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Feb 28, 2017

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Tuesday, 28 February 2017 09:32:41
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London Market Report
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London open: Stocks little changed amid deluge of earnings; Trump eyed

Stocks in London were little changed in early trade on Tuesday as investors sifted through a deluge of corporate news and looked ahead to US President Donald Trump's address to Congress later in the day.
At 0830 GMT, the FTSE 100 was flat at 7,255.72.

On Monday, US stocks shook off early losses to end higher after Trump said he would make a "big" infrastructure announcement the next day, so market participants will be keeping a close eye on what he has to say to Congress for any further clues about his plans.

Spreadex's Connor Campbell said: "Already investors have been given a sense of what the Orange One is going to announce, with the President confirming a huge boost to defence spending as promised during his campaign. This has green-lit some decent gains from the relevant companies, with the likes of BAE Systems climbing 2.5% on the news. Now Trump has to deliver on slightly more complicated matters, namely healthcare and tax reforms - failure to do so could plant some further seeds of doubt in those indices sent to highs on the back of his bombastic claims.

"Of course, that's not until much, much later. For now the FTSE has to deal with a far duller economic agenda, barely managing to move after the bell."

The pound, meanwhile, showed little signs of clawing back the previous day's losses, falling 0.2% against both the dollar and the euro.

In corporate news, engineering services company Babcock said it had traded in line with expectations for the quarter to the end of February and the outlook for the full year remained unchanged.

Engineer GKN made gains as it posted a 12% jump in full-year pre-tax profit as sales rose and the company expressed confidence over its prospects for 2017.

Croda International was a high riser after the specialty chemicals group said full-year pre-tax profit was boosted by the weak pound, rising to £288m from £275m the year before.

Virgin Money was also on the front foot after posting a 33% rose in full-year underlying pre-tax profit.

Gold and silver miner Fresnillo shone after saying it more than doubled its profits on a surge in revenue due to higher meal prices in 2016.

FTSE 250 engineer Meggitt gained ground after it reported a drop in full-year pre-tax profit on Tuesday as it highlighted a difficult oil and gas market, but lifted its dividend.

Housebuilder Taylor Wimpey nudged higher as it said it had made a "very good" start to 2017 and suggested the UK housing market will remain supportive for its bump dividend programme for some time.

On the downside, Go-Ahead Group tumbled after lowering its full-year expectations for the bus and rail divisions and reporting a drop in first-half pre-tax profit as operating profit from the rail division slumped due to Southern Rail strikes.

Moneysupermarket was also in the red. Although the price comparison website said profit for the year to the end of December grew and announced a £40m share buyback, it was hit by a downgrade from Credit Suisse. In addition, traders noted the fact that group revenues are currently behind last year and said the stock had had a good run into the results.

Investors were also digesting the latest survey from GfK, which showed UK consumer confidence dropped in February.

GfK's monthly consumer sentiment index nudged down to -6 from -5 in January, in line with expectations.

"Any momentum behind the post-Brexit, debt-fuelled, consumer spending boom now appears to be softening," said Joe Staton, head of market dynamics at GfK.

Banking Sector Outlook for 2017

In the first of a two-part series, this report covers the sector and its main players ahead of a barrage of full year results releases. We take an in-depth look at how US & UK Banks fared during 2016, reporting dates and forecasts for 2017, and what early US results have shown us.

Get your copy of the Banking Sector Outlook for 2017 today!

Losses can exceed deposits


Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,255.72 0.04%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 18,670.52 -0.00%
techMARK (TASX) 3,392.07 0.65%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Pearson (PSON) 679.00p 2.96%
GKN (GKN) 352.60p 2.80%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 909.00p 2.71%
Bunzl (BNZL) 2,299.00p 2.41%
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 335.60p 2.01%
BAE Systems (BA.) 630.00p 1.94%
Standard Life (SL.) 370.30p 1.59%
Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK) 2,139.00p 1.37%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 530.00p 1.15%
British Land Company (BLND) 616.50p 1.07%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

St James's Place (STJ) 1,024.00p -5.88%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,400.00p -3.01%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,240.00p -2.25%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,302.00p -1.77%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 795.00p -1.43%
Glencore (GLEN) 321.20p -1.38%
Old Mutual (OML) 216.70p -1.37%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,467.00p -1.28%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,298.00p -1.27%
BT Group (BT.A) 327.30p -1.06%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Meggitt (MGGT) 451.20p 8.44%
Derwent London (DLN) 2,803.00p 3.24%
Virgin Money Holdings (UK) (VM.) 342.70p 2.36%
Inmarsat (ISAT) 715.00p 2.29%
Aggreko (AGK) 1,055.00p 2.03%
NMC Health (NMC) 1,775.00p 1.95%
BGEO Group (BGEO) 2,855.00p 1.75%
Ultra Electronics Holdings (ULE) 1,919.00p 1.64%
Cobham (COB) 119.70p 1.44%
BTG (BTG) 577.00p 1.32%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,962.00p -14.14%
Moneysupermarket.com Group (MONY) 301.60p -14.07%
Evraz (EVR) 224.30p -4.23%
Polymetal International (POLY) 943.00p -4.12%
ZPG Plc (ZPG) 376.70p -3.80%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 263.30p -2.84%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 2,198.00p -2.83%
Softcat (SCT) 315.30p -2.66%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 158.20p -2.29%

Tuesday 21 February

INTERIMS
BHP Billiton, Galliford Try, Green Reit, Netcall, Vernalis plc

FINALS
Anglo American, HSBC Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Lighthouse Group, Synectics, Vitec Group

ANNUAL REPORT
HSBC Holdings

AGMS
Blackrock North American Income Trust , Image Scan Holdings

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Safestore Holdings

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Public Sector Net Borrowing (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Titon Holdings


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Europe Market Report
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Europe open: Stocks start slightly higher ahead of key Trump speech

European stocks began Tuesday's session with slight gains ahead of a key speech from US president Donald Trump scheduled for late in the evening.
Investors were hoping Trump would use the occasion to provide further details on his tax cut and spending proposals.

