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Jun 1, 2018

Upbeat Jobs Data May Lead To Strength On Wall Street

 
ADVFN  World Daily Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 01 June 2018 09:17:06   
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US Market
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The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a higher opening on Friday, with stocks likely to move back to the upside following the weakness seen in the previous session.

The upward momentum on Wall Street comes on the heels of the release of a report from the Labor Department showing stronger than expected job growth in the month of May.

The markets may also benefit from easing concerns about political turmoil in Italy after the anti-establishment Five Star Movement and the far-right League party reached a deal to form a populist government

Following the rally seen on Wednesday, stocks moved mostly lower during trading on Thursday amid renewed trade concerns. The major averages fluctuated as the day progressed before closing firmly in negative territory.

The Dow plunged 251.94 points or 1 percent to 24,415.85, the Nasdaq fell 20.34 points or 0.3 percent to 7,442.12 and the S&P 500 slid 18.73 points or 0.7 percent to 2,705.28.

The weakness on Wall Street came following news the Trump administration plans to impose steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada, Mexico and the European Union.

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told reporters the tariffs of 25 percent on steel imports and 10 percent on aluminum imports will take effect at midnight.

The move to impose the tariffs represents the latest in a series of protectionist moves by President Donald Trump and has drawn threats of retaliation by some of the major U.S. allies.

In U.S. economic news, a day ahead of the release of the closely watched monthly jobs report, the Labor Department released a report showing a bigger than expected decrease in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended May 26th.

The report said initial jobless claims fell to 221,000, a decrease of 13,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 234,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to dip to 228,000.

Personal income in the U.S. increased in line with economist estimates in the month of April, according to a separate report released by the Commerce Department, while personal spending climbed by more than anticipated.

The Commerce Department said personal income rose by 0.3 percent in April after edging up by 0.2 percent in March. The increase in income matched economist estimates.

Meanwhile, the report said personal spending climbed by 0.6 percent in April following a 0.5 percent increase in the previous month. Spending had been expected to rise by 0.4 percent.

The National Association of Realtors also released a report unexpectedly showing a sharp decrease in pending home sales in the month of April.

NAR said its pending home sales index tumbled by 1.3 percent to 106.4 in April after rising by 0.6 percent to 107.2 in March. Economists had expected pending home sales to increase by 0.4 percent.

A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.

Oil service stocks turned in some of the market's worst performances on the day, dragging the Philadelphia Oil Service Index down by 2.9 percent. The weakness among oil service stocks came amid a notable decrease by the price of crude oil.

Telecom, transportation, and computer hardware stocks also saw notable weakness, moving lower along with most of the other major sectors.


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Employment in the U.S. jumped by much more than anticipated in the month of May, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday.

The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment surged up by 223,000 jobs in May after climbing by a downwardly revised 159,000 jobs in April.

Economists had expected employment to increase by 188,000 jobs compared to the addition of 164,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

With the stronger than expected job growth, the unemployment rate edged down to 3.8 percent in May from 3.9 percent in April. The unemployment rate had been expected to come in unchanged.

The report also said average hourly earnings in May were up by 2.7 percent compared to the same month a year ago, reflecting an acceleration from the 2.6 percent year-over-year growth seen in April.

At 10 am ET, the Institute for Supply Management is scheduled to release its report on activity in the manufacturing sector in the month of May.

The ISM?s purchasing managers index is expected to come in at 56.6 in May, unchanged from April. A reading above 50 indicates growth in the manufacturing sector.

The Commerce Department is also due to release its report on construction spending in the month of April at 10 am ET. Construction spending is expected to climb by 0.8 percent.

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Europe


European stocks have moved sharply higher on Friday as investors shrugged off trade war worries and welcomed news on the formation of a new government in Italy, the eurozone's third-largest economy.

While the U.K.?s FTSE 100 Index is climbing by 0.7 percent, the German DAX Index is up by 1.2 percent and the French CAC 40 Index is up by 1.4 percent.

Italy's anti-establishment Five Star Movement and the far-right League reached a deal to form a populist government, helping avert the prospect of a snap election.

On the data front, the upturn in the Eurozone manufacturing sector showed further signs of cooling in May, final data from IHS Markit showed.

The factory Purchasing Managers' Index fell to a 15-month low of 55.5 in May from 56.2 in April, matching the flash estimate.

Separately, survey data from IHS Markit and Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply showed the U.K. manufacturing sector expanded at a faster pace in May.

