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Oct 31, 2017

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 31 October 2017 17:30:02
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London Market Report
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London close: FTSE gains pared as pound climbs on Brexit comments

London stocks clung onto marginal gains on Tuesday, helped along by some well received results from oil giants BP and ad behemoth WPP.

The FTSE 100 added just 5.27 points or 0.07% to 7,493.08, paring initial gains as the pound rose 0.5% against dollar and euro late in the session at 1.3277 and 1.1393, continuing strong form from the start of the week ahead of an anticipated Bank of England rate hike on Thursday.

The pound was fairly flat for most of the session but climbed late on. This happened to be while Brexit Secretary David Davis gave breezily confident evidence to a parliamentary committee, saying talks with his opposite number Michel Barnier will start again next week and should intensify.

Davis also acknowledged that the withdrawal agreement under Article 50 may be no more than a "political agreement" rather than a full, legal treaty.

"It should be agreed, because otherwise how will this House, how will the Commons, make a decision on whether the deal is acceptable," he said.

A survey released earlier by GfK showed UK consumer confidence about the economy worsened in October, ahead of big decisions from the Bank of England later this week, the Budget next month and ongoing Brexit negotiations.

GfK's consumer confidence index dropped one point to -10 in October as sub-categories for the general economic situation over the last 12 months fell one point and for the coming 12 months decreased by two points.

On the upside, the measure for people's personal financial situation over the last 12 months and the major purchase index increased by one and two points respectively. The score for people's personal financial situation over the next 12 months stayed the same.

In corporate news, oil behemoth BP gushed higher after it announced a plan to buy back shares as its third-quarter profit beat analysts' expectations.

Accendo Markets analyst Mike van Dulken said: "Whilst income seekers may be miffed at no increase to the 10c per quarter dividend, resumption of a supportive share buyback to offset scrip dividends (shares instead of cash) has been well received. It suggests management even more comfortable with current oil prices, considering cash generation more than capable of covering commitments to both growth and capital returns. It's also suggestive of even more water under the bridge from what has been a very expensive legal process and forced retrenchment."

Speciality chemicals firm Croda International topped the leaderboard also on the front foot after it affirmed its full-year outlook and said that the improved sales trend seen in the first half of 2017 continued through the third quarter.

Advertising giant WPP reversed earlier losses to trade up after it said sales remained negative in the third quarter as the advertising market continued to be hit by client cost saving.

Budget airline Easyjet gained on the back of rival Ryanair's positive trading update, where the Irish carrier said it still expects to make record annual profits this year despite disruptions that led to thousands of flights being cancelled.

William Hill and Ladbrokes Coral gained ground, with traders pointing to some relief that the department of digital, culture, media and sport has launched a 12-week consultation on a range of options to tackle problems with fixed-odd betting terminals, rather than announce an immediate cut to the maximum stakes.

Packaging company DS Smith traded higher after confirming trading in the first half of its financial year was in line with expectations, with return on average capital employed at the upper end of the target range.

Topping the mid-cap index, Indivior racked up healthy gains as an FDA Advisory Committee was set to make a decision later in the day on whether it will approve the company's month-long depot-based injection for the treatment of opioid disorder.

Online food ordering specialist Just Eat advanced as it bumped up its full-year revenue guidance and reported a 47% jump in group revenue for the third quarter.

On the downside, precious metals miner Fresnillo led the fallers as gold prices fell due to a shift in the market's mood.

"The strength of risk-on sentiment can be seen by the fall in gold this afternoon, which has dropped below yesterday's low and seems set for more downside," said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, as he eyed weaker than expected euro area inflation numbers.

"Today's eurozone CPI confirms that inflation is still more of a problem for its absence than its strength, which means that this classic safe-haven asset will continue to find its lustre notably diminished."

Shares in Burberry were lower as the luxury retailer announced that president and chief creative officer Christopher Bailey will leave at the end of next year after 17 years with the company.

Weir Group tanked as it warned that operating profit for the year is expected to be lower than previously indicated due to its minerals operations, despite a strong showing in the oil and gas division.

Glencore fell after the Anglo-Swiss commodity trading and mining group said that it plans to delist its shares from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange at the end of January.

Royal Mail was hit by a downgrade to 'underperform' at Credit Suisse, while Renishaw was weaker after a Peel Hunt downgrade and Rotork was dented by a Goldman Sachs downgrade to 'neutral'.