As of 0833 GMT the benchmark Stoxx 600 was edging higher by 0.07% to 369.78, as Germany's Dax gained 0.05% to 11,832.85 and the FTSE Mibtel tacked on another 0.13% to 8,939.59.

In parallel, front month West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures were off by 0.11% at $53.99 a barrel on the ICE, while the euro/dollar was edging down by 0.07% to 1.0583.

"Today's highlight is President Trump's speech to Congress with everyone hoping for him to go beyond rhetoric and disclose some details of the new administration's planned tax reform," analysts at UniCredit said.

UniCredit said it was "highly speculative to come up with a clear picture for markets ahead of any detailed announcement and the market response may heavily depend on the question of border-adjustment taxes, which in our view would have negative consequences not just for the main US trading partners but for the US itself. In the end, it would not be surprising to see US yields moving slightly higher across the curve due to a revival of the reflation trade story."

Consumer spending in France grew by 0.6% month-on-month in January, albeit mainly thanks to a large jump in energy consumption, although economists were optimistic that consumption would bounce back over coming months.

Also in France, the cost of living dipped from a 1.3% year-on-year pace in January to a 1.2% clip for February, missing forecasts for an advance of 1.5% by a wide margin.

Also on the economic calendar for Tuesday, US fourth quarter GDP figures were set for release at 1330 GMT, followed by the Chicago purchasing managers' index for February.

In corporate news, Volkswagen's supervisory board decided to cut executives' pensions to just 40.0% of their base salary, down from 50.0%, German daily Bild reported.


For our analysts, making your Stocks & Shares ISA work harder is a bit of an obsession.


US Market Report

US close: Dow notches 12th consecutive record close

US stocks shook off early losses to end higher, with the Dow notching up a record close for the 12th session in a row as President Trump teased investors with talk of a "big" announcement on infrastructure when he addresses Congress on Tuesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked up 0.1% to 20,837.44, the S&P 500 added 0.1% to 2,369.73 and the Nasdaq closed up 0.3% at 5,861.90.

Meanwhile, oil prices settled little changed, with West Texas Intermediate up 0.2% to $54.08 a barrel and Brent crude down 0.1% to $55.96.

"We're going to make it easier for states to address their infrastructure, and I'm going to have a big statement tomorrow night on infrastructure," Trump told governors visiting the White House. "We're going to start spending on infrastructure big."

However, Trump also said that any details on tax reform would not be revealed until after the administration's proposal on healthcare.

ADS Securities researcher Konstantinos Anthis said that Trump's appearance before Congress on Tuesday should shed more light on how bullish he is over his reforms schedule moving forward. He added that Treasury Secretary Mnuchin attempted to manage expectations last week.

This was echoed by Craig Erlam, senior markets analyst at Oanda: "Trump's appearance before Congress will be watched very closely for some real insight into his plans for taxes and possibly fiscal stimulus which would help to sustain the rally for now. Given the lack of details so far though, I'm not getting my hopes up. In the absence of any details, Trump may instead hope to rely on the very tactics that have been so successful so far, vague yet substantial promises that keep people interested while leaving us all none-the-wiser."

On the data front, US durable goods orders rose a little more than expected in January, almost entirely on the back of a surge in commercial aircraft orders.

Durable goods orders were up 1.8% from the previous month, when they dropped 0.8%. Economists had been expecting a 1.7% increase.

The jump was driven by a 70% rise in passenger plane orders and a 60% increase in orders for fighter jets and related military goods. Excluding transport, new orders fell 0.2%, missing expectations for a 0.5% jump.

Demand in a category that tracks business investment plans dropped 0.4%, marking its first fall since September.

Meanwhile, the pending home sales index fell 2.8% in January to 106.4, versus expectations for a 0.6% rise. The December reading was revised up to 109.5.

In corporate news, La Jolla Pharmaceutical rocketed after it announced positive trial results for its hypertension treatment.

Sotheby's surged after the auction house swung to a fourth-quarter profit, beating forecasts.

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway edged up after it reported a 15% jump in fourth-quarter profit.

On the downside, Tesla retreated after Goldman Sachs downgraded the driverless car maker to 'sell'.

Shutterstock tumbled after it missed profit and revenue expectations and issued a gloomy outlook.


