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Jul 31, 2018

Wall Street May Benefit From Bargain Hunting In The Tech Sector

 
ADVFN  World Daily Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 31 July 2018 09:30:16   
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US Market
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The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a higher opening on Tuesday, with stocks likely to regain some ground after moving mostly lower over the course of the previous session.

The markets may benefit from bargain hunting following the weakness seen in the technology sector over the past few days.

Positive sentiment may also be generated by a report from the Commerce Department showing personal income and spending both increased in line with economist estimates in the month of June.

Overall trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, as traders look ahead to the Federal Reserve?s money policy announcement Wednesday afternoon.

While the Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, the accompanying statement is likely to be closely examined for any hints about future rate hikes.

Stocks moved mostly lower over the course of the trading session on Monday, with technology stocks leading the way after seeing considerable weakness late last week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq pulled back further off the record closing high set last Wednesday.

The major averages all closed in negative territory, although the Nasdaq underperformed its counterparts. While the Nasdaq tumbled 107.42 points or 1.4 percent to 7,630.00, the Dow slid 144.23 points or 0.6 percent to 25,306.82 and the S&P 500 fell 16.22 points or 0.6 percent to 2,802.60.

The weakness on Wall Street came as tech stocks saw further downside, with Twitter (TWTR), Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB) and Amazon (AMZN) all moving sharply lower.

Twitter plunged by 8 percent and Netflix slumped by 5.7 percent, while Facebook and Amazon fell by 2.2 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively.

Shares of Caterpillar (CAT) also moved to the downside even though the heavy equipment maker reported better than expected second quarter earnings and raised its full-year guidance.

Caterpillar also said it expects recently imposed tariffs to impact operating profit in the second half by up to $200 million but said it intends to largely offset the impacts with price increases.

In U.S. economic news, the National Association of Realtors released a report showing a much bigger than expected rebound in pending home sales in the month of June.

NAR said its pending home sales index climbed by 0.9 percent to 106.9 in June after falling by 0.5 percent to 105.9 in May. Economists had expected pending home sales to inch up by 0.1 percent.

Despite the much bigger than expected increase, pending home sales in June were down by 2.5 percent compared to the same month a year ago, reflecting the sixth straight year-over-year decrease.

A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.

Brokerage stocks moved notably lower over the course of the trading session, dragging the NYSE Arca Broker/Dealer Index down by 1.4 percent.

Considerable weakness also remained visible among biotechnology stocks, as reflected by the 1.4 percent loss posted by the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index. The index extended the 1.9 percent slump seen last Friday.

Retail, semiconductor, and computer hardware stocks also moved to the downside on the day, while energy stocks moved higher along with the price of crude oil.

Reflecting the strength in the energy sector, the Philadelphia Oil Service Index surged up by 1.7 percent, the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index climbed by 1.3 percent and the NYSE Arca Oil Index rose by 1 percent.


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U.S. Economic Reports
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U.S. personal income and spending both increased in line with economist estimates in the month of June, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday.

The report said personal income climbed by 0.4 percent in June, matching the increase seen in May as well as expectations.

The Commerce Department said personal spending also rose by 0.4 percent in June after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.5 percent in May.

Economists had expected spending to increase by 0.4 percent compared to the 0.2 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.

At 9:45 am ET, MNI Indicators is scheduled to release its report on Chicago-area business activity in the month of July.

The Chicago business barometer is expected to dip to 62.3 in July from 64.1 in June, although a reading above 50 would still indicate growth.

The Conference Board is due to release its report on consumer confidence in the month of July at 10 am ET. The consumer confidence index is expected to inch up to 127.0 in July from 126.4 in June.


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Stocks in Focus


Shares of Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) are moving notably higher in pre-market trading after the agricultural processing company reported much stronger than expected second quarter earnings growth.

Consumer electronics giant Sony (SNE) is also seeing pre-market strength after reporting strong fiscal first quarter results and raising its full-year guidance.

Shares of Twitter (TWTR) may regain ground following recent weakness after Nomura/Instinet upgraded its rating on the social media giant to Neutral from Reduce.

On the other hand, shares of Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) are moving sharply lower in pre-market trading after the restaurant chain reported weaker than expected second quarter results.

Consumer products giant Procter & Gamble (PG) may also move to the downside after reporting fiscal fourth quarter earnings that beat estimates but on revenues that came in below expectations.

