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Jun 25, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 25 June 2018 09:51:04
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London open: Stocks drop as US-China trade tensions weigh
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London stocks fell in early trade on Monday, taking their cue from losses in Asia amid ongoing worries about a trade war between the US and China.

At 0830 BST, the FTSE 100 was down 0.5% to 7,647.82, while the pound was off 0.1% against the euro at 1.1368 and 0.2% lower versus the dollar at 1.3230.

US President Trump has threatened to curb Chinese investments in the US for reasons of "national security", with a draft series of restrictions on inbound Chinese investments due to be published later in the week.

London Capital Group analyst Jasper Lawler said: "Once again details remain very sketchy, with the scope of such a measure still under discussion. It is now very difficult to get away from the fact that neither side has any intention of backing down in this game of economic chicken."

Meanwhile, oil prices gushed lower after an initial surge following Opec's decision last Friday to boost production. Brent crude was 1.8% lower at $74.21 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate was down 0.2% to $68.42.

"A very confused Opec meeting left investors with a high degree of ambiguity on Friday, resulting in a huge rise in oil prices as the market concluded that supply would increase by less than had been anticipated," said Rebecca O’Keeffe, head of investment at Interactive Investor. "However, after overshooting on Friday, oil prices have fallen today after OPEC confirmed that they would make up any deficit going forward in the event of unplanned disruptions that might cause output to fall below agreed levels for the group as a whole."

The EU summit is due to kick off on Thursday, with Brexit set to be in focus again after hard-line Brexiteers ramped up pressure on Prime Minister Theresa May over the weekend for a no deal plan. As well as Brexit, the main issues on the agenda at the summit will be the structure of the EU and immigration.

"Progress on a Brexit deal has been alarmingly slow and with the clock ticking, Brexiteers view this as the only way to ensure a good break from the Brussels. Any signs of a harder Brexit are expected to weigh on demand for the pound, particularly given the lack of high impacting economic data until later in the week, potentially bringing $1.31 back into target," said Lawler.

In corporate news, serviced office group IWG rallied after announcing that it has been approached by another private equity suitor about a potential takeover, with Terra Firma entering the fray. IWG's board, which notified of the approach on Saturday after it had been leaked in the press, said it was evaluating a possible cash offer from Terra Firma Investments.

Eastern Mediterranean-focussed exploration and production company Energean Oil and Gas nudged up after saying it has made the decision to drill an exploration well in the Karish North prospect, offshore Israel, with a planned spud date before the end of March 2019, subject to necessary approvals.

Synthomer slipped as it announced a refinancing of its existing bank facilities, consisting of an offering of €300m (£263.5m) in seven-year unsecured senior notes, and a new €300m four-year revolving credit facility.

Melrose Industries ticked lower after being given clearance from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States for its takeover of defence contractor GKN.

Outside the FTSE 350, estate agent Countrywide tumbled after cutting its adjusted earnings guidance for the first half again and announcing an equity raising to reduce debt.

Elsewhere, Rolls-Royce was a touch weaker despite an upgrade to 'hold' from 'reduce' at Kepler Cheuvreux.


Market Analysis 22/06/2018

TradeYour capital is at riskGlobal stock markets remain bearishThe tensions between US and China caused another escalation in what is called the The Trade Wars. Both countries...

Read More..


Market Status
 
 
change pct
-0.78%
 
cur price
7,622.63
 
change
-59.64
 
 
change pct
-0.39%
 
cur price
20,927.65
 
change
-82.24
 
 
change pct
-0.42%
 
cur price
3,519.65
 
change
-14.90

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Shire Plc+0.87%+35.504,101.50
2Unilever Plc+0.64%+26.504,160.00
3NMC Health+0.62%+22.003,584.00
4Compass Group+0.46%+7.501,629.50
5Merlin Entertainments Plc+0.31%+1.20386.00
6Croda International+0.31%+15.004,827.00
7Kingfisher Plc+0.23%+0.70303.40
8Marks & Spencer+0.17%+0.50297.60
9Next Plc+0.17%+10.006,020.00
10United Utilities+0.16%+1.20751.80

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Micro Focus International-3.12%-42.501,321.50
2Anglo American-2.35%-39.801,657.20
3Glencore-1.86%-7.20379.95
4Fresnillo plc-1.79%-21.001,152.00
5Rio Tinto-1.76%-73.504,108.50
6Antofagasta Plc-1.75%-18.001,010.50
7Berkeley Group Holdings-1.70%-65.003,754.00
8British Petroleum-1.63%-9.40567.20
9BHP Billiton-1.57%-26.201,640.00
10Smiths Group-1.50%-26.001,702.00

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US close: Stocks finish on a mixed note as "anomalous" tech stocks dip

The Dow Jones Industrial broke an eight session losing streak on Friday, even as the US President threatened to levy higher tariffs on cars made in the European Union.

By the end of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up by 0.49% or 119.19 points at 24,580.89, alongside a gain of 0.19% or 5.12 points to 2,754.88 for the S&P 500, but the Nasdaq Composite was lower by 0.26% or 20.13 points to 7.692.82.

Had the Dow finished lower on Friday, it would have marked the exporter heavy benchmark's worst losing streak since 1940.