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Newspaper Round Up

Tuesday newspaper round-up: Budget, post-Brexit rules, PPI complaints

Solid economic growth and strong tax receipts since the Brexit vote have put Philip Hammond on course to announce a drop in government borrowing when he presents his spring budget next week, a leading thinktank has predicted. The Resolution Foundation said it would be the first time since March 2014 that a chancellor could stand at the dispatch box and announce borrowing will be lower - not higher - than previously thought. - Guardian
Businesses are calling for European Union regulations to remain in place to minimise the cost and disruption of Brexit, according to a report by the British Chambers of Commerce. It also calls on the government to consider a transitional arrangement with the EU if concluding both the exit negotiations and the future trade relationship with the single market proves impossible within the two years under Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon. - The Times

The Bank of England has tweaked an obscure rule which could make it easier for borrowers to get a mortgage of more than four-and-a-half times their annual income. The rule change applies immediately and effectively loosens the cap placed on the amount of high loan-to-income mortgage lending banks and building societies are allowed to do. - Daily Mail

The United States would sidestep World Trade Organisation rules and level sanctions directly against China and other nations under proposals being considered by the White House. Officials at the office of the US Trade Representative, the government agency responsible for policy, are exploring legal mechanisms to circumvent the WTO's disputes process, sources said. - The Times

Complaints to the financial ombudsman about payday loans have risen to almost 200 a week - and not all of those experiencing problems necessarily fit the image of low-income borrowers relying on short-term loans to get by. Payment protection insurance continues to be the most complained-about product, with just over 78,000 complaints - making up more than half of the total. - Guardian

Consumers are increasingly worried about their personal finances as food and fuel prices rise, according to a survey. A bounce in households' optimism about their financial outlook in January evaporated in February, pulling the closely watched GFK consumer confidence barometer down by one point to -6.

A group of former top bank regulators has warned the US and European authorities that rolling back the reforms of the past eight years could sow the seeds for a worse financial crisis than 2008. The warning from the Systemic Risk Council, chaired by Sir Paul Tucker, former deputy governor of the Bank of England, follows President Trump's pledge to repeal parts of Dodd-Frank, the package of legislation the US introduced in 2010 to tighten the rules after the crisis. - The Times

Jones Bootmaker, one of the oldest brands on the British high street, has been put up for sale by its owners in a move that raises questions over the future of its 170 shops and thousands of employees. Retail sources said the company's owners, turnaround firm Alteri Investors, have recently engaged advisers at KPMG to explore all options for the 160-year-old company including a straight sale of the business or a potential administration. - Telegraph

Two private space tourists plan to boldly go where no thrill-seeker has gone before, travelling on the world's most powerful rocket for a 400,000-mile trip around the moon next year. The entrepreneur Elon Musk announced the plans last night, saying that the two customers who have signed up for the week-long ride are "very serious" about going and have put down a significant deposit with SpaceX. The total cost is in excess of $80 million each. - The Times

A supermarket chain is to be the first major UK retailer to sell "free range" milk - from cows that have been kept outside for at least six months of the year - after consumers said they wanted to be able to buy tasty milk that gives a better deal to farmers. Asda will from Wednesday exclusively sell the new milk, which will carry a Pasture Promise logo, indicating that it comes from animals grazed for at least 180 days and nights a year and also offers farmers a fair price. - Guardian

Netflix is in talks to introduce a 'pay as you go' option for smartphones in collaboration with mobile operators, in what would mark a departure from the TV and film streaming service's subscription charges. It is understood from senior sources at the Mobile World Congress trade show in Barcelona that Netflix is in ongoing and detailed discussions about ways to charge mobile customers for streaming or downloading individual episodes, series or films to watch on the move. - Telegraph

British Land and Oxford Properties are close to selling their stakes in one of the City of London's most distinctive modern buildings to a Chinese bidder in what would be one of the UK's largest ever land deals. Leadenhall Building, better known as the Cheesegrater, is expected to be sold by the UK companies for about £1 billion to CC Land, Cheung Chung Kiu's investment vehicle. - The Times

Jeff Immelt, chairman and chief executive of GE, has used his annual letter to shareholders to warn of turbulent times ahead with past business practices turned on their head. "There is deep skepticism toward the ideas that powered economic expansion for a generation, with concepts like innovation, productivity and globalisation being challenged and protectionism on the rise," he said. - Telegraph

More firms are expected to announce bottle deposit return services after Coca-Cola unexpectedly came out in favour of the idea. Pepsi, Nestlé, Unilever and M&S have already committed to producing more eco-friendly bottles by using plant-based materials or less plastic, and an uptick in that trend could now be on the cards. - Guardian

 

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Feb 24, 2017

Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN  Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Friday, 24 February 2017 10:05:48
Monitor Quote Charts News CFD's Compare Brokers Free BB
 

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London Market Report
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London open: Stocks drift as RBS posts its ninth consecutive loss

Stocks in London drifted lower in early trade as investors waded through a deluge of earnings, with RBS in the spotlight.
AT 0825 GMT, the FTSE 100 was down 0.1% to 7,262.62.

Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets said: "FTSE sentiment may be impacted by RBS chalking up its ninth straight annual loss and outlook suggesting more to come (legacy clean-up, US legal settlements) before a return to profitability. This is rather at odds with peer Lloyds which continues to recover, able to offer special dividends and the government's bailout stake sale almost complete."

RBS fell after saying its losses widened in the year to 31 December as the bank was hit by legacy issues. It reported a loss of £6.96bn for 2016, bigger than the £1.98bn loss it posted the year before.

The bank was faced with litigation and conduct costs of £5.9bn, which includes a £3.1bn provision in relation to the mis-selling of mortgage-backed securities in the US in the run-up to the financial crisis. Meanwhile, the bank also booked £2.1bn in restructuring costs, compared to £2.9bn the year before.

Micro Focus retreated after reconfirming that it did not expect to grow revenue in its current financial year, while also noting overnight results showed HPE Software saw revenues fall but profit margins improve ahead of their agreed merger.

Property website Rightmove edged down despite reporting a rise in full-year 2016 pre-tax profit to £161.5m from £137.1m a year ago.

Engineer IMI was also on the back foot after it said pre-tax profit in 2016 slipped to £208m from £219m the previous year.