Shares of AK Steel (AKS) are also likely to come under pressure after the steel maker missed second quarter earnings estimates.

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Europe


European stocks are moving in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors digest a barrage of earnings reports and look forward to the Fed and BoE meetings.

While the German DAX Index has edged down by 0.2 percent, the French CAC 40 Index is up by 0.2 percent and the U.K.?s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.7 percent.

In economic news, the euro area economy grew at a slower pace in the second quarter, the preliminary flash estimate from Eurostat showed.

GDP grew 0.3 percent from the first quarter, when the economy expanded 0.4 percent. A similar slower rate of growth was last seen in the second quarter of 2016.

A separate report showed euro area inflation accelerated for a third straight month in July to its highest level since late 2012.

The harmonized index of consumer prices rose 2.1 percent year-on-year in July after climbing 2 percent in June. Economists had expected the rate to remain unchanged.

German retail sales recovered in June after falling a month ago, while France?s consumer price inflation accelerated at a faster-than-expected pace in July, separate reports showed.

Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse Group has moved to the upside on the day after its second quarter profit more than doubled.

Lufthansa has also jumped. The German airline posted weak second-quarter earnings but said cost cuts and higher fares will help it reach full-year targets.

French media conglomerate Vivendi has also moved higher after the company said it is exploring the sale of up to 50 percent of Universal Music Group's share capital.

Vedanta has soared in London as Chairman Anil Agarwal's family trust offered about $1 billion in cash to take the company private.

Oilfield services provider Petrofac has also rallied after it agreed to sell 49 percent of its operations in Mexico to Perenco International.

On the other hand, Standard Chartered has moved lower despite the bank reporting a 34 percent increase in its first-half pretax profit.


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Asian stocks ended Tuesday's session on a muted note after the Bank of Japan tweaked its policy to make its stimulus program more flexible and data showed manufacturing growth in China slowed in July amid a worsening trade dispute with Washington.

Traders also awaited cues from the Federal Reserve and Bank of England monetary policy announcements later this week.

The Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement is due on Wednesday, with traders likely to keep a close eye on the accompanying statement for clues about the outlook for interest rates.

The Bank of England is widely expected to increase rates by a quarter point when it concludes its policy meeting on Thursday.

China's Shanghai Composite Index rose 7.35 points or 0.3 percent to 2,876.40 after the release of official manufacturing data. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped 150.12 points or 0.5 percent to 28,583.01.

A gauge of Chinese manufacturing activity slid to 51.2 in July from 51.5 a month ago, while analysts expected the index to ease marginally to 51.3. The non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 54.0 from 55 in June.

Japanese shares ended on a lackluster note as economic data proved to be a mixed bag and the Bank of Japan announced steps to make its monetary policy flexible.

The Nikkei 225 Index closed marginally higher at 22,553.72, while the broader Topix Index fell 0.8 percent to 1,753.29.

The Bank of Japan kept its monetary policy steady, as widely expected, but announced policy tweaks to make its policy framework more flexible for the long-term yield target.

On the data front, industrial output in Japan was down 1.2 percent year-on-year in June, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said. That missed forecasts for an increase of 0.6 percent following the 4.2 percent jump in the previous month.

The jobless rate in Japan came in at a seasonally adjusted 2.4 percent in June, exceeding expectations for 2.3 percent and up from 2.2 percent in May.

Australian shares fluctuated before closing roughly flat. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index finished marginally higher, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended little changed with a negative bias.

BHP Billiton rallied 2 percent on expectations the mining giant will pay its biggest ever dividend next month. Telecom firm Telstra rose 1.1 percent to extend gains for the third day after announcing a management shakeup.

Banks ended narrowly mixed, while energy majors such as Origin Energy, Oil Search and Woodside Petroleum climbed 1-2 percent. Gold miner Regis Resources slumped as much as 10.8 percent after releasing its quarterly update.

The total number of building approvals issued in Australia surged up by 6.4 percent in June, reversing a 2.5 percent slump in May, a government report showed. That was well above the 1.0 percent increase economists had forecast.


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Commodities


Crude oil futures are falling $0.41 to $69.72 a barrel after spiking $1.44 to $70.13 a barrel on Monday. Meanwhile, after slipping $1.70 to $1,221.30 an ounce in the previous session, gold futures are inching up $0.20 to $1,221.50 an ounce.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 111.43 yen compared to the 111.04 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Monday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.1742 compared to yesterday?s $1.1706.


