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Jul 19, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 19 July 2018 10:08:38
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London open: Stocks tick higher ahead of retail sales; SSE and Unilever drop
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London stocks nudged a touch higher on Thursday as the pound remained under pressure but off recent lows, with all eyes on the latest retail sales data and the new Brexit secretary's first talks in Brussels later.

At 0830 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 0.1% to 7,681.92, while the pound was down 0.3% against the dollar at 1.3033 and 0.1% lower versus the euro at 1.1223, having fallen sharply on Wednesday on the back of stalling inflation.

On the data front, retail sales figures for June are due at 0930 BST.

London Capital Group analyst Lawler said: "With inflation sitting at a one year low and wage growth slipping, traders will be watching closely to see if some encouragement for an August rate hike can be drawn from retail sales data.

"Expectations are not that great, fitting in nicely with the running theme for UK data this week."

On a monthly basis, retail sales are expected to have increased by 0.2%, compared to April’s 1.3% month-on-month gain. On an annualised basis, sales are expected to have fallen from 4.4% to 3.7%.

New Brexit secretary Dominic Raab, who was appointed when David Davis resigned in protest at Theresa May's trade and customs plans, will hold his first talks with the EU's chief negotiator Michel Barnier in Brussels. May will meanwhile make her first visit to the Irish border since the referendum.

In corporate news, SSE dropped after it said first-quarter operating profits would take an £80m hit due to Britain's hot summer and "persistently high gas prices" combining to cut renewable output, customers using less energy and increased costs. The utility added that fully year results could also be hit.

Unilever was also in the red after it said underlying sales growth slowed in the second quarter due to the impact of a truckers' strike in Brazil but the company remained confident of hitting full year targets.

Anglo American slipped even as it reported a 6% year-on-year rise in total second-quarter output on a copper equivalent basis, excluding disruption after a leak at its Brazilian Minas-Rio iron ore project.

Babcock tumbled as the defence contractor cut its full-year revenue growth target, while Mike Ashley's Sports Direct lost ground after it reported a 73% slump in annual profits as it took an £85.4m hit on its Debenhams holding.

WPP fell after French advertising peer Publicis posted an unexpected decline in second-quarter sales.

Vedanta Resources and Tritax Big Box were on the back foot as their stock went ex-dividend.

On the upside, price comparison website Moneysupermarket surged as it posted a rise in interim profit and revenue and announced plans for a new mortgage business.

Big Yellow edged higher as the self-storage group said like-for-like revenues in the first quarter rose by 7.6% to £29.9m.

Hilton Food advanced as it said trading in the 28 weeks to 15 July was in line with its expectations, while Capita rallied after saying it has been awarded a £30m, five-year contract by Southern Water that will see the outsourcer become its new customer services managed service provider.

In broker note action, Shell was lifted to outperform' at Raymond James while Sports Direct was upgraded to 'buy' at Liberum.


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Market Status
 
 
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-0.40%
 
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20,900.68
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Royal Dutch Shell B+1.20%+32.502,743.00
2Royal Dutch Shell A+1.10%+29.002,656.00
3Marks & Spencer+0.84%+2.60313.70
4Imperial Brands+0.79%+22.502,875.00
5Prudential+0.79%+14.001,790.00
6RSA Insurance+0.76%+4.80640.20
7Tesco+0.74%+1.90258.30
8London Stock Exchange+0.70%+32.004,580.00
9British American Tobacco+0.64%+24.503,862.50
10Paddy Power Betfair+0.48%+40.008,315.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Babcock International Group-9.32%-74.80728.20
2WPP Plc-3.70%-43.501,132.00
3Ashtead Group-3.32%-80.002,332.00
4Scottish & Southern Energy-3.18%-44.001,340.50
5Antofagasta Plc-2.82%-27.20937.80
6Micro Focus International-2.39%-30.501,243.00
7Randgold Resources-2.34%-130.005,424.00
8Fresnillo plc-1.92%-21.501,100.50
9Mondi-1.77%-37.002,058.00
10Centrica-1.76%-2.70151.10

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Europe open: Stocks in the red; Publicis tumbles as Q2 sales decline
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European stocks fell in early trade on Thursday as investors sifted through corporate news, with advertising giant Publicis under pressure as its second-quarter revenue missed expectations.

At 0900 BST, the benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index was down 0.1% at 386.75, France's CAC 40 was 0.4% lower at 5,424.74 and Germany's DAX was off 0.2% at 12,735.70.

On the corporate front, France's Publicis was under the cosh after posting an unexpected drop in second-quarter sales as its US healthcare communications business underperformed. London-listed peer WPP also lost ground.