Workspace nudged lower after announcing the acquisition of the freehold of a west London office building for £98.5m.

Jupiter Fund Management was weaker after it posted a jump in profit for 2016 but said inflows for the year nearly halved.

Going the other way, Standard Life pushed up as it said revenue for 2016 grew "against a backdrop of volatile investment markets" as the insurer aims to increase its exposure to the Indian market through the acquisition of Max Life.

British Airways and Iberia parent International Consolidated Airlines Group flew higher after it announced a new share buyback and reported improved profits in the fourth quarter of last year and guidance for continued improvement in 2017.

Education publisher Pearson, which issued a profit warning in January, advanced after it held its dividend steady as full year pre-tax losses widened to £2.5bn from £433m in 2015.

Bookmaker William Hill racked up healthy gains as it said group net revenue was up 1% to £1.6bn in the year to 27 December.

On the data front BBA mortgage approvals are at 0930 GMT. In the US, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index is at 1500 GMT.

Banking Sector Outlook for 2017

In the first of a two-part series, this report covers the sector and its main players ahead of a barrage of full year results releases. We take an in-depth look at how US & UK Banks fared during 2016, reporting dates and forecasts for 2017, and what early US results have shown us.

Get your copy of the Banking Sector Outlook for 2017 today!

Losses can exceed deposits


Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,262.62 -0.12%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 18,629.86 -0.07%
techMARK (TASX) 3,363.91 -0.13%

FTSE 100 - Risers

International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 515.50p 2.18%
Pearson (PSON) 660.00p 2.17%
Convatec Group (CTEC) 237.90p 1.36%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,551.00p 0.98%
BAE Systems (BA.) 614.00p 0.74%
easyJet (EZJ) 920.50p 0.66%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 70.00p 0.65%
Standard Life (SL.) 377.30p 0.59%
Compass Group (CPG) 1,471.00p 0.55%
Barclays (BARC) 230.05p 0.44%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Micro Focus International (MCRO) 2,163.00p -3.39%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 1,658.00p -1.49%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 245.70p -1.48%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,332.00p -1.15%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,379.00p -1.14%
Capita (CPI) 551.00p -0.99%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 3,454.00p -0.80%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 746.00p -0.67%
Unilever (ULVR) 3,747.50p -0.56%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 5,034.00p -0.51%

FTSE 250 - Risers

William Hill (WMH) 273.70p 4.51%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 280.00p 2.75%
Shawbrook Group (SHAW) 269.50p 2.67%
Ted Baker (TED) 2,891.00p 1.98%
AO World (AO.) 152.60p 1.73%
Sophos Group (SOPH) 287.80p 1.70%
Beazley (BEZ) 441.00p 1.47%
National Express Group (NEX) 355.00p 1.43%
International Personal Finance (IPF) 194.70p 1.41%
Telecom Plus (TEP) 1,210.24p 1.02%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 412.20p -4.32%
Card Factory (CARD) 253.50p -2.65%
Hastings Group Holdings (HSTG) 222.40p -2.58%
Homeserve (HSV) 571.50p -2.39%
Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) 479.20p -2.20%
Fidessa Group (FDSA) 2,510.00p -2.14%
Rightmove (RMV) 4,174.00p -1.67%
Drax Group (DRX) 341.60p -1.58%
Entertainment One Limited (ETO) 235.60p -1.42%

UK Event Calendar

Friday 24 February

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities Ltd EURO, CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities Ltd GBP, Downing One VCT , NCC Group

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
APQ Global Limited, Primary Health Properties, The SME Loan Fund

Q4
Royal Bank of Scotland Group

FINALS
Jupiter Fund Management , Kennedy Wilson Europe Real Estate , Pearson, Rightmove, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, Standard Life, TBC Bank Group, William Hill

ANNUAL REPORT
Fusionex International

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Calculus VCT 'C' Shares, EIH Plc

EGMS
Bagir Group Ltd. (DI)

AGMS
APC Technology Group, IDOX

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Blue Capital Global Reinsurance Fund Ltd (DI), Hadrian's Wall Secured Investments, RWS Holdings, Urban&Civic


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Europe open: Banks under pressure at the start of the day, Trump in focus

Stocks began the session with slight losses, tracking a mixed close overnight on Wall Street and with stock in RBS and StanChart leading the way lower on the back of their latest full-year numbers.

As of 0921 GMT the benchmark Stoxx 600 was down by 0.33% to 371.63, as the Dax lost 0.38% to 11,902.49 and the Cac-40 another 0.54% to 4,864.46.

Meanwhile, the Stoxx 600's gauge of lenders' shares was lower by 0.87% to 170.55.

Investors were also increasingly cautious ahead of what was thought to be an imminent announcement over the next few sessions of the new US administration's proposed tax cut plans.

Commenting on the situation in markets, Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC UK, said: "While US markets finished the day slightly higher, and the Dow made another record close on rather vague comments from new US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, about wanting to have significant tax reform in place by the end of the summer, it would appear that once again the rally is starting to look a little tired.

"Next week it will be three weeks since US President Trump promised something "phenomenal" with respect to tax reform and it is becoming clear that investors are starting to become a little restless."

There was little on Friday´s economic calendar in terms of potentially market-moving data.

Consumer borrowing rose at annual rate of 6.7% in January, according to the BBA, with mortgage approvals running at 44,657 (consensus: 41,900), up from 43,230 in the month before.

Total industrial orders in Italy slipped by 0.9% year-on-year in December, according to ISTAT, as sales expanded by 9.4%, up from 3.4% in the month before.