The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index unexpectedly rose to 54.4 in May from a 17-month low of 53.9 in April. The score was expected to drop to 53.5.

Royal Bank of Scotland Group has moved to the upside after Standard & Poor's upgraded the long-term ratings of National Westminster Bank Plc.

Deutsche Bank shares have also rallied. Responding to media reports regarding the regulatory ratings of its U.S. entities, the German lender said that it is highly focused on addressing identified weaknesses in its U.S. operations.

Meanwhile, Dialog Semiconductor shares have slumped after a warning that Apple will source fewer main smartphone power chips from the company.

Swedish radiation therapy equipment maker Elekta has also dropped after its fiscal fourth quarter adjusted operating profit came in below analyst estimates.


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Asia
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Asian stocks closed on a muted note Friday as trade war concerns resurfaced and investors looked ahead to the release of U.S. jobs data for May.

China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 20.01 points or 0.7 percent to 3,075.46 even as global index provider MSCI Inc. added around 230 mainland-listed Chinese stocks to its flagship Emerging Markets Index and other indexes. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index inched up 24.35 points or 0.1 percent to 30,492.91.

On the data front, Chinese manufacturing activity expanded at a steady pace in May, survey data from IHS Markit showed. The Caixin Purchasing Managers' index remained unchanged at 51.1, while analysts expected the index to rise to 51.2.

Japanese shares ended a choppy session slightly lower as fears of a global trade war resurfaced and U.S. President Donald Trump downplayed the chances of reaching a quick resolution with North Korea.

The Nikkei 225 Index swung between gains and losses before ending down 30.47 points or 0.1 percent at 22,171.35. The broader Topix Index finished marginally higher at 1,749.17.

While market heavyweight Fast Retailing dropped 1.7 percent, automaker Mazda Motor rose 1.2 percent and Toyota Motor climbed 2.9 percent on a weaker yen.

Olympus Corp soared 4.0 percent after activist investor ValueAct Capital became a major shareholder in the medical equipment and camera maker.

Earlier in the day, upon arrival for a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors of the Group of Seven advanced economies, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda called for "rational" debate to prevent protectionist trade measures from disrupting the global economy.

On the data front, the latest survey from Nikkei revealed that the manufacturing sector in Japan continued to expand in May, albeit at a slower rate, with a manufacturing PMI score of 52.8.

Separately, a government report showed that capital spending in Japan grew 3.4 percent in the first quarter of 2018, exceeding expectations for 3.1 percent but slowing from 4.3 percent in the previous three months.

Australian shares fell modestly, with banks falling heavily as ANZ faced criminal cartel charges relating to 2015 equity placement.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 21.50 points or 0.4 percent to 5,990.40, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended down 19.50 points or 0.3 percent at 6,104.

ANZ shares fell 1.5 percent, while the other three major banks ended down between 0.4 percent and 0.9 percent. Mining heavyweight Rio Tinto, which has aluminum smelters in Canada, shed 0.6 percent.
Woodside Petroleum, Santos, Oil Search and Beach Energy all fell around 1 percent after crude oil prices declined almost 2 percent overnight.

Meanwhile, healthcare stocks bucked the weak trend, with Cochlear climbing 3.7 percent and Sonic Healthcare closing up 1 percent.

Australian manufacturing activity maintained strong growth momentum in May despite easing from April, survey data published by the Australian Industry Group showed. The corresponding index dropped to 57.5 from 58.3 in the previous month.


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Commodities


Crude oil futures are falling $0.66 to $66.38 a barrel after tumbling $1.17 to $67.04 a barrel on Thursday. Meanwhile, after dipping $1.80 to $1,304.70 an ounce in the previous session, gold futures are slumping $8.90 to $1,295.80 an ounce.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 109.57 yen compared to the 108.82 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Thursday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.1681 compared to yesterday?s $1.1693.


 
 

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Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 01 June 2018 10:02:06
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London open: FTSE jumps for June as trade war fears shrugged off
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London share prices gained ground on Friday, the first day of June, shrugging off the renewed concerns about global trade wars that had sent Wall Street into the red.

Mirroring a recovery in Asia, the FTSE 100 jumped 53.54 or 0.7% to 7,731.74, back towards recent all-time highs, as the pound lost territory on the dollar, falling below $1.33 again, and remained little moved against the euro at 1.1365.

