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Jun 15, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 15 June 2018 11:14:11
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London open: Stocks tick up as Trump approves China tariffs; Rolls and Tesco rise
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London stocks ticked up in early trade on Friday as investors digested the latest developments between the US and China, with Rolls-Royce and Tesco both higher on the back of well-received updates.

At 0835 BST, the FTSE 100 was up 0.1% to 7,776.19 following news that US President Trump has approved $50bn worth of tariffs on the import of goods from China.

The approval followed a 90-minute meeting on Thursday of Senior White House officials, national-security officials and senior representatives of the Treasury, Commerce Department, and US Trade Representative’s Office. A formal announcement is expected to be made later in the day by the US Trade Representatives, with a notification in the Federal Register in the coming week.

Analyst Jasper Lawler of London Capital Group said: "The markets are relatively sanguine moving towards the announcement, suggesting that traders still do not believe that this will turn into a serious trade war or, alternatively, have had the story come around so many times over the past few weeks that they have simply moved on."

On the corporate front, bookies were in focus following a report that the new £2m maximum stake on fix-odds betting machines will not be implemented until April 2020 after the Treasury struck a backroom deal with bookmakers. According to The Times, bookies have convinced the Treasury - which has always been worried about the hit to tax receipts from a lower stake - that they need more time to reprogram the terminals.

Rolls-Royce was the standout gainer after saying it should exceed £1bn of free cash flow by 2020 following its announcement a day earlier that it was cutting 4,600 jobs.

Tesco was also on the front foot as it reported solid but slightly slower UK and Irish sales in the first quarter of its new financial year but with wholesale acquisition Booker bedding down, group-wide growth accelerated to beat City forecasts. It was the supermarket giant's tenth successive quarter of LFL growth.

Building materials group CRH edged up as it received regulatory approval for its $3.5bn acquisition of Kansas-based cement manufacturer Ash Grove.

Glencore advanced after it settled a dispute between its Mutanda Mining Sarl and Kamoto Copper Company SA subsidiaries and companies affiliated with mining magnate Dan Gertler in Congo.

Information and events group Ascential ticked down after announcing the acquisition of global digital subscription business WARC for up to £24m.

Stobart Group, the owner of Southend Airport, retreated as it called on its shareholders to stand behind chairman Ian Ferguson. The company wrote a letter to shareholders explaining why it sacked director and former chief executive Andrew Tinkler on Thursday.

Indivior tumbled as its main revenue-generating product, Suboxone film, came under pressure overnight as rival Dr Reddy’s Labs won regulatory approval to its generic version of the sublingual film.

BTG was also weaker after an advisory committee told US regulators to reject a pre-market approval application its severe emphysema treatment.

In broker note action, British Airways parent IAG was downgraded to 'neutral’ by MainFirst, while InterContinental was lifted to 'neutral’ at JPMorgan.


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Market Analysis 15/06/2018

TradeYour capital is at riskNasdaq reaches all-time highDespite the Dow Jones finishing lower yesterday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed in the green, with the latter posting an...

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Market Status
 
 
change pct
-0.22%
 
cur price
7,748.39
 
change
-17.40
 
 
change pct
-0.44%
 
cur price
21,229.75
 
change
-94.27
 
 
change pct
-0.53%
 
cur price
3,584.24
 
change
-19.06

Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Rolls-Royce Holdings+11.74%+103.60986.40
2Tesco+1.88%+4.70254.50
3Relx Group+1.62%+26.001,635.50
4Intercontinental Hotels Group+1.46%+72.005,016.00
5Smurfit Kappa Group+1.18%+36.003,088.00
6Smith & Nephew+1.06%+14.501,377.00
7Ashtead Group+1.01%+24.002,408.00
8Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust+1.01%+5.50552.00
9Unilever Plc+0.99%+40.004,073.50
10Informa+0.81%+6.80841.40