Later in the day, investors were awaiting the University of Michigan´s consumer confidence index for the month of February and the latest monthly new home sales figures, both of which were due out at 1500 GMT.

Shares in RBS fell back after the company clocked in with its ninth-straight annual loss, although management said it hoped 2017 would mark the end of its decade-long restructuring.

In parallel, StanChart posted 2016 pre-tax profits of $409m, down from $1.52bn one year ago. Excluding extraordinary items operating profits were running at $1.09bn (consensus: $1.42bn).

Italian lenders were also under the spotlight after UniCredit reported in the previous session that its record €13.0bn share issue had been nearly fully subscribed.

Up to €15.0bn in other bank share issues were expected in Italy, Il Sole 24 Ore reported.


For our analysts, making your Stocks & Shares ISA work harder is a bit of an obsession.


US Market Report

US close: Stocks finish session mixed; Dow complete 10th straight record finish

US shares ended the session on Thursday in mixed fashion with the Dow Jones Industrial Average delivering its 10th straight record close while the Nasdaq declined again.
The S&P 500 finished up 0.99 points at 2,363.81. The Dow Jones rose 34.7 points, to 20,810.3, and the Nasdaq composite fell 25.1 to 5,835.5.

Nvidia Corp and Tesla both weighed heavily on the Nasdaq, falling 9% and 6.4% respectively.

Electric car maker Tesla sank after it posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss late on Wednesday but beat analysts' expectations on sales.

Victoria's Secret parent L Brands tumbled 15% after it issued weak guidance for 2017 late on Wednesday.

Hormel Foods fell %% after it reported first-quarter net earnings per share of 44 cents versus 43 cents a year ago and revenue of $2.28bn compared to $2.29bn.

Oil prices rose after data from the American Petroleum Institute showed an 884,000 barrel drop in US crude supplies last week. This pushed up oil stocks, with giants Chevron and ExxonMobil higher.

HP Inc rose after quarterly results came in above expectations.

Traders were also digesting Wednesday's publication of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting.

Investors were hoping that the minutes "would provide additional clarity on its interest rate expectations," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, but instead the minutes displayed the central bank's uncertainty about how to proceed, "largely due to the unknown effects of what Donald Trump's stimulus plans will have on the economy and inflation. In effect, the Fed is as much in limbo as investors are because markets have rallied strongly at the prospect of 'phenomenal' tax cuts and major spending but as of yet, nothing has been delivered."

Dow Jones - Risers

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $121.68 1.82%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $34.06 1.40%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $50.32 1.29%
Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH) $162.60 1.26%
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) $81.78 1.05%
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) $65.85 0.86%
Boeing Co. (BA) $176.86 0.86%
3M Co. (MMM) $187.19 0.62%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $111.02 0.58%
Visa Inc. (V) $88.18 0.43%

Dow Jones - Fallers

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $95.55 -2.70%
Nike Inc. (NKE) $57.39 -1.46%
General Electric Co. (GE) $30.02 -1.02%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $71.31 -0.56%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $112.12 -0.51%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $136.53 -0.42%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $144.71 -0.37%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $109.73 -0.35%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $91.13 -0.34%
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) $79.59 -0.26%

S&P 500 - Risers

First Solar Inc. (FSLR) $37.19 10.78%
HP Inc (HPQ) $17.60 8.64%
Transocean Ltd. (RIG) $14.31 7.76%
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. (DO) $17.49 4.23%
Endo International Plc (ENDP) $13.39 3.88%
Edwards Lifesciences Corp. (EW) $95.70 3.78%
Realty Income Corp. (O) $62.86 2.81%
NiSource Inc. (NI) $23.77 2.59%
Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) $28.41 2.34%
Owens-Illinois Inc. (OI) $19.99 2.30%

S&P 500 - Fallers

L Brands Inc (LB) $48.94 -15.81%
Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) $100.49 -9.27%
United States Steel Corp. (X) $37.31 -7.85%
Alcoa Corporation (AA) $34.32 -6.23%
United Rentals Inc. (URI) $120.90 -5.59%
Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) $35.29 -5.39%
Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) $26.30 -5.16%
Martin Marietta Mtrl (MLM) $208.68 -4.69%
TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) $43.46 -4.59%
Staples Inc. (SPLS) $9.08 -4.22%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers

Shire Plc Ads (SHPG) $185.44 2.45%
Ctrip.Com International Ltd. Ads (CTRP) $48.28 1.45%
Paychex Inc. (PAYX) $60.41 1.36%
Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) $101.64 1.21%
Intuit Inc. (INTU) $120.70 1.06%
Vodafone Group Plc ADS (VOD) $25.77 1.06%
Fiserv Inc. (FISV) $114.90 0.95%
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) $87.10 0.83%
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA) $86.99 0.81%
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) $174.01 0.81%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers

Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) $100.49 -9.27%
Tesla Inc (TSLA) $255.99 -6.41%
TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) $43.46 -4.59%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN) $360.96 -2.50%
Liberty Interactive Corporation QVC Group (QVCA) $20.06 -2.34%
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $49.79 -2.12%
Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) $67.64 -2.03%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. - Ordinary Shares (NCLH) $50.68 -1.86%
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) $71.00 -1.80%


