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Jun 29, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 29 June 2018 10:11:33
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London open: Stocks rise, euro rallies on EU migration deal
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London stocks rose in early trade on Friday, taking their cue from positive sessions in the US and Asia, as European investors welcomed the migration agreement.

At 0840 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 1% to 7,694.85, while the pound was down 0.3% against the euro at 1.1274 and 0.3% higher versus the dollar at 1.3119.

The euro was underpinned by news that EU leaders at the summit in Brussels reached a deal on migration in the early hours of Friday, after more than 10 hours of negotiations.

As part of the deal, which is voluntary, new migrant centres would be set up in EU countries to process migrants and determine those who are genuine refugees, with those deemed "irregular" returned. The leaders also agreed to tighten their external border and increase financing and local assistance for Turkey, Morocco and North African states to prevent migration to Europe.

Konstantinos Anthis, head of research at ADSS, said: "Clearly, the agreement in Brussels removes one of the major risks for European equities but whether it will resolve the migration crisis remains to be seen. Nevertheless, this is a good opportunity for stock bulls to jump into the fray again after sitting on the side-lines for a few days as markets were trading in the red."

Meanwhile, analysts at Rabobank said: "While we won’t pretend to be experts on immigration, the document seems very light on any firm (rather than voluntary) commitments. However, what is important from a trading perspective is the political reaction rather than the exact substance. On this front, Italian PM Conte appears to have gone away happy and so we would seem set to see some less aggressive headlines from the country on the issue (although, of course, Salvini may not be as happy about the deal). Merkel seems much more circumspect though and it would still appear that the stability of the CDU/ CSU will rely on the striking of bilateral deals with various EU countries."

Investors shrugged off the latest survey from GfK, which showed consumer confidence in the UK fell in June as Britons grew increasingly gloomy about the economy.

GfK's long-running consumer confidence index fell two points this month to -9, missing expectations for it to remain unchanged at -7 and with all five of the key measures dropping. Of the five key metrics, the measure for the general economic situation over the last 12 months and the one for the general economic situation over the next 12 months saw the biggest declines, each falling four points to -28 and -25, respectively.

Client strategy director Joe Staton said: "Scores on personal finance are down but there is a more marked deterioration in our levels of optimism about the general state of the economy, with the verdicts on the past year and the coming year each tumbling four points. When will the strong jobs market and low interest rates boost the economic mood? That’s the key to confidence increasing more generally. "

Still to come on the UK data front, a final reading on first-quarter GDP, plus net lending, consumer credit and mortgage approvals are due at 0930 BST.

Miners were the best performers amid rising copper prices, with Anglo American, Glencore and BHP Billiton all higher.

BHP also agreed to pay $158m to a fund set up in Brazil to deal with remediation and compensation from the 2015 bursting of the Samarco tailings dam that killed 19 people. The mining giant, which jointly owns local mining outfit Samarco Mineração with Brazil's Vale, has also offered up to $53m to the joint venture to carry out ongoing repair works, maintain facilities and support the restarting of operations.

Indivior ticked higher after a US court extended its temporary restraining order blocking Dr Reddy's Laboratories from launching a generic version of its opioid addiction treatment in the US prior to a decision on a full injunction.

BAE Systems was on the front foot after saying it has been awarded an AUD35bn (£20bn) contract by the Australian government to build its fleet of nine new navy frigates, while John Laing advanced after maintaining its full-year investment commitments at around £250m.

Elsewhere, British American Tobacco and Imperial Brands were both in the green even as Australia won in a major trade dispute over its pioneering tobacco plain packaging law, after a panel of judges at the World Trade Organisation rejected arguments from Cuba, Indonesia, Honduras and the Dominican Republic that the laws violated international trade.

On the downside, outsourcer Serco slumped as it said it was still on track for underlying profit of £80m for 2018 but cut its revenue guidance.

Elementis was in the red after the specialty chemicals group announced plans to buy Netherlands-based Mondo Minerals from Advent International for an enterprise value of $600m.

In broker note action, BAE was upgraded to 'neutral' at JPMorgan, while Hunting was cut to 'underweight' at Morgan Stanley and Diageo was downgraded to 'market perform' at Bernstein.