Shares of oil equipment and exploration companies were the best performers, while to the downside the biggest drag came from Clothing & Accessories (-1.77%), Airlines (-1.70%) and Apparel Retailers (-1.61%).

Stoking gains in the oil patch, crude oil futures staged a sharp move back towards their 52-week highs after OPEC+ nations announced that they would boost output, albeit by an indeterminate amount, in what was considered to be a 'fudge' solution so as not to anger Iran.

In practice, it was expected to result in increased output of between roughly 0.6-0.7m b/d, according to various sources.

Within the Dow, the biggest gains were for DowDuPont (2.63%), Verizon Communications (2.32%), McDonald's (2.50%), GE (2.27%) and Chevron (2.05%).

In parallel, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note settled at its session lows of 2.89%.

Helping to boost investor sentiment perhaps, according to Bloomberg some US administration officials were pushing for a last-minute rapprochement between Beijing and Washington before the first US tariffs kicked-in on 6 July - but they were said to be facing stiff opposition.

On the flip side, shortly after the 'opening bell' President Donald Trump tweeted that the US would place a 20% levy on European cars if Europe did not lower and remove its tariffs and barriers soon.

Waiting for a summer 'buy' signal, Tech stocks anomalous

Commenting on the market outlook, the day before strategists at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch had told clients: "asset prices broadly following our peak Profits, peak Policy script YTD; Quantitative Tightening (not tax cuts, trade wars...) is the driver [...] hence underperformance of QE winners (EM debt, HY, IG), outperformance of QE losers (volatility, cash, commodities, US$); tech stocks are the anomaly, but largely vulnerable to investor deleveraging"."

They continued, explaining that what they termed 'Quantitative Tightening' was currently the main driver behind the relative performance between asset classes. Thus, they were waiting for a drop in the S&P 500 below 2,650 points and a weak June US non-farm payrolls report that could take a Fed "hike or two off the table" before possibly turning 'bullish' for the summer.

Weighing on sentiment a tad, IHS Markit's widely-tracked factory sector Purchasing Managers' Index for June slipped to a reading of 54.6, down from May's print of 56.4 - to a seven-month low.

Nevertheless, together with the results of its services sector PMI, the survey compiler said the two were evidence that the US economy was enjoying a "strong second quarter" with the rate of expansion in GDP over the second quarter likely well over 3%.

In corporate news, shares of software company Red Hat plummeted after it issued weaker-than-expected guidance for the second quarter late on Thursday.

Still, David Madden at CMC Markets UK said the stock has been in a solid upward trend since February 2016 so the pullback might entice new buyers.

Elsewhere, stock in CarMax bolted higher after the used car seller posted first quarter earnings per share of $1.33 (consensus: $1.2) on sales of $4.792bn (consensus: $4.605bn).


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Monday newspaper round-up: Ofgem, first-time buyers, M&A, Premier Foods

A champion of price caps and a critic of suppliers’ behaviour has been chosen to lead the UK’s energy regulator, Ofgem. In an effort to toughen up the watchdog, which has been criticised for being soft on energy firms, regulatory economist Martin Cave has been selected as the regulator’s new chair just months before it is due to impose a price cap on energy bills. – Guardian

A typical single first-time buyer in London will have to save for 17 years - until 2035 - to raise enough cash for a 15% deposit on a home. That is up from the 15 years recorded in both 2008 and 2013, despite steep house price falls in parts of London since the Brexit vote two years ago. Across England and Wales, the average single first-time purchaser would need just over 10 years to save up a deposit of that size, according to a report from the estate agent Hamptons International. - Guardian

Morrisons is bringing back traditional brown paper bags for groceries as the latest high street brand to join the war on plastic. The paper bags will replace plastic for loose fruit and vegetables in stores, while Morrisons will also encourage customers to bring in their own containers for its butcher and fishmonger counters. - Telegraph

Companies that opened their M&A war chests this year have been left ­disappointed after the market recorded its worst quarterly performance in at least 10 years, research shows. The global deal frenzy is expected to hit a post-crisis high this year after cheap debt, Donald Trump’s tax cuts and improved market sentiment encouraged deal-hungry businesses to go on a shopping spree. But a study published today finds that global M&A performance is in freefall just as deal numbers close in on record levels. - Telegraph

The Government is to introduce new rules for companies working on public contracts to clean up the sector and prevent a future collapse like Carillion. Private sector companies will have to show taxpayers how money is being spent and publish data for cutting the gender pay gap and improving ethnic minority representation if they want to win contracts. - Telegraph

Hedge fund investors have made a £1 billion bet against WPP as the advertising agency grapples with the fallout from the exit of Sir Martin Sorrell. The percentage of WPP shares on loan, a proxy for short selling, has surged over the past year from close to zero to more than 6 per cent of its share capital, figures from IHS Markit show. - The Times

The chief executive of the company behind Mr Kipling cakes and Oxo stock cubes has “overseen five years of failure” and driven the company into a “zombie-like state”, according to its second largest shareholder. Premier Foods is facing calls to sack Gavin Darby as its boss and replace him in the interim with Alastair Murray, its chief financial officer. - The Times

 

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