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Newspaper Round Up

Friday newspaper round-up: Boeing, Ryanair, business rates, John Lewis

Boeing plans to open its first manufacturing plant in Britain, picking Sheffield to make critical parts for its best-selling 737 and 777 airliners. The company has earmarked the Northern city for a £20m investment where it will produce complex parts for "actuators" which move flaps on the jets' wings. The decision is notable as the US aerospace giant is bringing work in-house, rather than subcontracting it out to the supply chain as is common. - Telegraph
Budget airline Ryanair has urged the Government to secure agreements which mimic those allowing barrier-free travel between the UK and EU. The Irish carrier said it transports roughly 40pc of the approximately 25.3 million European tourists who come to the UK from the Continent and it would be crucial for the Government to ensure agreements in place now, which allow carriers to freely fly between the UK and mainland Europe, were replicated entirely by the time the country exits the bloc. - Telegraph

The government is under growing pressure to overhaul the business rates system rather than just offer help for small firms affected by the revaluation of properties. Theresa May, the prime minister, and Sajid Javid, the communities secretary, told parliament on Wednesday that small businesses facing a sharp increase in their business rates bill from April could receive support in the budget next month. However, business leaders and MPs are now pushing the chancellor for a wider review of the controversial tax. - Guardian

John Lewis is to axe nearly 800 jobs in its customer restaurants and store administration in its biggest ever round of redundancies. The department store chain said it was consulting 773 people about redundancy as it attempts to cut costs and become more efficient. The cuts are the first sign of change since the department store's managing director, Paula Nickolds, took the helm in late January. - Guardian

A Eurosceptic coalition of City grandees is calling on Theresa May and Mark Carney to put the planned £24 billion merger of the London Stock Exchange and Deutsche Börse on hold for two years. They claim it would be destabilising for the deal to take place while Britain negotiates its departure from the EU. - The Times

President Trump's promise to quickly introduce a "phenomenal" package of tax cuts is likely to face delays, the new US Treasury secretary suggested yesterday. Steven Mnuchin said that the White House was working with Republican leaders in the House and Senate to push through "very significant" tax legislation before August. - The Times

 

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Feb 20, 2017

Evening Euro Markets Bulletin

 
ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news Monday, 20 February 2017 18:35:56
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London close: Monday malaise stifles FTSE as House of Lords debates Brexit bill

Equities in London turned in a Monday performance laden with malaise, with Unilever a notable faller as its bid premium evaporated, the US was closed for Presidents Day holiday and lively Brexit discussions began in the UK House of Lords.
The FTSE 100 closed down 0.0% to 7,299.86 and the FTSE 250 ended up 0.21% to 18,746.22. Across Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX were up, but the CAC 40 slipped.

"A day without US traders is usually a day for twiddling thumbs in European markets, and today has been no exception," said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG.

"Friday's bounce in risk assets has seen no real follow through across European and UK bourses," he said, noting the focus on Unilever.

Unilever sank more than 6% as Kraft Heinz ditched its takeover plans, just two days after it emerged the London-listed consumer goods giant had rejected a $143bn offer.

Unsurprisingly, the FTSE 350 index for personal goods, which features Unilever, was down more than 5%. It was followed by drops of roughly 1% by the 350 indices for household goods and food producers, while that for miners rose by more than 1%.

Blue-chip stocks figuring lower included Reckitt Benckiser, Imperial Brands, Coca-Cola HBC and Tesco. Also falling were housebuilders led by Barratt Developments, and utilities guided by Severn Trent.

Of those heading higher were Royal Bank of Scotland, Rolls-Royce and Hammerson. Miners were led up by Antofagasta and Glencore, and were followed by several insurers and banks.

Meantime, it was the House of Lords' discussion on UK's Brexit Bill that traders focused on, with Prime Minister Theresa May needing this to be passed into law before she can trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty.

Once that was triggered, UK would have up to two years before it finally quit the bloc, this following last year's divisive referendum that laid the foundations.

"Whilst Parliament decided it was largely down to the Prime Minister to decide when to enact Article 50, there are fears that the House of Lords will attempt to make amendments," said another from IG, market analyst Joshua Mahony.

Overall, however, SpreadEx financial analyst Connor Campbell summed it up when he said that the FTSE was broadly flat, struggling with both Unilever's decline and the pound's rebound.

"Talking of sterling, the currency maintained a half a percent rise against the dollar (likely affected by the US holiday) and 0.3% against the arguably Greece-worried euro," Campbell said.

In corporate news, house-builder Bovis Homes slumped after it reported a 3% drop in full-year pre-tax profit to £155m that fell short of analysts' expectations.

Shares in Interserve tanked after the construction and support services group said exiting the energy-from-waste market was likely to cost £160m, up from a previous provision of £70m.

On the upside, Royal Bank of Scotland rallied after saying it will abandon plans to sell its Williams & Glyn business and instead provide funds to help challenger banks, if a Treasury proposal is accepted by the European Commission.

Retail property group Hammerson gained ground as it said full year adjusted profits rose 9.4% to £230.7m on a jump in net rental income to £346.5m from £318.6m.

Direct Line racked up healthy gains after the insurer said new rules determining lump sum payouts for injury claims would have less of an impact on the company than it previously thought.


