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Dec 19, 2016

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 19 December 2016 09:38:20
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London Market Report
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London open: Stocks drift lower in quiet trade

Stocks in London drifted lower at the start of what is likely to be a very quiet week in the run-up to Christmas.


The FTSE 100 was down 0.2% to 6,994.90. Meanwhile, oil prices edged higher, with West Texas Intermediate up 0.4% at $52.13 a barrel and Brent crude up 0.6% to $55.54.

Spreadex's Connor Campbell said: "It may be the start of the final week before Christmas, but so far the European markets are looking rather Santa-less this Monday.

"To be fair, the FTSE has actually had a rather impressive December already, finally climbing back above 7,000 last Friday, so it can be forgiven for not drastically building on that level this morning. The index is still flirting with that landmark level, though currently it lacks the kind of momentum that could lead it to a fresh all-time high later in the day. As for the pound, it's still struggling below 1.25 against the dollar, while against the dollar it has shed 0.2%."

In corporate news, oil giant BP edged higher after signing an agreement to take a 10% stake in Abu Dhabi's ADCO onshore oil concession for an undisclosed sum. BP also said on Monday that it will invest nearly $1bn in a natural gas field off the coast of West Africa as it struck a deal with Kosmos Energy.

Electra Private Equity was in the black as it said it will receive roughly £405m proceeds from the £1.35bn sale of Parkdean Resorts to Canadian investors Onex Corporation.

Investment manager Brewin Dolphin nudged up after announcing that it will buy Duncan Lawrie Asset Management for £25.5m along with a payment of £2.5m, to reflect the value of net assets in the business.

On the downside, FTSE 250 intellectual property-based business developer IP Group retreated as it announced the creation of Microbiotica, which it described as a newly formed spin-out company from the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute established to commercialise the institute's research into the role of the human microbiome in disease.

Carnival shares slumped as Berenberg downgraded its stance on the stock to 'hold' from 'buy' and cut the price target to 4,000p from 4,200p.

More broadly, investors were digesting news that China has agreed to return a US underwater drone that was taken by a Chinese naval vessel in the South China Sea last Thursday, which helped to assuage concerns about diplomatic tensions between the two countries.

There are no major UK data releases due.

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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 6,994.90 -0.24%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 17,803.50 0.11%
techMARK (TASX) 3,330.81 -0.28%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Mediclinic International (MDC) 736.00p 1.52%
Capita (CPI) 497.40p 1.49%
Hammerson (HMSO) 561.00p 1.36%
Persimmon (PSN) 1,727.00p 1.23%
Unilever (ULVR) 3,186.50p 1.09%
British Land Company (BLND) 635.50p 1.03%
Intu Properties (INTU) 275.70p 0.99%
TUI AG Reg Shs (DI) (TUI) 1,119.00p 0.90%
Severn Trent (SVT) 2,199.00p 0.73%
Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK) 1,805.00p 0.73%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Carnival (CCL) 3,958.00p -2.70%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,110.00p -2.03%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 673.50p -1.68%
AstraZeneca (AZN) 4,328.00p -1.66%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,284.00p -1.61%
Barclays (BARC) 224.50p -1.60%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,043.00p -1.57%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 659.50p -1.57%
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) 657.50p -1.41%
Old Mutual (OML) 196.80p -1.20%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Paysafe Group (PAYS) 351.80p 7.06%
Drax Group (DRX) 345.20p 6.54%
Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) 440.00p 4.45%
Ascential (ASCL) 275.70p 4.39%
NMC Health (NMC) 1,512.00p 4.35%
CMC Markets (CMCX) 111.50p 2.58%
Caledonia Investments (CLDN) 2,562.00p 2.48%
Redefine International (RDI) 38.10p 1.84%
Marston's (MARS) 135.30p 1.50%
Unite Group (UTG) 579.50p 1.49%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Evraz (EVR) 254.50p -3.27%
Acacia Mining (ACA) 346.30p -2.72%
Polypipe Group (PLP) 300.00p -2.72%
Kaz Minerals (KAZ) 359.60p -2.68%
PayPoint (PAY) 922.00p -2.43%
Polymetal International (POLY) 757.00p -2.26%
Marshalls (MSLH) 276.70p -2.23%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 199.20p -2.16%
SVG Capital (SVI) 709.00p -1.53%

The Share Centre

The US after Trump election, and a letter from America

A lot are horrified, others may just not like to admit to it. I have just returned from a trip to Utah, a state that voted for Donald Trump, I was there for a conference, but I thought I would share with you what I learned.

The headlines might proclaim there are two Americas. There is the version consisting of the coastal regions on the west and north east and various pockets in-between, they voted Clinton, and then there is the large part of the interior that voted Trump.

