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Oct 26, 2018

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 26 October 2018 10:37:22
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London open: Stocks drop on weak Asian cues; RBS retreats after results
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London stocks fell in early trade on Friday, taking their cue from losses in Asia as earnings from US tech companies disappointed.

At 0825 BST, the FTSE 100 was down 1% to 6,936.48, while the pound was flat against the dollar and the euro at 1.2820 and 1.1264, respectively.

CMC Markets analyst David Madden said: "We heard from tech giants Amazon and Alphabet after the closing bell last night. Amazon topped the earnings per share forecast, but missed on revenue and the guidance. Google’s parent, Alphabet, exceeded estimates on EPS, but undershot the revenue forecast.

"Both stocks dropped heavily in the post-market session, and in turn sparked selling across major US indices. Asian stock markets have been dragged lower by the sharp decline in US index futures."

There are no major UK data releases but in the US, third-quarter domestic product will be eyed at 1330 BST. Economists expect a reading of 3.3%, which would be a slowdown from 4.2% growth in the second quarter.

In corporate news, Royal Bank of Scotland was in the red as it said profits rose in the third quarter but operating margins continued to be squeezed by competitive pressures.

Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at Interactive Investor, said: "Whether or not Royal Bank of Scotland made more money than many expected in the third quarter depends on which line on the income statement you look at, but whichever it is, weary investors have lost faith with RBS after these results.

"A third-quarter operating profit of £961m was better than the £892m consensus estimate, as was a 15.4% increase in income. But despite a significant improvement on previous quarters, a £448m attributable profit was definitely sub-par," he said.

"Aggressively fighting for share of the residential mortgage market has had an inevitable impact on net interest margin, which was down 8 basis points on the second quarter at 1.93%. Strip out one-off items and it was still down 5 basis points, but the year-on-year decline is more like 19 basis points. Higher interest rate did boost deposit margins, but not nearly enough."

Mining conglomerate Glencore fell as it said third-quarter copper production rose and lifted its full-year copper guidance, but cut its full-year oil output guidance, while Segro ticked a touch lower after saying it has exited the Belgian market.

On the upside, British Airways and Iberia parent International Consolidated Airlines Group flew higher as its third-quarter operating profit and revenue beat estimates.

International PPL nudged up after announcing that it will invest as much as £9.9m into Nextgenaccess, a developer of ultrafast wholesale and custom fibre infrastructure.

In broker note action, Burberry was lifted to 'hold' from 'reduce' at HSBC, while Lloyds Banking Group was lifted to 'neutral' from 'underperform' by Macquarie. 888 Holdings was upgraded to 'hold' from 'sell' by Investec.


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18,335.90
 
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Top 10 FTSE 100 Risers

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1International Consolidated Airlines Group +2.55%+15.00602.40
2Mediclinic International plc+1.73%+5.90346.40
3Randgold Resources+1.00%+62.006,260.00
4Marks & Spencer+0.70%+2.00286.70
5Rentokil Initial+0.48%+1.40295.20
6British American Tobacco+0.32%+11.503,619.50
7Easyjet Plc+0.30%+3.501,173.00
8Next Plc+0.19%+10.005,144.00
9Paddy Power Betfair+0.16%+10.006,395.00
10Relx Group+0.06%+1.001,553.00

Top 10 FTSE 100 Fallers

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# NameChange PctChangeCur Price
1Royal Bank Of Scotland-4.22%-9.90224.60
2Johnson Matthey-4.22%-122.002,770.00
3Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust-3.43%-16.35460.10
4WPP Plc-3.40%-31.00879.80
5Micro Focus International-3.21%-40.001,205.50
6TUI AG-3.14%-41.001,265.50
7Babcock International Group-3.11%-18.60579.60
8Prudential-2.89%-43.501,463.00
9Smurfit Kappa Group-2.79%-70.002,442.00
10British Petroleum-2.76%-14.80520.70

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US close: Markets clock gains after Wednesday's falls

Wall Street finished Thursday’s session much better than it did on Wednesday, as markets recovered from that day’s heavy, which saw the Dow drop more than 600 points and the Nasdaq enter into correction territory for the first time in two years.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.63% at 24,984.55, the S&P 500 added 1.86% to 2,705.57, and the Nasdaq 100 rose 3.35% to 7,016.39.

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones dropped 2.4% despite strong earnings from Boeing, while the Nasdaq Composite closed down more than 4% and the S&P 500 fell by 3%.

“I think we really need to see some expectation-beating earnings reports about now to remind investors why we got to these levels in the first place,” said Oanda analyst Craig Erlam.

“Unfortunately, third-quarter earnings growth is expected to soften a little after the first two seriously raised the bar.”

On the data front, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose a little more than expected last week, according to figures released by the Labor Department.

US initial jobless claims rose by 5,000 to 215,000, coming in a touch above expectations for a smaller rise to 214,000.

Meanwhile, the four-week moving average was unchanged from the previous week's unrevised level of 211,750.

The four-week average is considered more reliable as it smooths out sharp fluctuations in the more volatile weekly figures, giving a more accurate picture of the health of the labour market.

Durable goods orders in the States jumped unexpectedly last month, buoyed by those for defence aircraft.

Total orders for goods made to last at least three years increased by 0.8% over the month to reach $262.1bn, according to the Department of Commerce, whereas economists had projected a drop of 1.0%.

Within the above, orders for military aircraft and parts more than doubled, soaring by 119.1% to $11.7bn.