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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,493.08 0.07%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 20,227.86 0.07%
techMARK (TASX) 3,526.29 -0.10%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Croda International (CRDA) 4,184.00p 4.24%
easyJet (EZJ) 1,344.00p 3.54%
WPP (WPP) 1,334.00p 3.01%
SEGRO (SGRO) 542.50p 2.94%
BP (BP.) 511.50p 1.97%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 3,381.00p 1.75%
British Land Company (BLND) 601.00p 1.69%
Micro Focus International (MCRO) 2,645.00p 1.69%
Old Mutual (OML) 191.00p 1.60%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 5,430.00p 1.50%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Fresnillo (FRES) 1,305.00p -2.39%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 3,070.50p -2.23%
Glencore (GLEN) 363.90p -1.65%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,410.00p -1.59%
Pearson (PSON) 705.00p -1.54%
Kingfisher (KGF) 313.00p -1.14%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,357.50p -1.09%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,902.00p -1.04%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 4,869.50p -0.97%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 224.40p -0.93%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Indivior (INDV) 373.20p 8.08%
Just Eat (JE.) 780.00p 5.41%
Inmarsat (ISAT) 619.00p 4.12%
Lancashire Holdings Limited (LRE) 753.00p 3.86%
IWG (IWG) 215.60p 3.60%
Wizz Air Holdings (WIZZ) 3,268.00p 3.45%
Provident Financial (PFG) 929.50p 3.45%
Capital & Counties Properties (CAPC) 266.50p 2.90%
Just Group (JUST) 155.20p 2.51%
TalkTalk Telecom Group (TALK) 213.00p 2.50%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Weir Group (WEIR) 1,956.00p -6.68%
Royal Mail (RMG) 374.40p -3.93%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 220.50p -3.80%
Rotork (ROR) 262.80p -3.49%
Genus (GNS) 2,351.00p -3.25%
Acacia Mining (ACA) 180.30p -3.06%
Pets at Home Group (PETS) 176.10p -2.55%
Drax Group (DRX) 277.80p -2.25%
Halfords Group (HFD) 329.60p -2.20%


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US Market Report

US open: Wall Street set to finish October on a positive note

Wall Street was trading slightly higher on the last day of October with investors digesting another slew of corporate results as the US central bank's two-day policy meeting got underway.

Ahead of the Fed's rate announcement and alongside multiple strong readings on the economy, at 1515 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead by 0.12% or 27.50 points at 23,375.93, while the S&P 500 was ahead by 0.14% or 3.70 points to 2,576.52 with the Nasdaq Composite 0.40% or 26.47 points firmer at 6,725.64.

From a sector standpoint, the strongest performance was being seen in the following industry groups: Paper (2.03%), Food products (1.90%) and Forestry & Paper (1.68%).

On the economic front, the Chicago NAPM's regional manufacturing purchasing managers' index shot higher in October to reach a reading of 66.2 (consensus: 60.0).

Those figures came alongside the results of the Conference Board's latest consumer confidence survey which picked up to a level of 125.9 (consensus: 121.0) - its best print since December 2000.

In corporate news, shares of healthcare insurer Aetna were slipping despite reporting third-quarter earnings that beat expectations and lifting its 2017 guidance, while snack maker Mondelez was on the front foot after it reported better-than-expected third-quarter profit late on Monday.

IBM was also in the spotlight after the technology stalwart unveiled a $3.0bn share buyback programme.

Chip-maker Micron Technology was one of the most wanted stocks, even on the back of already hefty gains year-to-date which had seen its shares almost double in value.

Earlier on Tuesday, the company announced deals with two Chinese outfits, including Shenzhen Security and Protection Industry Association, to accelerate deployment of new products in Asia.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals was on the up too after the company said it is on track to pay down more than $5bn in debt ahead of its previous 2018 goal.

Going the other way, Under Armour was getting riddled by sell orders on the heels of lower-than-expected third-quarter revenue due to weaker North American demand and as the apparel retailer cut its full-year outlook.

General Electric was also among the most traded issues on the NYSE, amid 'market chatter' referencing the conglomerate's expected 13 November meeting with investors.

Pfizer stock was down even after its third-quarter profit figures failed to impress and the company raised its 2017 earnings outlook.

Qualcomm shares were unloved following reports that Apple could ditch the company's components in next year's iPhones, while Archer Daniels was in focus after the agricultural commodities processor posted third-quarter earnings per share of 34 cents versus 58 cents a year ago.

Hormel Foods found a bid after agreeing to buy salami maker Columbus Manufacturing for around $850m.

Dow Jones - Risers

Intel Corp. (INTC) $45.60 2.76%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $169.00 1.37%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $132.66 1.22%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $167.32 1.17%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $120.03 0.81%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $114.34 0.70%
Boeing Co. (BA) $258.08 0.63%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) $242.63 0.38%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $34.13 0.26%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $153.72 0.03%

Dow Jones - Fallers

Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) $55.44 -4.81%
General Electric Co. (GE) $20.16 -3.03%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $47.82 -2.15%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $34.85 -2.10%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $139.29 -1.76%
3M Co. (MMM) $230.93 -1.62%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $135.70 -1.53%
Nike Inc. (NKE) $55.22 -1.33%
Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $209.94 -1.25%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $165.96 -0.83%

S&P 500 - Risers

Mosaic Company (MOS) $22.60 7.93%
Endo International Plc (ENDP) $6.43 7.80%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $44.35 6.49%
Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) $200.75 6.34%
Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC) $14.20 6.21%
CenturyLink Inc. (CTL) $18.49 5.75%
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) $149.28 5.71%
LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) $104.65 5.70%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $41.51 5.62%
Spectra Energy Corp. (SE) $14.74 5.21%