Market Analysis 28/06/2018

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
+0.77%
 
cur price
7,674.60
 
change
+58.97
 
 
change pct
+0.59%
 
cur price
20,806.73
 
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+122.57
 
 
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+1.13%
 
cur price
3,525.84
 
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+39.29

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Micro Focus International+5.38%+68.501,342.50
2Anglo American+3.17%+51.801,687.80
3BAE Systems+2.75%+17.40649.40
4Ashtead Group+2.74%+61.002,285.00
5Rolls-Royce Holdings+2.65%+25.40985.00
6BHP Billiton+2.20%+37.201,725.20
7Antofagasta Plc+2.19%+21.501,002.50
8International Consolidated Airlines Group +1.88%+12.40672.80
9ITV Plc+1.83%+3.15175.65
10Glencore+1.76%+6.30365.10

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Mediclinic International plc-1.62%-8.60521.00
2Carnival-0.97%-43.004,372.00
3Whitbread Plc-0.33%-13.003,982.00
4Intercontinental Hotels Group-0.32%-15.004,698.00
5Land Securities Group-0.26%-2.50956.50
6Segro Plc-0.21%-1.40662.80
7Next Plc-0.20%-12.006,070.00
8Diageo-0.11%-3.002,733.00
9British Petroleum-0.10%-0.60581.90
10Informa-0.10%-0.80826.20

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US close: Markets finish higher as financials, tech stocks rally

US markets turned around earlier losses by the close on Thursday, as investors shrugged off confusion over Trump's trade plans and instead supported a rally for financial plays and technology stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 0.41% at 24,216.05, the S&P 500 added 0.62% to 2,716.31, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 0.89% at 7,031.60..

“Given the current environment when there lots of uncertainty surrounding global trade, investors continue to go to growth, such as technology shares and domestic stocks such as small-caps," said CFRA investment strategist Lindsey Bell.

On the data front, initial US unemployment claims increased last week but remained near multi-decade lows.

For the week ended 23 June, claims rose by 9,000 to reach 227,000, according to the Department of Labor.

Economists had forecast a reading 220,000.

In other news, the US economy slowed a tad more than previously estimated during the first quarter of 2018.

Gross domestic product increased 2% annually during the three months ended 31 March, the Commerce Department said on Thursday, shy of the 2.2% estimate it reported last month.

The economy grew at a 2.9% rate in the fourth quarter, with the downgraded seen as a reflection of softer consumer spending and a smaller inventory accumulation than forecast by Washington.

In corporate news, shares in transatlantic drug peddler Walgreens Boots Alliance slumped 9.9% after it reported a 15.5% jump in quarterly profit, while spice and flavour company McCormick's was 8.4% hotter after the release of its second-quarter numbers.

Eli Lilly gained 0.97% after the pharmaceutical group announced positive results from a mid-stage trial of a treatment for inflammatory disease Ankylosing Spondylitis.

Elsewhere, Bed Bath & Beyond lost 3.82% after the home furnishings retailer posted weaker-than-expected quarterly same-store sales late on Wednesday.


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Friday newspaper round-up: Defence, tobacco, restaurants, stress tests

European Union leaders have discussed their fears that the “immense pressure” President Trump’s policies are putting on Nato could lead to its break-up. Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council, painted a bleak picture of the Trump administration at a dinner last night. - The Times

Theresa May has issued a stark warning to EU leaders that their citizens’ lives will be at risk if they fail to show more flexibility on Brexit, as she struggled to regain the initiative at a bad-tempered summit in Brussels. The prime minister had earlier faced pointed criticism from a succession of leaders as they arrived at the European council meeting, in which they highlighted division and indecision at Westminster. - Guardian

European leaders papered over the divisions on migration with a promise that some EU countries would take in migrants rescued from the Mediterranean sea. Announcing the end of tense summit talks shortly before dawn, the head of the European Council, Donald Tusk, tweeted that EU leaders had reached an agreement, including on migration. - Guardian

The tobacco industry suffered a setback in attempts to halt the rising tide of regulation after the World Trade Organisation upheld a landmark ruling on plain tobacco packaging. The panel yesterday ruled that the law in Australia contributed to improving public health by reducing the use and exposure to tobacco products. Health experts said that the ruling was likely to lead to plain packaging being introduced around the world. - The Times

One of the UK’s biggest tobacco manufacturers is seeking to diversify from the under-pressure cigarette market by taking a stake in a start-up researching medical uses of cannabis. Imperial Brands, the FTSE 100 company behind Winston and Gauloises cigarettes, is investing in Oxford Cannabinoid Technologies, which is thought to be the first time that a Big Tobacco company has invested in cannabis research in the UK. - The Times

