Wall Street's main indices finished slightly higher on Friday despite the drag from banks' share prices following earnings from several sector heavyweights and a spot of weakness in a key gauge of consumer sentiment that fed into yet higher government bond prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up by 0.38% or 9.52 points to 25,019.41 and the Nasdaq Composite finished ahead 0.03% to 7,825.98. The S&P 500 adde 0.11% to end at 2,801.31. From a sector standpoint, the best performance was seen in the following industrial groups: Coal (2.84%), Drug retailers (1.68%) and Aerospace (1.34%). However, the KBW index of lenders' shares fell 0.99% to 104.53, as the latest updates on earnings from JP Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo failed to spark investors' buying appetite. In parallel, investors were keeping tabs on the Treasury yield curve, which slipped by one basis point to 25 on Friday. Commenting on the flattening yield curve, on Thursday strategists at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch had told clients: "but yield curve (2s-10s) just 26bps from inversion...preceded 7 out of past 7 recessions by 4-5 quarters (Chart 4) and rotation from cyclicals to defensives. "Market mocks and loves Fed: linking flat yield curve, wimpy US dollar bull market, tech’s lonely bull market...belief that at first hint of trouble Fed will stop hiking...views aided by lack of US wage growth and disbelief ECB & BoJ will ever hike." For his part, SpreadEx analyst Connor Campbell said the Dow went beyond 24,950 for the first time since mid-June as the index "continued its trade war-ignoring recovery." Yet while trade relations between the US and China remained on investors' minds, the focus at the end of the week was on the latest quarterly earnings from banking giants JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo. Oanda analyst Craig Erlam said that with the earnings season now getting underway, investors were "looking for reasons to be more optimistic having spent months reading about the risks that a trade war poses to the economy". Across the pond, Donald Trump wasn't exactly getting a warm welcome in the UK as protesters launched a 20-foot tall 'Trump Baby' blimp above Parliament Square ahead of his meeting with the Queen. Trump sparked a big drop in the pound after saying in an interview with The Sun that if the UK goes ahead with the soft Brexit strategy revealed on Thursday - which would stick to a common rulebook with Brussels on goods and agricultural produce - any future trade deal with the US would likely be off the cards. Bloomberg later reported the US President as saying that his relationship with Theresa May was "very, very strong" and that he will discuss trade with her. In stocks, JPMorgan dipped 0.6% despite kicking-off the Wall Street earnings season with strong second-quarter results, while Citigroup shares slid 2.20% on a second-quarter revenue miss. Wells Fargo dropped 1.20% after its second-quarter report card showed that its fake account scandal was still hurting its bottom line, with shares of the lender among the most actively traded on the NYSE. Away from bank earnings, Johnson & Johnson was down 1.43% after it was ordered to pay $4.69bn in damages to 22 women who alleged that its talcum powder caused them to develop ovarian cancer. Elsewhere, AT&T dropped 1.74% after the Department of Justice filed for an appeal of a ruling allowing the company to buy TimeWarner. On the economic front, in his semi-annual report on monetary policy to Congress, Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell, said that rate-setters expect "that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with a sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term." Separately, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the cost of import goods saw its biggest drop in roughly twelve months, despite worsening trade tensions between the Trump White House and other countries. The import price index sank 0.4%, the biggest decline since February 2016. Consumer sentiment in the US deteriorated in July amid trade war concerns, according to a preliminary reading from the University of Michigan. The consumer sentiment index fell to 97.1 from 98.2 in June, below expectations for an unchanged reading but up from 93.4 in July 2017. Meanwhile, the current economic conditions index printed at 113.9 in July from 116.5 the month before and 113.4 in the same month a year ago. The index of consumer expectations ticked up to 86.4 in July from 86.3 in June and 80.5 in July last year. |
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