A letter from America

But I learned that even in the midst of the most conservative state in the United States, the attitude towards the idea of a Trump presidency was pretty similar to the attitudes I hold, which, to put it gently, is not that positive.Of course, opinion is mixed, as it is in the UK over Brexit, and people voted the way they did for multiple reasons. Just as some people voted Brexit as a vote against immigration, while others voted for Brexit as they are pro-immigration but don't see why immigration policy should be tilted in favour of Europeans, the motivations for why people voted the way they did were numerous.

Read More...


UK Event Calendar

Monday December 19

INTERIMS
Collagen Solutions

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Aquila Services Group

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
IFO Business Climate (GER) (09:00)
IFO Current Assessment (GER) (09:00)
IFO Expectations (GER) (09:00)

AGMS
Akers Biosciences, Inc. , Management Resources Solutions , Proactis Holdings, World Careers Network

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Aberdeen Frontier Markets Investment Company, Fidelity Special Values, Lok'n Store Group, Sanditon Investment Trust, St Ives, Utilitywise plc


Europe Market Report
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Europe open: Stocks edge lower; Danone drops on sales growth warning

European stocks edged lower in early trade as volumes began to taper off in the run-up to Christmas, with Danone under the cosh after a warning over its 2016 sales growth.
At 0845 GMT, the benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index was down 0.3%, Germany's DAX was off 0.1% and France's CAC 40 was 0.4%, weaker.

Meanwhile, oil prices advanced, with West Texas Intermediate up 0.8% at $52.33 a barrel and Brent crude up 0.7% to $55.60.

Rebecca O'Keeffe, head of investment at stockbroker Interactive Investor, said; "European equities are trading slightly lower in early trade, with oil stocks higher and banks and mining stocks under pressure.

"As we run up to Christmas, with little corporate news, the expectation is that markets will remain relatively quiet - however, Donald Trump may provide some volatility for investors in the shape of a diplomatic spat with China. While no one expects the USA and China to be best friends, moving away from the current status quo into a frosty relationship could provide an unwelcome backdrop for markets."

The Stoxx 600 basic resources index fell 1.5%, while the corresponding sub-index for banks was down 0.7%.

Investors were digesting news that China has agreed to return a US underwater drone that was taken by a Chinese naval vessel in the South China Sea last Thursday, which helped to assuage concerns about diplomatic tensions between the two countries.

In corporate news, Danone lost ground after the French food company said sales growth for 2016 will be slightly below its target due to weakness in the fresh dairy business in the fourth quarter.

Elsewhere, oil giant BP edged higher after signing an agreement to take a 10% stake in Abu Dhabi's ADCO onshore oil concession for an undisclosed sum. BP also said on Monday that it will invest nearly $1bn in a natural gas field off the coast of West Africa as it struck a deal with Kosmos Energy.

Carnival shares slumped as Berenberg downgraded its stance on the stock to 'hold' from 'buy' and cut the price target to 4,000p from 4,200p.

Still to come, investors will eye the release of the German Ifo survey at 0900 GMT.


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US Market Report

US close: Stocks edge lower even as dollar stabilises

Wall Street finished lower on Friday even as the dollar and government bond yields stabilised following gains in the wake of a more hawkish-than-expected Federal Reserve over the week, while oil prices advanced.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average off 0.04% to 19,843.41, the S&P 500 declined 0.18% or 3.96 points to 2,258.07 and the Nasdaq was off 0.36% to 5,437.16.

The dollar hit its highest level since 24 December 2002 on Thursday, with the US dollar spot index reaching 103.02. On Friday, it was down to 102.95, steadying after the greenback and treasury yields surged on the back of the Fed's hawkish outlook, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note little changed at 2.59%.

On Wednesday, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to a target range between 0.50% and 0.75%, and surprised with a forecast of a further three rate hikes next year.

Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, said: "The dollar is pausing for breath on some of its recent gains after hitting multi year highs against a basket of currencies. A softening in bond yields is also helping in this regard with gains for the euro after it hit multi year lows against the greenback."

Meanwhile, oil prices were in the green as Brent crude rose as West Texas Intermediate increased 80 cents to $51.90 per barrel.

Gold on Comex gained $7.40 to 1,137.40 per troy ounce.

Hewson added that the big question was whether the Dow could hit the 20,000 level that it has been flirting with this week.

"Thus far it has fallen short and the likelihood is that the opportunity to do it this week has passed. Even if we fall short we've still seen a decent week for US equities, trading as they continue to do at record levels. The big question is how a strong dollar and a strong US equity market can co-exist at a time when all we have had at the moment is promises of fiscal action, and higher rates.

"Since 8 November the Dow has rallied 9%, the S&P 500 over 6% and the Russell 2000 has gained over 14%, how much of market expectations of what President-elect Trump can deliver are now priced in," he said.