Italy's President Sergio Mattarella overnight gave his consent to a new populist government agreed between the League and Five Star, with academic Giuseppe Conte as Prime Minister and the finance ministry brief to be held by another professor, Giovanni Tria, who has warned of an implosion of the euro if it isn’t reformed. This now paves the way for the government to be sworn in later this afternoon which will be followed by a confidence vote in parliament next week.

"Markets were reassured when Italy stepped away from the precipice of fresh elections and the populist coalition proposed a new cabinet. While Eurosceptics will still dominate potential future Italian government of Giuseppe Conte, markets were considering this a preferable outcome to the alternative of fresh elections that would have been seen as a potential vote of confidence in the European system," said market analyst Artjom Hatsaturjants at Accendo Markets.

Some immediate respite for investors, maybe, but Neil Wilson at Markets.com noted that the 10-year BTP is still above 2.6%, pushing 2.7%, well north of the 1.7%-1.8% level before the mini-crisis blew up.

"So, some calm but certainly the market is still pricing expansionary fiscal policies and/or a run-in with the EU on borrowing and the expectation of ballooning debt-to-GDP. Whatever it is there is still risk in there, but the redenomination/Eurozone breakup risks (the tail risk that wagged the dog this week) have decidedly retreated with the approval of the govt," Wilson said.

Whilst political fears receded in Italy receded these are being balanced by trade war concerns, said Jasper Lawler at London Capital Group, but the market losses have not been as large as we would have expected just a few months ago. "The market is becoming more familiar with this administrations’ negotiating tactics and as a result, rather than seeing a move straight into risk off trading, we are seeing some investors take a wait and see approach."

Traders will be focused on economic data on Friday though the political theme will continue to offer a background beat. The release of US non-farm payroll report is the main event, with nearly 190,000 new jobs expected ahead of the next Federal Reserve meeting in less than two weeks.

In Europe it's a morning of manufacturing PMI surveys an interesting industrial insight as market stand at the brink of a potential global trade war.

As for the UK report, due at 0930 BST, the market is expecting the PMI to fall to 53.5 for May from 53.9 a month earlier.

There was a dearth of major UK company news on Thursday, with Rio Tinto confirming completion of the sale of its 75% share of the Winchester South coal development project in Queensland for an up-front $150m cash, while ZPG confirmed the sale of Hometrack Australia for A$130m in cash.

FirstGroup shares were up after Wolfhart Hauser, who has become executive chairman after chief executive Tim O’Toole was sacked on the back of major losses a day earlier, was reported as saying he would accept a bid for all or part of the company if an offer created value for shareholders.

Sainsbury's came under political pressure after being asked to explain the reasoning behind a pay deal which could leave 9,000 staff worse off, by Rachel Reeves, chairwoman of the business, energy and industrial strategy committee, who is already closely scrutinising Sainsbury’s proposed merger with Asda.

Royal Dutch Shell announced production start at the Kaikias field in Gulf of Mexico, 12 months ahead of schedule.

Ryanair said chief executive Michael O'Leary sold €33m worth of stock in the airline earlier in the week.

The Competition & Markets Authority said it was launching a review into the £2bn funerals market to ensure that people are not getting a bad deal from pre-paid funeral plans. Around 1.3m people in the UK have a pre-paid plan.

Meanwhile, electricity regulator Ofgem launched a probe into the way that Utility Warehouse manages its customers who are in debt, investigating whether the supplier has breached rules related to the way it manages these customers.


Market Analysis 01/06/2018

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Market Status
 
 
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20,982.29
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Johnson Matthey +3.99% +140.00 3,653.00
2 Barratt Developments +2.93% +16.00 561.60
3 Anglo American +2.76% +49.60 1,846.80
4 Glencore +2.74% +10.20 382.25
5 Babcock International Group +2.09% +17.40 850.40
6 Barclays +1.78% +3.51 200.75
7 Rio Tinto +1.65% +70.00 4,310.00
8 Antofagasta Plc +1.61% +17.00 1,071.50
9 Prudential +1.52% +27.50 1,838.50
10 Schroders +1.39% +45.00 3,282.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1 Shire Plc -1.46% -60.00 4,040.00
2 Pearson Plc -0.47% -4.20 897.40
3 Informa -0.43% -3.40 781.00
4 Smith & Nephew -0.33% -4.50 1,364.00
5 Severn Trent -0.30% -6.00 1,983.00
6 British American Tobacco -0.27% -10.50 3,858.50
7 Randgold Resources -0.27% -16.00 5,952.00
8 Standard Chartered -0.23% -1.70 752.90
9 Diageo -0.14% -4.00 2,758.50
10 Carnival -0.14% -7.00 4,830.00

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US close: Stocks slip on metal tariffs announcement

US stocks ended lower overnight, with industrial stocks hit after the White House launched trade tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the European Union, Canada and Mexico.