 
 

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Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 31 July 2018 10:41:21
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London open: Stocks edge higher at the end of the month
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London stocks have begun the last trading session of the month slightly higher despite another round of heavy selling in the US technology space the day before.

Weakness in a key report on manufacturing sector conditions in China was also weighing on sentiment, although gains in government bonds in Japan and the US in the wake of the Bank of Japan's decision to lower its inflation forecasts appeared were acting as a partial offset.

Share prices, it should be noted, sometimes receive a degree of support at month-end, helped by window dressing on the part of fund managers.

Against that backdrop, the FTSE 100 was edging higher by 0.10% or 7.15 points to 7,707.93 as of 0900 BST.

Commenting on Tuesday's early market action, Mike van Dulken and Artjom Hatsaturjants at Accendo Markets said the muted open came after tech sector losses on Wall St extended into a mixed Asian session, with Australia and Japan the lone gainers in the sea of red.

"The bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to allow more flexibility in its stimulus programme kept the Nikkei positive, however, China PMIs missed expectations (watch the miners; they were up in Australia), with manufacturing at its lowest since February, and non-manufacturing at its lowest since last August," the paid said.

Investors were also eyeing results from US tech giant Apple scheduled for after the Wall Street closing bell.

As expected, rate-setters in Japan did tweak the framework for their monetary policy, with central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda saying the monetary authority will now allow benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond yields to rise as high as 0.20%, versus 0.10% previously.

Policymakers also announced their decision to shift purchases of ETFs towards those of shares listed on the wider Topix index, having focused strictly on the Nikkei 225.

Significantly however, they also pledged to keep policy rates at "extremely" low levels "for an extended period of time" and cut their medium-term projections for inflation.

The response in Japanese 10-year bonds was immediate, with their yield retreating by five basis points to 0.05% and that on similarly-dated US Treasuries off by another four points to 2.94% - retracing the prior day's gains.

In China meanwhile, the 'official' factory sector purchasing managers' index for July printed at 51.2, which was down from a reading of 51.5 for the month before.

A gauge of export orders included in the survey was steady, likely showing that weakness in the Chinese currency, the yuan, was compensating for the impact of US tariffs; however, thus revealing that domestic headwinds were acting as the main drag on activity.

On the geopolitical front meanwhile, US President Donald Trump appeared to open the door to meeting with Iran's leaders. Yet in parallel, reports surfaced that North Korea was might be continuing to develop intercontinental ballistic missiles at its facility located in Sanumdong, outside the capital Pyongyang.

Cash flow drops at Centrica, dividend payout raised at BP

Centrica posted its interim results for the period ended 30 June on Tuesday, reporting "stable" adjusted gross margin and EBITDA relative to the first half of last year, with adjusted operating cash flow falling 11% to £1.1bn.

BP reported second-quarter profit four times higher than a year earlier as the oil company increased its dividend for the first time in almost four years. Underlying replacement cost profit for the three months to the end of June surged to $2.8bn (£2.1bn) from $684m the year before. BP increased its quarterly dividend 2.5% to 10.25 cents a share - the first rise since the third quarter of 2014.

Standard Chartered’s first-half profit rose by almost a quarter as revenue rose and bad debts halved at the emerging markets-focused bank. Underlying pre-tax profit for the six months to the end of June rose 23% to $2.4bn (£1.8bn) as operating income rose 6% to $7.6bn. Credit impairment dropped to $293m from $583m a year earlier. Operating costs rose 7% to $5.1bn as Standard Chartered invested in digital banking services and internal efficiency programmes.

Just Eat reported a slight slowing of revenue and order growth and a 3% fall in pre-tax profits for the first half of the year as the online food ordering website increased investment to keep the top line growing. The FTSE 100 group kept its guidance for full-year underlying profits unchanged at £165-185m but raised its revenue guidance to £740-770m.

Rentokil Initial posted a decent set of first half results, with revenue and profit in excess of its medium-term financial targets. The pest control and hygiene firm said ongoing revenue was up 14.2% at constant exchange rates to £1.17bn, while ongoing operating profit grew 13.1% to £134.5m. The interim dividend was increased 15% to 1.311p per share.

