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Jul 31, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 31 July 2018 10:41:21
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London open: Stocks edge higher at the end of the month
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London stocks have begun the last trading session of the month slightly higher despite another round of heavy selling in the US technology space the day before.

Weakness in a key report on manufacturing sector conditions in China was also weighing on sentiment, although gains in government bonds in Japan and the US in the wake of the Bank of Japan's decision to lower its inflation forecasts appeared were acting as a partial offset.

Share prices, it should be noted, sometimes receive a degree of support at month-end, helped by window dressing on the part of fund managers.

Against that backdrop, the FTSE 100 was edging higher by 0.10% or 7.15 points to 7,707.93 as of 0900 BST.

Commenting on Tuesday's early market action, Mike van Dulken and Artjom Hatsaturjants at Accendo Markets said the muted open came after tech sector losses on Wall St extended into a mixed Asian session, with Australia and Japan the lone gainers in the sea of red.

"The bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to allow more flexibility in its stimulus programme kept the Nikkei positive, however, China PMIs missed expectations (watch the miners; they were up in Australia), with manufacturing at its lowest since February, and non-manufacturing at its lowest since last August," the paid said.

Investors were also eyeing results from US tech giant Apple scheduled for after the Wall Street closing bell.

As expected, rate-setters in Japan did tweak the framework for their monetary policy, with central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda saying the monetary authority will now allow benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond yields to rise as high as 0.20%, versus 0.10% previously.

Policymakers also announced their decision to shift purchases of ETFs towards those of shares listed on the wider Topix index, having focused strictly on the Nikkei 225.

Significantly however, they also pledged to keep policy rates at "extremely" low levels "for an extended period of time" and cut their medium-term projections for inflation.

The response in Japanese 10-year bonds was immediate, with their yield retreating by five basis points to 0.05% and that on similarly-dated US Treasuries off by another four points to 2.94% - retracing the prior day's gains.

In China meanwhile, the 'official' factory sector purchasing managers' index for July printed at 51.2, which was down from a reading of 51.5 for the month before.

A gauge of export orders included in the survey was steady, likely showing that weakness in the Chinese currency, the yuan, was compensating for the impact of US tariffs; however, thus revealing that domestic headwinds were acting as the main drag on activity.

On the geopolitical front meanwhile, US President Donald Trump appeared to open the door to meeting with Iran's leaders. Yet in parallel, reports surfaced that North Korea was might be continuing to develop intercontinental ballistic missiles at its facility located in Sanumdong, outside the capital Pyongyang.

Cash flow drops at Centrica, dividend payout raised at BP

Centrica posted its interim results for the period ended 30 June on Tuesday, reporting "stable" adjusted gross margin and EBITDA relative to the first half of last year, with adjusted operating cash flow falling 11% to £1.1bn.

BP reported second-quarter profit four times higher than a year earlier as the oil company increased its dividend for the first time in almost four years. Underlying replacement cost profit for the three months to the end of June surged to $2.8bn (£2.1bn) from $684m the year before. BP increased its quarterly dividend 2.5% to 10.25 cents a share - the first rise since the third quarter of 2014.

Standard Chartered’s first-half profit rose by almost a quarter as revenue rose and bad debts halved at the emerging markets-focused bank. Underlying pre-tax profit for the six months to the end of June rose 23% to $2.4bn (£1.8bn) as operating income rose 6% to $7.6bn. Credit impairment dropped to $293m from $583m a year earlier. Operating costs rose 7% to $5.1bn as Standard Chartered invested in digital banking services and internal efficiency programmes.

Just Eat reported a slight slowing of revenue and order growth and a 3% fall in pre-tax profits for the first half of the year as the online food ordering website increased investment to keep the top line growing. The FTSE 100 group kept its guidance for full-year underlying profits unchanged at £165-185m but raised its revenue guidance to £740-770m.

Rentokil Initial posted a decent set of first half results, with revenue and profit in excess of its medium-term financial targets. The pest control and hygiene firm said ongoing revenue was up 14.2% at constant exchange rates to £1.17bn, while ongoing operating profit grew 13.1% to £134.5m. The interim dividend was increased 15% to 1.311p per share.

Fresnillo reported an 11.3% improvement in adjusted revenue to $1.19bn for the six months ended 30 June. The FTSE 100 precious metals miner said gross profit and EBITDA were of $502.2m and $566.9m - increases of up 9.2% and 8.5% respectively.