The Dow Jones fell 1.02% to 24,415.84, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.69% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%.

As the last day of May, the Dow booked a 1.1% rise over the month, with the S&P 500 adding 2.2% and the Nasdaq putting on 5.3%, all eclipsed by the small-cap Russell 2000 index's gain of 6.1%.

As global trade risks returned to the front burner, with President Trump announced an end to steel/aluminum tariff exceptions for Canada, Mexico, and the EU from midnight on Thursday, provoking retaliation from all three countries, Treasuries underperforming but not as badly as US equities.

Levies of 25% will be made on steel imports and 10% on aluminium, as originally announced by the President back in March, but Canada and Mexico had been granted an exemption while US officials renegotiated the North American Free Trade Agreement. They were expected to be met with retaliatory measures against US products, including motorcycles, jeans and bourbon.

European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker said: "The EU believes these unilateral US tariffs are unjustified and at odds with World Trade Organisation rules. This is protectionism, pure and simple."

Market analyst Neil Wilson at Markets.com said: "The EU has quickly responded in kind and it must be said that this hardly bodes well for the even bigger US-China trade spat. A full blown international trade war is now more likely, although there remains plenty of time and room for manoeuvre for the main protagonists to avert such a development. Now Mexico is also responding tit-for-tat."

Earlier, there was some key economic data from the Commerce Department, which showed spending rose 0.6% in April, above the consensus of 0.4%, with March spending data revised up to 0.5%, representing a meaningful acceleration over January and February.

With the deflator up 0.2%, as expected, real spending rose a hefty 0.4%, double the consensus of 0.2%. The core personal consumption expenditure deflator rose 0.2%, above the consensus of 0.1%.

On the income side of the report, April personal income was shown to have risen 0.3% month-on-month, in line with consensus, as disposable income rose by 0.4% and compensation rose by 0.3%.

Although the core PCE deflator is on track to hit the 2% target in July and then to nudge above it in August, Federal Reserve officials have made it clear that this alone will not prompt a policy response as the inflation target is 'symmetric'.

"At this point, we don't see much to worry about, especially with hospital services prices calming down after a run of big increases. The Fed will continue to tighten on the basis of heading off future inflation risk, not because the near-term data are about to become alarming," analysts at Pantheon Economics said.

Elsewhere, new applications for US unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 221,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Claims data for the prior week was unrevised.

Lastly, the National Association of Realtors' pending home sales index decreased to 106.4, down 1.3% from March, which was also revised to 107.8 from 107.6, and falling significantly short of the 0.4% rise forecast by economists.

Pending home contracts, a forward-looking indicator of the health of the housing market fell 2.1% year-on-year.

In corporate news, Micron fell 5.32% after the semiconductor manufacturer was downgraded to 'equal weight' at Morgan Stanley and technology firm Siena lost 3.41% after revealing an earnings miss.

Kirkland shot up 15% after the home decor retailer reported first-quarter that came in ahead of expectations and transportation company Brink gained strongly after it provided an upbeat outlook as part of its announcement that it bought cash-management business Dunbar Armored for $520m.


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Friday newspaper round-up: Trade, Capita, Sainsbury, BoE

Britain is calling on Brussels to step back from a trade war with the United States after President Trump imposed new tariffs on EU imports. Liam Fox, the trade secretary, said yesterday that Britain “does not rule out” countermeasures or a challenge in an international court. However, he urged calm on all sides to avoid a full trade war. - The Times

Italy’s populist parties were finally given the green light to form a coalition government on Thursday evening, after they backed down over their initial selection of a deeply eurosceptic economy minister. After days of intensive negotiations and pressure from the markets, the anti-immigrant, hard-Right League party and the anti-establishment Five Star Movement agreed to a compromise. - Telegraph

A grassroots group of Jeremy Corbyn supporters and trade unions is to launch a major UK speaking tour, billed as the leftwing campaign to remain in the EU. The Left Against Brexit tour will attempt to persuade Corbyn and his allies of the leftwing case for a pro-EU position and will argue that the party can reap electoral benefits from a shift. - Guardian