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Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,299.86 -0.00%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 18,746.22 0.21%
techMARK (TASX) 3,356.27 0.11%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 258.90p 6.81%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 708.00p 6.31%
Hammerson (HMSO) 588.50p 4.25%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 858.50p 2.57%
Merlin Entertainments (MERL) 501.50p 2.39%
Glencore (GLEN) 327.00p 2.36%
BT Group (BT.A) 323.30p 2.28%
Direct Line Insurance Group (DLG) 361.90p 2.26%
Standard Life (SL.) 375.40p 2.23%
Aviva (AV.) 505.50p 1.42%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Unilever (ULVR) 3,548.00p -6.56%
Pearson (PSON) 642.50p -3.89%
Mediclinic International (MDC) 802.00p -3.14%
Capita (CPI) 514.00p -1.53%
Associated British Foods (ABF) 2,571.00p -1.46%
ITV (ITV) 203.10p -1.17%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 3,737.00p -1.16%
Barratt Developments (BDEV) 514.50p -1.15%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 175.60p -1.07%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 765.00p -1.03%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Ascential (ASCL) 317.80p 3.75%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 269.00p 3.74%
OneSavings Bank (OSB) 397.00p 2.53%
Fidessa Group (FDSA) 2,496.00p 2.46%
SIG (SHI) 111.10p 2.40%
Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) 470.70p 2.33%
Rank Group (RNK) 208.30p 2.31%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 270.70p 2.27%
Inmarsat (ISAT) 628.50p 2.20%
AO World (AO.) 160.00p 2.04%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Bovis Homes Group (BVS) 755.00p -10.23%
BGEO Group (BGEO) 2,920.00p -5.99%
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) (BKG) 2,872.00p -2.25%
Wizz Air Holdings (WIZZ) 1,668.00p -2.23%
Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 1,080.00p -1.82%
Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) 529.00p -1.76%
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (MLC) 422.50p -1.74%
CYBG (CYBG) 269.80p -1.71%
Vesuvius (VSVS) 456.80p -1.62%
Elementis (ELM) 300.10p -1.57%

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Europe close: Political news fills US holiday-induced vacuum

European equity markets ended on a mixed note - albeit little changed - as political news filled the vacuum left by Wall Street as US markets remain closed in observance of Presidents Day.


Investors were also eyeing a meeting of eurozone finance ministers in Brussels later in the day as they aim to reach a deal on a second review of Greece's stalled €86bn bailout so it does not sour upcoming elections in the Netherlands, France, Germany and possibly, Italy.

By the close of trade, the benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index was up 0.22% to 371.04 and Germany's DAX rose 0.60% to 11,827.62 but France's CAC 40 edged lower by 0.05% or 2.59 points to 4,864.99.


"Greece stands again, alone, at the centre of a large chessboard. If negotiations were only about Greece, a country of 10m people and an economy the size of Milan or Düsseldorf, then these would have already been completed a long time ago.

"But it is clear to everyone that the approach to dealing with Greece entangles a much wider array of interests than solving the Greek crisis itself - and can be seen as a blueprint for future crises. Understanding the next steps can reveal insights on Europe's next steps towards, or against integration," said Alberto Gallo, head of macro strategy at Algebris.

To take note of, strategists at JP Morgan sounded a bullish note on Germany's Dax, touting the high weighting of Cyclicals in it and the strong reflationary trends in place both globally and domestically.

Meanwhile, oil prices advanced, with Brent crude up 0.55% to $56.12 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate 0.39% firmer to $53.99.

French government debt saw heightened volatility as low trading volumes contributed to sharp swings on its 10-year debt after a fresh poll at the weekend revealed Macron´s lead over rival Marie Le Pen had shortened to 58% to 42%, down from the up to 62% of backing he commanded in earlier tallies.

However, by the end of the day the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond had settled just two basis points higher at 1.06%, albeit after hitting an intra-day high of 1.14%.

In other political news, also over the weekend a poll by Emnid Institute revealed that the centre-left Social Democrats party had increased its lead over chancellor Angela Merkel's CDU party by one percentage point to 33.0%.

Euro/dollar was flat against the dollar at 1.0616.

In corporate news, Unilever plunged 5.99% as US rival Kraft Heinz ditched its plans to take over the Marmite owner, just two days after it emerged that the London-listed consumer goods firm had rejected a $143bn offer.

Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, said: "There had been widespread speculation that this bid may well have turned out to be a rather protracted affair given some of the politics involved. Kraft's quick about turn appears to have drawn a line under that, over concerns that any public battle could have the potential to turn increasingly bitter."

On the upside, Royal Bank of Scotland gained 6.81% after saying it will abandon plans to sell its Williams & Glyn business and instead provide funds to help challenger banks, if a Treasury proposal is accepted by the European Commission.

Aerospace and defence group Rolls-Royce advanced 5.05% after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to 'buy' from 'neutral', lifting the price target to 1,030p from 743p and adding the stock to its 'Conviction' list, saying the company has the potential to substantially increase free cash flow between now and 2020.

Steinhoff International rose 4.71% after the Netherlands-listed furniture maker called off talks for a $30bn merger with Shoprite, South Africa's biggest supermarket chain.

On the data front, German producer price inflation rose to 2.4% in January, from 1% last year and more than the 2% expected. Producer prices increased 0.7% in January from 0.4% in December and ahead of the 0.3% forecast.

The annual producer price index rose at its highest rate since March 2012 when it rose 2.6%.

Consumer confidence in the single currency bloc deteriorated in February, the European Union's executive arm said.

The European Commission's consumer confidence index dropped 1.4 points from a reading of -4.8 for January to -6.2 for February.


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US Market Report

French investigators raid Le Pen's offices

The offices of French far-right presidential hopeful Marie Le Pen were raided by investigators at the start of the week.
Her party decried the search, claiming it was a "media operation whose only goal is to disrupt the smooth operation of [her campaign] at a moment when she's made major advances in the polls."

Monday´s events followed the European parliament´s requirement that she repay the €336,146 of public funds she allegedly used to pay aides for fake parliamentary jobs.

