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Sep 25, 2014

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Thursday, 25 September 2014 17:42:52
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London close: FTSE 100 declines as mining stocks fall on dollar advance

London's top shares tumbled on Thursday as the rising dollar took its toll on mining and energy stocks.
The FTSE 100 Index closed 66.56p points adrift at 6639.71 as the greenback bounced on speculation of monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank (ECB) and US interest rate hikes.

Speaking in Lithuania, ECB president Mario Draghi renewed the central bank's vow to go further on monetary policy using unconventional instruments to battle prolonged low inflation.

Jasper Lawler at CMC Markets said: "Even if quantitative easing never happens, the fact that the ECB is looking to start and the Fed are almost done means the dollar is outperforming."

Speculation about interest rate hikes in the UK also got a boost from a speech by Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, who said the time to increase the benchmark rate was getting closer.

Miners were among the main victims of the dollar's surge, with Anglo American leading the sector lower on a 54p fall to 1407p. Silver miner Fresnillo dimmed 27.5p to 748p, BHP Billiton dropped 51.5p to 1746p and Rio Tinto was 77.5p off at 3105p.

Oil industry stocks also took a hit with BP falling 13.15p to 451.8p, Petrofac leaking 23p to 1021p and Tullow Oil off 10.5p at 654.5p.

Shopping centre developer Hammerson reversed 21.5p to 563p after announcing a placing to fund the acquisition of a shopping mall in Leicester in the UK.

Beleaguered supermarket group Tesco slipped 2.4p to 192.5p on news that UK lawmakers may grill the beleaguered supermarket group after a £250m black hole emerged in its accounts.

But budget airline Easyjet flew 35p higher to 1350p after rival Ryanair said annual profits would be towards the top of hopes. Ryanair's shares lifted €0.07 to €7.38.

Harvester and Toby Carvery owner Mitchells & Butlers led the FTSE 250 Index lower after it said like-for-like sales rose 0.1% in the nine weeks to 20 September and were flat in the second half.

Shares in electronics group CSR gained 36.5p to 765p as the UK takeover panel extended the deadline for US suitor Microchip Technology to complete its bid negotiations.

Market Movers
techMARK 2,799.94 -0.49%
FTSE 100 6,639.71 -0.99%
FTSE 250 15,425.91 -0.72%

 


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FTSE 100 - Risers
easyJet (EZJ) 1,350.00p +2.66%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 1,075.00p +1.32%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 76.20p +1.07%
Shire Plc (SHP) 5,240.00p +1.06%
Carnival (CCL) 2,475.00p +0.98%
Capita (CPI) 1,150.00p +0.88%
3i Group (III) 388.00p +0.62%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 481.80p +0.61%
Friends Life Group Limited (FLG) 310.70p +0.58%
Standard Life (SL.) 414.20p +0.53%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 923.50p -4.20%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,407.00p -3.70%
Hammerson (HMSO) 563.00p -3.68%
Fresnillo (FRES) 748.00p -3.55%
Royal Mail (RMG) 400.00p -3.47%
Sports Direct International (SPD) 637.50p -3.41%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,746.00p -2.87%
Meggitt (MGGT) 457.50p -2.83%
BP (BP.) 451.80p -2.83%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 904.00p -2.80%

FTSE 250 - Risers
CSR (CSR) 765.00p +5.01%
Laird (LRD) 315.50p +3.37%
William Hill (WMH) 373.80p +2.61%
Ladbrokes (LAD) 130.30p +2.52%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 59.90p +2.48%
AL Noor Hospitals Group (ANH) 1,077.00p +2.09%
Amec (AMEC) 1,086.00p +1.88%
Thomas Cook Group (TCG) 119.20p +1.79%
EnQuest (ENQ) 108.20p +1.79%
Cairn Energy (CNE) 184.00p +1.77%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) 373.70p -7.86%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 143.90p -5.64%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 121.20p -5.24%
Zoopla Property Group (WI) (ZPLA) 228.60p -4.67%
Polymetal International (POLY) 475.70p -4.40%
Supergroup (SGP) 1,090.00p -4.39%
Victrex plc (VCT) 1,624.00p -3.79%
Electrocomponents (ECM) 225.30p -3.59%
Rightmove (RMV) 2,179.00p -3.50%
Countrywide (CWD) 459.50p -3.47%