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Barclays-1.73%-3.48197.12
2Anglo American-1.68%-30.201,763.20
3Old Mutual-1.67%-3.80223.10
4Easyjet Plc-1.59%-28.501,767.50
5Admiral Group-1.52%-29.001,879.00
6Royal Bank Of Scotland-1.52%-4.00259.60
7Legal & General Group-1.46%-4.00269.20
8Mediclinic International plc-1.38%-7.80556.40
9ITV Plc-1.37%-2.40172.25
10BHP Billiton-1.35%-23.601,725.20

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US close: Markets mixed after Fed hike, slew of data

Wall Street ended Thursday’s session on a mixed note, following losses in the previous session after a somewhat hawkish update from the Federal Reserve.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down 0.1% at 25,175.31, while the S&P 500 rose 0.25% to 2,782.49 and the Nasdaq 100 added 1.03% to 7,279.59.

Investors were still digesting a 25 basis point rate hike from the Fed earlier in the session, which was announced on Wednesday as expected.

The central bank also upgraded its forecasts for this year and the next, and said it expects to deliver another two rate hikes this year and another three next year.

Markets had been pricing in three moves on rates this year.

“Four rate hikes for 2018 does not necessarily suggest that the end of the great bull market is at hand, but it has been enough to knock equities back this morning,” said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG.

“After years of stasis in central banks, the developments are coming positively thick and fast.

“Jerome Powell Fed is clearly happy with the situation, feeling confident enough to knock the pace up a notch, and later today we will see if the ECB are in the mood to make a few changes too.”

Also on investors minds was news that the European Central Bank had decided to end its asset purchase programme at the end of 2018, while also confirming that interest rates would remain at their current levels, at least until September 2019.

The ECB's decision to wind-up the programme had been widely anticipated, following a recent speech by its chief economist, but the forward guidance on the first rate hike was more dovish than most economists had forecast.

On the data front, retail sales figures for May revealed that US consumers took to the malls with sharp increases seen in outlays on building materials, gasoline and clothing.

Even department store sales increased, said Mickey Levy at Berenberg Capital Markets, who also flagged up somewhat "upside" risks to his forecast for second quarter US GDP.

Total retail sales volumes jumped by 0.8% month-on-month in April to reach $501,971bn, according to the Department of Commerce, and the so-called 'control group' of US retail sales - which excludes those of automobiles and gasoline - also outpaced forecasts, growing by 0.8% versus March, and against consensus forecasts for 0.3%.

Following Thursday's data, Barclays' tracking estimate for second quarter US GDP rose from 3.0% to 3.5%.

Import prices, released alongside retail sales, jumped last month, pushed higher by a sharp increase in the bill for fuel imports.

Total US import prices rose by 0.6% month-on-month in May, beating the 0.5% month-on-month increase forecast by economists, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Compared to a year ago, import prices rose 4.3%.

Initial jobless claims, meanwhile, unexpectedly fell last week and the number of Americans on jobless rolls declined to a near 44-year low, indicating a rapidly tightening labor market.

According to the Labor Department, claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 218,000.

Economists had forecast claims rising to 224,000.

Lastly, US business inventories rebounded in April, although a slight downward revision to retail stocks implied that the contribution of inventory investment to economic growth across the second-quarter could be limited.

The Commerce Department said that business inventories rose 0.3% after slipping 0.1% in March.

In corporate news, 21st Century Fox picked up 2.11% at the open after Comcast made a $65bn bid for its entertainment and international assets.

Tailored Brands tumbled 21.77% after its first-quarter results late on Wednesday fell short of expectations.


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Friday newspaper round-up: Brexit rumbles, DoJ climb-down, Lloyds

Theresa May faces a confrontation with pro-EU Conservative rebels after abandoning a compromise over how parliament should be consulted at the end of Brexit negotiations. After two days of talks ministers said they would not accept demands from more than a dozen rebels that parliament should be able to influence the direction of Brexit in a case of no deal. Instead, the government published an amendment to its main legislation that critics said would give MPs less control. - The Times

The lack of progress on Brexit is inhibiting business investment, the Institute of Chartered Accountants has said, as it downgraded its forecasts for economic growth. The institute said that no progress had been made by the government in the future of the UK’s trade and investment relationship with Europe, while rising oil prices would put pressure on households and companies. - The Times