Fresnillo reported an 11.3% improvement in adjusted revenue to $1.19bn for the six months ended 30 June. The FTSE 100 precious metals miner said gross profit and EBITDA were of $502.2m and $566.9m - increases of up 9.2% and 8.5% respectively.

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Market Status

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 International Consolidated Airlines Group +2.91% +20.20 713.60
2 Admiral Group +1.76% +33.50 1,937.00
3 Direct Line +1.47% +4.90 338.00
4 Easyjet Plc +1.31% +21.00 1,619.00
5 TUI AG +1.30% +21.00 1,638.50
6 Fresnillo plc +1.27% +12.70 1,009.50
7 Tesco +1.13% +2.90 258.80
8 Next Plc +1.02% +60.00 5,920.00
9 British Petroleum +0.88% +5.00 570.50
10 Royal Dutch Shell B +0.87% +23.00 2,670.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Centrica -5.34% -8.15 144.55
2 Standard Chartered -3.11% -21.70 675.10
3 Kingfisher Plc -2.98% -9.20 300.00
4 Mediclinic International plc -2.18% -11.40 510.80
5 Smith & Nephew -1.99% -27.00 1,331.00
6 Relx Group -1.41% -23.50 1,648.00
7 Micro Focus International -1.36% -17.50 1,267.00
8 Rentokil Initial -1.31% -4.50 338.10
9 Reckitt Benckiser -1.25% -86.00 6,784.00
10 Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust -1.03% -5.50 529.50

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US close: Street heads for red at start of busy week

Wall Street trading ended Monday’s session with losses, as higher US Treasury bond yields offset a sizeable earnings beat from heavy equipment manufacturer Caterpillar.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.57% at 25,306.83, the S&P 500 lost 0.58% to close at 2,802.60, and the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.42% to 7,913.10.

“The Dow Jones didn't do much as the afternoon session got underway, anxious ahead of a busy week that runs the gamut from Tuesday's Q3 results from Apple through Wednesday's Fed meeting to Friday's non-farm jobs report,” said Connor Campbell, a financial analyst at SpreadEx, earlier.

“There wasn't really much to talk about, Monday the calm before a week that could well come to dictate the rest of the summer.”

Shares in the US finished lower on Friday, weighed down by renewed losses in the technology space, with sentiment souring after Twitter's latest quarterly update sent the company's stock diving.

It followed a sharp drop in Facebook stock the day before after the social media giant marked down its forecasts for profit margins in 2018.

“Stock markets have been gradually rising in recent weeks, making their way back to the record high levels they achieved earlier in the year before the numerous trade conflicts involving the US heated up,” said Craig Erlam at Oanda.

“Earnings season has delivered a positive distraction for investors, with companies once again reporting stellar quarterly results aided by the obvious benefit of tax cuts.

“We'll get results from another 144 S&P 500 companies this week as US corporates look to continue the positive momentum of earnings season so far and potentially propel the index to a new high.”

On the economic front, the National Association of Home Builders pending home sales index rose for the first time in three months in June.

Pending home sales, which is based on contract signings on previously owned homes, increased 0.9% month-on-month in June - something the NAHB said could be a sign that "the worst of the supply crunch affecting most of the country" may very well be over.

Analysts expected sales to rise just 0.01%.

Earlier, climbing three basis points at the start of the week, US 10-year Treasury yields hit 2.97% amidst speculation that the Bank of Japan could tweak its bond-buying policy when rate-setters in Tokyo met the next day.

In corporate news, Caterpillar dropped 2.01% despite raising its full-year earnings per share forecast, and Tyson Foods fell 7.61% after revealing that Trump's recent trade spat with China had led it to cut its full-year earnings per share.