S&P 500 - Fallers

Under Armour Inc. Class A (UAA) $13.57 -15.40%
Mattel Inc. (MAT) $14.24 -8.57%
Mylan Inc. (MYL) $35.47 -7.24%
QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM) $50.97 -6.75%
H&R Block Inc. (HRB) $24.77 -5.71%
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM) $40.62 -5.70%
United States Steel Corp. (X) $24.99 -5.48%
SCANA Corp. (SCG) $43.95 -5.48%
Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ALXN) $121.11 -5.24%
Macy's Inc. (M) $18.67 -5.21%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers

Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $44.35 6.49%
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) $149.28 5.71%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $41.51 5.62%
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) $89.70 4.56%
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) $243.62 3.05%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $37.67 2.70%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $45.51 2.58%
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $123.26 2.53%
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) $114.14 1.91%
Cerner Corp. (CERN) $67.70 1.87%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers

Mylan Inc. (MYL) $35.47 -7.24%
QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM) $50.97 -6.75%
Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ALXN) $121.11 -5.24%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) $144.25 -3.53%
Hasbro Inc (HAS) $92.99 -2.60%
Viacom Inc. Class B (VIAB) $23.78 -1.86%
Discovery Communications Inc. Class A (DISCA) $18.72 -1.40%
Discovery Communications Inc. Class C (DISCK) $17.69 -1.31%
Idexx Laboratories Inc. (IDXX) $162.33 -1.27%


Hargreaves Lansdown

Top of the stocks

Number of Deals Bought

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 6.09
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 3.69
3 BARC Barclays plc 2.32
4 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 2.23
5 VAST Vast Resources plc 1.79
6 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 1.52
7 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.14
8 BT.A BT Group plc 1.08
9 SMT Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust 1.04
10 ULVR Unilever plc 0.93

Number of Deals Sold

Place EPIC Equity name %
1 LLOY Lloyds Banking Group plc 3.23
2 GGP Greatland Gold Plc 2.37
3 VAST Vast Resources plc 1.43
4 SXX Sirius Minerals plc 1.42
5 UKOG UK Oil & Gas Investments plc 1.06
6 GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc 0.93
7 GLEN Glencore plc 0.87
8 BDEV Barratt Developments plc 0.86
9 BOO Boohoo.com 0.86
10 BP. BP Plc 0.86

Broker Tips

Broker tips: Provident Financial, Hunting, RSA Insurance

Berenberg hiked its target for Provident Financial on Tuesday but stuck to a 'hold' recommendation on the shares, warning clients that it was impossible to anticipate the conclusion of the regulator's investigation into the door-step lender.

"We do not think it is possible to usefully forecast the conclusion of the FCA investigation, and it is this variable that will be the key driver of the stock price over the medium term, in our view. We therefore retain our Hold recommendation," analysts Donald Tait and Robert Chantry said in a research note sent to clients.

Furthermore, the broker explained how "the FCA has stated publically its commitment to helping potentially vulnerable borrowers and we think this may have further ramifications for earnings and returns."

The potential for increased regulatory capital requirements as a result of the investigation into Provident's repayment option plan was still a worry as well, potentially curtailing its ability to pay any redress fine.

On a more a positive note, the broker did expect the company home credit unit to recover, albeit not to the same size as before.

Analysts at Canaccord Genuity raised their target for Hunting's shares following the company's third quarter trading update.

The Canadian broker said it expected the "strong" levels of activity seen over the prior month to extend into October, adding that business was especially strong at the the oilfield services group's Titan unit.

Hence, Canaccord bumped up its full-year 2017 earnings per share estimate from a loss of -$0.03 to a profit of $0.01, with similar-sized upwards revisions made to its estimates for 2018 and 2019.

As a result, its target for the shares rose from 450p to 520p.

"Outside the guns business, activity in other US onshore drilling focussed businesses (Hunting Specialty) is also reporting strong results. Notably, there is also some strength in the rest of the business, albeit that demand is primarily for US activity [...] We continue to believe that the recovery in the oil industry is taking hold, and current oil prices suggest that there is likely more to go for," analyst Alex Brooks said in a research note sent to clients.

RSA Insurance got a boost on Tuesday as JPMorgan Cazenove upgraded the stock to 'overweight' from 'neutral' as it took a look at the UK non-life sector.

The bank said its clear top pick in the sector is overweight-rated Direct Line, closely followed by RSA and then Hastings. It noted that RSA has underperformed in recent months, meaning the valuation is now attractive.

"We believe the pricing backdrop in commercial lines may improve following recent natural catastrophe events, and with additional capital return likely to commence from FY18E, RSA's income credentials could be meaningfully improved."

With relatively less upside to its valuations, the bank downgraded Admiral to 'neutral' from 'overweight' and Esure to 'underweight' from 'neutral'.

It said Admiral's slower growth in the first half was due to a temporary competitive disadvantage and although this will be removed in January, it nevertheless could continue to weigh on growth in the second half. "With no obvious catalysts on the horizon, and only modest upside to our valuation, we move to neutral."

 

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