On the data front, housing starts dropped 18.7% in November, from a nine-year high, to a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.09m, from 27.4% the previous month. This was more than the expected 7% fall.

Permits of housing in the pipeline fell 4.7% to 1.2m, from 2.9% in September. Analysts had expected a 1.6% decline.

In corporate news, Viacom was up 1.28% as the media company announced that chairman emeritus Sumner Redstone will resign in February.

Netflix edged lower 0.62% even after the company announced late on Thursday that it has inked an exclusive deal to stream all the films of Bollywood superstar Shah Rukh Khan.

Software company Oracle was down 4.31% after its second-quarter earnings on Thursday narrowly beat estimates, but revenue missed.

US-listed shares of TiGenix NV rose 7% a day after it priced its initial public offering.

Dow Jones - Risers

Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $163.94 2.07%
General Electric Co. (GE) $31.75 1.57%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $121.60 1.00%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $52.27 0.89%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $118.08 0.88%
3M Co. (MMM) $177.45 0.81%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $123.24 0.72%
Boeing Co. (BA) $154.50 0.47%
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $41.74 0.46%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $108.52 0.36%

Dow Jones - Fallers

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $92.58 -2.06%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) $238.90 -1.69%
Visa Inc. (V) $78.35 -1.45%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $36.31 -1.30%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $84.94 -1.23%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $166.73 -0.77%
Nike Inc. (NKE) $50.92 -0.72%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $135.11 -0.54%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $103.91 -0.46%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $62.30 -0.45%


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Newspaper Round Up

Monday newspaper round-up: Hiring optimism, coal collapse, Apple fight

Two out of five British companies plan to recruit more staff next year, despite the uncertainty created by the vote to leave the European Union. The "renewed optimism" among businesses is a marked change from March, when the CBI, the UK's biggest business lobby group, said that the economy could lose 950,000 jobs by 2020 as a result of Brexit. - The Times
The Chinese government triggered a surprise boom in coal prices this year, delivering a surprise windfall to hard-up miners - now experts are warning that the reversal of the policy will lead to a drop in prices that is just as sharp. This year Beijing decreed that coalmines could operate only 276 days a year rather than 330 and the result was a spectacular rebound in prices, especially for coal used in steel-making, as the world's biggest consumer turned to overseas markets. - The Times

The world's oldest bank has made a last-ditch attempt to convince tens of thousands of ordinary Italian savers to help it escape state hands. Monte dei Paschi, Italy's third biggest bank, wants 40,000 retail investors to take part in a complex €5bn (£4.18bn) bailout, which was almost derailed by the country's recent constitutional referendum. - Telegraph

Apple is set for a fight with the European Commission over a ruling that it must pay the Republic of Ireland more than €13 billion in tax, describing parts of the judgment as having "no basis in law". In submitting its formal appeal today against a ruling issued in August, which claimed that Apple had shifted tens of billions of dollars in profit into "stateless" affiliates based in Ireland, where it received unfair tax breaks, the iPhone maker claims that the commission has misinterpreted both Irish and international law. - The Times

The UK's 10 biggest house builders are sitting on 14 years' worth of land, on which almost one million homes could potentially be built, Shelter has claimed. Research carried out by the housing charity found that the listed firms control 404,000 plots through their current land banks, and a further 558,000 plots in so-called "strategic land banks". - Telegraph

Talks aimed at averting strikes by British Airways cabin crew over Christmas will be held on Monday. Unite union members based at Heathrow are due to walk out on Christmas Day and Boxing Day in a dispute over pay. - Guardian

Lawmakers from around the world have written to financial regulators and stock exchanges calling for stronger disclosure of financial risks related to climate change. Many assets related to a carbon-intensive economy may now be mis-priced after the ratification last month of the Paris agreement on climate change, 145 parliamentarians from 34 countries say in a letter published today in The Times. - The Times

More action may be needed to protect the financial services industry from a devastating cyber-attack, the head of the Treasure select committee has suggested. Andrew Tyrie MP wrote to Ciaran Martin, head of the new cybersecurity centre of UK surveillance agency GCHQ, saying the lines of responsibility and accountability for reducing cyber-threats are opaque. - Guardian

Labour's industrial spokesperson has called for the algorithms used by technology firms to be made transparent and subject to regulation, as the party prepares the new year launch of its industrial strategy consultation. Shadow minister Chi Onwurah wants to see greater scrutiny of the mathematical formulas that now control everything from the tailored news served to Facebook members to the speed at which workers are required to move around an Amazon warehouse. - Guardian

A housing association is teaming up with a Chinese-state owned company to build 25,000 pre-fabricated homes over the next five years. As part of the £2.5 billion deal, which has the support of the government, the China National Building Material Company will build six factories in Britain, creating 1,000 new jobs. - The Times


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