Indivior's lawyers have achieved another victory in the drug developer's ongoing US court battle, which will prevent rival Dr Reddy's Laboratories from selling its generic version of Suboxone Film. The US Federal Court of Appeal has denied Dr Reddy's motion to block a preliminary injunction that was granted at the request of Indivior to prohibit the generic drugmaker from selling its buprenorphine/naloxone sublingual film product.


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Market Status

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 International Consolidated Airlines Group +2.91% +20.20 713.60
2 Admiral Group +1.76% +33.50 1,937.00
3 Direct Line +1.47% +4.90 338.00
4 Easyjet Plc +1.31% +21.00 1,619.00
5 TUI AG +1.30% +21.00 1,638.50
6 Fresnillo plc +1.27% +12.70 1,009.50
7 Tesco +1.13% +2.90 258.80
8 Next Plc +1.02% +60.00 5,920.00
9 British Petroleum +0.88% +5.00 570.50
10 Royal Dutch Shell B +0.87% +23.00 2,670.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Centrica -5.34% -8.15 144.55
2 Standard Chartered -3.11% -21.70 675.10
3 Kingfisher Plc -2.98% -9.20 300.00
4 Mediclinic International plc -2.18% -11.40 510.80
5 Smith & Nephew -1.99% -27.00 1,331.00
6 Relx Group -1.41% -23.50 1,648.00
7 Micro Focus International -1.36% -17.50 1,267.00
8 Rentokil Initial -1.31% -4.50 338.10
9 Reckitt Benckiser -1.25% -86.00 6,784.00
10 Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust -1.03% -5.50 529.50

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US close: Street heads for red at start of busy week

Wall Street trading ended Monday’s session with losses, as higher US Treasury bond yields offset a sizeable earnings beat from heavy equipment manufacturer Caterpillar.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.57% at 25,306.83, the S&P 500 lost 0.58% to close at 2,802.60, and the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.42% to 7,913.10.

“The Dow Jones didn't do much as the afternoon session got underway, anxious ahead of a busy week that runs the gamut from Tuesday's Q3 results from Apple through Wednesday's Fed meeting to Friday's non-farm jobs report,” said Connor Campbell, a financial analyst at SpreadEx, earlier.

“There wasn't really much to talk about, Monday the calm before a week that could well come to dictate the rest of the summer.”

Shares in the US finished lower on Friday, weighed down by renewed losses in the technology space, with sentiment souring after Twitter's latest quarterly update sent the company's stock diving.

It followed a sharp drop in Facebook stock the day before after the social media giant marked down its forecasts for profit margins in 2018.

“Stock markets have been gradually rising in recent weeks, making their way back to the record high levels they achieved earlier in the year before the numerous trade conflicts involving the US heated up,” said Craig Erlam at Oanda.

“Earnings season has delivered a positive distraction for investors, with companies once again reporting stellar quarterly results aided by the obvious benefit of tax cuts.

“We'll get results from another 144 S&P 500 companies this week as US corporates look to continue the positive momentum of earnings season so far and potentially propel the index to a new high.”

On the economic front, the National Association of Home Builders pending home sales index rose for the first time in three months in June.

Pending home sales, which is based on contract signings on previously owned homes, increased 0.9% month-on-month in June - something the NAHB said could be a sign that "the worst of the supply crunch affecting most of the country" may very well be over.

Analysts expected sales to rise just 0.01%.

Earlier, climbing three basis points at the start of the week, US 10-year Treasury yields hit 2.97% amidst speculation that the Bank of Japan could tweak its bond-buying policy when rate-setters in Tokyo met the next day.

In corporate news, Caterpillar dropped 2.01% despite raising its full-year earnings per share forecast, and Tyson Foods fell 7.61% after revealing that Trump's recent trade spat with China had led it to cut its full-year earnings per share.