Earlier that same day, the latest poll from OpinionWay showed Emmanuel Macron´s lead over Le Pen in hypothetical second round run-off vote had been whittled down to 58% for the former Economy minister and 42% for the leader of France´s National Front.


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In the first of a two-part series, this report covers the sector and its main players ahead of a barrage of full year results releases. We take an in-depth look at how US & UK Banks fared during 2016, reporting dates and forecasts for 2017, and what early US results have shown us.

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Broker Tips

Broker tips: Rolls-Royce, Standard Chartered, Pearson, RBS

Goldman Sachs has upgraded aerospace and defence group Rolls-Royce to 'buy' from 'neutral', lifting the price target to 1,030p from 743p and adding the stock to its 'Conviction' list, saying the company has the potential to substantially increase free cash flow between now and 2020.
The bank noted cash performance at Rolls-Royce has been disappointing as underlying earnings performance has fallen and the investment burden has risen.

It argued that the diversified nature of the group and the impending accounting changes warrant a cash flow based valuation approach. GS said it expects company-defined free cash flow to improve from £120m this year to £495m in 2018, £1.02bn in 2019 and £1.55bn in 2020.

Goldman said key risks to its price target and view include a weakening of the pound versus the US dollar through this year which would put downward pressure on sales estimates.

In terms of earnings, the impact would be of a lesser magnitude as a result of the substantial hedge book Rolls-Royce has in place, although large moves in $/£ will still affect the share price.

It also pointed to negative momentum in defence spending in the core markets of the UK and the US, as well as major export markets such as Saudi Arabia, as these markets are driving the growth in newer programs which offsets declines in older products.

Continued declines in sanctioned offshore capex would pressure future revenues in the Marine division from the Offshore exposed business lines.





Standard Chartered Bank

Analysts at JP Morgan downgraded their recommendation on Standard Chartered stock, emphasising that its shares were an "imperfect play" on the US interest rate cycle and how the 'bullish' scenario for the shares required a medium-term perspective.

"Relative to US banks, these banks are imperfect plays on US rates" the investment bank said.

The reason for that was that rate hike cycle in the States needed to be perfectly timed to 'thread-the-needle' between its positive impact on the lender´s net interest margin and the negative impact it might have on asset quality in Emerging Markets, analyst Raul Sinha said in a research note sent to clients.

That was also true of HSBC, whose stock was changing hands at 1.2 times´ P/TNAV.

Furthermore, StanChart shares had already rallied by 80% and HSBC´s by 54% over the past 12 months.

Hence, the risk-reward trade-off looking out over the next year was now less "compelling", Sinha said.

At 0.8 times' price-to-tangible next asset value stock in StanChart was also more geared to delivering improved earnings, as oppossed to the removal of capital concerns, dividends and mergers and acquistions.

Sinha downgraded its recommendation on shares of StanChart from 'overweight' to 'neutral' but stayed at 'neutral' on HSBC.

However, in the case of HSBC JP Morgan raised its target from 600p to 670p.

"We believe that under CEO Bill Winters, StanChart is pursuing a more sustainable LT recovery strategy, albeit one that will take time to deliver, also less cyclically geared."





Pearson

Education publisher Pearson was under the cosh on Monday as Liberum highlighted concerns about the company's cash flow.

Pearson, which is due to report full-year 2016 results on Friday, has already stated its headline results and given guidance for 2017, so Liberum said there shouldn't be any major surprises.

"However, we expect the details of its 2016 results to concern the market particularly around cash flow. We also do not see further major cost savings as a risk to our sell case."

Liberum noted that at the full-year 2015 results presentation, Pearson emphasised that its underlying cash conversion rate for 2015 was 95% as opposed to the reported 60% as there had been a number of 'one-off' issues at the group.

"The implication was that 2016 should see an improvement in the reported rate. However, when it reports numbers, we expect the cash flow numbers to look weak and to raise further questions about their cash flow profile."

Liberum also pointed to goodwill and said it expects to see more significant writedowns. It said given that goodwill is a reflection of future expectations of cash flow, this would suggest a more negative long-term picture.

The brokerage said there are two areas where there could be risk to its bearish call into the FY numbers: Pearson could announce a new cost-saving programme and/or disposals, particularly around its 47% stake in Penguin Random House.

Liberum reiterated its 'sell' rating and 360p price target on the stock.





Royal Bank of Scotland

If Royal Bank of Scotland retains the Williams & Glyn business, as proposed, it will bring a return to dividends closer and lift earnings in 2019, according to analysts at Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Cazenove and others on Monday.

RBS confirmed on Monday the statement it released late on Friday, that as it could not sell its Williams & Glyn business it will instead set up a fund to help challenger banks at an estimated cost of £750m that will be taken in this coming Friday's 2016 results.

The plan has been proposed by the Treasury to the European Commission in order to allow RBS to satisfy the remaining State Aid obligations from its 2008 state bailout.

Morgan Stanley said retaining the 300 W&G branches could add around 10% to earnings per share by 2019.

"If the new set of measures is adopted then RBS has a path to clearing one of three remaining hurdles to eventual return of capital," analysts said, with the settlement of US residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) and a clean stress test being the other two that still remain.

JP Morgan Cazenove said the new proposal as helpful for RBS but potentially disappointing for banks which might have benefitted from a forced sale of W&G, such as CYBG.

Cazenove's upgraded its 2019 estimated EPS by 12% but forecasts a 100 basis-point hit to the bank's tier-one capital levels.

Together this results in the price target being lifted to 210p from 185p, which still results in 13% downside from current levels.

 

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