FTSE TechMARK - Risers
RM (RM.) 150.00p +3.81%
Torotrak (TRK) 16.75p +1.52%
Filtronic (FTC) 25.75p +0.98%
Innovation Group (TIG) 29.00p +0.87%
Kofax Limited (DI) (KFX) 466.00p +0.65%
NCC Group (NCC) 200.50p +0.38%
Consort Medical (CSRT) 1,008.00p +0.20%
IShares Euro Gov Bond 7-10YR UCITS ETF (IEGM) € 197.07 +0.18%

FTSE TechMARK - Fallers
Oxford Biomedica (OXB) 3.85p -1.91%
Ricardo (RCDO) 658.00p -1.05%
SDL (SDL) 346.50p -1.00%
Vectura Group (VEC) 130.75p -0.95%
Skyepharma (SKP) 307.00p -0.65%
Optos (OPTS) 202.50p -0.49%
E2V Technologies (E2V) 164.25p -0.15%


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Europe Market Report
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Europe close: Stocks fall as Carney says interest rates will rise soon

European stocks declined after Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney said the central bank is close to an interest rate hike.

During a speech in Wales on Thursday, Carney said the UK economic outlook had improved paving the way for an interest rate increase soon.

"The point at which interest rates also begin to normalise is getting closer,” he said.

"In recent months the judgement about precisely when to raise Bank Rate has become more balanced. While there is always uncertainty about the future, you can expect interest rates to begin to increase.”

European counterpart, Mario Draghi also spoke on Wednesday at an event in Lithuania. The European Central Bank (ECB) President said that the monetary authority takes its “price stability mandate very seriously and will continue to do so”.

Ahead of the event, he told Lithuanian business daily Verslo Zinios that the ECB’s recent stimulus steps will help boost recovery.

However, Draghi said governments need to enact structural reforms amid geopolitical tensions that could hurt sentiment.

He added that the ECB was ready to enact unconventional measures if necessary.

Data-wise, a report from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) showed UK high street sales slowed in September against the previous month, triggering fresh fears that the UK's consumer-led economic recovery is losing steam.

Nearly 50% of retailers reported higher sales volumes and 17% said they fell, giving a balance of 31% - below August's 37%, according to CBI’s monthly Distributive Trades Survey.

Acting as a backdrop, and following a fairly typical seasonal pattern, US stocks dropped on lighter than usual trading volumes as many traders would be away from their desks as they celebrate the Rosh Hashanah feast day, or Jewish New Year.

US durable goods, jobless claims

US durable goods orders declined 18.2% in August following a 22.5% increase in July, more than the 18% dip expected by analysts. The drop was led by few aircraft related orders.

Another report showed jobless claims in the week to 20 September came in at 293,000 following 281,000 claims a week earlier. Analysts predicted 296,000 claims.

US data on Friday is forecast to show gross domestic product grew 4.6% in the second quarter, more than the previous estimate of 4.2% released 28 August.

H&M, miners fall

Hennes & Mauritz AB slumped as Europe’s second-biggest clothing retailer reported a decline in third-quarter profit.

A gauge of miners, including BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto Group, as copper prices declined.

Cairn Energy jumped after agreeing to sell a 10% stake at a North Sea development.

Ryanair Holdings edged higher after saying its full year earnings will reach the upper end of its guidance.

Direct Line Insurance Group advanced after agreeing to sell its international division to Mapfre SA.

The euro fell 0.38% to $1.2731.

Brent crude futures dropped 0.20% to $96.76 per barrel, according to the ICE.