President Donald Trump has approved a plan to impose punishing tariffs on tens of billions of dollars of Chinese goods as early as Friday, a move that could set his trade policies on a collision course with his push to rid the Korean Peninsula of nuclear weapons. Mr Trump has promised to fulfill a campaign pledge to clamp down on what he considers unfair Chinese trading practices. - Telegraph/PA

The public think that Theresa May is handling Brexit more badly than at any point since she became prime minister, according to a new YouGov poll. Only 21% believe that the government is doing well in the negotiations, with 66 per cent thinking ministers are doing badly. The net score of minus 45% is down from minus 39 points two weeks ago. - The Times

AT&T's takeover of Time Warner could close as early as this week, after the US government decided against seeking to delay the blockbuster deal. According to the joint filing, submitted to the court, the Department of Justice chose not to take up its option to seek a stay for the deal, which a federal judge ruled on Tuesday was legal. - Telegraph

A group of MPs have said they will publish a report into what Lloyds Banking Group knew about a fraud at its HBOS Reading unit, following years of campaigns for full disclosure by its victims. The fraud was one of Britain’s worst-ever banking scandals and the report claims that HBOS in 2008 concealed the fraud in an attempt to prevent the failure of a rights issue and its subsequent takeover by Lloyds during the financial crisis. - Guardian

Italy’s populist government escalated global economic tensions yesterday by threatening to sabotage the EU’s landmark trade deal with Canada. Gian Marco Centinaio, the Italian agriculture minister, said the country’s parliament would refuse to ratify the proposed Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (Ceta). - The Times

The new £2 maximum stake on highly addictive betting machines will not be implemented until April 2020 after the Treasury struck a backroom deal with bookmakers. Campaigners expressed outrage at the delay, which they said would allow the industry to earn a further £4 billion. - The Times

One of Britain’s largest law firms, DWF, is set to list on the London stock exchange later this year with a valuation of up to £1 billion. The flotation would be the largest in the legal world and the first for a big law firm since Slater & Gordon listed on the Australian stock exchange in 2007. - The Times

The national living wage has fulfilled its purpose of cutting income poverty even though more than a third of the lowest paid live in well-off households with a high-earning partner, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Criticism of the living wage after its launch in April 2016 centred on the fact that it was not a substitute for in-work tax credits, which were cut at the same time, as many of those on low wages are second earners in the household. - The Times

The number of journeys on Britain’s railways has fallen as a result of strikes, price rises and overcrowding, the rail regulator said. The Office of Rail and Road said that passenger journeys on the network fell to 1.7 billion in 2017-2018, down 1.4 per cent on a year earlier and the largest decline in 25 years. - The Times

Theresa May is poised to increase the NHS’s budget by up to £6bn a year in a bid to capitalise on its impending 70th birthday and rescue the beleaguered service’s faltering fortunes. The prime minister will scrap the eight-year-long policy of limiting the NHSto funding rises of only 1% and, in a dramatic shift, hand it increases of between 3% and 4% for the next few years. - Guardian

Older people should receive free help with basic chores such as washing, dressing and eating in an overhaul that would see social care matching access to the NHS, ministers are to be urged. Personal social care should be “free at the point of need”, just like medical help on the NHS, according to a report by Lord Darzi, the ex-Labour health minister and Lord Prior, a Conservative health minister until 2016. - Guardian

The billionaire Sir Len Blavatnik has ploughed more than half a billion pounds into a bid to create a global “Netflix of sport”, an analysis of account has revealed. In 2017 alone the Ukraine-born investor, who made a fortune in post-Soviet heavy industry alongside oligarchs including Viktor Vekselberg and Mikhail Fridman, loaned Perform Group £410m to fund the expansion of its streaming service Dazn. - Telegraph

One of Britain’s most iconic seaside piers is set to be “flogged off for a song” to a controversial entrepreneur - just six years after it was saved for the nation with a £12m lottery grant. Hastings Pier is expected to be sold for a fraction of that cost to tycoon Sheikh Abid Gulzar, dubbed “Goldfinger” for his love of gold. - Telegraph

 

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