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Tuesday newspaper round-up: Rates, cars, Sports Direct, Vodafone

Central bankers around the world may be about to knock stock markets off course by raising interest rates just as “storm clouds are gathering” over the global economy, analysts at a leading Wall Street bank have warned. Markets are at risk of becoming “too complacent” around signs that global trade tensions may be easing, Citigroup analysts declared, at a time when significant geopolitical risks remain and three central banks look set to raise rates. - The Times

UK carmakers are not ready for Brexit, the head of the automotive trade body has warned, as concerns about cross-border trade were underlined by fresh figures showing nearly nine in 10 cars built in the UK last month were destined for export. Output of vehicles for the UK market plunged by 47% in June, compared with a 6% rise in exports, amid a “perfect storm” of factors, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) said. - Guardian

UK negotiators have told their counterparts in Brussels that about 7,000 European-based investment funds that rely on British clients for their cash and profits will be hit by regulators unless the EU changes its position on the City of London after Brexit. As frustration grows within Whitehall at what is seen as a dogmatic position taken by the EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, the British side has upped the ante by making an implicit threat to EU interests. - Guardian

Mike Ashley has offered to buy a majority stake in House of Fraser, putting forward what he considers “better terms” than those offered by Hamleys owner C.Banner, which last week revealed it was delaying its deal. Mr Ashley, the founder of Sports Direct, wrote a letter to House of Fraser's finance advisers around four weeks ago to lay out his offer, sources with knowledge of the matter said. - Telegraph

The casino industry donated thousands of pounds to the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) after the thinktank published a report on gambling policy that called for restrictions on the number of casinos to be lifted. The National Casino Industry Forum (NCIF) confirmed it donated £8,000 to the IEA having fact-checked a draft of the report. - Guardian.

Shares in Vodafone rallied yesterday after reports that Elliott Advisors, the American activist investor, has built a stake in the FTSE 100 telecoms group and could shake it up. Elliott has spoken with management and at least one board member, according to Dealreporter, the financial website. - The Times

Ryanair is facing fresh strikes after German pilots voted overwhelmingly in favour of industrial action. Some 96pc of the Vereinigung Cockpit pilot union today backed a walk-out after exploratory talks broke down last Friday. The union wants working conditions similar to those found at comparable airlines such as German carrier TUIfly. - Telegraph

One of Britain’s biggest quoted infrastructure funds could face a shareholder rebellion over plans to sell itself to two unlisted rivals for £1.4 billion. Leading shareholders in John Laing Infrastructure Fund have told the board that a 142.5p-a-share offer from Dalmore Capital and Equitix Investment Management is too low. Baillie Gifford, the second largest shareholder, is one of the investors to have expressed concerns. - The Times

Vivendi is considering selling up to half of the shares in Universal Music Group, in a move which could provide the French media giant with a cash bonanza of more than €10bn (£9bn). The company said it was planning to sell the shares to one or more strategic partners "in order to extract the highest value", and said it would soon engage banks to help identify these partners. - Telegraph

Multibillion-pound plans to build a nuclear plant at Moorside in Cumbria are likely to be abandoned within months unless a buyer is found. The Nugen venture, owned by Toshiba, is considering plans to shut down with the loss of 100 jobs after a sale to Kepco stalled. - The Times

The days of calling up the boss to cough down the line and weakly say you are too ill to come into work before lying in bed with daytime television are over. The Office for National Statistics said that the number of sickness days had almost halved over the past two decades to reach a record low. It dropped from an average of 7.2 days in 1993 to 4.1 days in 2017, and had been steadily falling since 1999. - The Times

A “universal” influenza vaccine has been constructed out of nanoparticles by scientists using a technique which it is hoped could at last lead to effective winter flu jabs. The vaccine, which has been successfully tested on mice, is designed to protect against a broad range of variants of the disease, by training the immune system to spot core and unchanging features of the virus. - The Times

The home secretary, Sajid Javid, is being urged to intervene to stop a housing provider from locking hundred of asylum seekers out of their homes, leaving them destitute. Glasgow city council and MPs expressed “deep concern” that an imminent mass eviction of asylum seekers by Serco would trigger a humanitarian crisis in the city. - Guardian

England’s strong showing in the World Cup and the warm weather contributed to a 3.6 per cent rise in beer volumes sold in the three months to the end of June, with the British Beer and Pub Association finding volumes in the off-trade rose by 7.7 per cent compared with last year. Experts said that the impact of wilting harvests on the price of malting barley used in beer production could cause trouble for brewers down the line. - The Times

More than 150 constituency Labour parties (CLPs) have been considering mounting a challenge to Jeremy Corbyn’s Brexit policy at conference this autumn, with an apparent rise in support for a referendum on a final deal among some of his key allies. A handful of the local parties, some of them in leave-voting constituencies, have already agreed to adopt a motion for a public vote on Theresa May’s deal with an option to remain in the European Union. Others were expected to decide in the coming weeks. - Guardian

 

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