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Tuesday newspaper round-up: Rates, cars, Sports Direct, Vodafone

Central bankers around the world may be about to knock stock markets off course by raising interest rates just as “storm clouds are gathering” over the global economy, analysts at a leading Wall Street bank have warned. Markets are at risk of becoming “too complacent” around signs that global trade tensions may be easing, Citigroup analysts declared, at a time when significant geopolitical risks remain and three central banks look set to raise rates. - The Times

UK carmakers are not ready for Brexit, the head of the automotive trade body has warned, as concerns about cross-border trade were underlined by fresh figures showing nearly nine in 10 cars built in the UK last month were destined for export. Output of vehicles for the UK market plunged by 47% in June, compared with a 6% rise in exports, amid a “perfect storm” of factors, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) said. - Guardian

UK negotiators have told their counterparts in Brussels that about 7,000 European-based investment funds that rely on British clients for their cash and profits will be hit by regulators unless the EU changes its position on the City of London after Brexit. As frustration grows within Whitehall at what is seen as a dogmatic position taken by the EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, the British side has upped the ante by making an implicit threat to EU interests. - Guardian

Mike Ashley has offered to buy a majority stake in House of Fraser, putting forward what he considers “better terms” than those offered by Hamleys owner C.Banner, which last week revealed it was delaying its deal. Mr Ashley, the founder of Sports Direct, wrote a letter to House of Fraser's finance advisers around four weeks ago to lay out his offer, sources with knowledge of the matter said. - Telegraph

The casino industry donated thousands of pounds to the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) after the thinktank published a report on gambling policy that called for restrictions on the number of casinos to be lifted. The National Casino Industry Forum (NCIF) confirmed it donated £8,000 to the IEA having fact-checked a draft of the report. - Guardian.

Shares in Vodafone rallied yesterday after reports that Elliott Advisors, the American activist investor, has built a stake in the FTSE 100 telecoms group and could shake it up. Elliott has spoken with management and at least one board member, according to Dealreporter, the financial website. - The Times

Ryanair is facing fresh strikes after German pilots voted overwhelmingly in favour of industrial action. Some 96pc of the Vereinigung Cockpit pilot union today backed a walk-out after exploratory talks broke down last Friday. The union wants working conditions similar to those found at comparable airlines such as German carrier TUIfly. - Telegraph

One of Britain’s biggest quoted infrastructure funds could face a shareholder rebellion over plans to sell itself to two unlisted rivals for £1.4 billion. Leading shareholders in John Laing Infrastructure Fund have told the board that a 142.5p-a-share offer from Dalmore Capital and Equitix Investment Management is too low. Baillie Gifford, the second largest shareholder, is one of the investors to have expressed concerns. - The Times

Vivendi is considering selling up to half of the shares in Universal Music Group, in a move which could provide the French media giant with a cash bonanza of more than €10bn (£9bn). The company said it was planning to sell the shares to one or more strategic partners "in order to extract the highest value", and said it would soon engage banks to help identify these partners. - Telegraph

Multibillion-pound plans to build a nuclear plant at Moorside in Cumbria are likely to be abandoned within months unless a buyer is found. The Nugen venture, owned by Toshiba, is considering plans to shut down with the loss of 100 jobs after a sale to Kepco stalled. - The Times

The days of calling up the boss to cough down the line and weakly say you are too ill to come into work before lying in bed with daytime television are over. The Office for National Statistics said that the number of sickness days had almost halved over the past two decades to reach a record low. It dropped from an average of 7.2 days in 1993 to 4.1 days in 2017, and had been steadily falling since 1999. - The Times

A “universal” influenza vaccine has been constructed out of nanoparticles by scientists using a technique which it is hoped could at last lead to effective winter flu jabs. The vaccine, which has been successfully tested on mice, is designed to protect against a broad range of variants of the disease, by training the immune system to spot core and unchanging features of the virus. - The Times

The home secretary, Sajid Javid, is being urged to intervene to stop a housing provider from locking hundred of asylum seekers out of their homes, leaving them destitute. Glasgow city council and MPs expressed “deep concern” that an imminent mass eviction of asylum seekers by Serco would trigger a humanitarian crisis in the city. - Guardian

England’s strong showing in the World Cup and the warm weather contributed to a 3.6 per cent rise in beer volumes sold in the three months to the end of June, with the British Beer and Pub Association finding volumes in the off-trade rose by 7.7 per cent compared with last year. Experts said that the impact of wilting harvests on the price of malting barley used in beer production could cause trouble for brewers down the line. - The Times

More than 150 constituency Labour parties (CLPs) have been considering mounting a challenge to Jeremy Corbyn’s Brexit policy at conference this autumn, with an apparent rise in support for a referendum on a final deal among some of his key allies. A handful of the local parties, some of them in leave-voting constituencies, have already agreed to adopt a motion for a public vote on Theresa May’s deal with an option to remain in the European Union. Others were expected to decide in the coming weeks. - Guardian

 

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