

British American Tobacco (BATS) 4,913.50p 1.76%
Unilever (ULVR) 4,128.50p 0.51%
AstraZeneca (AZN) 5,105.00p 0.45%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 3,142.50p 0.37%
Compass Group (CPG) 1,577.00p 0.32%
Kingfisher (KGF) 307.00p 0.30%
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) 749.00p 0.29%
Croda International (CRDA) 3,884.00p 0.23%
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 345.50p 0.23%
Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust (SMT) 435.90p 0.21%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Antofagasta (ANTO) 987.00p -3.39%
Ferguson (FERG) 5,165.00p -2.64%
Whitbread (WTB) 3,692.00p -1.60%
St James's Place (STJ) 1,174.00p -1.59%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 66.18p -1.42%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 925.00p -1.12%
Bunzl (BNZL) 2,233.00p -1.02%
ITV (ITV) 170.50p -0.99%
Convatec Group (CTEC) 206.00p -0.96%
easyJet (EZJ) 1,273.00p -0.93%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 1,122.00p 2.77%
PayPoint (PAY) 951.00p 2.26%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 6,250.00p 2.21%
Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,787.00p 2.11%
Sanne Group (SNN) 782.00p 1.82%
Lancashire Holdings Limited (LRE) 689.50p 1.63%
Sirius Minerals (SXX) 26.88p 1.43%
Spectris (SXS) 2,508.00p 1.34%
Rank Group (RNK) 224.00p 1.31%
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW) 352.90p 1.29%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

TBC Bank Group (TBCG) 1,685.00p -2.60%
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 310.10p -2.26%
Aveva Group (AVV) 2,425.00p -2.06%
Synthomer (SYNT) 476.70p -2.02%
Evraz (EVR) 311.70p -1.92%
Wizz Air Holdings (WIZZ) 3,171.00p -1.79%
Fidessa Group (FDSA) 2,208.00p -1.78%
OneSavings Bank (OSB) 409.70p -1.66%
Capita (CPI) 518.50p -1.53%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 270.30p -1.49%


The Top 10 Stocks for Q4

Our latest quarterly stocks report analyses the top and bottom 10 FTSE 100 performers of 2017 so far and looks at our Top Ten Stock Picks for Q4 including City broker consensus and their average target price for each stock. Losses can exceed deposits

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UK Event Calendar

Wednesday October 25

INTERIMS
Lombard Risk Management

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
BBGI SICAV S.A. (DI)

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
General Electric Co

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
Durable Goods Orders (US) (13:30)
House Price Index (US) (14:00)
IFO Business Climate (GER) (09:00)
IFO Current Assessment (GER) (09:00)
IFO Expectations (GER) (09:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
New Homes Sales (US) (15:00)

Q3
Antofagasta, GlaxoSmithKline, Metro Bank

ANNUAL REPORT
Tlou Energy Limited (DI)

IMSS
Lloyds Banking Group

AGMS
GCP Student Living, Photo-Me International, Redde, Tlou Energy Limited (DI)

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Centaur Media, Cobham

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BBA Mortgage Lending Figures (09:30)
GDP (Preliminary) (09:30)
Index of Services (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Renishaw


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US Market Report

US close: Dow pushes higher amid earnings frenzy

The Dow pushed further into record territory on Tuesday, on the heels of a wave of better-than-expected corporate earnings updates.

At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up 0.72% at 23,441.76, the S&P 500 was ahead 0.16% at 2,569.13 and the Nasdaq 100 was 0.2% firmer at 6,080.22.

Stock in 3MCaterpillarGM and McDonald's were all putting on heavy gains after pleasing shareholders with their latest set of financials, with United Technologies one of the few exceptions, with its shares trading lower despite beating forecasts on the Street for its earnings per share.

The lone economic release on Tuesday was IHS Markit's manufacturing sector purchasing managers index for October, which printed at 54.5 - a nine month high - following a reading of 53.1 for September.

Back on the corporate front, shares of industrial conglomerate 3M rocketed 5.91% after the firm beat analysts' forecasts for both profits and sales and bumped up its outlook for earnings.

General Motors was 2.95% higher despite reporting an enormous third quarter loss of $2.98bn or -$2.03 on a per share basis, versus $1.76 per share of profits a year ago.

On an adjusted basis, however, earnings per share came in at $1.32 against a consensus for $1.11, while sales also fell by less than anticipated.

Shares of McDonald's were also wanted even after the fast food giant only managed to just meet analysts' estimates on both the top and bottom line.

Its stock was up 0.33%.

Heavy equipment manufacturer Caterpillar finished the day 4.98% higher after the company said it was seeing stronger demand for its wares across many of its end markets.