Liberum said: "While operating margin was significantly ahead of expectations, the focus will be on the weaker revenue numbers, especially as Omnicom earlier this week also underperformed expectations."

The brokerage said it expects sentiment to be weaker until there are signs of top-line momentum recovering in the second half.

German technology company SAP fell despite reporting better-than-expected second-quarter profits and lifting its full-year guidance.

Anglo-Dutch consumer goods giant Unilever was in the red after it said underlying sales growth slowed in the second quarter due to the impact of a truckers' strike in Brazil but the company remained confident of hitting full year targets.

Bucking the trend, Volvo advanced after the car maker's earnings beat forecasts and it said it was on course for a fifth consecutive year of record vehicle sales, while Alstom gained as it reported a jump in first-quarter sales and orders.

Swiss industrial equipment maker ABB rallied as it posted better-than-expected second-quarter orders and Banco de Sabadell gained after agreeing to transfer real estate assets with a gross book value of around €9.10bn to Cerberus Capital Management.

French telecoms company Iliad was on the rise after saying it had reached 1 million subscribers in Italy and would extend its low-cost offer.


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US close: Markets mixed amid Fed concern over labour shortage

US stocks finished on a mixed note on Wednesday, with Morgan Stanley boosted by solid second-quarter earnings, as investors digested the latest testimony from Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and some disappointing data on housing starts.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the session up 0.32% at 25,199.29 and the S&P 500 was ahead 0.22% at 2,815.62, but the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.19% to settle at 7,390.13.

Appearing before the House Financial Services Committee for the second day in a row, Powell reaffirmed the Fed's plans to lift interest rates gradually, for now.

“Fed chair Jerome Powell’s second day of testimony didn’t provide too much in the way of surprises in the wake of yesterday’s positive comments, as investors look ahead to tonight’s June Beige Book, which after today’s disappointing housing starts and building permits data will be examined for other areas of possible weakness,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets earlier.

That Beige Book showed that the fast-expanding US economy was reaching saturation point, with raw materials costs and shortages of skilled workers starting to bite.

Adding to that was the high chance of more tariffs and an escalation of tensions to an all-out trade war.

This edition of the book did carry more optimism than earlier in the year, with the Fed reporting that 11 out of the country’s 12 regions were growing at least at a 'modest’ pace.

It was the states surrounding St Louis that lagged, claiming only 'slight’ growth.

“Shortages were cited across a wide range of occupations, including highly skilled truck drivers, specialised construction and manufacturing workers, IT professionals and truck drivers,” the Fed said in the Beige Book.

The central bank did note that in some cases, firms refused new orders because of the lack of workers, adding that the inability to find labour had constrained growth.

In earlier economic news, figures released by the Commerce Department showed US housing starts dropped to a nine-month low in June.

Housing starts fell 12.3% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.173m, versus expectations for a smaller drop to 1.320m and marking the biggest monthly drop since November 2016.

Meanwhile, the May rate was revised to 1.337m from 1.350m.

Single-family housing starts were down 9.1% to 858,000 from the previous month's figure, which was revised to 944,000 - the slowest rate since December.

Permits for new construction were down 2.2% from May to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.273m, falling short of consensus expectations of 1.330m.

On the corporate front, Morgan Stanley pushed 2.81% higher after its second-quarter results surpassed analysts' expectations.

Profit rose 39% from the same period a year ago to $2.44bn, beating forecasts of $2bn, while earnings per share came in at $1.30 versus expectations of $1.11 and revenue increased 12% to $10.6bn, which was about $500m above what was pencilled in.

Elsewhere, Google owner Alphabet was 0.24% weaker as it emerged that the EU will hit Google with a €4.3bn fine over how its Android operating system works.

United Continental Holdings surged 8.7% after its second-quarter earnings late on Tuesday beat estimates.


Wednesday broker round-up

Thomas Cook Group: Numis upgrades to buy with a target price of 154p.

Dunelm Group: Numis downgrades add with a target price of 600p.

Close Brothers Group: Numis upgrades to add with a target price of 1,693p.

International Consolidated Airlines: Deutsche Bank reiterates buy.

Rio Tinto: Deutsche Bank reiterates hold

Purplebricks: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 500p.

Drax: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 400p.

Hunting: JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 721p.

Wood Group: JP Morgan reiterates overweight with a target price of 780p.

Next: RBC Capital Markets reiterates outperform with a target price of 6,700p.

TalkTalk: RBC Capital Markets reiterates sector perform with a target price of 125p.

Hotel Chocolat Group: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 410p.

GVC Holdings: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 1,370p.

Xeros Technology Group: Berenberg reiterates buy with a target price of 355p.

Easyjet: Liberum reiterates buy with a target price of 1,800p.

 

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