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US Market Report

US open: Stocks in the red as US durable goods orders slide

US stocks slid after a report showed durable goods orders fell more than forecast in August.
US durable goods orders declined 18.2% in August following a 22.5% increase in July, more than the 18% dip expected by analysts. The drop was led by few aircraft related orders.

"Stripping out the aircraft related volatility, the underlying strength in capital goods orders and shipments in August indicates that business investment in equipment continues to expand at a healthy pace in the third quarter," Capital Economics said.

Another report showed jobless claims in the week to 20 September came in at 293,000 following 281,000 claims a week earlier. Analysts predicted 296,000 claims.

US data on Friday is forecast to show gross domestic product grew 4.6% in the second quarter, more than the previous estimate of 4.2% released 28 August.

In corporate news Apple slumped as it withdrew an update for the iPhone operating system after the new software caused some users to lose cellular service.

Jabil Circuit gained after forecasting quarterly earnings that beat analysts' projections.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.26% to $93.05 per barrel, according to the ICE.


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Broker tips:

The risk-reward trade-off inherent in holding shares of consumer goods giant Reckitt Benckiser is tilted to the upside, in the opinion of analysts at Morgan Stanley, given the company’s strategic optionality.

More specifically, the firm is targeting a shift in its portfolio towards higher growth and margin business in consumer health. As well, its valuation is underpinned by what should remain “solid operational performance” in the core business, the broker argues.

Thus, under its bull case – which integrates a marked change in the portfolio – the stock could reach 6,400p, despite already finding itself at the upper end of absolute and historical ranges.

Its consumer health division should continue to be one of the best growth stories across the European staples sector, with on-going growth in line with the average for the last three years of 8%. Near-term momentum should be supported by easier comparables and a strong innovation line up.

The company is also expected to become a consolidator in the sector, which in turn should translate into a positive mix on the rate of sales growth and its margin profile.

Under a “bear” case of slowing core momentum together with lower possibilities of deals in that area then the stock would fall to 4,600p.

Once taken into account all of the above Morgan Stanley upped its price target on the stock to 5,600p from 5,100p previously while maintaining is recommendation at “equal-weight”.

Numis has cut all its forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers by 5%, in the wake of disappointing results from the pubs and restaurants operator.

After the group said like-for-like sales grew 0.1% in the nine weeks to 20 September and were flat over the second half, broker Numis said it expects full year margins to fall by 50 basis points due to the lack of like-for-like sales growth, initial dilution from the Orchid acquisition, higher pre-opening costs and competitive pricing.

“Mitchells & Butlers is struggling to maximise the potential of its high quality estate,” Numis said in a note.

“Although we have cut our 2015 forecast by 5%, we fear there is downside risk to our assumptions of 1% like-for-like sales growth and 30 new openings.”

Neither does the competitive pricing seem to be having much impact on overall sales.

Numis reiterated its ‘hold’ stance on Mitchells & Butlers shares, with a target of 420p.

Mitchells & Butlers shares were down 4.67% to 386.66p at 10:00 on Thursday.

Broker Investec has downgraded UK Mail after the parcel courier said the usual autumn pick-up in parcel traffic had failed to materialise.

The broker has moved UK Mail to 'add' from 'buy' after the company said first-half revenue would be lower than last year due to worse-than-expected second quarter parcel volumes, casting uncertainty over annual results. It also reduced its target to 600p from 700p.

Investec analyst John Lawson said: "The UK parcels sector seems to be going through a more challenging period than previously anticipated, as UK Mail has not seen the normal seasonal pick-up at the rate expected.

"Whether this is due to macro factors, Scottish referendum worries or customers just deferring potential purchases until later in the year, it is impossible to say at this stage.

"Until we get clarity, we have moved to 'add', reduced estimates and lowered our target to 600p."

Shares fell 70p or 12.4% to 495p at 13:39 in London.

 

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