Elsewhere, the Department of Commerce revealed that America's shortfall in its trade in goods with the rest of the world widened in September.

The deficit increased by 0.8% month-on-month to reach $76.0bn. Economists had forecast a deficit of -$74.9bn.

Compared to August, exports increased by 1.8% to reach $141.0bn while imports were up by 1.4% at $217.0bn.

Lastly, the Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.5% to 104.6 in September from the 104.1 seen in August, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Contract signings dropped 1% year-on-year, marking this the ninth consecutive month of annual decreases.

“Even though we are still seeing year-over-year declines, the latest monthly increase is a good, stabilizing trend,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR.

In corporate news, Twitter surged 15.47% after the company's third-quarter profit and revenue surpassed analysts' expectations, while Hershey shares were down 4.93% after the chocolate company's third-quarter numbers.

Merck was 0.82% lower despite revealing it had swung to a profit in the third quarter from a $56m loss the year before.

Comcast racked up 5.04% after it posted a jump in third-quarter profit, while Southwest Airlines slid 8.57% despite posting better-than-expected quarterly profits and revenues.

Dunkin' Brands rose 4.78% after lifting its profit outlook as it reported a rise in third-quarter profit.


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Friday newspaper round-up: Brexit, debt warning, Halfords, LSE

Britain’s economic growth will slow to its lowest rate in a decade if it leaves the European Union without a trading deal in place, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research has warned. The institute, which uses the Treasury’s forecasting model, said that a no-deal Brexit would push growth down to 0.3 per cent in 2019, a slowdown not seen since the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2009 when the economy shrank by 4.2 per cent. - The Times

Britain is preparing for trade negotiations with almost two dozen nations after they objected to the terms it proposed for its World Trade Organisation membership after Brexit. Liam Fox confirmed yesterday that countries have “expressed reservations” over the draft text put forward by the UK before its departure from the European Union. - The Times

Young people will be financial losers under all Brexit outcomes facing losses of up to £108,000 over their lifetime under the worst-case no-deal scenario, according to a report which also included a warning from former prime minister John Major about the deep implications for millennials. The report, commissioned by the campaign group Our Future, Our Choice, projected the loss of earnings between now and 2050 - accounting for a 30-year career for most young people. - Guardian

Argentina would exploit the fallout from a no-deal Brexit to further its efforts to bring the Falklands under its control, the country’s foreign minister has said. Jorge Faurie said that Argentina would use the situation to “enhance” its own diplomatic push to pull the islands away from the UK and towards Buenos Aires. - Telegraph

Billionaires made more money in 2017 than in any year in recorded history. The richest people on Earth increased their wealth by a fifth to $8.9tn (£6.9tn), according to a report by Swiss bank UBS. The fortunes of today’s super-wealthy have risen at a far greater rate than at the turn of the 20th century, when families such as the Rothschilds, Rockefellers and Vanderbilts controlled vast wealth. - Guardian

The former head of the US Federal Reserve has warned of a “huge deterioration” in corporate lending standards that is creating “systemic risks” to the economy. Janet Yellen said that the lessons of the financial crisis appeared to be on the verge of being forgotten amid a push for deregulation in the US. - The Times

Halfords is understood to have pulled out of plans to buy Evans Cycles, leaving the way clear for Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct to buy the chain. Halfords decision casts doubt over the future of Evans which needs to raise millions of pounds in funding to secure its future. - The Times

Developers are sitting on land for more than 130,000 homes in England that have never been built - the worst gap on record, according to new analysis. The record gap between planning permissions granted and new homes being built has led to calls for tough new penalties to be enforced against developers that sit on land rather than build. - Guardian

Deutsche Börse has announced plans to intensify competition with the rival London Stock Exchange before Brexit, saying that it would expand a profit-sharing scheme. The Frankfurt-based exchange’s Eurex Clearing said it would expand its “partnership” programme to include repurchase or repo agreements and foreign exchange traded among banks from the first quarter of next year. - The Times

An influential group of MPs has called for a drastic overhaul of Britain’s approach to small business lending after the “scandalous” treatment of companies at the hands of big banks. The Treasury select committee said commercial loans must be urgently regulated to prevent a repeat of the abuse of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses after the financial crisis. - The Times

Oil-dependent nations such as Saudi Arabia face “unprecedented challenges” and it is more essential than ever that they diversify their economy, the International Energy Agency warns. The rise of shale oil, the growth of electric cars and population growth threaten to erode the finances of countries that rely on income from exporting oil, the Paris-based agency said. - The Times

BT has come under fire for handing its new chief executive a “stratospheric” pay and bonus package potentially worth more than £8 million a year. He will receive a basic salary of £1.1 million and a pension top-up of £165,000. In addition, he will be entitled to an annual bonus of as much as 240 per cent of salary, as well as long-term share awards worth four times his base pay. - The Times

America’s most valuable car manufacturer has said the hugely successful, cheaper model of its electric car should be coming to the UK by the middle of next year as the chief executive added that it will soon launch a rival to Uber. Responding on Twitter to queries from customers, Elon Musk said that Tesla’s Model 3 should be taking to Europe’s roads by the middle of 2019. - The Times

The rising oil price and the cost of compensating passengers affected by planes being taken out of commission because of faulty engines has cut profits at Norwegian Air Shuttle. However, shares in the transatlantic low-fares airline surged 16 per cent on the Oslo market to NKr211.80 as Norwegian revealed plans for a sale and leaseback joint venture for its 158-strong fleet. - The Times


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