Outsourcing specialists Capita and FDM Group are facing potential legal action from former employees who were faced with demands for thousands of pounds in fees when they tried to leave. Both companies insist graduates and other job hunters carry out three or four months of training, for which they are not paid, before they are put forward for work with top companies. - Guardian

Pre-paid funeral plans could be hit with tougher regulation under government plans to deal with bad practice in the sector. The government is due to launch a consultation on regulating the funeral sector, where around 1.3 million people in the UK have a pre-paid plan. - Guardian

J Sainsbury has come under more pressure after being asked to explain the reasoning behind a pay deal which could leave 9,000 staff worse off. Rachel Reeves, chairwoman of the business, energy and industrial strategy committee, who is already closely scrutinising Sainsbury’s proposed merger with Asda, has asked it to explain why workers “deserve to be paid less in future for doing the same amount of work”. - The Times

The interim boss of troubled transport company FirstGroup has said he will accept a bid for all or part of the company after its chief executive Tim O’Toole was sacked and the firm swung to a major loss. Wolfhart Hauser, who has become executive chairman, said if an offer created value for shareholders, it was something he would consider. - Telegraph

The chancellor, Philip Hammond, walked into a gender row yesterday after picking a man for the role of external economist on the Bank of England’s interest rate-setting committee in preference to four shortlisted women. Jonathan Haskel, an economist at Imperial College Business School, was named by the Treasury to succeed Ian McCafferty on the Bank’s monetary policy committee. - The Times

Britain’s cheapest energy supplier risks being pulled from the market after the regulator found that a catalogue of customer service failings at the cash-strapped company has continued despite its warnings. Ofgem accused Iresa of failing to take adequate steps to address the mounting number of customer complaints made against the company since the three-month investigation began a little over two months ago. - Telegraph

Sportech has signed a deal with a data company to provide fixed-odds sports betting in the emerging American market. As part of the agreement, the betting technology operator will offer prices from Sportradar to customers before the anticipated introduction of legal sports betting. - The Times

A blood test for 10 different types of cancers could one day help doctors screen for the disease before patients show symptoms, according to research from Grail, a US company backed by Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos and carried out at the Cleveland Clinic’s Taussig Cancer Institute. The test, called a liquid biopsy, screens for cancer by detecting tiny bits of DNA released by cancer cells into blood. - Guardian/Times

Oleg Deripaska’s En+ company faces suspension from the London Stock Exchange tonight unless it secures another last-minute reprieve from US sanctions authorities. The energy and aluminium company, which listed in London late last year, was hit by sanctions last month as a result of Mr Deripaska — who has been accused of acting for the Russian state — controlling about two thirds of its shares. - The Times

Fast-rising online retailer The Hut Group plans to recruit 2,000 more staff in a major hiring spree. Profits at the private company, which is frequently on bankers' lists of float candidates, surged 51pc to £318m for the year to December 2017, as the booming beauty market bolstered sales of hair and skincare products. - Telegraph

A complex family feud which stemmed from one of the largest corporate collapses of the credit crunch has been thrown out of courts in Cayman, which ruled that the two companies involved had instead systematically defrauded banks. In the judgment for the case, branded by liquidators as "the largest Ponzi scheme the world has ever seen", the court found the Al-Gosabi family, who owned Saudi conglomerate Ahmad Hamad Algosaibi & Brothers ​(AHAB), had been working with Maan Al Sanea, who married into the family, to commit fraud against over 100 banks over two decades. = Telegraph

A think tank has been found guilty of abusing its charitable status by pursuing a hard Brexit agenda that violated its legal obligation to maintain “balance and neutrality”. The Charity Commission said the Legatum Institute had “crossed a clear line” in a report it published on the potential for free trade deals after Britain left the EU. - The Times

The accountancy regulator has started disciplinary action against executives at Autonomy and two of the company’s auditors at Deloitte five years after an accounting scandal engulfed its sale to Hewlett-Packard. The move follows legal action in the United States where Sushovan Hussain, Autonomy’s former chief financial officer, was convicted of fraud in April. - The Times

The head of the campaign group that celebrates real ale has quit after members rebelled over his plans for the body to promote lager and craft beer. Tim Page has resigned as chief executive of the Campaign for Real Ale (Camra) just weeks after losing a crucial vote on his proposals to modernise the organisation, which he had been working on for two years. - The Times

 

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