Dow Jones - Risers

3M Co. (MMM) $234.65 5.91%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $138.24 4.98%
American Express Co. (AXP) $93.87 1.60%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $100.93 1.59%
Boeing Co. (BA) $266.05 1.40%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) $244.84 1.12%
Visa Inc. (V) $108.41 0.82%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $166.05 0.78%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $34.58 0.67%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $157.10 0.60%

Dow Jones - Fallers

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $155.87 -2.30%
General Electric Co. (GE) $21.89 -1.93%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $141.66 -1.38%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $119.74 -0.95%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $133.19 -0.94%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $87.98 -0.76%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $98.29 -0.48%
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) $63.11 -0.46%
Nike Inc. (NKE) $53.42 -0.45%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $87.00 -0.37%

S&P 500 - Risers

Corning Inc. (GLW) $31.94 6.43%
3M Co. (MMM) $234.65 5.91%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $138.24 4.98%
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK) $165.73 4.77%
Alcoa Corporation (AA) $50.08 4.51%
CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) $37.61 3.58%
Hasbro Inc (HAS) $92.96 3.58%
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. (DO) $15.59 3.11%
Mosaic Company (MOS) $21.66 2.95%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX) $15.23 2.84%

S&P 500 - Fallers

Whirlpool Corp. (WHR) $163.26 -10.54%
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) $70.38 -5.72%
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) $198.35 -5.32%
Centene Corp. (CNC) $93.04 -5.07%
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $46.84 -4.25%
Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. (IPG) $19.81 -3.97%
Biogen Inc (BIIB) $315.73 -3.90%
Under Armour Inc. Class A (UAA) $16.30 -3.21%
Owens-Illinois Inc. (OI) $24.35 -3.10%
AbbVie Inc (ABBV) $91.69 -2.92%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers

Hasbro Inc (HAS) $92.96 3.58%
Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) $62.73 2.07%
NetEase Inc. Ads (NTES) $280.54 1.98%
American Airlines Group (AAL) $51.95 1.90%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $196.02 1.84%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. - Ordinary Shares (NCLH) $54.66 1.75%
Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) $90.29 1.71%
QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM) $54.25 1.61%
Broadcom Limited (AVGO) $247.68 1.40%
T-Mobile Us, Inc. (TMUS) $62.28 1.32%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) $70.38 -5.72%
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $46.84 -4.25%
Biogen Inc (BIIB) $315.73 -3.90%
Viacom Inc. Class B (VIAB) $25.65 -2.51%
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc Class B (FOX) $25.56 -1.73%
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc Class A (FOXA) $26.23 -1.72%
Celgene Corp. (CELG) $120.34 -1.66%
Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A (LILA) $21.51 -1.47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) $426.51 -1.44%
Charter Communications Inc. (CHTR) $340.26 -1.39%


Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 4.57
2 MERL Merlin Entertainments plc 4.07
3 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 3.86
4 IRV Interserve plc 1.93
5 CTEC ConvaTec Group Plc 1.67
6 VAST Vast Resources plc 1.66
7 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 1.64
8 ULVR Unilever plc 1.23
9 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 1.22
10 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 0.99

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 3.75
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 3.17
3 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 2.01
4 IRV Interserve plc 1.27
5 VAST Vast Resources plc 1.26
6 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 1.19
7 BOO Boohoo.com 1.11
8 IQE IQE plc 0.91
9 BP. BP Plc 0.84
10 BT.A BT Group plc 0.79

Newspaper Round Up

Wednesday newspaper round-up: Poundland, Twitter, Saudi Arabia

Poundland is being forced to redesign its copycat Toblerone bar, but can sell half a million of the lookalike chocolate this Christmas after reaching a sweet deal with the Swiss original’s owners. In July, the budget chain was forced to delay the launch of its Twin Peaks bar, which has two points per segment, rather than the single peak of a Toblerone, after a legal warning from the brand’s owner, a Swiss division of US confectionery and snacks group Mondel?z. - Guardian

Twitter has announced the launch of an advertising “transparency center” with stricter rules for political ads in the wake of revelations that social media sites were used to spread Russian propaganda during the 2016 US presidential election. “In the coming weeks, we will launch an industry-leading transparency center that will offer everyone visibility into who is advertising on Twitter, details behind those ads, and tools to share your feedback with us,” said Twitter’s Bruce Falck in a blogpost. – Guardian

Tension between the Ministry of Defence, arms companies and the watchdog tasked with cracking down on profiteering in military contracts are damaging the Government’s ability to get value for money on defence deals. A new report by the National Audit Office says the Single Source Regulations Office – which is responsible for getting the best deal on sensitive or urgent defence contracts which are not put out to tender – has so far saved £313m on the £24bn of deals it has examined in its three-year life. – Telegraph

Three quarters of firms believe there will be no improvement to UK infrastructure during the current parliament, pointing to housing shortages as their biggest headache. In a YouGov survey, commissioned by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), and infrastructure firm AECOM, just 20pc of businesses were satisfied with the current pace of infrastructure improvements. – Telegraph

Saudi Arabia has unveiled plans to build a $500 billion mega-city that will run on alternative energy and have its own laws. In a project that forms a key part of the kingdom’s plan to diversify its economy, the zone of Neom will cover 26,500 square kilometres of “totally untouched” land and will power itself with wind and solar energy. – The Times

The head of Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund said that the proposed $2 trillion flotation of Saudi Aramco was on target and that “nothing” could derail the process. Yasir bin Othman Al-Rumayyan, chief executive of the Saudi Arabian Public Investment Fund, said speculation that Saudi Aramco, the state-owned oil business, was rethinking plans to float part of its company were “just not right”. – The Times

 

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