Margaret Thatcher’s favourite free-market thinktank has called on the government to legalise cannabis, arguing that the move could generate more than £1bn in extra tax revenues every year, as well as savings in health and other public services. Britain’s black market in cannabis is worth £2.6bn annually, with 255 tonnes sold to more than 3 million people last year, according to the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA). - Guardian

BAE Systems has won a £20bn contract to build frigates that will form the backbone of the Australian navy, beating off rival proposals from Italian and Spanish groups for the biggest naval defence deal of the past decade. The contract win will see BAE supply nine vessels based on the Type 26 frigate design currently under construction for the Royal Navy. - Telegraph

The number of restaurants in the UK has fallen for the first time in eight years as sales stagnate and costs rise. On average, two restaurants a week closed in the year to the end of March, including casual dining chains, as well as upmarket and independent establishments, according to the latest data from analysts CGA and corporate advisory firm AlixPartners. - Guardian

House price growth in London has slowed to a nine-year low, while prices in Edinburgh and Manchester are rising faster than in any other major UK city, according to a survey. The latest UK Cities House Price Index, from the property research firm Hometrack, shows that Aberdeen and Cambridge were the only two out of 20 major cities where house prices were falling over the past 12 months, by 5.7% and 0.9% respectively. - Guardian

Deutsche Bank's US division has failed its first public Federal Reserve's stress test, while a raft of others, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have had to revise their payout plans. Deutsche Bank's US holding company had already been put on the Fed's list of troubled lenders but the central bank said it had now failed the stress test on qualitative grounds, citing concerns over the company's ability to "effectively determine its capital needs on a forward-looking basis". - Telegraph

Pension firms are ripping off over-55s using the Government’s pension freedoms, the City watchdog has warned, as it threatened to impose a price cap. A two-year investigation by the Financial Conduct Authority found savers accessing their money via the most expensive arrangements were being charged four times as much as those in the cheapest deals. - Telegraph

Crumpets are the latest victims of a shortage of carbon dioxide that has affected food and drink production across the UK. Warburtons said it had been forced to suspend crumpet production at two of its four bakeries, in Enfield in London and Burnley in Lancashire, because it did not have enough gas for use in packaging designed to keep the products fresh. - Guardian

The UK’s population increased to more than 66 million for the first time last year with immigration helping to raise numbers by almost 400,000. Official figures published today show, however, that the rate of growth slowed in the first year after the EU referendum and was at its lowest since 2004 when migrants from eight eastern European countries including Poland were given full access to the labour market. - The Times

Young shoppers may offer a lifeline for struggling town centres, according to new research highlighting a generational divide in shopping habits. The polling from YouGov and Colliers International found that over three quarters of 18-24 year olds find shopping in their closest town or city centre appealing, compared to just 54pc of people over 55. - Telegraph

MPs have threatened to block the next high profile appointment at the Bank of England unless it hires more women, according to a warning issued by the Treasury Select Committee. Serious “progress on this [gender] matter” needed to be made at Threadneedle Street before the next appointment of a senior policymaker, the statement said. - Telegraph

Britain's ATMs are disappearing at a rate of 300 per month across the UK, leaving consumers struggling to access cash, a Which? study has found. According to the consumers body the number shutting down increased six-fold in anticipation of a fee change by Britain's cash point network Link, rising from around 50 closures in 2015. - Telegraph

Boeing is working on a hypersonic passenger plane to fly around the world at almost five times the speed of sound. The American aviation giant has unveiled a design for an aircraft with top speeds of more than 3,800mph, while sound travels at 767mph. - The Times

Lafarge, the French cement group, was yesterday charged with crimes against humanity for funding Islamic State in Syria. The company was informed by magistrates that it had been placed under formal investigation for financing a terrorist enterprise, endangering life and aiding and abetting crimes against humanity, which is the equivalent of charging a suspect in the UK. - The Times

Ministers are considering a £100 million plan to lay the groundwork for a British global satellite navigation system to replace the EU’s Galileo project. Greg Clark, the business secretary, this week asked the Treasury to fund a two-year feasibility study. Philip Hammond, the chancellor, has expressed support for a British satellite system should the EU continue to insist that the UK will have only limited access to Galileo after Brexit. - The Times

 

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